SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10 FROM THE IMPERCEPTIBLE CAVERN OF THE APEX
PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 5 PM / 8 PM

At some point I’m going to do a supercut of all of the times I’ve said some permutation of ‘this is one of the worst-assembled cards the UFC has put on’ and see just how long it’s actually become. We’ve been building it up for years, it’s growing on a month-by-month basis, and I can only wonder how many pages of Contender Series fighters we’ll have by the time it’s over.

Anyway, here’s a Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan/Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert Apex show.

MAIN EVENT: WHAT DID I FUCKING TELL YOU LAST TIME, BRENDAN
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Brendan Allen (27-7, #4) vs Christian Leroy Duncan (15-2, #10)

Seriously, I don’t know if you remember the last time we gathered here to talk about a Brendan Allen fight, but the header was named Don’t Do Them Any Favors, and here we are four months later about to have this same goddamn conversation again.

To recap: Brendan Allen was perpetually stuck at the lower end of the Middleweight rankings. Sean Strickland knocked him out, Chris Curtis knocked him out, and after spending two years toiling through a hyperactive seven-fight winning streak, Nassourdine Imavov and Anthony Hernandez handed Allen his first back-to-back losses and more or less boxed him out of contention. A solid victory over Marvin Vettori reminded everyone that Allen belonged in the general divisional conversation, but without something crazy happening, there was very little chance of having the Brendan Allen Championship Contender conversation.

As it so often does in sports, something crazy happened. Several somethings, in fact. First, the UFC went out of its way to pay for former ONE Championship star Reinier de Ridder to join the roster. Then RDR burned through four wins in eight months that culminated in a victory over former champion Robert Whittaker, which established him as a top five fighter and a serious contender to then-champion Khamzat Chimaev. October of 2025 was supposed to see de Ridder take on Anthony Hernandez, which made all of the sense in the world: Two contenders on huge winning streaks who hadn’t been tested against the top of the division with equally aggressive but technically opposed grappling styles. Sure thing as both a great fight and a title eliminator.

A month beforehand, Anthony pulled out. The UFC asked Brendan Allen to take the fight and save their main event--which, keep in mind, meant going from his first victory in three fights to a short-notice, five-round bout against the biggest prospect in the division who was, on paper, a nightmare matchup for him as a great grappler--and Allen took it and just beat the stuffing out of de Ridder. Lost the first round, took over, and pounded RDR until his body gave out on him.

Fantastic performance. Easily the best win of Brendan Allen’s career, and it couldn’t have come at a better time. After seemingly being eliminated from even the possibility of contention, with just one win, Allen was in the top five. He had the position, he had the relevance, and more than anything, as a top Middleweight, he had leverage to determine what happened next in his career.

His next fight was a co-main event in the Apex against the unranked Edmen Shahbazyan.

Utterly baffling we-have-a-hole-in-the-schedule matchmaking. Utterly pointless you-are-both-managed-by-the-same-person-and-he-doesn’t-care matchmaking. Allen won, and the UFC noted how good it was that, as a person who thinks he can be a world champion, he was willing to take on all contenders, but having beaten a man so far below him on the ladder after winning a genuine contendership fight, it was roundly agreed that his next fight should be relevant.

And it is!

In the sense that instead of a fully unranked opponent he’s only fighting all the way down to the absolute edge of the top ten, and he’s still in the Apex, but now he’s the main event again, so, obviously, it’s completely different.

Which is funny, because in a lot of ways, this is the same goddamn situation. The UFC pulled Christian Leroy Duncan onto the roster back in 2022 as an undefeated champion out in England’s Cage Warriors, they had high hopes for him as a source of cheap new blood in the Middleweight division, and it kept not quite working out. Armen Petrosyan ended his perfect streak two fights into his tenure. Wins over losing-streak fighters like Denis Tiuliulin and Claudio Ribeiro got Duncan just high enough to get completely shut out and sent to the back of the line by Gregory Rodrigues.

So the UFC did what it commonly does and gave him a little bit of a nudge, as we discussed in the preamble to his ranked fight with Jared Cannonier.

How about Duncan? What’re his last six fights like?

• Knocked out Cláudio Ribeiro, who was cut immediately after for being 1-3

• Lost to Robocop

• Got a decision over Andrey Pulyaev, who is currently 1-3

• Knocked out Eryk Anders, whose last wins were a crippled Chris Weidman and the five-fight-losing-streak-laden Jamie Pickett

• Knocked out Marco Tulio, who is currently 2-2

• Decisioned Roman Dolidze, whose entire career is a confusing morass of looking persistently middling

In other words: Jared has been persistently fighting top competition, and Duncan has been getting gently nudged up the ladder in the hopes that by the time he gets to guys like, say, Jared Cannonier, he’ll be ready to feast on their aging bones. Even this fight, itself, isn’t dissimilar. He’s not rematching Robocop, he’s not defending his spot against Ikram Aliskerov. And it’s not like the UFC is shy about pushing it! They just gave Edmen fucking Shahbazyan an abrupt shot at the top five! If they thought he could handle it, they’d have Duncan fighting Reinier de Ridder.

Cannonier, by then, was 1 for his last 5 and had fought nothing but top contenders for about six straight years despite being 42 years old. Unsurprisingly: Duncan won. Coincidentally Jared’s next fight, a month and a half from now, is against Ikram Aliskerov.

They like Duncan. They’re ambivalent about Allen. Truthfully, I don’t even really like Allen that much. It’s gonna take me more than three years to forget about the whole ‘whooping my children makes them better than yours and society is too pussified to accept this’ horseshit. But we are in the age where Ciryl Gane is getting his eighteenth title shot, Wang Cong was almost a champion and Joe Pyfer vs Bo Nickal is a heavily-hyped attraction that they might just pick the winner of for the next chance at the belt anyway, so denying someone the fights they deserve on account of their being a dick is, clearly, not an option.

Brendan Allen does, in fact, seem like kind of a dick. Brendan Allen also deserves a lot better from the UFC than this.

On paper, this is a very good fight for Allen. Duncan does his best work at his comfortable striking range and Allen, at his best, can be a smothering grappler. If he commits to shoving CLD into the clinch, forcing him to defend trips and denying him the chance to strike as much as possible, he should have every advantage.

But Brendan Allen doesn’t always fight to his strengths. Brendan’s attempts to take Edmen down were pretty perfunctory as he chose instead to spend most of the bout striking with him. And it worked! But Duncan hits a lot harder, and if Allen decides to make this another ‘let me show you how marketable I can be so you invest in me this time’ performance it could go very, very poorly for him.

That said, Duncan also has this weird addiction to trying to do spinning shit all the time, and I cannot help seeing him getting his back taken trying it against someone as good at opportunistic grappling as Allen. BRENDAN ALLEN BY SUBMISSION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: MODERN MATCHMAKING META
LIGHTWEIGHT: Matheus Camilo (11-3) vs Jai Herbert (14-6-1)

I made a big deal out of how rare it was for me to break format last week, and I really want to do it again here.

The philosophical purpose of the co-main event is the chance to shine a spotlight on people who aren’t quite ready to head up a card, but are either on their way there or trying to avert their fall from the top of the mountain. The philosophical purpose of my co-main event essays is shining a spotlight on the stories behind those fighters, as they often need the focus more than the headliners do.

That falls apart when you have co-main events that don’t really mean or do anything between people who either just got here or haven’t gotten anywhere.

Matheus Camilo has three fights in the UFC. 50% of his victories consist of Viacheslav Borshchev, who was cut last year and is now 8-8-1 in his entire career, and the other was Nazim Sadykhov, who is 2-2-1 in his last five fights, with that 1 being a draw to--you guessed it--Viacheslav Borshchev. He got choked out by Gabe Green, who is still missing in action.

Jai Herbert was supposed to be a big British knockout star when the UFC hired him as, at risk of being repetitive, a Cage Warriors champion back in 2020. Over the last six years he’s 4-5-1, he’s never managed to notch two wins back-to-back, and his best UFC moment was knocking down Ilia Topuria shortly before getting folded like a deck chair in the second round. One fight ago, Herbert defeated no less than Mandel Nallo himself, and if you don’t recognize his name that’s because it was his first fight in the UFC.

Now they’re in the co-main event. Loopy Godinez and Ketlen Souza were, at one point, supposed to be the co-main event, which made sense, because they’re great, and their fight is a top-ten bout at Women’s Strawweight. Camilo and Herbert got listed as the co-main instead. But two weeks ago, the UFC had a top five fight between Norma Dumont and Ailín Pérez slated as a prelim and Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek up in the co-main slot right up until 24 hours before the card actually started, which is your reminder that no matter how much they deny it, they genuinely do not give a shit about the Apex and consider all of the fights that go on inside of it below the main event completely interchangeable.

So enjoy this Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert co-main event, unless by the time it’s on, it’s not. MATHEUS CAMILO BY DECISION.

MAIN CARD: AT LEAST THEY’RE NOT ON THE PRELIMS
WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Loopy Godinez (14-6, #8) vs Ketlen Souza (17-6, NR)

It’s hard not to read into this as a statement about women’s MMA right now. Loopy’s great. I spent years writing about just how much I loved her tenacious chain-wrestling technique and how it ate up the competition. And then she started striking, and it bummed me the fuck out. Zero takedowns shot on Virna Jandiroba! It’s a crime. I want to be upset about Loopy fighting so far down the ladder, and I’m not NOT mad about it, but at the same time, she’s a bit stuck. She already fought and lost against Mackenzie, she already got beat by Virna, and the last time we saw Loopy was this past April when Tatiana Suarez choked her out, which gets her pretty far removed from contendership. Hell, Tatiana can’t even get a title shot right now they have her and Virna about to fight.

Besides, if you’re peering down the rankings, Alexia Thainara just got into the top ten a couple months ago, Tabatha Ricci and Amanda Lemos just lost, Jéssica Andrade, Amanda Ribas and Mizuki Inoue are MIA, and the UFC tried and failed to get Angela Hill beat again so now they’re stumped as to what to do with her. Thus: It might as well be Ketlen Souza. She’s great, she’s fun, I had a ton of hope for her when she came in from Invicta as their 125-pound champion and then Karine Silva tore her knee apart and everything got real unfortunate real fast. Strawweight has been kinder to Ketlen, aside from her own split decision run-ins with Angie and Piera Rodriguez, but she’s back on a two-fight winning streak and she just kicked Ariane Carnelossi in the dang head, so she has momentum on her side.

But she also gets taken down a lot. The only person in the UFC who’s tried and failed to get her down was Yazmin Jauregui, and Yazmin is not a great wrestler. Loopy is--when she allows herself to be. If she’s playing to her strengths, LOOPY GODINEZ BY DECISION feels absurdly likely. If she’s here to throw hands, it could get rough.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Andre Fili (25-14 (1)) vs Kai Kamaka III (18-8-1)

One of my most frequent soapboaxes is how personally angry I get about fighters being booked within three months of a vicious knockout loss. The lack of respect for no-contact periods exhibits itself pretty often in the sport, but I cannot help feeling it more keenly than most in the case of Andre Fili, who’s now in the back half of his thirties, going on two decades of combat, and went from getting knocked out once in his first 30 bouts to three times in his last 10. Particularly given the whole, y’know, briefly went blind from getting hit too much thing in his past. But I can’t make that complaint here, because yes, Vinicius Oliveira knocked Fili out after hitting him 105 times in his last match-up, but that was three and a half months ago. So it’s all good! Can’t bitch about it this time!

Except I can, because Kai Kamaka III ate a standing TKO in his last fight after Luke Riley dropped him and landed 17 unanswered shots--a stoppage Kamaka protests as premature--90 days before this fight. Literally the day after an old-school no-contact concussion protocol order would’ve allowed Kamaka to go back to sparring, he will instead be back in the cage fighting a man with knockouts that are almost old enough to enlist in the military. And, hell, that Riley fight was only barely three months removed from a split decision over Dakota Hope, and even though Kamaka won, he still got hit 155 fucking times. This is his third fight in 187 days and a chance to see if he can get that number over 200.

We are not even two weeks removed from Raoni Barcelos collapsing in the middle of a fight because his brain was reportedly too swollen to keep functioning and we’re booking two guys who both got knocked out in the extremely recent past, and it doesn’t have any divisional relevance, and it’s not going to make either man rich, but the Apex needs something to fill its schedule and who cares about anything, let alone fighter health. ANDRE FILI BY DECISION.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Julius Walker (7-3) vs Gerald Meerschaert (37-22)

Back in February of 2025 I talked about Julius “Juice Box” Walker’s debut as a profoundly weird idea wherein a 6-0 fighter with barely two years of experience who’d just come off a victory over that luminary of the sport, the 22-14 Myron “Lightskin Dynamite” Dennis who somehow comes up in these conversations over and over again, and from that, Walker was getting a shot at a top fifteen ranking against Alonzo Menifield. He lost. He’s mostly been losing. He beat Raffael Cerqueira! That’s not nothing! But Cerqueira got drummed out of the UFC on an 0-4 record after Abdul Rahman Yakhyaev beat him in thirty-three seconds, and Walker is on a two-fight losing streak after Yakhyaev beat him in eight seconds, and that, too, was barely three months ago.

None of which can stop fate from conspiring to break my heart. My weakness for scrappy grapplers is one of my constants, and there are few if any nearer and dearer to me than Gerald Meerschaert. Is he good? Yes! But is he good? Well, at this particular moment in time he’s 3 for 10 and on a five-fight losing streak that’s taken him below a 50/50 success rating in the UFC, so in terms of objective statistical analysis, no, he’s not, but also, fuck math. Gerald took a round off Reinier de Ridder! He temporarily postponed the UFC’s fourth attempt to get Edmen Shahbazyan over! Sure, he’s almost 39 and he’s losing an awful lot and now he’s moving up to Light Heavyweight because he can’t make 185 anymore and he’s only 6’1” and my large bearded child is probably going to get domed by bigger men, but can you really root against him?

Like. He’s most likely gonna lose. He’s most likely getting TKOed here. But damned if I stop myself from picking hope. GERALD MEERSCHAERT BY SUBMISSION.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Malcolm Wellmaker (10-2) vs Otari Tanzilovi (10-2)

A decade ago we talked about the way Sage Northcutt was the living example of how to fuck up a good prospect by pulling them into the big show too soon, six years ago we were saying it about Chase Hooper, and now Malcolm Wellmaker is poised to be one of the victims of the modern everything-all-at-once booking style of the UFC. Wellmaker got into the Contender Series as a regional fighter with seven fights under his belt, none of them against genuinely solid, experienced competition, and they had him earn his contract against a man whose record was even worse, and then they surfed him to a two-fight winning streak against guys like Cameron Saaiman and Kris Moutinho, who had already proven they did not belong there. The second Malcolm wound up fighting serious competition he floundered, and now he’s struggling to avert a three-fight losing streak and he’s punching like he’s scared to pull the trigger.

Otari Tanzilovi is the test to see if Wellmaker can still cut it here. I wrote about how Tanzilovi’s debut fight against fellow newcomer Shane Collins this past June was one I had some genuine excitement for--Tanzilovi had some visible skills, Collins was demonstrating real offensive promise down in Urijah Faber’s organization--and it was, ultimately, a good fight, but it was also ultimately a 30-27 victory for Collins. Otari put up a struggle and wrestled Collins repeatedly, but he couldn’t keep him on the floor and he couldn’t outpace him on the feet. That’s part of what makes this interesting. Otari’s biggest struggles come from volume, but Malcolm Wellmaker is not a volume striker, he’s a power puncher. Wellmaker’s never won a unanimous decision in his life. He gets by on hurting people.

He can most definitely hurt Otari. Hell, I’m pretty sure Wellmaker could hurt the side of a mountain. But he’s going to have to stop the pressure attack to land one of those big counterpunches, and Otari’s going to give him as much as he possibly can. OTARI TANZILOVI BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: THE PRICE
LIGHTWEIGHT: Francisco Prado (12-5) vs Ismael Bonfim (20-7)

Your featured prelim has Ismael Bonfim, who is 1 for his last 5 and on a three-fight losing streak that has seen him stopped every single time, against Francisco Prado, who is 1 for his last 6 and on a four-fight losing streak that spans two separate weight classes. It’s very funny to see the different paths people get from beating these men. Ismael Bonfim’s second-to-last loss was a TKO at the hands of Chris “Taco” Padilla, and for his efforts, Padilla got an early prelim fight with Marquel Mederos. After that, Ismael got tapped out by Axel Sola, and despite now being a man on a losing streak, beating him got Sola a co-main event in Paris against the formerly ranked Farès Ziam. In mid-2025, Francisco Prado lost a split decision to Nikolay Veretennikov, and Nikolay got a preliminary bout with Punahele Soriano. This past April Prado lost a duke to Charles Radtke, who is getting a fight against former title contender Stephen Thompson.

At a certain point there’s no motivation to win anymore except “don’t lose” and “hopefully afford food,” and it angers me deeply that this was, of course, the point. ISMAEL BONFIM BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Niko Price (16-11) vs Leon Shahbazyan (12-5)

This is rare, but indulge me. I’m going to quote basically an entire fight writeup from Leon’s debut this past June.

Hold on, wait. I’m sorry. Leon Shahbazyan? Edmen Shahbazyan wasn’t already enough, you had to go hire his older fucking brother? His brother who got knocked out by Phil Rowe on the Contender series? His brother who got thrown in a trashcan by Ryan Loder, TUF 32 (jesus christ) champion, in a minute and a half, a couple years before Loder proceeded to get repeatedly and effortlessly destroyed in the company? You are hiring that Leon Shahbazyan? His last five wins were the 14-10 Robert Hale, the 10-9 Gláucio Eliziário, the 9-10 Aaron “The Alaskan Bull Worm” Phillips, the 7-5 Aireon Tavarres, and my personal favorite, Marcus Hardaway, an 0-2 fighter whose last fight was against the man with the best name in the entire sport, Here Dudes? And you’re putting him against Levan Chokheli, who, himself, is known almost solely for losing to Goiti Yamauchi and Lorenz Larkin in Bellator?

You know what probably would have been a better idea? HIRING GOITI YAMAUCHI OR LORENZ LARKIN. You cut Lorenz Larkin a decade ago on a two-fight winning streak over Jorge Masvidal and Neil Magny! You could still get him! It isn’t too late!

Except, y’know, for how late it is. LEVAN CHOKHELI BY JESUS CHRIST, WHATEVER, I GUESS TKO, FUCK.

This may shock you: Levan Chokheli won that fight really, really fast. Within ten seconds Leon was barely able to walk after a pair of leg kicks, within twenty seconds he was stuck on the cage getting punched repeatedly, and after twenty-three seconds he was curled up on the ground. I don’t like talking shit about fighters, man. I don’t like denigrating the years of effort people put into their craft. But we’re in a state of the sport now where the UFC’s stupid robot Facebook rankings say Anthony Wint is the #15 Heavyweight in the UFC because he beat two men who’ve not only never been in the UFC before, but have never beaten a winning fighter in their entire lives. The lower the bar becomes, the more important it becomes to establish that there is, or at least should be, a bar.

As a case in point, Levan Chokheli hasn’t been booked again yet. But Leon has! Against Niko Price, who is 37, 2 for his last 10, and only has one victory over anyone who’s still active in the UFC. It was Randy Brown. In 2018. Niko has one win in the last five years. Niko is on a four-fight losing streak with three straight stoppage losses. Niko got choked out by Michael Chiesa in 63 seconds this past March, and then Niko tried to retire but the UFC wouldn’t give him the mic.

I still favor the retiree. NIKO PRICE BY TKO.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Felipe Franco (11-2) vs Brendson Ribeiro (17-11)

God dammit, I should’ve saved my ‘reposting an entire fight again’ juice for this, doing it twice in a row would just be masturbatory. Instead, let me shorten this into a bullet point recap:

• Felipe Franco loses a Contender Series fight against Freddy Vidal, a 3-0 P.E. coach

• Having taken the fight on a week’s notice Freddy missed weight, so the UFC makes him come back

• DWCS fight 2 ends with Freddy getting knocked out by Levi Rodrigues Jr.

• The win is overturned when Levi immediately pisses hot for steroids; the UFC shrugs and signs him anyway

• Felipe also gets signed as a short-notice replacement and loses to Mario Pinto at Heavyweight

• The UFC books Felipe vs Levi to get Levi a win, but he gasses out in 6 minutes and Felipe gets the ground-and-pound TKO

• Freddy Vidal remains unavenged

Having scored a win, Felipe now gets to fight 2023’s DWCS model, Brendson Ribeiro, who is on a four-fight losing streak and 2-6 overall, and boy, are you starting to notice a pattern in the matchmaking on this card?

I don’t have a lot of faith in Felipe after seeing him get clipped repeatedly by Levi, but I have also seen Brendson lose, constantly, for going on three straight years. But, boy, getting beat by Azamat Murzakanov feels a lot less bad than getting choked out by Freddy Vidal. BRENDSON RIBEIRO BY SUBMISSION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Allen Frye Jr. (6-1) vs RJ Harris (6-0)

They say Heavyweight is Back and everything’s going fantastically now, and then they give you Allen Frye Jr., a man who got into the UFC by beating a fighter who’d been retired for six years and was now in his late thirties, only for Frye to then get shut out in his official debut by Guilherme Pat, who’d never beaten a man with a winning record in his entire life, and proceeded to spend all of 2026 losing repeatedly. RJ Harris, on paper, isn’t that much better or more accomplished, but he is taller, he is larger, and in his one UFC fight he met Alvin “Goozie” Hines, who made it a full fifteen minutes with Jhonata Diniz. Harris dropped him in a little over a minute and a half.

So. RJ HARRIS BY TKO.

WOMEN’S BANTAMWEIGHT: Alice Pereira (6-1) vs Daria Zhelezniakova (10-3)

It’s awfully hard to be stuck in the middle of a division that barely exists. Did you know the UFC only just removed Miesha Tate from rankings eligibility this past week? Did you know that across 34 events promoted by the UFC this year, which, at an average of 13 fights per event means about 442 bouts altogether, there have only been 14 fights at Women’s Bantamweight--that’s about 3% of them--and by simply competing at the weight class twice in one year, both of these women have become statistical anomalies? Alice was the most successful of the two, having knocked out Hailey Cowan back in April, but Cowan just got released after going 0-4 across four entire years with the UFC, so that didn’t really get her too far. What’s more, one fight beforehand she dropped a split decision to Montse Rendon, whom Daria had just beaten one fight earlier. This should, in theory, place Daria above Alice in the pecking order, but Daria had the misfortune of running into Melissa Croden, who managed to scrape a 29-28 away from her.

Coming off a loss rattles the betting markets. But Daria’s fought tougher competition and done better against them, and I’m not sure Alice is quite there yet. DARIA ZHELEZNIAKOVA BY DECISION.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Ernesta Kareckaite (6-2-1) vs Melissa Gatto (9-3-2)

It’s depressing enough to talk about the state of women’s MMA in the UFC without getting into the fighters I was hoping to see more from. Ernesta Kareckaite is a good striker with a very disciplined game and the net result of that was a UFC debut decision loss to Dione Barbosa. Melissa Gatto is a solid grappler who actually tapped out Karol Rosa back in the day, and that, too, earned her the chance to lose a decision to Dione Barbosa. For the record, beating Gatto, who is otherwise 3-2 in the company, earned Dione the right to face a debuting first-round elimination from The Ultimate Fighter 34 (jesus christ).

Circular division. Circular life. MELISSA GATTO BY DECISION.

Welcome to October. This month kinda sucks, to be honest. Two international PFLs. A ONE Heavyweight MMA main event. A super low-key RIZIN. A Wang Cong title fight. But if you stick it out, you will, eventually, get Liz Carmouche fighting for a world championship, the Merab Dvalishvili/Petr Yan rubber match, and Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev, so try to stay strong.

THIS MONTH’S PUNCHSPORTS EVENTS

• UFC 332: Silva vs Wang, October 3

• UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan, October 10

• UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott, October 17

• UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev, October 24

• PFL MENA 11, October 2

• PFL Africa: Morocco, October 10

• PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs Bishop 2, October 16

• ONE Fight Night 48, October 2

• ONE Samurai 4, October 17

• RIZIN Landmark 16 in Nagasaki, October 3

• I mean, the GFL said they were holding their inaugural event on October 17 for real this time, and sure, they haven’t mentioned it since let alone announced any fights, but they wouldn’t lie again, right?

IS THERE ANY NEWS

Remember earlier this year, when we talked about former Strikeforce, Bellator and Surf Ninjas King Scott Coker coming back to save the world of mixed martial arts with a brand-new promotion starting in 2027?

Ki MMA--as in the martial arts energy ki--was unveiled last month. Try to hold your shock: Scott Coker wants you to watch an MMA tournament. It’s a ring-based, one-year, all-Featherweight, four-country tournament, with North America, Europe, Asia and South America all running their own individual tournaments and the finalists meeting each other at the end of the year. It’s also intended to be young, lesser-known fighters with under 10 bouts to their names.

In other words: It’s the Coker formula but on a budget.

I dunno, man. I just don’t know. I’m going to support and watch it because I want more companies, I want more options for fans and more opportunities for fighters, but between the UFC’s stranglehold on the sport, MVP’s forthcoming Netflix juggernaut and the way the PFL just tried and failed to make tournaments take off and is getting absorbed as soon as the ball drops, I just don’t have a lot of faith in Ki to pull it off. I hope I’m wrong.

The UFC signed Michael “Venom” Page back in 2024. Over the next two and a half years he went 5-1 in the company, got himself ranked in the top fifteen at both Welterweight and Middleweight, and dropped his only loss to Ian Machado Garry, a man who took Islam Makhachev to a 48-47. In light of his fantastic success, after his latest victory over Nursulton Ruziboev on September 5, the UFC elected not to renew his contract.

No one is surprised by this, and I think that’s the story. We are so firmly entrenched in the cold corporate era of the sport that the UFC shoving off one of the most successful fighters on the planet is now openly expected and accepted by the audience because he’s insufficiently exciting. Once upon a time the UFC audience would be ride-or-die for Jon Fitch, and now it boos anytime someone clinches and cheers when contenders get fired.

Bad era. Bad company. I hope MVP picks up MVP and he wins their title by throwing 3 punches in 25 minutes.

Speaking of which, I think MVP learned from the UFC sniping Robelis Despaigne and Salahdine Parnasse, because a day after he won the big PFL/Rizin crosspromotional superfight and became the Featherweight champion of both organizations, MVP announced they’d signed Razhabali Shaydullaev to a two-year deal.

This is, actually, a surprise. Shaydullaev had been quite public about his intentions of going to the UFC after his Rizin deal expired after two more bouts, up to and including coming under the management of Ali Abdelaziz, who at this point represents half of the UFC’s roster. MMA hasn’t had an entity capable of winning the bidding war in years, so I sure hope this continues and it results in both MVP having a solid roster and the fighters getting fucking paid.

WHAT HAPPENED IN SEPTEMBER

ONE Fight Night 47: Stamp vs Flores got us started on the 4th. Your only MMA action on the night saw Gabi Fujimoto tapping Macarena Aragon, Hector Almonacid getting a decision over Pedro Dantas, and Ryohei Kurosawa’s unanimous decision against Fabio Henrique. Your main event was Stamp Fairtex’s return to competition, which saw her win a really close split decision against Selina Flores.

The next night, the UFC went to Paris for UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse. It was a night of local prospects, as you do--I’m not sure when the next time is we’ll see Delphine Benouaich or Fabià Sintes around, despite their wins--but Pavel Andrusca made a big debut by unseating Nathaniel Wood, and Modestas Bukauskas knocked out Oumar Sy, and Mário Pinto made unsurprisingly short work of Ryan Spann, and Felipe Lima took a decision over Morgan Charrière to round out the prelims. On your main card, Losene Keita crushed Muhammad Naimov with a three-minute knockout, Kurtis Campbell choked out Trevor Peek, Daniil Donchenko got a decision over Punahele Soriano, Michael Page got a decision over Nursulton Ruziboev but they let him go anyway because the UFC isn’t real, Axel Sola clocked Farès Ziam in 100 seconds flat, and in the main event, Salahdine Parnasse made his much-ballyhooed UFC debut by knocking out Dan Hooker in two and a half minutes.

Super Rizin 5 was the rare midweek card on the 10th, and they threw a whole lot at it. The attempt to get another Japanese woman into the next round of their Atomweight Grand Prix ended with Natasha Kuziutina mauling RENA before choking her out in the second round. Former champions Vugar Karamov and Roberto de Souza took decisions over Ryo Takagi and Shunta Nomura, respectively. Yutaka Saito took an unsurprising decision over Ren Sugiyama, but Ren Hiramoto got a very surprising--and slightly suspect--decision over Karshyga Dautbek. Mikuru Asakura fought and just violently beat the stuffing out of a 43 year-old Shinya Aoki. And, in the rare interpromotional main event, Razhabali Shaydullaev outwrestled A.J. McKee to both retain Rizin’s Featherweight title and win the inaugural PFL Featherweight championship.

ONE SAMURAI 3 came two days later, and once again, there were only three MMA fights: Seiichiro Ito’s submission over Kazusa Kurobe, Hiroba Minowa’s decision against Yuta Miyazawa, and Yuya Wakamatsu knocking out Willie van Rooyen. These things are practically noncanonical now.

But that day also brought Noche UFC 4: Silva vs Delgado, which was very stupid, but, at least, kind of fun. Your bottom half: Regina Tarín’s decision over JJ Aldrich, Sean King III smashing Jessie Rosas with a slam in thirty-six seconds, Rongzhu’s 29-28 against Rafa García, Tommy Gantt hitting a reverse triangle on Drakkar Klose, Yousri Belgaroui unsurprisingly knocking out Djorden Santos in one round, Ignacio Bahamondes going to a decision with Muslim Salikhov, and Tim Elliott outworking Édgar Cháirez. On your top, David Martinez outpunched Dan Ige, Curtis Blaydes got a 29-28 over Waldo Cortes-Acosta, Alexa Grasso put on a great performance in beating Manon Fiorot, Tommy McMillen won a big brawl with Marwan Rahiki, and Brandon Moreno notched a split decision against Joseph Morales. Your main event, saving the main card from being an all-decision affair, saw Jean Silva choked out Jose Delgado.

On the 19th, we got UFC 331: Van vs Pantoja 2, which will ultimately be a strong contender for event of the year. Down on the early prelims, Joanderson Brito stopped Giga Chikadze with some King Kong ground-and-pound, Casey O’Neill hit one of the best armbars I’ve ever seen on Eduarda Moura, and Edmen Shahbazyan won a very pointless fight with Brunno Ferreira. On your regular prelims, Ryan Gandra knocked out sacrificial victim Ozzy Diaz, Michael Aswell Jr. won a split over Joo-sang Yoo, Robelis Despaigne outwrestled Tai Tuivasa to a split decision victory which as a sentence is just as silly as it sounds, and Marlon Vera broke his long losing streak by making Charles Jourdain tap to strikes after dropping him three times. On the main card, Alonzo Menifield derailed yet another prospect in Iwo Baraniewski, Sean Sharaf made the internet ecstatic by knocking out Gable Steveson in twelve seconds, Patrício Pitbull took out Dooho Choi in one round, and Arman Tsarukyan overcame a swollen eye to knock Maurício Ruffy out cold with an elbow. The main event was the long-awaited Flyweight title rematch between Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja, and it was a fight of the year candidate wild enough that no judge rendered the same scorecard, but all three (deservedly) gave it to Van, who has finally cleared the shadow looming over his reign.

And the final event of the month was UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos on the 26th, which was, uh, less great. Yazmin Jauregui steamrolled Vanessa Demopoulos in a minute, Alatengheili got a split against John Castañeda, Montel Jackson knocked out a Ricky Simón who seemingly forgot he was a wrestler, Elves Brener knocked out a Josiah Harrell who just looks real unhappy, Christian Edwards dropped two rounds only to drop Rodolfo Bellato in the third, Rodolfo Vieira won a decision over Robert Bryczek that made them both look bad, and Brady Hiestand got the upset submission over Rinya Nakamura. The main card was more of a mess. Valesca “Tina Black” Machado won the TUF 34 (jesus christ) Women’s Strawweight season after knocking out Melissa Amaya, but the Bantamweight season went awry, as Mehemmedli Osmanli, who was seemingly winning the fight, blasted Ilimbek Akylbek with an extremely illegal knee, which led to Akylbek becoming the first person to ever win a TUF season by disqualification. Also, Sedriques Dumas was on the main card for some reason and he got choked out in a minute by a Miami cop named Luis “The Stache” Hernandez who then crotch chopped the camera forty times. In your co-main event, Ailín Pérez won a kind of screwy split decision over Norma Dumont that almost led to a cage brawl. Your main event was one of the scariest things in UFC history. Raul Rosas Jr. and Raoni Barcelos had a real good fight that, by the final round, had Barcelos up 3 to 1 on all scorecards, and then a minute and a half into the fifth, while clinching against the fence, Barcelos instantaneously lost consciousness, stayed unresponsive, and had to be rushed to the hospital on the spot. It was “pan the cameras away” levels of scary and he ultimately spent three days in the hospital before getting discharged with a diagnosis of “we have no fucking idea.” Reportedly it wasn’t cardiac or stroke related, which is a relief, but it still begs the question of what the hell happened.

WHAT’S COMING IN OCTOBER

Technically, the first fight card of October is PFL MENA 11 on October 2, but, respectfully, if the PFL only has three more months to exist, I am not spending them figuring out if a card with two consecutive tournament bouts between men with 30+ professional fights and men with 8-10 are worth the time. MENA is as MENA has always been, and my desire to see MMA flourish globally cannot get me excited for these events.

Similarly, also on the 2nd, you get ONE Fight Night 48: Erdogan vs Elliott. This is, believe it or not, the first ONE event to be headlined by an MMA fight since May 15. That night, it was it was Tang Kai, ONE’s best 155-pound fighter, against Shamil Gasanov, the prospect that beat Garry Tonon. This night, it’s Paul Elliott, a Heavyweight who just beat a 0-0 man, against Shamil Erdogan, whose last fight was against a man who’s 1-3 in the company. This is, unironically, a potential title eliminator. We have fallen.

RIZIN Landmark 16 is next up on the 3rd, and after throwing everything they had at Super Rizin last month, Landmark is a much, much lower-key affair, more akin to the developmental cards the Landmark series used to be. “Former kickboxers turned 2-4 and 1-1 MMA fighters Ryusei Ashizawa and Seiya Inoue three fights from the top” levels of low-key. 1-for-his-last-5 Hidetaka Arato in a Heavyweight match with former Middleweight Ken Hasegawa low-key. Your Main Event Is Yoshinori Horie vs Sho Patrick Usami low-key. It should be fun! But when you got beat by Taisei Sakuraba two fights ago and now you’re in the main event, it’s a let’s-take-it-easy kind of card.

Speaking of taking it easy: UFC 332: Silva vs Wang happens that night. This is one of the worst-assembled big, numbered cards in UFC history. Johnny Walker vs Mick Parkin. Marcus McGhee vs Bernardo Sopaj. A main card that includes Esteban Ribovics, Khaos Williams, a co-main event between Deiveson Figueiredo and Payton Talbott, and a main event wherein Valentina Shevchenko has had to vacate the Women’s Flyweight Championship so Natália Silva and Wang Cong can fight for it. Wang Cong Title Fight. Repeat it until the ringing subsides.

PFL Africa: Morocco hits on the 10th, and no, you still can’t watch it anywhere but the PFL app. Will the PFL app survive the merger? Will PFL Africa? Watch Abdoulaye Kane vs Badr Medkouri and you still won’t find out, but at least the men are large.

That day also gets us UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan and jesus fucking christ, the first two weeks of October are dire. Two PFLs you can’t really watch, a ONE that serves as a tribute to the fall of the Heavyweight division, RIZIN taking an easy month to breathe, a Wang Cong title fight, and then, as the cherry on top, you get an Apex Fight Night headlined by Brendan Allen vs Christian Lee Duncan. I am writing this on the 28th, which means this card is less than two weeks away, and the UFC doesn’t even have a real event page for it yet. It’s just Allen vs Duncan and they haven’t even bothered to list anything else. We are reaching new depths of not caring.

Fortunately, the 16th gets us PFL Chicago: Carmouche vs Bishop 2. There’s a handfulk of good things here--Paulina Wisniewska vs Chelsea Hackett, Emiliano Sordi vs Abraham Bably, Savarjon Khamidov vs Rafael do Nascimento--and a pretty solid co-main event in the returning Timur Khizriev against Gabriel Braga, who almost beat him in 2024. But the main event, which is also a rematch, is the big deal, as Liz Carmouche battles Jena Bishop, whom she knocked out a year ago, for the PFL’s inaugural Women’s Flyweight title.

ONE Samurai 4 is a day later. There’s one single MMA bout, and it’s Itsuki Hirata vs Jihin Radzuan, and it’s 2/3 of the way down the card. Jonathan Haggery vs Hiroki Akimoto for the Bantamweight Kickboxing World Championship is the main event. I’m sure it’ll be fine.

That same day also gets us the UFC’s return to Canada, which, and this may shock you, has a Mike Malott main event. UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott is exactly what you’d expect. Tanner Boser, Chad Anheliger, Melissa Croden, Mandel Nallo, Marc-André Barriault, and was revenge for killing Vlasto Čepo instead of doing the job and losing like the UFC wanted him to, Gilbert Urbina curtain-jerks the card. Your co-main event is Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius, either of whom would have been a better title fighter than Wang Cong, and your main event is Joaquin Buckley on a losing streak vs Mike Malott in the latest attempt to get him into the top ten.

But the last event for the month is UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev, because this one’s in Abu Dhabi, so they’re putting in effort. Losene Keita vs Aaron Pico! Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes! Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev! Alexander Volkov fighting down the rankings against Rizvan Kuniev because everything is bullshit! Lone’er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov, which should rule! And a title double-header up top, the first of which is the Bantamweight title rubber match between Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili, and the second is Movsar Evloev finally getting his long-deserved title shot at Alexander Volkanovski’s Featherweight crown.

CURRENT UFC CHAMPIONS
Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs

Ciryl Gane - 14-2 (1), 0 Defenses

Five years ago, the UFC ran into issues with their undisputed Heavyweight champion and chose to end-run around them by putting an interim title on Ciryl Gane. It is 2026, and nothing has changed. With Tom out thanks to Ciryl’s fingertips piercing his eyeballs, Ciryl was rewarded with a big fight against Alex Pereira for the interim belt--again--at the UFC’s big, terrible White House super-event, in the not-so-subtle hopes that the UFC’s continuing attempts to put all their eggs in the Alex Pereira basket would pay off in the form of their first-ever three-division champion. Instead, Ciryl beat the crap out of him. At 205 pounds, Alex was a monster; at 265 he was slower, smaller and no longer possessed the biggest guns in the cage. Ciryl boxed him up and knocked him out in the second round, but in the process of getting the stoppage he dropped elbows on a fallen, shaky Pereira that hit the back of his head, over which Pereira is attempting to a) have the fight’s result reversed and b) have referee Herb Dean fired. Ciryl Gane, meanwhile, continues to profit from everyone else’s misery more than just about any other fighter I’ve ever seen, as on September 14, Tom Aspinall officially vacated the Heavyweight title because his eyes can’t handle training without getting reinjured and he’s incapable of being medically cleared to fight. Ciryl Gane won his first UFC Interim Heavyweight Championship by beating a Derrick Lewis who was already pondering retirement, he won his second UFC Interim Heavyweight Championship by beating an Alex Pereira who had never fought at Heavyweight in mixed martial arts, and now, he has won his the undisputed UFC World Heavyweight Championship by beating absolutely nobody. He won one of the worst decisions of 2024 to become a top contender, he blinded the rightful champion in 2025 to become the UFC’s only available option for the top of the division, and in 2026, he is the man atop the mountain because rules aren’t real if they go unenforced by consequences. Ciryl Gane is the #1 Heavyweight in the world, and his first match-up as champion looks like it’ll either be a rematch with Pereira or a fight with human 4chan post Josh Hokit, because we live in Hell and we simply have to accept it. UPDATE, SEVERAL DAYS LATER: So, a funny thing happened on the way to UFC 331: Despite the primary function of an interim champion being taking the real champion’s place if they can’t come back, despite this being the way it has worked with every other interim champion in UFC history, Dana White says, this one time, Ciryl Gane doesn’t get to be promoted and will have to fight Josh Hokit for the belt at UFC 334 on November 14. Also, this main events over Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes. Also while I was typing this they said Dana White misheard the question (which he absolutely did not) and Ciryl Gane is the champion, and then changed the onscreen graphic in mid-show. I could clean this paragraph up, but why should I put more effort into the Heavyweight division than the UFC is?

Light Heavyweight Champion, 205 lbs

Carlos Ulberg - 14-1, 0 Defenses

It’s so hard not to skip to the punchline on this one. Carlos Ulberg’s combat sports career is more mixed than MMA alone would lead one to believe. He started as a mixed martial artist all the way back in 2011, but after winning his debut fight, he decided to give fighting a break for almost half a decade. Then it was boxing, and then it was MMA again, and then it was kickboxing, and for a brief period of time it was both at once. The rise of Israel Adesanya led the UFC on an all-out talent search for big, credible strikers from Oceania, and that is how despite being just 3-0 as a mixed martial artist, Carlos wound up on the Contender Series in 2020, and just a few months later, in March of 2021, he was debuting in the UFC. They hyped him, they gave him a spot on the pay-per-view prelims, they booked him against the 1-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu and despite having half his experience Ulberg was the heavy betting favorite, because everyone knew they wanted him on top. Which was unfortunate, because Kennedy knocked him out in two rounds. Carlos described the loss as the most important moment of his career--half for the lesson of the loss itself, half for the $50,000 bonus that gave him his first taste of actual profit as a professional. He vowed to take his career more seriously, he vowed to prepare for his fights as though every one mattered rather than simply being happy to be in the UFC, and four years later, he was the top contender for the Light Heavyweight crown. A testament to determination and a good mindset? Absolutely! But also a bit of a testament to the careful cultivation and protection of a prospect. Carlos did his job and beat everyone the UFC put in front of him, but the people put in front of him tended to be carefully picked. At one point he beat a genuine prospect in Nicolae Negumereanu, and the UFC followed it up by giving him Ihor Potieria, the man Nicolae had just knocked out in his previous fight. Stiff prospects like Aleksandar Rakić and Azamat Murzakanov flew past in the background, but Da Woon Jung and Alonzo Menifield had to be destroyed. The UFC spent a year and a half trying on three separate occasions to book Ulberg against Dominick Reyes, and by the time they finally got there, it was, somehow, impossibly, a title eliminator. But Ulberg won, just as he’d won every fight since his meeting with Kennedy Nzechukwu, and he proceeded to his title fight with Jiří Procházka for the championship Alex Pereira had left behind to try his hand at the Heavyweight division. It was fun, it was fast, it was dramatic and it was definitive. In just a hair under four minutes, Jiří was flat on the canvas and Carlos Ulberg, five years after his debut, was the Light Heavyweight champion of the world. He also very visibly tore his ACL in half right in the middle of the fight and could barely move. If Jiří had simply backed away, hacked a few leg kicks and kept his distance, the fight would’ve been stopped between rounds, but he chose to engage and got flattened by a left hook counter for his troubles, and the result was a brand new titleholder who proceeded directly to the emergency room after the fight and had knee surgery less than a week later. For the third time in six title reigns, the new champion has an injury so bad it will prevent them from defending their title for at least the rest of the year. Will we get an interim title? Will yet another champion have to give up the gold? Will Paulo fucking Costa wind up technically a 205-pound champion? Stay tuned.

Middleweight Champion, 185 lbs

Sean Strickland - 31-7, 0 Defenses

After all of that time, we are back where we were. When Sean Strickland got his first shot at the UFC Middleweight Championship back in 2023, it was under particularly thin circumstances. Strickland had just come off back-to-back losses against Alex Pereira and Jared Cannonier, his title prospects seemed slim, and a short-notice victory over the then-unheralded Nassourdine Imavov and one-fight UFC veteran Abus Magomedov seemed unlikely to get Strickland anywhere. But then Dricus du Plessis wanted another month to prepare for Israel Adesanya, and the UFC wanted to keep their pay-per-view main event, and suddenly, Sean Strickland was beating one of the sport’s biggest stars and becoming its top Middleweight. It was a stellar performance, it was a career-defining victory, and it was one of the shortest title reigns in UFC history, as just four months later Strickland lost the belt to du Plessis in his first defense. But it was a split decision, so his argument for a rematch was sound, and after a pretty dubious win over Paulo Costa, Strickland got du Plessis back in the cage, where he vowed vengeance, justice, and a return to greatness. Dricus beat him 50-45. It would be a full year before Strickland returned, and in that time, the Middleweight division had changed shape. Nassourdine Imavov was in pole position. Israel Adesanya was a shadow of his former self. Anthony Hernandez was the fastest-rising contender in the class. And Strickland’s nemesis Dricus du Plessis had lost his title to Khamzat Chimaev. On February 21, 2026, on the back of a bunch of bigot bullshit that was growing ever-more tired by the day, Sean returned to the cage and walked right through Hernandez, not just beating him but knocking him out in the third round, and just like that, Imavov’s work didn’t matter, Dricus beating Sean twice didn’t matter. The UFC has its favorites, and Sean got the shot. Khamzat, as he did, hadn’t fought in nine months, and had been busying himself making threats about moving to Light Heavyweight and chasing a superfight with Alex Pereira, who had, himself, already moved up to Heavyweight altogether. Chimaev swore he would outwrestle Sean, smash him, and move on with his life. And for one round, he looked completely correct. After the first, suddenly, Strickland evened things up. Khamzat was never able to assert his wrestling game again, so the rest of the title fight became a boxing match, and in that sense, it was surprisingly even, with Khamzat arguably landing the bigger punches but Strickland landing at a higher clip, and the scorecards were split right down the middle. But the coinflip went Sean’s way. For the second time, Sean Strickland is a world champion, and we are all bastards for it. A rematch seems almost inevitable, but Sean has a shoulder injury to rehabilitate, so we’ll see what the future holds.

Welterweight Champion, 170 lbs

Islam Makhachev - 29-1, 1 Defense

The prophecy has been fulfilled. Khabib Nurmagomedov was considered by many to be the greatest Lightweight of all time, but in the later stages of his career he began to repeatedly reference his lifetime friend and training partner Islam Makhachev as not just his successor, but the man who would break the mold he’d left behind. And the fanbase was more than willing to buy another Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov protege coming in and wrecking shop--until he got knocked out by Adriano Martins. Khabib’s aura of invulnerability came from the simple, so-obvious-more-people-should-try-it factor of simply never losing a damn fight. When Islam got torched in under two minutes by a man that couldn’t beat Donald Cerrone, that aura vanished. A lot of folks still thought he could be a champion, but most felt the greatest-of-all-time lane was closed to him. It turns out there’s another way to regain that sense of unbeatable awe, though: Just don’t lose for so goddamn long people forget it ever happened. In the ten full years since that Martins bout, Islam has not lost a single fight. Most of the time, he hasn’t even lost a round. He worked his way up the Lightweight ladder and began to rack up incredible achievements. He tore through top prospects with virtually no effort, he choked out one of the best MMA grapplers ever in Charles Oliveira, he outlasted and later knocked out one of the two men with a claim to the all-time Featherweight crown in Alexander Volkanovski, he choked out Dustin Poirier and he broke the Lightweight title defense record after stomping Renato Moicano. And then he traded in his record-breaking reign to challenge for Welterweight gold. Jumping divisions is always difficult, but the 15-pound leap from Lightweight to Welterweight is a mountain, and no Lightweight champion had ever managed it. Even BJ Penn, the canonical first man to hold gold at both, had to do it in reverse: He failed at both of his attempts to win Lightweight gold and shocked the world by abruptly taking it at Welterweight instead, and it would be five more years before he finally got his shit together and won a title in the division that made him famous. His subsequent attempts all ended in defeat, half because Matt Hughes and Georges St-Pierre were both great and half because BJ was just a Lightweight. Even though Islam was Islam and widely agreed to be a monster in the cage, Jack Della Maddalena had won the Welterweight title with some of the cleanest boxing the UFC had seen, and his championship victory over wrestler Belal Muhammad had people convinced that Islam, at best, would struggle. They met in the main event of UFC 322 on November 15, 2025, and there was absolutely no struggle. Islam kicked Jack’s leg to pieces, landed some surprisingly big punches, and took the fight to the ground almost at will, and by the time the fight ended, it felt like Jack never had a chance. The shadow has been stepped out of. Islam Makhachev is a two-division champion. And now he has a brand new horde of contenders beating down his door. He beat back the first of them after defending his title against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 on August 15. He says he wants to fight one more time this year, but we’ll see.

Lightweight Champion, 155 lbs

Justin Gaethje - 28-5, 0 Defenses

This has been a long, long time coming. Justin Gaethje has been right on the edge of the top for so long he banked two half-championships on his way up the mountain. Back in 2016, before the UFC even signed him, he was the champion of the World Series of Fighting--now known as the Professional Fighters League, much to our collective sadness--and was widely considered one of the best Lightweights in the world before ever setting foot in the Octagon. Back in 2020 he fought Tony Ferguson, then arguably the scariest Lightweight in the world, and beat him so horrifically that his career never recovered, and that netted Gaethje his first interim belt, which he promptly lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov in the latter’s retirement bout. Back in 2022, Gaethje got his second shot at the undisputed title against Charles Oliveira and he wound up strangled in three and a half minutes. Three and a half years after that, Gaethje was still right there at the precipice of the top, Ilia Topuria needed a break from the sport, and the UFC needed an aging veteran to propel their marketing star Paddy Pimblett to the top, and at UFC 324 on January 24, 2026, they threw Paddy’s big party and Justin crashed it. The UFC will tell you the fight was close, and it was in the sense that it went the whole way and one judge only gave Justin three rounds, but Paddy got brutally beaten and dropped repeatedly. With their desired player having failed his final exam, the UFC booked Gaethje into the main event of their big, terrible White House card against the finally-returning Ilia Topuria, who vowed to put Gaethje out within two rounds and resume his journey to a Welterweight showdown with Islam Makhachev. Instead, the two men had a goddamn war, with both hurting each other repeatedly and Topuria, arguably, giving away a TKO victory in the second round after crumpling Gaethje with bodyshots and choosing to roll for an armbar rather than pound him out. Gaethje broke Topuria’s face and left him nearly blind, and by the end of the fourth round, Topuria had nothing left and his corner threw in the towel. It took ten years, two interim belts and two failed shots, but finally, Justin Gaethje is the champion of the world. Which makes whatever happens next really fucking weird. They could run a Topuria rematch, but the ending was definitive and Topuria never defended the belt in the first place. They could have Gaethje fight rematches with Oliveira or Max Holloway, both of whom stopped him in the recent past, but Gaethje is hesitant about them and Holloway is booked against Conor McGregor. I’m sure they would LOVE it if Conor won so he could fight Gaethje instead, but that seems drastically unlikely. Arman Tsarukyan is, as ever, the #1 contender, but we know the UFC doesn’t care about that. My guess: Paddy Pimblett rematch. Gaethje does, however, say his hands are too busted up to fight again this year, so we won’t find out ‘til 2027.

Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Alexander Volkanovski - 28-4, 1 Defense

And just like that, 2024 never happened. For eleven years Alexander Volkanovski was the best Featherweight on the planet, and most of that time was simply waiting for everyone else to notice. He was short and he won by decisions a lot and the world was entirely into Max Holloway so he skated under the radar right up until the moment he finally beat Max. And that wasn’t enough to convince people, so Volkanovski beat him again. And that somehow made the world doubt him even more, so he beat Max a third time. By 2023 Volk was second only to all-time great José Aldo in Featherweight title defenses--and he’d beaten Aldo in a fight, and his only actual loss was an all-timer of an effort against Islam Makhachev that still stands as the closest Islam has come to losing his title as the best pound-for-pound fighter in the world, so it was very, very easy to accept Alexander Volkanovski as the greatest Featherweight on the planet. And then he took a rematch with Islam with only one week to prepare and got knocked out in three minutes, and then he came back less than four months later and got flattened by Ilia Topuria, and in the space of two fights the audience went from celebrating him as the best around to calling for his retirement. Volkanovski took an entire year off to heal and rebuild, which was enough time for Ilia to get bored and vacate the belt to go chase Lightweight greatness, and the Topuria/Volkanovski rematch became Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes at UFC 314 on April 12 to fill the vacant throne instead. It was somehow both close and clear. Lopes gained steam in the middle stanza of the bout and at one point dropped Volk, but Volk got right back up and resumed punching him in the face, and by the end of the bout he’d outlanded him more than two to one. The judges sided with him, the audience sided with him, and Alexander Volkanovski became not just one of the rare few to win back a UFC title, but the first man over 35 to ever win a UFC belt in the sub-170 weight classes typically reserved for young lions. His logical next contender should’ve been Movsar Evloev, but the UFC was busy trying to get him to fight an unranked, debuting Aaron Pico, thus clearing the way for a rematch with Yair Rodríguez in Guadalajara for Noche UFC 3 in September. Except the Arena Guadalajara wasn’t done yet, so Noche UFC 3 got moved to the most Mexican of places, Las Vegas, in October, and Alex’s manager said he had an eye injury that needs time to heal, so he took the rest of 2025 off. Good news, though: That left time for the UFC to get new contenders going. Lerone Murphy wound up fighting and knocking out Pico! Aljamain Sterling beat Brian Ortega! Hell, Movsar Evloev is still right there! The UFC looked at all of them and gave them all the finger. At UFC 325 on January 31, fresh off his title victory over Diego Lopes, Alexander Volkanovski had his first title defense against Diego Lopes. Unsurprisingly, the guy who beat Diego Lopes beat Diego Lopes again. The UFC had Evloev and Murphy fight in March and Evloev won a contentious decision, and after years of trying to derail him, they finally gave up. Volk and Evloev will meet at UFC 333 on October 24.

Bantamweight Champion, 135 lbs

Petr Yan - 20-5, 0 Defenses

Petr Yan’s road to the top has been incredibly circuitous. When Yan initially won the Bantamweight title back in 2020, no one was particularly surprised. He’d been one of the best in the world for years, he’d put together a six-fight winning streak on his road to the title shot, and the UFC had fed aging legend Urijah Faber to him in an attempt to make him a known quantity. Felling an even greater legend in José Aldo and taking the belt felt like an entirely expected passing of the torch, and a long reign as the division’s standardbearer seemed all but assured. And then, as they so often do, things went wrong. In quite possibly the most infamous title change in UFC history, Yan became the first champion to ever lose his title by disqualification after drilling Aljamain Sterling in the face with an illegal knee. Yan’s team cried foul and the world turned on Sterling, but when they had their rematch a year later, Sterling beat him by decision and that was that. But it was a split decision, and it was close, so the UFC gave Yan another theoretical title eliminator with Sean O’Malley, and this time the world was almost unanimously convinced Yan won--except for two of the three judges, who split in O’Malley’s favor. To top it off, Yan’s attempt to stay in the contendership conversation ran into the brick wall that was the rising Merab Dvalishvili, who handed him the most one-sided loss of his entire life. In the space of two years, Petr Yan went from being perceived as a generational champion to 1 for his last 5 and seemingly eliminated from contendership. After a year off to cope with injuries, reassess his career and figure out how to turn things around, Yan proceeded to take the path that most commonly leads to success: Just fucking beating everyone. He battered Song Yadong, he outpunched Deiveson Figueiredo, he won an exceedingly weirdly-booked matchup with Marcus McGhee, and suddenly, he was on a winning streak and right back in contendership. It might have taken him longer to get an actual title fight were it not for Merab Dvalishvili being a crazy person. Merab was on the greatest championship run the division had ever seen, and after clearing out most of his to contenders and recording a blistering three defenses in a single year, he announced his intention to break a UFC record and cement himself as the greatest 135-pounder of all time by recording a fourth--just two months after the last one--and Petr Yan was available and ready. The world saw the fight as a foregone conclusion, given how one-sided their first match had been, and the world was wrong. Yan put on the best performance of his career, not just battering Merab but outwrestling him, and in one of the best career comebacks we’ve seen, almost five years after he’d given it away, Petr Yan got his title back. He’s on top of the world again, and in all likelihood, the rubber match with Merab will be next. But it had to wait until the second half of the year, because Yan needed back surgery. So, almost a full year later, Yan and Merab will run it back at UFC 333 on October 24.

Flyweight Champion, 125 lbs

Joshua Van - 18-2, 2 Defenses

It would be disrespectful as hell to Joshua Van to say that no one saw this coming, as many people perceived it as a possibility, but I don’t think anyone saw it coming like this. Van was the Flyweight champion of the Fury Fighting Championships when the UFC came calling, as a 21 year-old regional titleholder with a penchant for collecting knockouts despite fighting at 125 pounds so thoroughly ticks all of their boxes that Van couldn’t have been a more perfect fit without also having a history of racist tweets, and his Contender Series debut was set for August of 2023. But the UFC needed someone to fill in against Zhalgas Zhumagulov, so Van got called up to the big show early and proceeded to justify their faith by beating Zhalgas, and then beating the man he was originally slated to Contend against, and then facing off with Legacy Fighting Alliance champ Felipe Bunes and handing him the first TKO loss of his entire career. In the space of six months, Van went from a little-known regional fighter to a borderline-ranked Flyweight in the UFC. And then he got atomized by Charles Johnson. It was the second loss of Van’s career, the first time he’d ever been knocked out, and the snapping of an eight-fight winning streak, and in many cases, that would’ve permanently ended his momentum. But Van was smart enough to learn from his mistakes, and the UFC was invested enough in him to bring him back up to speed with a gentle hand, and eleven months later he was on a four-fight winning streak again and had successfully made his way to the top ten after knocking out Bruno Silva, which left him in the perfect position to take advantage of an abrupt opportunity. Top contender Brandon Royval had just lost his opponent and needed a replacement, and Van was game to fight for the second time in three weeks if it meant a shot at the belt. It was a close bout, and if Van hadn’t knocked Royval down at the end of the third round he may well have lost, but he did, so he didn’t, and suddenly the prospect was next in line for the title. All but one month of Joshua Van’s UFC career took place during Alexandre Pantoja’s reign as the Flyweight king. His streak was monstrous and he was a sizable favorite coming into his defense against Van, but many were waiting to see if Van’s boxing could defuse Pantoja’s aggression. As it turns out: We’re gonna have to wait a bit longer. Twenty-six seconds into the bout Pantoja busted his own arm on the mat after a head kick gone awry. So Van’s the champion, but it’s under some real weird circumstances, and it means a number of people are immediately gunning for him. Alexandre Pantoja presumably has a rematch as soon as he’s back, but Tatsuro Taira just pounded Brandon Moreno out and got his crack at Van at UFC 327 on April 11. It was an amazing fight, but ultimately, Van got the knockout in the final round. The long-awaited rematch with Pantoja came at UFC 331 on September 19 and it was an instant classic, but this time, Van beat him definitively. Van’s now the unquestionable, undisputed best Flyweight on Earth. Manel Kape will probably be next, but we’ll see how long it takes to happen.

Women’s Bantamweight, 135 lbs

Kayla Harrison - 19-1, 0 Defenses

Every once in awhile the inevitable turns out to actually be inevitable. Ronda Rousey parlayed a 2008 bronze medal in Judo into mixed martial arts stardom; Kayla Harrison took the gold medal in 2012 and 2016. The world was already asking her about MMA before the second. The UFC made a play for her, but there was a problem: By the standards of female fighters Kayla was huge. Ronda had competed at 70 kg in the Olympics, which translated to about 154 pounds, well within the range of weight cutting for the insane standards of combat sports and Women’s Bantamweight. Kayla competed at 78 kg, which was almost 172 pounds. Even at a twenty-pound weight cut, her division simply did not exist in major mixed martial arts organizations. So she had to find one that would build it. The Professional Fighters League needed star power, and Kayla was their gal. They founded the first Women’s Lightweight division in a major American organization, and it was populated mostly by Bantamweights and Featherweights who were trying the best they could. For four straight years, Kayla was their recurring, undefeated champion. She won the 2019 and 2021 tournaments, and in 2022 she made it to the finals and looked poised to take it for a third time, as her only competition was Larissa Pacheco, whom she’d already beaten twice. In a massive upset, Larissa took a decision off of her. It was shocking, it was unexpected, and it was also more or less fine, because Kayla was more or less done with the PFL. She took one more fight against Aspen Ladd as a one-off, but her future was with the UFC. Even with her loss to Pacheco, the world was sure she was a future UFC champion--as long as she could stomach the weight cut. And it did, visibly, kill her! But she made it. She choked out Holly Holm in her debut, she took a decision over Ketlen Vieira in a title eliminator, and all she had to do after that was wait. Julianna Peña was a +500 underdog in her own title defense against Kayla, and that turned out to be just about right. On June 7, 2025, at UFC 316, Kayla achieved the inevitable, ragdolled Peña and tapped her out in just two rounds. She’s the best in the world and she’s going to get her shot at the superfight everyone wanted in the first place, as Amanda Nunes is coming out of retirement to face her later this year--actually, this got delayed so much it’s only now finally booked for UFC 324 on January 24, 2026--maybe never? A couple weeks before the superfight Kayla had to pull out for apparently fairly major neck surgery. Now we’re doing it at UFC 334 on November 14.

Women’s Flyweight, 125 lbs

VACANT - The humanoid shape in your peripheral vision

When Valentina Shevchenko regained her title from Alexa Grasso, won their rivalry and followed it up by utterly trouncing Zhang Weili, the world wondered what the rest of her reign would look like and how many contenders she would go through before either someone caught up to her again or she finally retired. Either possibility, as it turns out, was more optimism than this age of MMA deserves. After briefly being connected to a title defense against Natália Silva, Shevchenko instead announced that, having hurt ligaments in her back and shoulders, she was vacating the belt. Fortunately, between Erin Blanchfield, Manon Fiorot and Alexa Grasso, the UFC has a plethora of great contenders to fill her spot! Unfortunately, they’re not using any of them. It’ll be Silva vs Wang fucking Cong as the main event--yes, really--of UFC 332 on October 3 to fill the vacant throne.

Women’s Strawweight, 115 lbs

Mackenzie Dern - 17-5, 1 Defense

On a long enough timeline, the house always wins. Mackenzie Dern signed with the UFC as a 5-0 fighter all the way back in 2018 and they’ve been trying to get a belt on her ever since. She came into mixed martial arts with a pre-existing pedigree as one of the more decorated women in the history of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu: Gi championships, no-gi championships, pan-Am championships, Asian open championships, world championships, ADCC championships, she took them all. And the UFC marketed her as a grappling champion who was bringing some of the best submission offense in the sport to the Strawweight division! But they also marketed her as an extremely conventionally attractive woman who frequently wore bathing suits. It was one of the touchiest things to comment on with her career: Where other women would have to struggle for their matchmaking and featured spots, Mackenzie’s opportunities kept coming, and they were almost always on the main broadcast and, on multiple occasions, in the main event slots women almost never received. And she needed them, because despite being legitimately quite good, she just wasn’t great. She could make it into the top fifteen, and sometimes even brush the top ten, but every time they tried to get Mackenzie into title contention, she’d falter. It was Amanda Ribas in 2019, it was Marina Rodriguez in 2021, and between 2022 and 2024, Mackenzie had the worst run of her life, winning only one out of four bouts, getting shut down by Yan Xiaonan and Amanda Lemos, and taking the first stoppage loss of her career after being knocked out by Jéssica Andrade. She managed to get her way back up the ladder again by outgrappling Loopy Godinez and submitting a struggling Amanda Ribas in a six-years-belated rematch, but with so many losses to top contenders, her path to the title still seemed closed. Then a funny thing happened: Zhang Weili gave up the Strawweight belt to move up to Flyweight and challenge Valentina Shevchenko. Suddenly, the door was wide open. And conveniently, the UFC had booked all the women who beat Mackenzie into other matches, leaving Mackenzie with just one contender left--and it was Virna Jandiroba, a career grappler whom Mackenzie had already beaten back in 2020. The two met at UFC 321 on October 25, and after seven years of effort, the UFC finally got its way. Mackenzie beat Virna again, fair and square, in a close and hard-fought but ultimately clear decision. She is, at last, the Strawweight Champion of the World. And she’s in the exceptionally weird position of being a newly-minted champion that has very recently lost to several of her own top contenders. One would think, Zhang Weili having been soundly thwomped by Valentina Shevchenko in her bid for 125-pound supremacy, she would be back at Strawweight to reclaim her crown. Instead she’s MIA and Mackenzie defended her title against Gillian Robertson at UFC 330 on August 15, who was game but stood very little chance.

NOTABLE CHAMPIONS ACROSS THE WORLD

Rizin Lightweight Champion, 156 lbs

Luiz Gustavo - 16-4, 0 Defenses

Sunrise, sunset. Luiz Gustavo is not new to Rizin. He made his debut all the way back in 2018, when he was an undefeated, 8-0 22 year-old who’d only barely started fighting real competition down in Katana Fight. Rizin threw him straight into a main event in the hopes of completing the ascension of their rising star Yusuke Yachi, who’d just capped off a six-fight winning streak that included torch-passing matches with Japanese legends like Satoru Kitaoka and Takanori Gomi. Gustavo was supposed to be Yachi’s victim. Instead he knocked Yachi out in two rounds. Suddenly, Gustavo was the star and the man folks had flagged as Rizin’s next big Lightweight champion. He proceeded to go 1-3 over the next year, which culminated in the first knockout loss of his life against Patricky Pitbull and, ultimately, an almost three-year hiatus while the world struggled with COVID. When Rizin tried to get back to its wholly-international ways in 2022, they had Yusuke Yachi waiting for a rematch, and once again, Gustavo knocked him dead in two rounds. In two years Luiz had a winning streak and a shot at longtime champion Roberto “Satoshi” de Souza, and the world expected a classic striker-vs-grappler clash. Satoshi shocked him with a right hand and knocked him out in twenty seconds. Having lost his shot, and followed it with an unsuccessful bout against Shunta Nomura, Gustavo’s hopes for the top of the heap were so distant that Rizin booked him into a fight with living legend Kazushi Sakuraba’s son, the 2-1 Taisei. Gustavo punched him out in seven and a half minutes. Barely two months later, Rizin needed a challenger to stand opposite Ilkhom Nazimov, the man who had unseated Satoshi during their big New Year’s Eve special, and Luiz was available. Once again, the world underestimated him, and once again, they were wrong. Luiz punched Nazimov out in two minutes to finally take his title home.

Rizin Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Razhabali Shaydullaev - 19-0, 4 Defenses

I asked how long the second reign of Kleber Koike Erbst would last, and as it turns out, the answer was sixty-two seconds. Razhabali Shaydullaev’s rise through the sport has been impressively meteoric. Four years ago he was a rookie fighting on Batyr Bashy cards in Kyrgyzstan as a predominantly grappling-based fighter. Three years ago he was disposing of journeymen in the developmental leagues of Russia’s Absolute Championship Akhmat. Two years ago he was choking out top contenders in South Korea’s Road FC. One year ago he got signed to Rizin. In just six months he choked out a DEEP champion, submitted a Bellator champion and smashed through a K-1 Kickboxing champion with virtually no resistance. He was the favorite against Erbst, but few thought it would be an easy night, with Erbst having been finished only once in his entire career, and even that was an armbar all the way back in 2009 when he was still a rookie. Shaydullaev, as he has been doing for the entirety of his run thus far, destroyed Erbst. He walked through him and flattened him in just barely over a minute. Rizin’s got another gaijin champion, and given how good he’s looked, they may be stuck with him for awhile--or, worse, they might lose him to the UFC sooner than later. With Mikuru Asakura’s victory over Chihiro Suzuki on the same night he’s the logical next contender, but that would just be stupid, so instead it was Shaydullaev making his first defense against Viktor Kolesnik at Rizin 51 on September 28: He knocked Kolesnik out in just thirty-three seconds. His successful murders got him the main event of 2025’s Japanese New Year’s MMA special, where Rizin secretly hoped their big national star Mikuru Asakura would get the job done; Shaydullaev chain-suplexed him, grounded him, and laid an unconscionable amount of ground and pound on him in one of those Japan-likes-to-let-its-heroes-die moments before the ref finally called the fight in just shy of three minutes. Shaydullaev’s the best guy in the company, and now there’s a question of what’s left for him to do. For now, inexplicably, the answer was carrying the murder of the 5-2 Yuta Kubo at Rizin Landmark 13 on April 11, which is wild because they already fought at the end of 2024 and Shaydullaev destroyed him in seven and a half minutes. Try to control your shock: This time it only took Shaydullaev four. He became the centerpiece of the Rizin/PFL crosspromotion, taking on and beating the PFL’s A.J. McKee on September 10 to both defend his belt and become the inaugural PFL Featherweight champion.

Rizin Bantamweight Champion, 135 lbs

Danny Sabatello - 19-4-1, 2 Defenses

When Naoki Inoue won Rizin’s Bantamweight title I wrote that Rizin was one step closer to its dream of an all-Japanese championship roster, and it’s fitting that as gaijin once again take over the majority of the championship belts in the biggest organization in Japan, Danny goddamn Sabatello is one of the men to do it. Sabatello has been dogged by a reputation as a grinding wrestler without a ton to offer since 2020, when he got the call to compete on Dana White’s Contender Series, won, and was notably not offered a contract on the grounds of Boring Grappler. He made the move to late-stage Bellator instead, where he attempted to establish himself as their own personal Chael Sonnen: An indefatigable wrestling machine whose mouth ran just as hard as his double-legs. But it never quite caught on. The talk seemed a bit forced, the wrestling wasn’t that fun to watch, and all his 1980s wrestling promos about the bums in Bellator’s Bantamweight Grand Prix ended with an elimination at the hands of Raufeon Stots. Sabatello swore he’d won and that he’d get revenge; instead he ended his Bellator tenure getting choked out by Magomed Magomedov, decisioned again by Stots, and losing out on a shot at the PFL after going to a draw with Lazaro Dayron, who would’ve won the decision were it not for a point deduction. It was a bit of a shock when Sabatello signed with Rizin in 2025, but it seemed to have paid off when he scored his first knockout in six years during his debut against Shinobu Ota and swore he’d reinvent himself as Japan’s new American superstar. Then he went back to wrestling. It was still enough to get him his shot at Inoue’s belt at 2025’s New Year’s special, and despite the common wisdom of judging favoritism, a very close split decision went Danny’s way. It took three years longer than he intended, but Danny Sabatello is holding gold. Now we see if he can, in fact, become Big In Japan. His first title defense was against Joji Goto at Rizin Landmark 13 on April 11, and, unsurprisingly, he wrestled Goto to a broad decision. After a lot of public threats from Rizin CEO Nobuyuki Sakakibara about terminating his contract if he didn’t stop winning by decision, because, in their heart of hearts, every MMA promoter is Dana White, Danny gave the boss what he wanted by knocking the fuck out of Jinnosuke Kashimura on July 18. It’s seeming likely a rematch with Naoki Inoue will be next.

Rizin Flyweight Champion, 125 lbs

Makoto Takahashi - 23-5-1 (1), 0 Defenses

Oh, buddy, Rizin has wanted this one for years. Anytime a fighter with an above-average winning rate successfully gets their name replaced with a nickname it means the marketing power is strong with them, and within one fight in Rizin, no one called him Takahashi anymore. Japanese MMA is perpetually desperate for young national stars, and they knew almost immediately that Makoto Shinryu was their guy. By July of 2023 Shinryu was already 16-1-1 despite having just turned 23, he was the most-hyped male prospect in the country, and he was uniquely positioned to take over the world, as Rizin and Bellator were in the middle of their historical co-promotion days, and Bellator was inaugurating its Flyweight title with a match between Shinryu and top dog Kyoji Horiguchi. It ended with Kyoji unintentionally poking Makoto in the eye in twenty-five seconds. It took half a year to get the rematch together, and this time it was for Rizin’s Flyweight title, and Kyoji choked Shinryu out in two rounds. This marked the beginning of Shinryu’s career hitting speedbumps, as after almost seven years of constant victory, it’d be two years before he managed back-to-back wins again. Hiromasa Ougikubo, Jose Torres and Yuki Motoya all turned Shinryu away by decision, the last of which knocked him out of the Flyweight Grand Prix to fill the throne Horiguchi abdicated to return to the UFC. Ougikubo ultimately won the tournament and the title, but wins over Hiroya Kondo and Nkazimulo Zulu were enough for Rizin’s brass to put Shinryu right back in the title conversation, because, well, that’s what they wanted in the first place. They were right, too. Three years after his first failed attempt at grasping gold, Shinryu took Ougikubo the distance and took his belt home. There may have been detours along the way, but he’s got the title everyone felt he was destined for. Now we get to watch him try to keep it. He’ll go for his first defense against Tony Laramie at Rizin 55 on November 8.

Rizin Women’s Super Atomweight Championship, 108 lbs

VACANT - The source of life and death

The world has long wondered who or what could beat Seika Izawa, and as it turns out, the answer is childbirth. At Rizin Landmark 13 on April 12, 2026, Seika took to the ring and announced her pregnancy and, accordingly, her hiatus from the sport. After four straight years as the undisputed best Atomweight in the world, the queen has abdicated the throne. She vowed to one day return and take back the belt from whichever unlucky woman gets it in her absence, but obviously there’s no timeline for said return, nor should there be. All eyes now turn to the rest of Rizin’s Atomweight division, which is, like, four people. Ayaka Hamasaki’s back in Rizin, but she got armbarred pretty easily by the debuting Natasha Kuziutina. Moeri Suda and Saori Oshima are always around on loan from DEEP. I’m sure they’d love to belt up RENA, but she spends half of her time closer to Strawweight. It’s a loss for mixed martial arts, we are all happy for Seika and wish her well, and god bless Rizin, which can never, ever have a full complement of champions.

ONE Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs

ONE Light Heavyweight Champion, 225 lbs

ONE Middleweight Champion, 205 lbs

VACANT - The inevitable end of hubris

We were always destined to end here. ONE’s heavier title belts have always been more suggestion than reality. All three have seen at most five champions apiece in their decade-plus of existence--in Light Heavyweight’s case it’s just four, which makes sense, as after ten goddamn years there have been exactly five Light Heavyweight title fights. The belt-padding era began in earnest when ONE made Reinier de Ridder the double-champion over a division that barely existed, and when he fell on hard times with ONE management, they one-upped him by having Heavyweight champion Anatoly Malykhin drop to 225 and 205 thereafter just to beat him out of the company entirely. Over the past two years there was exactly one championship fight across all three weight classes, and it saw Oumar “Reug Reug” Kane take Malykhin’s Heavyweight title away, and it was a portent of the future that Marcus Buchecha won #1 contendership on that same night and opted to leave the company rather than fight for its title. Kane and Malykhin wouldn’t have their scheduled rematch until May 15, 2026, when Malykhin got his revenge by knocking out an exhausted Kane in the fourth round. Having won back his belt, he retired immediately, and in so doing rendered 1/3 of ONE’s MMA championships vacant. I’d bet we will, eventually, see another Heavyweight champion in ONE; I doubt we’ll ever see the other two belts again.

ONE Welterweight Champion, 185 lbs

Christian Lee - 18-4 (1), 0 Defenses

ONE Lightweight Champion, 170 lbs

Christian Lee - 18-4 (1), 1 Defense

It took three tries, but by god, Chatri gets what Chatri wants. Christian Lee, the male half of the first family of ONE Championship and its homegrown golden boy, was very mad about losing his lightweight championship in a controversial decision to Ok Rae Yoon last year. He demanded the decision be reviewed and overturned and his championship reinstated. Unsurprisingly: This did not happen. After months of complaining and just shy of a year of waiting, the two had their long-awaited rematch and Lee left nothing to chance, knocking Yoon out in six minutes to reclaim his belt. Having finally retrieved his title, Lee, being a responsible champion, proceeded to immediately challenge ONE’S 185-pound champion, Kiamrian Abbasov, for his title, a move that was definitely in no way influenced by ONE’s repeated attempts to get his sister Angela Lee double-champion status. Fortunately for Christian, Abbasov horribly botched his weight cut: He came in overweight, lost his title on the scale, and was visibly depleted in the fight. Which is particularly lucky, because Abbasov beat Lee senseless in the first round to the point that a standing TKO would not have been an unreasonable stoppage. But whether from his failed weight cut or simply from punching himself out, Abbasov was exhausted by the second round, and Lee mounted a gutsy comeback and ultimately stopped him with ground-and-pound in the fourth round. After three attempts, ONE has succeeded in getting two belts on a Lee. Unfortunately, it was followed by tragedy. After the passing of his younger sister Victoria, Christian took the whole of the year to, understandably, grieve. ONE planned his comeback for February of 2024, but, y’know, that clearly did not happen. ONE held an interim title fight between Alibeg Rasulov and Ok Rae Yoon to welcome him back--but that didn’t exactly happen either, as Rasulov failed hydration tests, became ineligible to win the title, then won the fight anyway. Lee vs Rasulov was scheduled for October. And then November. It finally happened on December 7, 2024--and it ended in a No Contest after two rounds thanks to Christian unintentionally gouging Rasulov’s eye. They ran it back almost a full year later at ONE 173 on November 16, 2025, and this time Lee knocked him out in the second round, marking Lee’s first win in three years. Now, almost a full year after that on November 6, 2026, Lee will defend the Lightweight title against, uh, Tye Ruotolo. 2-0 Tye Ruotolo. Been-fighting-MMA-for-one-year Tye Ruotolo.

ONE Featherweight Champion, 155 lbs

Tang Kai - 20-4, 2 Defenses

Tang Kai has been flying under the radar for some time, and in hindsight, that was clearly a mistake. He made his professional debut as a 20 year-old collegiate wrestler and won a rookie featherweight tournament in China’s WBK (after investigating, we THINK it’s World Battle Kings), but his stylistic limitations became apparent when he moved up to Kunlun Fight--and stopped fighting rookies. Dominant decision losses to ACA standout Bekhruz “Ong Bak” Zukurov and Road to UFC runner-up Asikeerbai Jinensibieke made Kai’s weaknesses too apparent to ignore, and he made the tough call to commit to his dream, pack up his life, and move away from home to start training with real fight camps, most notably Shanghai’s Dragon Gym and Phuket’s legendary Tiger Muay Thai. It’s worked out quite well: He hasn’t lost a fight in five years. Three knockout wins in China’s Rebel FC got ONE’s attention, and since debuting with the organization in 2019, Kai has soundly defeated everyone in his path. He claims his wrestling base makes him impossible to take down and he proves it by using it almost entirely defensively, vastly preferring to bludgeon his opponents on his feet. His fight against Thanh Le, while blistering and difficult, was proof: He evaded every takedown attempt, widely outstruck him, dropped him with punches and leg kicks alike, and took the belt he’s held for two years. And then, absolutely nothing else happened. It took ONE almost a full year to book another match for Tang Kai, and it was just an instant rematch with Thanh Le with no fanfare, and it was delayed by eight full months thanks to an injury. So after more than a year and a half without a fight, Tang Kai finally fought Thanh Le again, and this time, he knocked him out in three rounds. Congratulations, Tang Kai: You are back at square one. His position hasn’t improved much, either. He was supposed to defend his title against Akbar Abdullaev on January 10, and Abdullaev pounded him out in the fifth round, but he also missed weight by a pound and a half and thus was ineligible for the championship. So, hey: Still a world champion! You just got knocked out a little bit. It’s fine. ONE cut Abdullaev anyway rather than give him another shot. After almost another year and a half of inactivity Tang Kai finally defended his title on May 15, this time knocking out Shamil Gasanov.

ONE Bantamweight Champion, 145 lbs

Elbek Alyshov - 10-0, 0 Defenses

You know, Bantamweight was one of ONE’s best divisions. The higher weight classes were always troubled, but Bantamweight thrived with activity and Kim Soo-chul, Martin Nguyen, John Lineker--hell, Bibiano Fernandes, one of the best fighters to never take a shot at the UFC, remains the all-time greatest, champion in ONE history. But things ain’t what they used to be. Bibi alone had eleven title fights in five years. Since 2022, there have now been five Bantamweight title fights altogether. John Lineker took it from Bibi, the scale took it away from him, Fabrício Andrade picked the bones and waited almost two full years to defend the title once, and in his second attempt in 2025, Mongolian wrestler Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu choked it out of him. By then, Elbek Alyshov was already waiting, but waiting was something he’d gotten used to. He turned pro back in 2017, realized he wasn’t ready, and bumped back down to the amateur scene, only re-emerging three years later as a finished product after winning the International Mixed Martial Arts Federation Junior Championship. He made a name for himself as a standout in Moscow’s regional fight scene, but had to take another three-year hiatus from the sport after chronic health conditions grounded him. He finally joined ONE in 2025, rattled off two submission wins in two months, and had to sit and wait for another eight months before finally getting his shot at the top of the mountain. He didn’t waste it. Alyshov knocked Baatarkhuu flat in a round and a half to take the Bantamweight title home. Now he waits to see if ONE can book him more than once a year.

ONE Flyweight Champion, 135 lbs

Avazbek Kholmirzaev - 16-2, 0 Defenses

There’s a certain kind of tragedy in winning a championship during what certainly seems to be the waning days of a promotion’s time with mixed martial arts. Avazbek Kholmirzaev is by no means new to ONE, his title victory came a whole eleven fights into his time on their roster, but he spent a great deal of that time nigh-unto invisible. He got his start in his native country’s Uzbekistan MMA Association, but like so many of his countrymen, the successes that built his career came from the bigger, more popular Alash Pride FC, Kazakhstan’s biggest promotion, which is large, well-populated, and also the kind of bullshit record-padding organization that books main events between promising prospects and 5-11 guys who mysteriously always lose within three minutes. But he was on the positive side of the equation, and he knocked people out with spinning kicks, so ONE scouted him for their expansion across the East and he proved to be a natural fit--for the prelims. Avazbek almost never left the first few fights of the cards he was booked on, right up to his championship-opportunity-earning victory over no less than the 11-10 Jeremy Miado this past December curtain-jerking an Amazon Prime card, and an unkind man would probably intimate that his shot at Yuya Wakamatsu’s Flyweight Championship was an attempt to get Yuya a win, being as it was ONE’s big Ariake Arena show in Tokyo and they were attempting to showcase as much of their Japanese talent as possible. It was going well for Yuya right up until he ate a spinning elbow to the dome and went down in a heap just moments before the second round was about to end. Avazbek is a champion and he should be duly proud, and now we’re just left to see what being an MMA champion in ONE means in 2026.

ONE Strawweight Champion, 125 lbs

Joshua Pacio - 24-5, 2 Defenses

It’s been a difficult couple of years for Joshua Pacio. “The Passion” stands as a true veteran of ONE Championship, having made his debut--and his first, unsuccessful attempt at winning the Strawweight title--all the way back in 2016. Pacio established himself as both a fan favorite and a solid promotional favorite for the company, and when he lost his second bid for the title against Yosuke Saruta in 2019, ONE, in a trick they’d become very friendly with over the years, gave him an instant rematch anyway. Pacio knocked Saruta out in the rematch and became easily the greatest 125-pound champion in ONE history, ultimately defending the title three times--including a trilogy match against Saruta. By 2022, Pacio was a crown jewel for ONE’s lineup. Which is when he promptly got wrestled into paste by UFC cast-off Jarred Brooks. Rather than having him defend the title, ONE booked Brooks into grappling matches, and in the meantime Pacio fought and defeated undefeated prospect Mansur Malachiev to earn himself a rematch. Multiple delays ensued, but on March 1, the Brooks/Pacio rematch finally came. Fifty-six seconds in, Pacio attempted a standing kimura on Brooks, who hoisted him off the ground, suplexed him, and knocked him out. Unfortunately, this was a problem. Under ONE’s ruleset, slams that land headfirst are illegal. ONE has been regularly criticized for this--less for the rule itself as for ONE’s tendency to selectively enforce the rule, using it to benefit fighters they would like to succeed. ONE, of course, denies this vehemently. However you draw your own conclusions, at the end of the day Jarred Brooks was disqualified, and thus, by DQ, Joshua Pacio is now a three-time Strawweight champion. He almost immediately announced he has torn his ACL and was out for an entire year. On February 20th, 2025, Pacio and Brooks finally fought again and it was weird, but definitive. Jarred Brooks seemingly exhausted himself after a round and Pacio pounded him for the entire second round, which eventually elicited a mercy stoppage from the ref. ONE has only one 125-pound champion again. So he, of course, challenged for the 135-pound title next. Pacio vs Wakamatsu happened at ONE 173 on November 16 and ended in Pacio getting smashed in six minutes. Thankfully, he secured his first win in a year and a half, and his second title defense, after choking out Mansur Malachiev on July 10.

ONE Women’s Atomweight Champion, 115 lbs

VACANT - The planting ground for broken dreams

On June 23, Denice Zamboanga vacated the Atomweight title after she had a baby. On one hand: Mazel tov. On the other, for those keeping track, this means Stamp Fairtex was the champion, then she got hurt, then Denice won the interim belt a year and a half ago, then Stamp fell out of their unification bout with an injury so ONE promoted Denice to undisputed champion, and that was more than a year ago, and now it’s ended with the belt going to nobody. There has been one championship fight in the last three fucking years and it was for an interim belt and one of the women in said fight hadn’t recorded a win since January of 2021. I am once again pleading with ONE: Just stop doing MMA. Let my people go.

PFL Heavyweight Championship, 265 lbs

Vadim Nemkov - 19-2 (1), 0 Defenses

When the PFL announced that it was going to crown a standing Heavyweight champion, they had a raft of interesting options. Oleg Popov, their 2025 tournament champion, had a strong argument. Denis Goltsov, 2024 champion and the only man in almost ten years to beat Popov, could’ve called dibs. Hell, the PFL still technically has Francis Ngannou, the best Heavyweight on the planet, under contract. They, of course, did not choose any of those men. They chose Renan Ferreira, the 2023 tournament champion whose only fight in almost two years was a TKO loss to Ngannou, and Vadim Nemkov, Bellator’s best Light Heavyweight. Nemkov, a Fedor protégé, hadn’t lost since 2016, when he got himself punched out by Jiří Procházka and narrowly edged out by Karl Albrektsson, and it’s a testament to both his skills and the world’s dim view of the Heavyweight division that when the PFL acquired Bellator and Nemkov announced he was leaving 205 for the 265-pound world, instead of the expected fretting about how a 6’1” man would contend in the world of the big boys, more or less everyone said “Yeah, that’s fine.” And lo: It was. Nemkov choked out 2021 PFL champ Bruno Cappelozza, and then he choked out the ever-pained Timothy Johnson, and when he fought Renan Ferreira at PFL Champions Series 4 on December 13, 2025, shockingly, he choked him out, too. Nemkov’s now the only major Heavyweight champion in American MMA outside of the UFC. Hopefully it pays off. On November 14, just 30 days shy of a year after his title victory--and 30 days shy of the PFL ceasing to exist as a brand--Nemkov will make his first title defense against Sergey Bilostenniy.

PFL Light Heavyweight Championship, 205 lbs

Corey Anderson - 20-6 (1), 0 Defenses

One of the best Light Heavyweights in the world isn’t in the UFC, and they have only themselves to blame. Corey Anderson was the precise kind of fighter the UFC wanted when they first got ahold of him in 2014: Big, young, athletic, talented, undefeated. He had all the makings of a future champion, and his victory on The Ultimate Fighter 19 (jesus christ) cemented him as a prospect to watch. Unfortunately, he had also barely been in the sport for a year and only had four professional fights to his name. In short order he’d suffered his first loss, and a couple years later, a pair of back-to-back knockouts in 2017 sent him to the realm of afterthoughts. But a recommitment to his wrestling style, an extremely well-aged victory over Glover Teixeira, and a devastating knockout over Johnny Walker got Anderson back in the title picture, and in 2020, he fought Jan Błachowicz to determine the #1 contender to the soon-to-be-vacated belt. They’d done battle once, five years prior, and Corey had won a clear decision. This time, Jan flattened him in three minutes. Despite his top-ten ranking and the four consecutive fights he’d just won, the UFC decided to dump Corey, sending him from main event to unemployment in a week. Corey went straight to Bellator and proceeded to become one of its best stars, and he would have become the first man in America to beat Vadim Nemkov had they not banged their heads together and ended the fight prematurely. Corey lost the rematch, but he became the last man to hold Bellator’s Light Heavyweight title after beating Karl Moore, and on October 3, Corey had a champion vs champion match against the PFL’s 205-pound tournament champion, Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov. Corey had pounded him out in Bellator four years prior, and while he didn’t get the stoppage in the present, he did get the win, and in so doing he became the inaugural PFL Light Heavyweight Champion. What that actually means going forward, we’ll have to see.

PFL Middleweight Championship, 185 lbs

Costello van Steenis - 18-3, 1 Defense

For years, the Professional Fighters League has threatened to crown standing champions. Did they carry through any of their major tournament winners? Nope. Did they bring out their holdout Bellator champions? Not exactly! Did they at least make a big hubbub about finally going through with it? Of course not. Instead, just five days before PFL Champions Series 2, their promotional debut in South Africa, they abruptly announced that Bellator champ Johnny Eblen was suddenly the first-ever PFL Middleweight Champion, and his match with Costello van Steenis was the first-ever defense of the title. Costello, himself, was a Bellator veteran who’d been absorbed in the PFL buyout, but he’d always played second fiddle in the organization, unable to get through the John Salters and Douglas Limas of the world, and thus said world was mostly overlooking him as a challenger. The first three rounds of Eblen gradually grinding him into dust bore out that expectation, but then a funny thing happened: The inexhaustible wrestler got tired. Eblen found himself punched up by van Steenis in the fourth round, and he seemed to be pulling it together again in the fifth, but right before the bell could ring van Steenis managed to take his back and sink in a choke, and with just seven seconds separating him from an almost-certain decision victory, Eblen passed out. Costello van Steenis is the first man to truly hold a standing PFL Championship, and he became the second man to defend one after knocking out Fabian Edwards on March 20.

Interim PFL Middleweight Championship

Johnny Eblen - 18-1, 0 Defenses

Yeah, I dunno, man. This is kind of silly. So, as you read above, Johnny Eblen lost an upset last-minute fight against Costello van Steenis in 2025, and it cost him his chance to be the inaugural Middleweight Champion of the PFL. They could have booked an instant rematch, but instead they decided to build the tension by having Costello battle 2025 PFL Tournament Champion Fabian Edwards, and Eblen fight, uh, the unranked UFC cast-off Bryan Battle. Unsurprisingly, both men won their fights with ease. Costello and Johnny were to have their almost-a-year-later rematch on July 18, but two weeks before fight night, van Steenis injured himself training and fell out of the fight. Instead, Eblen met Impa Kasanganay--in what was ALSO a rematch of a 2024 contest that Eblen won--for an interim title. Eblen trounced Impa and knocked him out in the third round, and now he has his own shiny PFL belt and can sit and twiddle his thumbs until Costello’s ready to roll.

PFL Welterweight Championship, 170 lbs

Thad Jean - 12-0, 0 Defenses

One of the least necessary championship snarls in the world has been resolved, but not without one last bit of comedy. Ramazan Kuramagomedov was the PFL’s first Welterweight champion, but he retired in the cage seconds after winning the belt, and there was very little doubt about who they wanted carrying their banner in his stead. Thad Jean is one of the precious few fighters the PFL can legitimately call a home-grown star. He was only 4-0 when they picked him up for their development Challenger Series as a Haitian-American prospect turned regional veteran, and a year and a half later he had four straight PFL preliminary wins, two of them by horrifically violent knockout. They put him in as a dark horse contender in their last-ever tournament in 2025, and in a bracket that included three Bellator champions, one Pancrase champion and multiple title contenders, Thad Jean was the last man standing, having knocked out Russian champion Mukhamed Berkhamov and taken decisions over Jason Jackson and Logan Storley on his way to the throne. On July 25 Thad was supposed to face Shamil Musaev, the man Kuramagomedov beat, for the vacant belt, but Musaev fell out at the last minute and was replaced by Ernesto “Starboy” Rodriguez, a much lower-profile challenger. Which has somewhat clouded the fight, as no one expected anything from Starboy and he damn near killed Thad. The two had a war, with both getting knocked down, both having success on the floor and both almost finishing the other, but ultimately, Thad got the ground-and-pound TKO in the third and with it, the belt. Presumably, he’ll be waiting for Musaev to come back.

PFL Lightweight Championship, 155 lbs

Usman Nurmagomedov - 22-0 (1), 2 Defenses

The Nurmagomedov family is trying to run the sport, and Usman is their B-league beachhead, but that assault has proven to be an awful lot rockier than the rest. As the kid brother of Umar and the cousin of Khabib, Usman had great expectations thrust upon him very early in his career, and he dealt with them the way regional talents with great camps traditionally do: Squashing severely overmatched competition until you get a contract from one of the big companies. Bellator won the Usman bidding war and brought him over in 2021, and he proved to be one of the breakout stars of their final days, blitzing his way up the Lightweight ranks, knocking off several contenders and ultimately beating Patricky Pitbull to win the 155-pound championship and securing his reign by retiring former star and UFC champ Benson Henderson. It was 2023, and even though Bellator’s upcoming death was clear, Usman was a name and widely considered one of the best Lightweights in the world. Unfortunately, then, things got weird. He was a massive, -2200 favorite to beat Brent Primus in the waning days of Bellator, and he did--and it became the first non-win of his career after failing a drug test for something that was never disclosed. He carried Bellator’s title over into its new life as a colony of the PFL, and he immediately ran into controversy after barely scraping a majority decision off of Irish superprospect Paul Hughes. The world wanted a rematch for the inaugural PFL Lightweight Championship fight, and on October 3, at the PFL’s big Dubai show, they got it--and this time, it waws even closer, with media scorecards split right down the middle. This, by itself, is not that unusual, nor is one fighter winning a controversial decision unusual. It is unusual when the decision is not only unanimous, but one judge scores the entire fight as a 50-45 shut-out. So Usman’s last two wins were dubious, and his future as part of the PFL depends on how they treat their own championship, but for now, he is the damn champion. He notched his first title defense by choking out Alfie Davis on February 7, and he scored his second after easily knocking out Archie Colgan on July 31.

PFL Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Razhabali Shaydullaev - 19-0, 0 Defenses

This, admittedly, is a first for these write-ups. We’ve written about vacant champions, double champions and even triple champions, but since we started just a touch too late for Kyoji Horiguchi’s heyday, we’ve never had one person show up as a champion in multiple organizations. Razhabali Shaydullaev was the Featherweight ace of Rizin out in Japan, a wrecking machine with a 100% finishing rate, but in 2026 he very publicly signed up with Ali Abdelaziz, a manager who works hand-in-hand with the UFC, and spoke openly about his intentions of jumping over to America once he finished the last two fights on his Rizin contract. But in the Summer Rizin announced it was once-again co-promoting with the PFL, and its first crossover would be a massive winner-takes-all bout between Shaydullaev, Rizin’s best Featherweight, and A.J. McKee, the PFL’s best Featherweight, with belts for both companies on the line. It was seen as the toughest fight of Shaydullaev’s career, and it was, as it broke his perfect finishing streak, but it did not break his undefeated streak. Shaydullaev outwrestled McKee, took the decision, took home his second world championship, and became the absurdly rare multipromotional champion. Within twenty-four hours, MVP MMA announced they had signed Shaydullaev to a contract and he would be staying on with MVP when it envelops the PFL at the turn of the year. So the UFC lost their shot at Shaydullaev, the MMA world has a new best fighter outside of the big show, and MVP has an internationally notable fighter to launch their product. At this point, it’s just a question of if they’ll let Rizin continue to promote him, too.

PFL Women’s Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Cris Cyborg - 30-2 (1), 1 Defense

Are you noticing how all of the inaugural PFL champions are just Bellator’s champions? Funny, that. Cris Cyborg is the greatest Women’s Featherweight of all time, and we all just kind of have to deal with that, because Women’s Featherweight has only barely ever existed. Strikeforce set the standard back in 2006 because Gina Carano was one of their biggest stars, and that star lasted right up until 2009, when they attempted to put a belt on her and failed because Cris Cyborg punched the shit out of her. In the following sixteen years Cyborg’s only lost one mixed martial arts fight, and it took Amanda Nunes, the greatest Women’s mixed martial artist of all time, to do it. Aside from that one loss, she’s run the table. She was the Strikeforce Featherweight Champion until it closed, and then she was Invicta’s Featherweight Champion until they let the UFC have her, and then she was the UFC’s Featherweight Champion until Amanda dropped her, and Cyborg promptly went to Bellator and won their title, too. When the PFL brought her over in the Bellator buyout, they set her up for an interpromotional superfight against Larissa Pacheco, a two-time PFL tournament winner and the only woman who’d ever beaten Kayla Harrison. On one hand, Pacheco’s one of just six women to ever make it to the final bell with Cyborg. On the other, she lost 4-1. In the ultimate act of promotional cowardice, the PFL promoted Cyborg to champion status three days before her appearance at the PFL Champions Series on December 13, 2025, meaning her fight with Sara Collins was, technically, a title defense. It was as one-sided as you’d expect. In theory, this is great! The biggest female fighter outside the UFC has a belt and the PFL is bringing back a division the UFC threw in the garbage. In practice, Cyborg didn’t even get out of her post-fight interview without noting that after her next fight she’s going to retire from MMA in favor of focusing on her boxing career. Unless she changes her mind--again--her swan song will come against UFC cast-off Ketlen Vieira on August 22. UPDATE: She may or may not have retired. She beat Ketlen, but it wasn’t a title defense because Ketlen missed weight really, really badly, and then Cyborg said she’s not retired but doesn’t know when she’ll fight again, which is the kind of limbo Women’s Featherweight has always existed in.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 3 FROM THE DELTA CENTER IN SALT LAKE CITY, UTAH
EARLY PRELIMS 1 PM PDT / 4 PM EDT | PRELIMS 3 PM / 6 PM | MAIN CARD 5 PM / 8 PM

I have so little joy for this that I’m just gonna get the fuck on with it.

MAIN EVENT: THE LOGICAL END
WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP: Natália Silva (20-5-1, #1) vs Wang Cong (10-1, #8)

I break format pretty frequently, but I very rarely break schedule. I write the main and co-main events on Sunday, the main card on Monday and the prelims on Tuesday. That’s the system that has worked for me, given how frequently the UFC changes their cards around during fight week.

When I started writing this, it was Saturda. A few hours beforehand, during the Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse event in Paris, the UFC officially confirmed an incredibly stupid internet rumor from the previous week: Valentina Shevchenko is injured, she has been stripped--sorry, I mean she, of course, completely voluntarily vacated--the UFC Women’s Flyweight Championship, and the new main event of UFC 332 on October 3 is Natália Silva vs Wang Cong for the undisputed title.

Light Heavyweight champion Carlos Ulberg got injured during his title win this past April, and knowing he would be out with an injury all year, the UFC has shrugged and twiddled their thumbs. Petr Yan got back surgery and will have been out of action for almost an entire year when he returns later this month. Kayla Harrison’s been out thanks to neck surgery, and the UFC let Women’s Bantamweight sit idle for a year and a half. But Valentina Shevchenko, arguably the best female fighter on the planet and the fourth-longest-reigning champion in UFC history, drops the belt immediately.

Good news, though: Women’s Flyweight is flush with contenders. Silva’s obviously a good choice--she’s #1 in the rankings, the UFC may have jumped her up the ladder a bit but she still won her way up there fair and square. But Alexa Grasso, Erin Blanchfield and Manon Fiorot are right there! At the time of the announcement Manon’s only UFC loss was still Valentina, Erin’s only UFC loss is still Manon, and Silva beat Alexa a year and a half ago, but since then Alexa’s notched a knockout-of-the-year candidate over the never-finished Maycee Barber and then she beat Manon, too. Any one of them would have been a solid choice. Even better news: They were all available! All three of them were booked to fight within the next month, so all you’d have to do is de-book one of those fights and slot them in!

Or, you know.

You could go with Wang Cong. Who got choked out by Gabi Fernandes two years ago, missed weight two fights ago, and got into the top ten by taking a decision over Tracy Cortez.

Who was coming off of a submission loss.

To Erin Blanchfield.

All of the discourse about Silva vs Cong as a terrible main event has been at worst grossly sexist and at best misses the point of why it sucks. This is one of the biggest reasons people don’t give a shit about mixed martial arts anymore. I’d love to tell you it’s the right-wing takeover, and that’s not blameless, but folks are more than willing to excuse a lot of shit as long as the product is good.

But we’re past the point of asking if the UFC is good or not. The answer is very clearly no. At this point we’re asking if the UFC is functional, and the answer is still no.

Every time one of these fights gets announced, every time we go through UFC booking discourse, I think back to Sean Brady beating Leon Edwards, being excited about how his new top contendership status will play into his matchmaking, and having UFC poobah-in-waiting Hunter Campbell tell him the rankings don’t actually matter and they’ll put whoever they want in title fights. That’s the kind of thing that should have to get pried out of an executive when pressed by lawyers during an antitrust hearing. That we’ve arrived at the point that the UFC is so aware of their power over the sport that they can tell fighters to their faces that nothing they do matters is precisely why we’ve arrived at the point that the sentence “Wang Cong title fight” is a reality rather than a stupid internet joke.

A few paragraphs back we compared the sleepy state of most of the UFC’s championship scene to this particular title vacation and how unusually disrespectful it was towards Valentina Shevchenko. Make no mistake, it is, but the disrespect is incidental. It being Valentina at all is incidental. We ran through the titles in short, but let’s do it a little more explicitly:

• Heavyweight is spoken for: Tom Aspinall is no longer the champion and Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit is the main event title fight for Madison Square Garden in November

• Middleweight is spoken for: The last numbered event of the year has Sean Strickland defending against Nassourdine Imavov

• Welterweight is spoken for: Islam Makhachev beat Ian Machado Garry in August and that’s a wrap on him for the year

• Lightweight is unavailable: Justin Gaethje is four months out from a war and negotiating what looks like his final fight and is considering retiring altogether

• Featherweight is spoken for: Alexander Volkanovski is defending against Movsar Evloev at the end of October

• Bantamweight is spoken for: Petr Yan is finishing his trilogy with Merab Dvalishvili on that same card

• Flyweight is spoken for: Joshua Van just defended his title against Alexandre Pantoja two weeks ago

• Women’s Bantamweight is spoken for: Kayla Harrison and Amanda Nunes are finally rescheduled as the co-main event of Gane/Hokit, which is its own kind of disrespectful hell we’ll talk about when we get there

• Women’s Strawweight is spoken for: Mackenzie Dern just beat Gillian Robertson in August

That leaves us with two available titles to play with: Light Heavyweight and Women’s Flyweight. If you follow the UFC closely--for which you have my sympathies--you’ve probably seen the stories about Paulo Costa playing hardball with the UFC trying to book him into five-round bouts and the matchmakers having issues getting something together for the 205-pound title. Realistically, the entirety of 205 is a void right now. 25% of the top ten are injured, 25% are moving to Heavyweight, there is one fight booked in its entirety and it’s #8 Azamat Murzakanov vs #10 Dominick Reyes (Tuesday update: We got Jiří Procházka vs Navajo Stirling now, so hey, that’s two fights). Matchmaking has completely lost the division.

Women’s Flyweight, on the other hand, was already set. Val was going to fight Silva. Under any other circumstance, this would have been an interim title fight, as you do when a champion is injured.

But interim title fights don’t get as much attention as undisputed title fights. And the UFC hasn’t promoted a single women’s main event this year. Shevchenko/Silva was going to be the first--and, with Harrison/Nunes playing second fiddle to Josh Hokit, the only.

So they couldn’t let it be a women’s main event and an interim title bout, or people might have said this major, numbered card with a Wang Cong headliner was weak.

This is the incidental disrespect and the reason the product sucks now all rolled into one. There is no continuity. There is no meaning. The most celebrated active women’s champion and one of the longest-tenured titleholders in MMA history gave up the belt because the UFC is so bad at booking their cards, and so unwilling to invest in their women, that despite Erin Blanchfield, Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot all having done everything asked of them over the years, they are so underpromoted that Blanchfield’s wins, Fiorot’s longtime contendership and Grasso being a former fucking world champion just don’t matter. Hell, forget title contendership: Alexa Grasso vs Manon Fiorot, a former champion vs top contender matchup, wasn’t even important enough to get booked above Brandon Moreno on a two-fight losing streak vs TUF 33 champion Joseph Morales. It wasn’t even important enough to get booked above Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki.

And, ultimately, no one in the division is more important than some people in the matchmaking boardroom deciding it sure would be nice if they had a champion who could raise Brand Awareness in China again.

We talked about this during Dern vs Robertson, but after years of at least pretending to try, women’s MMA in the UFC has been horrifically underserved, and every serving has been the result of either desperation or marketing. There were only two women’s main events in 2024: Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas, which happened because the UFC has always wanted Rose back in the title picture, and Erin Blanchfield vs Manon Fiorot, which happened when their intended Sean Brady vs Vicente Luque main event fell apart. That was still twice as good as 2025, when your sole women’s headliner was Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Ribas, the final step before Dern’s coronation. Up until this card, there were none in 2026. If you want to give the UFC extra credit they tried to do Blanchfield vs Maycee Barber before it fell apart during the broadcast itself, so there were, technically, four women’s fights headlining cards over very nearly the last three years.

In what I’m sure is a coincidence, the only three of those they intentionally booked all took place in the Apex.

All of it is bullshit. None of it matters. Natália Silva hasn’t lost a mixed martial arts bout in just shy of nine goddamn years. She is a talented striker with exceptional range control who’s been frustrating opponents with an arsenal of kicks no one’s managed to figure out. Perfect 8-0 record in the company. Third-most wins in the history of the division. Second-longest winning streak in the history of the division. One way or another, was going to fight for the championship of the world.

She’s never had the chance to be in a main event. She’s only been in a co-main event once, and that was more than two years ago.

Wang Cong was only 4-0 when the UFC signed her, based more on her background as a kickboxer in China--which included beating Valentina in her last-ever kickboxing match, eleven years ago--and it’s been the marketing game ever since. Four of her six opponents had losing records. Four were coming off losses. When Gabi Fernandes shocked the world by choking Cong out in 2024, the UFC responded by featuring Cong on the upper half of the prelims for the Du Plessis vs Strickland pay-per-view against Bruna Brasil, who was 2-2 and a Strawweight, and having Gabi take on the 2-6 Julija Stoliarenko two fights into the prelims of an Apex card. When Wang won, she got another gimme fight on the prelims of a double-title-fight pay-per-view featuring the Merab Dvalishvili/Sean O’Malley rematch and Kayla Harrison’s long-belated title shot. When Gabi won, she got the prelims of a Joe Pyfer Fight Night.

Wang Cong is good. She hits hard, she’s got a sound technical approach to her striking, she learned her lesson about wading in recklessly and hasn’t done it since. She’s a solid top fifteen competitor. She’s also gotten the red carpet, more than any other Women’s Flyweight prospect.

Which is wild, because I can say that to you, and it’s true, and she’s also never been off the prelims on a continentally-timed broadcast. Not one. Not a single fucking one. Her only main-card appearance in the UFC proper was that loss to Gabi, and that was aired live from Macau in a timeslot no one in the UFC’s primary audience could watch. The cards she was on included main-card appearances from folks like Francisco Prado, Rodolfo Bellato, Marc-André Barriault and Justin fucking Tafa, but Wang Cong is going from four straight preliminary bouts to main-eventing a numbered event for a world championship.

She’s the company’s most-hyped woman in an entire division and they couldn’t even put her on a main fucking card.

I pray they do better. I pray women’s MMA still has multiple divisions in the UFC by 2030. NATÁLIA SILVA BY DECISION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: GET ON WITH IT
BANTAMWEIGHT: Deiveson Figueiredo (25-7-1, #9) vs Payton Talbott (11-1, #11)

Let’s go back to last week, when we were talking about Raoni Barcelos.

By the beginning of 2025, Raoni is close to 38, 2 for his last 6, and largely forgotten. The UFC books him as an easy win for their new marketing darling, Payton Talbott. Payton is a young Contender Series winner with an undefeated record and a near-total finishing rate. He’s getting the marketing jetpack and the UFC wants to rub what’s left of Raoni’s credibility off on him. Payton is a -1150 favorite. Raoni schools him. The UFC’s next big thing drops a 10-8 round to a fighter everyone forgot. It is a crushing loss for Payton and an incredible win for Raoni.

In his next fight, Payton is on the main card of a two-title fight pay-per-view headlined by Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira. Raoni is placed on a Joaquin Buckley Fight Night under Edmen Shahbazyan. They both win. One fight after that, Payton is on the UFC’s last-ever pay-per-view beating former double champion Henry Cejudo in his retirement fight. One month prior, Raoni fought Ricky Simón in the Apex. On the prelims.

It is September of 2026. Payton Talbott is on a two-fight winning streak. He is ranked #11, and in October he will fight in the co-main event of a numbered card against multiple-time champion Deiveson Figueiredo, who is 1 for his last 5, almost 39, and in the top ten. Including his victory over Payton, Raoni Barcelos is on a five-fight winning streak. He is ranked #13, and fighting the heavily-hyped Raul Rosas Jr., who is 21 years old and a fixture of the UFC’s marketing plans. If Raoni wins, he stands to go up one point in the rankings.

One of the most exhausting parts of the marketing jetpack is how inherently impatient it is. I mock the UFC’s favoritism frequently, but their eye for talent--with the occasional Tallison Teixiera-shaped mistake--is usually still fairly grounded. Sean O’Malley was a talented counterstriker with an annoying but present charisma. Paddy Pimblett was a strong grappler who appealed to a big chunk of the audience. Our aforementioned Wang Cong was a very solid, well-rounded prospect.

They all stood a very good chance of making it to the top on their own. They all had the talent, they all had the skills. Letting them do it the long way wouldn’t just have been beneficial to their growth as fighters, it would have given them the chance to build grassroots cache with the audience. On a long enough timeframe, people get sick of hype. People get sick of the commentators drilling “________ Contender Series winner whose UFC career has only existed for five minutes is a superstar” into your head until you adopt it as though it were a natural part of your internal monologue.

But we are not in a phase of the sport that lends itself to longterm thinking. Half of this card’s headlining act hasn’t even been on a real main-card broadcast. Boardroom matchmaking trends towards instant gratification and immediate results.

Payton Talbott is good. He’s very good. Even a depleted, about-to-retire Henry Cejudo is a tough customer. Beating him is great. Shutting him out is even better. Getting wrestled to death by Raoni Barcelos and making Henry Cejudo go 1 for 7 on takedowns eleven months later is a genuine statement about your growth as a fighter.

None of that changes the attempt to get Payton a heartbeat away from a title fight by having him fight, in order, a guy from another weight class, a retiring 38 year-old, and another 38 year-old who should, probably, be thinking pretty hard about it.

It’s difficult to express the level of expectation people had for Deiveson Figueiredo if you weren’t there during his ascension. By the end of 2020 people had him penciled in as the kind of fighter who could challenge Demetrious Johnson’s run as the greatest Flyweight of all time. He’d only lost one fight in his life and it was surrounded by his not simply beating but mauling almost everyone he fought. He shut out Alexandre Pantoja, he choked out Tim Elliott, and people thought he might have actually murdered Joseph Benavidez. We’ve collectively forgotten how that first fight with Brandon Moreno was largely seen as a given. Figueiredo would win. It was obvious.

Nothing in his career since has been quite as obvious as one would think. He traded the belt back and forth with Moreno for two years. He went up to Bantamweight, where he was immediately one of its smallest competitors, and made it to the top five, an accomplishment that’s incredible, but tempered by having gotten there on the backs of folks like circa-2024 Cody Garbrandt.

We already spoiled the story in the quote. Deiveson, once one of the scariest fighters in the sport, has one win in the last two years. Petr Yan battered him. Cory Sandhagen shredded his knee. Umar Nurmagomedov outlanded him almost 5:1. Song Yadong wobbled him with leg kicks and choked him out in two rounds. Deiveson’s one and only win comes from beating Montel Jackson, who spent all fifteen minutes of their fight seemingly terrified of engaging--which let him lose even though Deiveson actually threw even less.

That’s the real concern, here. At Flyweight, Deiveson was a wrecking machine with the scariest hands in the division. But that wasn’t just a smaller weight class, it was back when Figueiredo was on the better side of his 30s. We talk, frequently, about the impact age has on fighters, but it’s almost always an abstract concept. It’s almost always impossible to quantify

You can quantify it here. In Deiveson Figueiredo’s last four fights, he has failed to reach double digits in significant strikes landed in a single round. In three of those four fights, he has failed to reach double digits in significant strikes landed at all.

In 2018, Deiveson Figueiredo became the only man to ever knock out Joseph Morales, a record that still stands today even as Morales is competitive with the Flyweight top ten, and everyone became justifiably terrified of Deiveson’s hands.

In 2026, Deiveson Figueiredo’s hands average 0.92 significant strikes landed per minute.

That run at Flyweight was a wonder to watch. The title quadrilogy is an exceptional legacy. The fact that he got to the top ten at a second weight class at all is a huge accomplishment. But he seems truly, profoundly done.

And the crassness of surfing Payton to the top on the bodies of broken former champions who are all at the end of the road makes this fight taste like bile to me. PAYTON TALBOTT BY TKO.

MAIN CARD: CROBOCOP
LIGHTWEIGHT: King Green (36-17-1 (1)) vs Esteban Ribovics (16-3)

Three months ago.

At this point I’m convinced the UFC got what they wanted by jobbing King Green out to Paddy and Mauricio Ruffy and now he’s part of the same non-canonical class of fighter Shara Magomedov and Michel Pereira exhibited the other week.

We just finished talking about the depressing impact of age on professional fighters, but that tends to make itself known when you’re fighting the best of the best. King Green turned 40 last month and he’s on a four-fight winning streak and that winning streak is over particularly silly competition. Lance Gibson Jr., Bellator veteran and king of Muckleshoot Fight Night. Daniel Zellhuber, one of the UFC’s fallen marketing darlings. Jeremy Stephens, who they found in a shipping crate next to the box where they keep the Ark of the Covenant. Two and a half months ago Green fought Terrance McKinney, waited patiently for his 2 1/2 minutes of battery charge to run out, and annihilated him just before the first round ended. However you slice it: Four wins, three stoppages in a row, shark tank of a division. He’s accomplished and entertaining and people know who he is. So this is where he escapes the noncanonical side of mixed martial arts, right? This is where he gets a fight that pushes him back towards the rankings?

You fool. You foolish fool. You fell into my trap. There is no hope. There is no future. There is only Esteban. Ribovics is another guy the UFC has repeatedly tried to get on track as a future star, but it just keeps failing. He barely got a split off Zellhuber, who, of course, Green beat even worse. Ribovics followed that by getting beaten by Nasrat Haqparast--who, coincidentally, Green also beat in 2022. The UFC tried to jump Esteban from a close, competitive win over Elves Brener to a top ten matchup with Mateusz Gamrot, and when Esteban got ragdolled and choked out they decided the best, most honest, most ethical thing to do, as responsible stewards of the sport, was have him fight 40 year-old half-blind 5-for-his-last-15 Edson Barboza in his retirement fight. Shockingly: Edson got knocked out. You could, in theory, have Esteban fight another of his peers and work his way back up in an attempt to wash away the stain of your own matchmaking decisions.

Or you could do this. There are roughly 115 Lightweights under the UFC’s umbrella. 8 of them are over 40. After this weekend, Esteban will have fought 25% of them in less than 3 months. Incredible how random and coincidental that is! But Green’s done better against their common opponents, he’s a bit craftier than Esteban’s straightforward approach is tailored for, and most importantly, it would be much, much funnier if he won. KING GREEN BY SUBMISSION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Roberto Soldić (21-4) vs Khaos Williams (16-5)

I’m excited for this and I’m also annoyed by it, and that serves as a reminder that while we talk about the UFC and its role in driving mixed martial arts into the ground, they’re not the only shitty drivers in the sport, they just have the biggest truck. At the end of 2021, Croatia’s Roberto “Robocop” Soldić was one of the hottest free agents in the sport. Two-division champion in Poland’s KSW, fantastic record with a score of legends under his belt. Punched out international legends like Mamed Khalidov and Michał Materla and, back in 2018, he even scored a knockout over some guy named Dricus du Plessis. When Roberto signed up with ONE Championship, it was supposed to be huge. Giant talent joins one of the UFC’s biggest competitors who, at the time, had a fucking cable television deal. Here, unabridged, is Soldić’s tenure in ONE:

• August 22, 2022: Signs up with ONE as a much-ballyhooed new star

• December 12, 2022: Makes his debut against the undefeated Murad Ramazanov, which ends in a No Contest after Ramazanov smashes Roberto’s dick two minutes into the fight

• May 5, 2023: Wins the first round against journeyman Zebaztian Kadestam, who then shocks the world by knocking Roberto out less than a minute into the second round

• February 20, 2025: Knocks out Dagi Arslanaliev in under two minutes

• Leaves the company when his contract expires in August 2026

If you’re saying ‘hey, that’s only three fights in four years,’ you are correct. If you compare that against his statements about the UFC contract paying a lot less than ONE did, you may get the whole picture. ONE bid big bucks on a hot free agent because they thought they had the money to throw around, they quickly realized they were wrong, and the result was one of the most exciting fighters in the sport sitting on the bench icing his damaged groin for three years of his prime while ONE tried to pretend it wasn’t becoming a kickboxing organization. Of all things, Roberto took a sidequest between then and now to have a boxing match with former multi-time world champion Tomasz Adamek, a man who beat Eddie Chambers and lasted ten rounds against Vitali Klitschko, but got dropped in four and a half minutes by Soldić. Is this because Roberto’s a fantastic boxer? Probably less that than Adamek being almost 50.

All of which makes Khaos Williams the B-side of this matchup. Which sucks, because he’s great! He’s solid and talented and he’s hung in there at the periphery of the division for almost seven years, at this point, thanks to being absurdly tough and hitting like the big red nuclear missile carrier from Blast Corps. He’s always been a threat; he’s never been an easy out. But he’s never made it to the point of being divisionally relevant, either. Couldn’t beat Michel Pereira, couldn’t get past Randy Brown, 2025 saw him eating back-to-back losses for the first time in his career--alongside his first stoppage loss ever--at the hands of Gabriel Bonfim and Andreas Gustafsson. Even having beaten Nikolay Veretennikov this past May, Khaos is still stuck as a utility player, just consistent enough to be a threat to prospects, but not consistent enough for the company or the fans to invest in him as a prospect unto himself. He’s here to be a measuring stick.

Which makes this a surprisingly tough call. Roberto’s great, but he can be barnstormed--just ask Kadestam. His faith in his hands has gotten him cracked multiple times in his career, and Khaos is not a man you can afford to get cracked by. I still think Roberto’s got the tighter striking, and I’m still putting enough faith in him to break the no-striking-stoppages streak and knock Khaos out, but this fight could turn on a single punch. Still: ROBERTO SOLDIĆ BY TKO.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Roman Kopylov (15-5) vs Ateba Gautier (11-1)

You had a shot, Roman. They liked you, they really did. You were a cool kickboxer with really neat combinations and just some fantastic headkick knockouts, and also you have big poofy hair so sometimes when they looked at you out of the corner of their eye they thought you were Chase Hooper and that made them happy. But you lost to Paulo Costa and they’ll never forgive you for that. They’ll use Paulo, he’s popular and fan-friendly, but they don’t like Paulo. They like his style! They like his constant being an ass on social media! But they don’t like his very publicly negotiating for his own worth, and by mid-2025 they were almost rid of him, and then you, personally, let him back into the conversation by losing to him, and now they must make you pay. That’s why they got you beat by Gregory Rodrigues. That’s why they hoped Marco Tulio would take you out, even if he failed.

And that’s why you’re fighting Ateba Gautier. Ateba was supposed to be a contender by now. He’s the big knockout guy and they threw him so many softballs in the hopes of getting over as a viral stoppage sensation they could push straight to the moon. Normally this is where I say “and then they lost,” but Ateba’s still flawless in the UFC. The problem isn’t that he lost! The problem is that he almost lost, and that spooked the crap out of management. Andrey Pulyaev was 1-1 in the UFC with a pretty unimpressive record under his belt when the UFC booked Gautier against him as a -1000 favorite so he could get another knockout, and instead Pulayev pushed him to the limit and actually won on a few media scorecards. That, alone, was enough for the UFC to send Gautier up against their favorite recurring knockout victim Ozzy Diaz, and this, too, is intended to get Gautier back in the conversation as a serious prospect.

Which is wild. He won! He won that fight. But the UFC has such a hyperfocus on marketing giant demolitions that Ateba not actually scoring a knockout was enough to demote him. Kopylov is a test. He’s right on the borderline--not so good that it would be a shock if Gautier whomps him, but just good enough that if Gautier hasn’t shored up the lack of variety and the depth of his gas tank that almost cost him against Pulyaev, Kopylov will be a problem. I am choosing to believe in that problem. ROMAN KOPYLOV BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: THE NEW REALITIES OF TALENT SCOUTING
FLYWEIGHT: Imanol Rodriguez (7-0) vs Alden Coria (13-3)

Flyweight, my beloved. They try to assail you, they try to drag you into the mud with the rest of the company, but you are bulletproof to the point that even when you are burdened with preferential marketing prospects you still give us Joshua Van. Imanol Rodriguez was another one of those favored prospects, a 5-0 fighter who got thrown onto The Ultimate Fighter 33 (jesus christ) but came up short after a split decision with eventual winner Joseph Morales, won a fight on DWCS thereafter, and was introduced to the company as a homeland hero against the 1-3 Kevin Borjas and he knocked him dead in two rounds. By contrast, Alden Coria was thirteen fights into his career as a regional standout and the UFC still only hired him because they needed a late replacement. From this, Coria has a three-fight winning streak in the company and he’s looked good every single time.

Is it unequal? Yes. Is the fight going to rule? Almost definitely. Alden seems a little too composed to fall into Imanol’s more reckless style, though. ALDEN CORIA BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Damian Pinas (10-1) vs Andrey Pulyaev (10-5)

Andrey Pulyaev is doomed to be a background character in the stories of fighters the UFC likes better. His debut was a rehabilitation fight for Christian Leroy Duncan, who they are still, to this day, trying to shove into the top ten. His followup was a failed attempt to rescue Nick Klein. He got pushed up the card so he could make Ateba Gautier look good, and, as we discussed earlier, he instead made the big marketing prospect look downright mortal, and for his crimes he was sentenced to face Nursulton Ruziboev. It is late 2026 and Andrey is 1-3. Do they give him a fight on even ground? No: They give him Pinas. Damian Pinas, the new hyped knockout prospect, who is 2-0 and just took on César Almeida and knocked him out in one round. César Almeida kickboxed Alex Pereira three times, made it to a decision each time and even won once, and Pinas dropped him.

The world is not fair, and as much as I want to pick Pulyaev just for the refusal to endorse this kind of malicious matchmaking, I am kowtowing to DAMIAN PINAS BY KO.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Marcus McGhee (11-2, #15) vs Bernardo Sopaj (13-3, NR)

Marcus McGhee is a vision into the future of how the UFC will work. Right now he’s an exception, but he’s gonna be the rule. They pulled him off the regionals as a late replacement, he notched several stoppages over deeply unproven competition, and they gave him a shot at the edge of the rankings against Jonathan Martinez, who had to win ten times in the UFC to get there. But McGhee won! So they booked him, at #13, into a co-main event against former world champion and #3 contender Petr Yan, one of the best fighters on the planet, in the not-at-all subtle hope that they could replace Yan with an American fighter on an exponentially cheaper contract. This may stun you, but McGhee did not win. Do they have him fight other ranked fighters? Does he push his way up the ladder? No: He gets booked against the 2-0 Jakub Wikłacz, and when that falls through they switch him to the 1-1 John Yannis, and now, Marcus will defend the top fifteen against the assault of the 2-1 Bernardo Sopaj, who is coming off victories over no less than the 2-4 Ricky Turcios and the 2-3 Timmy Cuamba.

I worry, frequently, that my constant references to numbers and records in my writing must be at best boring and at worst grating, but this is why I do it. Joanderson Brito, who is 8-3 in the UFC, is on a three-fight winning streak and just knocked out Giga Chikadze, but there’s virtually no chance he’s getting a ranked fight next. I don’t even like Pat Sabatini, the last man to beat Joanderson, but he’s on a four-fight winning streak at Featherweight and currently unbooked. Nathaniel Wood was 11-3 and on a four-fight winning streak that included beating Losene fucking Keita and he was rewarded with an unknown debutant on the prelims of a Parisian Fight Night. The UFC wanted you to accept that Marcus McGhee vs Petr Yan was a sensible fight to make and now Bernardo Sopaj is getting a shot at the top fifteen because he beat Timmy Cuamba.

This is what it’s all going to be pretty soon. MARCUS MCGHEE BY DECISION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Anthony Wint (8-0) vs Lucas Armand (6-0)

Hey, speaking of the terrible future of matchmaking: Remember Anthony Wint, the 5’11” Heavyweight muscleman who won a DWCS contract and then choked out a debuting guy with a terrible record on a two-week turnaround this past August? They care so much about him that they’re doing it again. Instead of taking any single Heavyweight on their roster, they want so badly to get Wint started as a prospect that they went back to the regional circuit and found themselves Lucas Armand. This is the last man Lucas fought.

Cameron is 4 for his last 20. At the end of August, he was choked out in one round by Derek Brunson-trained Nakia Stokes in his first-ever fight. It took Armand sixteen minutes to beat Cameron.

When Anthony gets up to a 4-0 record over people who’ve never won a UFC fight and gets blown out of the water by Tyrell Fortune, they will have only themselves to blame. ANTHONY WINT BY TKO.

EARLY PRELIMS: THE LONG WAY DOWN
HEAVYWEIGHT: Johnny Walker (22-10 (1), #13 at Light Heavyweight) vs Mick Parkin (10-1, NR)

Hey, speaking of the terrible future of Heavyweight: It’s This. It’s whatever This is. It’s the ongoing exodus of Light Heavyweights to somewhere, anywhere but Light Heavyweight. Johnny Walker was Light Heavyweight’s chaos elemental, a man who could score a bunch of knockouts and then injure himself doing the worm during his post-fight celebration. But for a coinflip amongst the judges, he would be in the top ten right now and preparing to fight Azamat Murzakanov. Instead? He is a big bendy Heavyweight and he gets to fuck with Mick Parkin, who rose to the border of the rankings against top competition like Mo Usman and Łukasz Brzeski before faltering against the ancient wall, Marcin Tybura, a year and a half ago. Funnily enough, Tybura just lost his own berth in the rankings against fellow fallen 205 contender Aleksandar Rakić, because the best base for mixed martial arts is always going up a weight class.

Ordinarily you worry about strength disadvantages when you move up but Johnny’s actually bigger than Parkin, along with about 3/4 of the division. If he can avoid the clinch, he’ll be fine. JOHNNY WALKER BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Rafael dos Anjos (32-17) vs Alexander Hernandez (18-9)

Rafael, buddy, I love you, but no. Please. We can stop. You can stop. You were my favorite fighter back in the day, but that day was 2015. You are turning 42 in three weeks. You went from a world champion Lightweight and a highly competitive Welterweight contender to getting beaten by the ghost of Vicente Luque. You are 1 for your last 5. The last time we saw you was two whole years ago and your entire-ass meniscus said ‘nope’ and snapped in 90 seconds. While researching your recovery I found the interview with Helwani where you exasperatedly described needing three separate knee surgeries to repair the mistakes doctors made the first two times, and buddy, that’s not medical malpractice, that is the universe sending agents down to Earth to try to save what’s left of your expected quality of life at 50.

When I say ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ BY TKO I need you to understand that it’s not me doubting that you can still do this, it’s me hoping that you can’t, because if you can beat Hernandez it means you will stick around until the UFC can find a prospect they’re actually invested in to stripmine your bone marrow for credibility, and my heart cannot take it.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) vs Ismail Naurdiev (25-8)

During the height of his power as a mixed martial artist Marvin was famous primarily for being completely delusional about his fights and wearing his shorts backwards by mistake, and the fall from said heights has somehow still been precipitous. In hindsight, Vettori’s rise up the rankings was more than a little convenient--he beat Kevin Holland coming off a loss to get his title shot--and everything since has been unfortunate. He’s 2 for his last 8, and those wins were Paulo Costa, who missed weight by twenty pounds, and Roman Dolidze, who then proceeded to beat him in a rematch two years later. Vettori used to get by on volume and aggression and now he’s dropping decisions to Brunno Ferreira. It’s tough, it’s sad, and they want to pit him out of his/their misery. Ismail Naurdiev was just exiting the UFC during his first run as a Welterweight when Vettori was on his way up, but Ismail hit the international scene as a reinvented Middleweight, came back to the UFC two years ago, and promptly returned to having middling success. He couldn’t beat the Iron Turtle, but he did knock out The Ultimate Fighter 32 (jesus christ) champion Ryan Loder when last we saw him.

And, somehow, I still have to fight the urge to pick Vettori. He’s still tough as hell, no one’s cracked his chin yet, Naurdiev isn’t always the best at managing his gas tank, and Mr. Turtle showed how a forward-pressure gameplan can shut him down. But Vettori has also just been fighting so far off from what used to make him successful that I’m not sure he still has it in him. Also, he’s an enormous asshole. ISMAIL NAURDIEV BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Jacobe Smith (12-0) vs Bruce Whitehead (8-2)

Ah, yes, it’s our hastily-added-a-week-before-the-event -950 favorite sacrificial lamb fight. Jacobe Smith is a serious, undefeated prospect with three straight finishes in the UFC, but the audience doesn’t care yet because the people he finished were Preston Parsons, who is 2-4 and was coming off a loss, Niko Price, who is 8-11 (2) and was coming off a loss, and Josiah Harrell, who was making his UFC debut after being previously nixed because it turned out he had a deadly brain disorder that needed lifesaving surgery who is also now 0-2 in the company. So, now that it’s Jacobe’s fourth UFC fight, are we giving him a real test? Of fucking course not. Bruce Whitehead has never fought in the UFC before and his last two bouts were FuryFC gimme fights against the 9-12 Jared McLoughlin and the 7-2 Ali Abouzalam, who had, coincidentally, just come off beating 0-0 and 9-26 guys and this is the entire fucking sport now this is all it is jesus christ it’s going to take years to fix this if ever we do.

Eat your damn soup. JACOBE SMITH BY TKO.

WELTERWEIGHT: Court McGee (22-14) vs Eric Nolan (8-5)

There is no retirement plan in mixed martial arts. Court McGee has been here for sixteen fucking years. He won The Ultimate Fighter 11 (jesus christ). The list of people he’s competed against stretches all the way from pioneers of the sport who were fighting in the mid-90s to current world champions. Hell, he beat a future world champion. Twenty-five fucking fights in the UFC. All of that work, all of that effort, the decades of passion he put into the sport, the concussions, the torn muscles, the personal backstory as a former heroin addict that he let the UFC gleefully market, all of it comes to this. His retirement bout is a curtain-jerking prelim against the 0-2 Eric Nolan.

Thanks for the memories, Court. I hope you never have to get punched in the head again. COURT MCGEE BY DECISION.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 26 FROM THE FULMINATING BURROW OF THE APEX
PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 5 PM / 8 PM

Boy, last week’s card was great. Great! Plenty of dumb shit too, but what a good main/co-main combination, and what a great way to deliver on the myriad promises of mixed martial arts. High level technical competition! Cathartic failure! Heavyweights being terrible! Couldn’t have asked for a better ribbon on 200 episodes.

And I hope you enjoyed it while it lasted, because to kick off the next 100, here’s our main and co-mains for the next four weeks:

• Main event Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos / Co-main event Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek

• Main event Natália Silva vs Wang Cong / Co-main event Payton Talbott vs Deiveson Figueiredo

• Main event Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan / Co-main event Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza

• Main event Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott / Co-main event Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius

And I could almost be okay with Blanchfield/Jasudavicius if Wang Cong wasn’t fighting for the title two weeks beforehand. Welcome to the doldrums, baby.

MAIN EVENT: BECAUSE WE SAID SO
BANTAMWEIGHT: Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1, #12) vs Raoni Barcelos (22-5, #13)

I want to tell you about four men with two stories.

Raul Rosas Jr. signs up for the Contender Series in 2022. He has 5 fights and 5 wins, and all of his opponents have losing records. Rosas wins his UFC contract three weeks before his 18th birthday. He makes his UFC debut two months later as the preliminary headliner for a pay-per-view card that features Jan Błachowicz, Magomed Ankalaev, Paddy Pimblett, Dricus Du Plessis and Ilia Topuria. Raul’s opponent, Jay Perrin, is an 0-2 fighter the company signed as a late replacement. Rosas wins easily, and commentary labels him as the sport’s next big thing and a surefire future champion. His next fight is no longer a prelim, but a main card bout on another pay-per-view, this time along Jorge Masvidal’s retirement fight and Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira 2, one of the biggest matches the UFC could possibly make. Rosas is given a great deal of hype, and his opponent, the 1-1 Christian Rodriguez, goes largely unmentioned.

Christian proceeds to beat seven shades of hell out of Raul. It is a slaughter of historical proportions. By the time the final bell rings, Rosas is 3 for 16 on takedowns and has been outstruck 83 to 2. The defeat is staggering, but a learning experience, and a great way for the company to recalibrate their expectations and plans.

They do not recalibrate their expectations or plans. In his next fight, Rodriguez is banished to the Apex to battle Cameron Saaiman on a card main evented by Sodiq Yusuff. Raul is put in the featured bout of the main card on the UFC’s heavily-advertised Noche UFC event under Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Shevchenko for the Women’s Flyweight Championship and his opponent is Terrence Mitchell, the man Cameron Saaiman knocked out in one round.

Rosas wins. Rosas wins a lot. Coincidentally, over the next three years only one of the five men placed in front of Rosas is coming off of a victory, and only one has a winning record in the UFC. By the Summer of 2026, Raul Rosas Jr. is the #12 Bantamweight on the planet, and his path to the rankings bulldozes its way through a shared UFC record of 21-30 (1). Christian Rodriguez has fought seven times. Five of them were in the Apex.

Raoni Barcelos gets into the UFC the hard way. It’s 2017, the Contender Series has only just begun, and Raoni, the 11-1 Featherweight champion of the Resurrection Fighting Alliance, is picked up as a last-minute replacement to make sure that Boston Salmon--who was on the Contender Series--stays on a card. Salmon pulls out, ultimately goes 0-2, and is now losing in the Dirty Boxing Championship. Raoni does not make his debut for another nine months, and when they finally dig him out of mothballs, he proceeds to violently wreck three men in a row. He knocks out future TUF champion Kurt Holobaugh, strangles a future UFC fixture in Chris Gutierrez, and pounds out an overmatched Carlos Huachin. It is a sensational three-fight winning streak and establishes him as a genuine prospect.

For this, Raoni is given a spot on the prelims of a UFC card in Korea that airs unseen to the vast majority of its audience. He beats Said Nurmagomedov, but the pandemic kills the UFC’s plans for the immediate future, and Raoni is left to twiddle his thumbs until he is finally given a main card bout against Khalid Taha almost a year later. Barcelos wins again. He is 5-0 in the UFC and a major prospect who, with good matchmaking, can be a contender. He is instead given Timur Valiev, who has one win in the UFC. Valiev wins. He is fired one fight later and never returns to the UFC.

Raoni falls into prospect duty. Victor Henry, Kyler Phillips. Umar Nurmagomedov hands him the first knockout loss of his career. By the beginning of 2025, Raoni is close to 38, 2 for his last 6, and largely forgotten. The UFC books him as an easy win for their new marketing darling, Payton Talbott. Payton is a young Contender Series winner with an undefeated record and a near-total finishing rate. He’s getting the marketing jetpack and the UFC wants to rub what’s left of Raoni’s credibility off on him. Payton is a -1150 favorite. Raoni schools him. The UFC’s next big thing drops a 10-8 round to a fighter everyone forgot. It is a crushing loss for Payton and an incredible win for Raoni.

In his next fight, Payton is on the main card of a two-title fight pay-per-view headlined by Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira. Raoni is placed on a Joaquin Buckley Fight Night under Edmen Shahbazyan. They both win. One fight after that, Payton is on the UFC’s last-ever pay-per-view beating former double champion Henry Cejudo in his retirement fight. One month prior, Raoni fought Ricky Simón in the Apex. On the prelims.

It is September of 2026. Payton Talbott is on a two-fight winning streak. He is ranked #11, and in October he will fight in the co-main event of a numbered card against multiple-time champion Deiveson Figueiredo, who is 1 for his last 5, almost 39, and in the top ten. Including his victory over Payton, Raoni Barcelos is on a five-fight winning streak. He is ranked #13, and fighting the heavily-hyped Raul Rosas Jr., who is 21 years old and a fixture of the UFC’s marketing plans. If Raoni wins, he stands to go up one point in the rankings.

We spend a lot of these essays going through comedy and melodrama and hair-pulling frustration to properly express the depths of the current state of the UFC. This is the real gift of today’s smart, streamlined product: Most of the time, you don’t actually need to anymore. You can simply point at something and describe it, exactly as it happened, and the net result will be an unequivocal “Wow, that sucks.” Because it does, in fact, suck. The wild variation in opportunities sucks. All roads leading back to the Apex sucks. Prospects that cannot be allowed to fail suck.

There’s a pretty good chance this, too, will suck. Raoni’s grappling and wrestling are his most consistent weapons; Raul is younger, faster, and arguably a better wrestler. He has learned and stepped up his game since the beating Rodriguez handed him three and a half years ago. Raoni, as great as he is, is also getting old. He’s turning 40 in May and the toll it’s taken on his pace and his chin have been visible. Montel Jackson almost finished him, Ricky Simón almost outlasted him, and his weapons just aren’t as sharp as they used to be.

Raul will probably win. It makes much more sense if Raul wins. On paper, Raul has every possible advantage save experience. It would be aggressively silly if Raul could not defeat a laborious, aging wrestler nearly twenty years his elder.

So. Y’know.

RAONI BARCELOS BY DECISION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: NO, REALLY
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Rodolfo Vieira (11-5) vs Robert Bryczek (18-7)

I’m glad we got the serious approach out of the way up in the main event, because I cannot take this seriously. Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek? As a co-main event? Are you sure, Hunter Campbell? Do you need help? Blink if you need help.

As I say so often: I do not mean this as a statement of disrespect to either of these fighters. Neither is terrible. Rodolfo is a legend of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and at 6-5 he is, technically, afloat in the UFC. Robert Bryczek was a champion in his native Poland and a standout in OKTAGON MMA, one of the top B-leagues in the world.

MMA is hard. Getting to the UFC is--well, it’s not quite as hard as it used to be, but it’s still pretty hard. Rodolfo and Robert both deserve to be lauded for their talent.

Now, with that out of the way: What the fuck are we doing here?

Rodolfo Vieira is 1 for his last 4. We’re one fight removed from his losing a decision to Eric McConico, who was last seen getting nuked in ninety-eight seconds by 5’8” Middleweight Donte Johnson. To find a Rodolfo Vieira winning streak you have to go back three and a half years, and it has to run through no less than Cody Brundage and the 9-7 (overall! not just in the UFC!) Armen Petrosyan.

And Robert Bryczek? He’s 1-2 in the company, and that includes a loss to Ihor Potieria. Ihor, who served for years one of the UFC’s most reliable jobbers of all time. Ihor has exactly two victories in the UFC. One of them is Shogun Rua in his retirement bout, who by 2023 was 21 years into a combat sports career that took him from an all-time great and former world champion to tapping to strikes against career grappler Paul Craig. The other is Robert Bryczek. It’s very rare that a single loss can so firmly place someone on the measuring stick of mixed martial arts, but respectfully, when you lose the significant strike battle 2:1 against Ihor Potieria, a man who got finished in 5 of his 6 UFC losses, you have to make a really, really, really good argument if you want to be taken seriously as a prospect again.

Robert Bryczek, in turn, is one fight removed from getting blown out of the water at a 125:39 striking differential by Cam “Battle Giraffe” Rowston.

Like, did something fall through? Were there grand plans in the background that never emerged from the shadows? There aren’t any cancelled fights on this card, as of the 20th. There’s no missing puzzle piece where the real co-main event was supposed to be. For christ’s sake, Norma Dumont and Ailín Pérez have a top five fight on this card, but they’re women, so they’re all the way down on the prelims between Alatengheili and Sedriques Dumas while Rodolfo Vieira and Robert Bryczek are out here losing their way into co-main events.

And this is the Apex! It’s not even fucking good! We are arguing about the dignity of getting a semi-prized berth on the barely-marketed fight nights they put on in a warehouse with Mark Zuckerberg’s name on it. The point is not to venerate and treasure the exposure of the Apex: The point is that the women of the UFC can’t even get those.

RODOLFO VIEIRA BY SUBMISSION is my wishful hope so we’re spared a full fifteen minutes of having to think about the state of the sport.

MAIN CARD: (JESUS CHRIST)
THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 34 (JESUS CHRIST) BANTAMWEIGHT FINALE: Mehemmedli Osmanli (12-1) vs Ilimbek Akylbek (10-3)

Tell me, honestly. You are reading this, which means either a) You are into mixed martial arts enough to read essays about it on the internet, or b) You are one of my close friends who reads this just because you like me, for which I am abjectly sorry. Either way: You are connected to this sport. Did you know there was another season of The Ultimate Fighter happening? Did you know that it already happened?

I said this to a friend who follows the sport and their response was ‘yeah, it’s Cormier vs Sonnen, right?’ And I had to tell them: Nope! That was last season, The Ultimate Fighter 33 (jesus christ). This season was The Ultimate Fighter 34 (jesus christ), Cormier vs Bisping. TUF has fallen so far that the people who edit its Wikipedia page haven’t even bothered with episode recaps since the 2023 season with McGregor and Chandler, which infamously ended in Conor backing out of the coach fight and winners Brad Katona and Kurt Holobaugh both eventually being released again. The UFC barely even acknowledges TUF’s existence these days. It’s just more Apex fodder.

Thus, we arrive here. If you asked me to come up with the least casual-friendly sentence the UFC could possibly promote, “a TUF Bantamweight finale between UAE Warriors veteran Mehemmedli Osmanli and ONE Championship washout Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu held in the Apex on a card main evented by Raoni Barcelos” is, like, top five. Which is a shame, because there was some decent talent on this season’s roster. Artem Belakh was one of the best prospects outside of the UFC and Osmanli tapped him in one round. Sean Mora was a decorated Cage Fury Fighting Championships titleholder and Ilimbek ground him out. They’re both good. A lot of people were good!

But they were on a show that can barely be proven to definitively exist. MEHEMMEDLI OSMANLI BY DECISION.

THE ULTIMATE FIGHTER 34 (JESUS CHRIST) WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT FINALE: Melissa Amaya (8-0) vs Valesca Machado (15-4)

Today, I am a hypocrite. I have spent years telling you about the futility of being emotionally invested in The Ultimate Fighter--I just wrote you three more paragraphs about how it has continued its descent into even further depths of irrelevance--and I am here to tell you this fight matters more than any other on this card, because Valesca Machado, better known as Tina goddamn Black, is in it.

It’s been a long, dark time without Invicta, y’all. Carlos Silva, the president of giant sports holding company Anthem that owns Invicta as well as lustrous properties like TNA Wrestling, the promotion that simply will not die, and Game+, Canada’s premier television network for fantasy sports and gambling, promised a splashy relaunch for the only real American all-women’s MMA league in February or, at the latest, March. It is damn near October. We haven’t had an Invicta since May of 2025 and no one’s said a thing about its potential future, and that is a tragedy for the entire sport. Four years ago, Tina Black won a one-night tournament to become Invicta’s Strawweight Champion. Did she lose it one fight later? Sure. But Jennifer Maia is kickboxing, Angela Hill is a borderline-top-ten institution and the UFC is too lazy to create an Atomweight division.

So it’s all up to you, Tina. You are carrying the spirit of Invicta on your shoulders, and with it, all of our hopes and dreams. To Melissa Amaya, I am very sorry. You seem very competent and you had a solid run in Combate and even if most of your wins weren’t all that great, knocking out Megumi Sugimoto is an accomplishment. I hope you stick around and you have a good, solid career, too.

But for the greater good of the sport, you must fall. Invicta never die. VALESCA MACHADO BY DECISION.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Rinya Nakamura (10-1) vs Brady Hiestand (8-2)

In a number of weird ways, this is a near-mirror match. Both Rinya and Brady got their start in the UFC thanks to underpromoted tournaments, with Rinya running the table in the first season of the Road to UFC and Brady coming in as the runner-up on The Ultimate Fighter 29 (jesus christ). Both men have scored enough solid victories and memorable stoppages to get over the hump as recognizable prospects. Both are also still haunted by a loss to someone the UFC audience sees as particularly unimpressive, with Rinya’s undefeated streak ending in an upset loss to Muin Gafurov, who’s only 2-3 overall, and Brady losing his TUF tournament to Ricky Turcios, who’s 2-4. Between scheduling and injuries, both men are also fighting off lengthy vacations, with Rinya making his first appearance since knocking out Nathan Fletcher over the Summer of 2025 and Brady last seen choking out Garrett Armfield in June 2024.

That said: Rinya’s a big ol’ favorite, and I get it. Brady is a bread-and-butter fighter who’s been missing in action for almost two and a half years, Rinya’s faster and just a bit defensively better and people, y’know, remember him. Gafurov demonstrated how to take Nakamura apart with clean striking, but Gafurov also had bigger punches and a lot of creative kicks, and I don’t think Brady has that in him.

Or maybe I’m still just desperate to keep the dream of a Japanese champion alive. RINYA NAKAMURA BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: A TOP FIVE CONTENDERSHIP BOUT IN A WOMEN’S DIVISION, OF COURSE
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Rodolfo Bellato (13-3-1) vs Christian Edwards (8-5)

Rodolfo Bellato has saved his UFC career. Up until this past March, he was the 1-1-1 (1) guy whose only UFC victory was over our previously-if-accurately-maligned Ihor Potieria, and in the three years since he had managed to fight to a draw with Jimmy Crute, get himself a No Contest (which probably should’ve been a DQ) after illegally kicking the shit out of Paul Craig, and dropped a decision to Navajo Stirling, which admittedly looks less bad now that Sterling’s the #5 man in the burning wreckage of the Light Heavyweight division. But, at last, Bellato won again! He even got a knockout! And all he had to do was beat promotional newcomer Luke Fernandez, who made it to the Contender Series with one good win in his short, five-fight career. Who did Luke beat? Why, Christian Edwards, of course. Christian Edwards lost to Luke two fights ago, knocked out the 4-0 Glendal Whitney on the regional scene, and got signed to the UFC as a late replacement so Modestas Bukauskas could stay on the card. Modestas beat him pretty handily and still only won a split decision, because sometimes the judges just plain don’t like people.

But the net result is a matchup between one guy who lost to a guy that the other guy destroyed, and ordinarily I’m not a big proponent of MMA math, but Christian’s fight with Modestas was profoundly underwhelming and I just don’t expect much to change. I remember watching him in Bellator six years ago and thinking that his main skill was Being Large, but he was an 0-0 rookie and just 21, so I figured he would develop more. I don’t feel like it’s really happened yet. There’s still time and he’s got promise, but for now, RODOLFO BELLATO BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Josiah Harrell (11-1) vs Elves Brener (16-6)

We’re in major misplaced puzzle piece land, here. Elves Brener had a big jump in his career back in 2023 after winning back-to-back underdog bouts, first in a split decision over Zubaira Tukhugov--which was an absolute robbery, but that wasn’t Brener’s fault--and then in knocking out Guram Kutateladze, then considered a serious Lightweight contender. The UFC responded to their suddenly prominent prospect by booking him against DWCS debutant Kaynan Kruschewsky, because they are assholes, but Elves put him away too, and with that, a new Lightweight contender lived! For, like, five more minutes. The following three years were Elves getting ground to dust by the new generation of Lightweights, and after three consecutive losses, Elves is right back to facing people with zero UFC wins. Josiah Harrell, in fairness, is thankful he gets to fight at all. He was supposed to meet the then-new Jack Della Maddalena back in the Summer of 2023, but during his pre-fight medical testing he learned he had moyamoya disease, a brain condition that makes strokes more likely, especially under head trauma. After surgery and a year and a half to recover, he went right back to work and snapped off four more wins, and when the UFC needed a late replacement to keep DWCS winner Jacobe Smith on television, Harrell finally got his ticket back to the big show this past February. Smith put Harrell in the crucifix and elbowed him into unconsciousness in three minutes and it was totally not at all uncomfortable to watch someone I knew had fairly recent brain surgery get pounded out.

This is probably part of why Josiah is dropping from 170 to 155 for the first time since 2022. Unfortunately, Elves is also bigger than him, hard to wrestle, and hits real, real hard. ELVES BRENER BY TKO.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Montel Jackson (15-4) vs Ricky Simón (22-7-1)

This is how quickly you can fall in this sport. Just eleven months and two fights ago Montel Jackson seemed like a sure thing. Big as hell for Bantamweight. Rangy and knew how to use it. Multiple first-round knockouts, some of them earned with a single punch. Six-fight winning streak, which is impressive as hell at 135. But the UFC put faith in Montel when they gave him a co-main event slot against Deiveson Figueiredo last year, and in the biggest fight of his career, in his chance to jump into the top five, Jackson choked. I do not, traditionally, like that word when it comes to evaluating fighters. Fighting is hard as hell and it’s extremely disrespectful to break down a performance that way. But, sometimes, you have to be honest, and Jackson choked. Against a Figueiredo who was barely throwing back, Montel was so concerned about his wrestling disadvantage that he only exceeded 10 landed strikes in one round, and he ultimately lost a deeply disappointing decision, which he doubled up after getting wrestled to death by Raoni Barcelos this past April. So the UFC is demoting him all the way back to 2019, when a young Montel lost his undefeated record in his UFC debut--against Ricky Simón. In hindsight, the wrestling weakness has been around for a long, long time. Ricky ragdolled him in 2019, Brett Johns did it in 2020, and Figueiredo and Raoni neutralized him with it in back-to-back fights. Ricky, himself, desperately needs the win. Once upon a time he was a real Bantamweight contender, but in 2026 Ricky is 1 for 7 and his only wins in 4+ years came against two men the UFC cut soon after in Javid Basharat (whose firing was total bullshit) and Cameron Smotherman (who, I’m sorry to say, was probably a sensible cut). He only barely managed a draw with Adrian Yañez this past March, and given how aggressively the UFC has been pruning their older, pricier contracts, Ricky’s probably fighting for his job.

If you’d asked me just one year ago who I’d favor in a Jackson/Simón rematch I would have laughed, because I rely too hard on record comparisons to be trusted. Montel’s proven he still has just as much trouble dealing with wrestling as he always did, and the big intercepting punches that stopped opponents from trying just haven’t been there in awhile. I hope he’s put his head back together after these last couple losses and he’s ready to deal with Ricky’s wrestling, because if he isn’t, it’s RICKY SIMÓN BY DECISION all over again.

WOMEN’S BANTAMWEIGHT: Norma Dumont (13-3, #4) vs Ailín Pérez (13-2, #5)

Do you remember the way I used to regularly give you a shorthand for how much the UFC cared about the construction of a card by breaking down how many fighters on it were coming off of a win in the company? I stopped doing that because the average fell so low that it no longer seemed like relevant information. But I still calculate it every time I start writing, so for the record, it’s 27%. 73% of this card’s participants are coming off either a loss, a draw or a No Contest, or have never fought in the UFC before. The co-main event, as discussed, is collectively between fighters with a 3-5 UFC record in the last three years.

And here’s Norma Dumont and Ailín Pérez, top five fighters at Women’s Bantamweight, buried halfway down the prelims.

Thanks to Joselyne Edwards, Norma just had her first and only loss in four years. During that span she beat world champions and title contenders. Ailín hasn’t lost at all since 2022. She’s on a six-fight winning streak that includes Joselyne, who is now the #3 Women’s Bantamweight in the UFC. They’re world-class fighters, either of whom could win the championship given a shot on a good day. If the UFC hadn’t shuttered Women’s Featherweight, Norma would’ve been a champion already. Ailín has a clear claim on a match right at the top of the Bantamweight division with one of the only women--at any weight class--the company has bothered to give any marketing oxygen.

None of which means a damn thing. You can’t market women’s MMA, after all; it doesn’t sell. Does that have anything to do with our habit of refusing to market it? Answering that question would endanger the budget we reserve for randomly giving hundreds of thousands of dollars to Youtubers you’ve never heard of and lobbying congress to make a new law that says we get to dick boxers around the same way we’ve always done with mixed martial artists. Marketing? For women? Olympic gold medalist and world champion Kayla Harrison is fighting the greatest female fighter in UFC history in Amanda Nunes in November and it’s a co-main event under Josh fucking Hokit.

Why would you ever mistake us for a company that cares about women?

NORMA DUMONT BY DECISION.

BANTAMWEIGHT: John Castañeda (21-8-1) vs Alatengheili (17-10-2)

You know, right alongside things like “washed” and “choked,” the phrase “housecleaning fight” has come to feel like a mark of disrespect. It sucks to take something someone put a life of passion into and reduce it down to the cruelty of business. John Castañeda is, by the standards of the sport, a great success. Six years in the UFC, 4-4-1 overall, victories over a lot of really solid competition--hell, we just talked about Muin Gafurov upsetting Rinya Nakamura up on the main card, and John beat him handily. Alatengheili’s right up there with him! 5-3-1, scrappy as hell, never even been knocked down in the UFC let alone stopped. He knocked Kevin Croom out faster than Justin Gaethje did! They’re both solid as hell.

But in the cold reality of money, John’s winless in his last three fights and only barely made it to a draw with Mark Vologdin, and Alatengheili has only fought three times in the last four years, and he lost two of them. Whoever loses this fight is probably gone, and I hope they make a wonderful living back on the regional circuit. JOHN CASTAÑEDA BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Mickey Gall (7-7) vs Sedriques Dumas (10-5 (1))

Honestly, this is incredible. We’ve talked about bad events and bad cards and bad signings, but this might be, conceptually, the worst fight we’ve covered. The UFC hired Mickey Gall as a 1-0 rookie back in 2016 because they thought he might, conceivably, be capable of losing to CM Punk, and it turned out the answer was ‘stop, stop, he’s already dead,’ and now it’s a decade later and instead of getting to develop in a rational way Gall spent all but his very first professional fight in the UFC, so he’s 7-7, and if there’s some lesson to had here about the inevitable fate of Contender Series rookies, don’t worry, they have no intention of learning it. And Sedriques Dumas! Sedriques Dumas, the only man to ever pull out of a UFC fight because he couldn’t get his ankle monitor off in time, the man the UFC just kept booking even though he just kept both getting arrested and losing, repeatedly. They actually let him go this Summer! For one brief moment in time, sanity prevailed, and after going four straight fights without a win they released him and all of the jokes about the UFC just keeping Sedriques Dumas around to make a point to all of the internet fans that they don’t give a shit about their opinions finally fell silent.

And then they came back again, twice as hard, because they fucking re-signed him. Every time someone says something about how Michael Page or Jailton Almeida or Ketlen Vieira got cut because they were too boring and finish-averse to keep around, you tell them the UFC looked at Sedriques Dumas, a man whose only UFC win in just shy of three years was not only the 11-10 Denis Tiuliulin but Dumas was the only person in the company who beat him without finishing him, and they not only re-signed him, but they gave him Mickey Gall, who loses constantly, hasn’t fought in two years, and hasn’t fought above Welterweight since his amateur days back in twenty-fucking-fourteen. Because it’s not a real sport. But that also means we get to root for silly outcomes. MICKEY GALL BY SUBMISSION.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Yazmin Jauregui (11-2) vs Vanessa Demopoulos (11-8)

Let us finally return to the biggest rollercoaster of the Strawweight division. Four years ago, the UFC signed Mexico’s Yazmin Jauregui and Brazil’s Iasmin Lucindo, two of the best female prospects in the world, and had them debut against each other as the featured bout on a real, honest to god road card. By the standards of how little they care about women’s MMA it was an honest to god hype exhibition, the fight was a lot of fun, and in the battle of Yazmin and Iasmin, Yazmin won. She was supposed to go on to greatness, and when the UFC made one of their early pitches at the Mexican market by having a double title night, with Alexander Volkanovski unifying the Featherweight title against Yair Rodríguez and Brandon Moreno defending his Flyweight belt opposite Alexandre Pantoja, the UFC had Yazmin right there as a big favorite against the 1-1 Denise Gomes--broadcast live on network television, all thanks to ABC. But Volk mauled Yair, Pantoja outlasted Moreno, and in the biggest upset of the night, Denise walked through Yazmin and knocked her out in twenty seconds. Yazmin came back to beat Sam Hughes half a year later, but Ketlen Souza choked her out in September of 2024 and that’s the last we’ve heard from her. Vanessa Demopoulos, meanwhile, is a grappling stylist who got famous less for her fighting than for somehow repeatedly winning decisions so bad that she was on the shortlist for robbery of the year in three consecutive years. Unfortunately for her career, the last one was in mid-2024, and since then she’s dropped three straight, and now they’re teeing her up to rehabilitate Yazmin.

Which, as a Kanako Murata fan, I am perfectly fine with for purposes of sweet revenge. YAZMIN JAUREGUI BY DECISION.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 19 FROM THE CRYPTO.COM ARENA IN LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA
EARLY PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | PRELIMS 4 PM / 7 PM | MAIN CARD 6 PM / 9 PM

Two hundred of these. Good lord.

The UFC’s currently running one hundred events just under every two and a half years, so I went back to look at my 100th write-up, and couldn’t help noticing how much of it was spent remarking on how rough the last two years had been, and the optimistic hope that soon, things would be better.

In May of 2024.

If the first couple years of this experiment were long, the last couple have lasted roughly a decade. Everything has changed, and so much of it has been for the worse, and it is all so, so very exhausting. The flaming shambles of the rest of the world aside, between episodes 100 and 200 I moved to the East Coast, and let me tell you, if there are two things I desperately miss, it is being saturated with taquerias and MMA events ending in God’s perfect time zone, Pacific. Staying up until 4-6 AM to watch Japanese MMA? Painful, but doable. Staying up until 9? Being as I also entered my forties in the last two years--this card is actually on my 41st birthday, which, hey, UFC, thanks for giving me a Tai Tuivasa fight for my birthday, you dicks--the pain is real.

It’s not as real as the exhaustion, though. But I’m not exhausted the way I thought I would be.

In the early days of writing these, one of the most common bits of feedback I got was a warning not to let myself get burnt out on the sport. There’s always so much, and following all of it and trying to pay attention to all of it can kill your love for it, so don’t let the need to write about Ronnie Lawrence vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov sap your will to care about mixed martial arts.

Thing is: That never happened. I’m not at all tired of MMA. After we’re done here we get to discuss Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja, which is one of my most-anticipated fights of the entire year, and I love the idea that we get to discuss it. I love talking about this sport.

But over these last two and a half years, more and more, I feel like the sport has been slipping away.

Like, look at where we are. You don’t even need to wade into the right-wing sludgepile to feel disgusted anymore. Fighters with barely any professional experience have become a common fixture of the UFC. People getting booked within 90 days of a stoppage loss used to be rare and scandalous, and now Dan Hooker walks into co-main events on two-month turnarounds with facial injuries that haven’t even healed yet. There are two mutually exclusive sets of rankings, one of which is created by perpetually hallucinating Facebook AI, the other voted on by a media panel that only barely covers the sport, and neither of them actually matter because UFC management proudly, publicly boasts about their willingness to ignore them and do whatever they want. Two and a half years ago we were clinging to just the vaguest remnants of dialogue about the idea that fighter conduct was important, and now there are people with pasts, presents and extremely likely futures of abuse, assault and even rape on the UFC’s cards.

It’s all bad. It’s all exhausting.

But if I’m being honest--with you and with myself--what’s really tiring is the silence.

The MMA community as I knew it is essentially dead. When I started doing this it was already in dire straits, but folks like Bloody Elbow were trying to keep the lights on. Those creekbeds are bone-dry now and even the good folks left are finding other things to do. Luke Thomas is a political commentator. Zane Simon just rebranded as an internet video store (which you should check out). Bloody Elbow was purchased and turned into a clickbait aggregator. Prominent voices in the MMA field have been replaced by Youtubers who are all out to out-offend each other in a desperate attempt to grab what little of the attention economy hasn’t been eaten by robots.

It’s not just them, though. It’s the general audience. The lion’s share of decent fans left for greener pastures when it became clear the sport was hurtling into the cesspit of right-wing propaganda, but the second exodus was folks filing out of the auditorium when it also became clear the UFC had just sort of given up. I do not get casual inquiries about the sport anymore; I do not even hear people paying attention to it. The UFC spent months ginning up an unprecedented, once-in-a-lifetime propaganda night on the lawn of the fucking White House and it didn’t even outperform that week’s episode of Landman, the show about mans on lands. Hell, when I started posting these writeups on SomethingAwful we got 20+ pages of monthly discussion on the UFC. By episode 100 in 2024, we were down to a dozen. These days we rarely hit 8.

And who can blame anyone? The great moments are great, but by and large, this shit sucks. By and large, even if you divorce it from the horrible things it endorses--which you shouldn’t, but even if--the product has never been worse, and we’re not even done watching it decline yet. WME and Ari Emanuel have not yet begun to finalize their plans to wring the UFC dry of quality. The state of mixed martial arts is so dark that the Paul brothers might well be the only hope for anything to improve in the next half-decade, and that sentence, alone, is more than enough justification for anyone with a soul to stay as far the fuck away from mixed martial arts as is humanly possible.

It’s been almost five years and I’m not burnt out on MMA, but MMA is burnt out on itself, and recounting it is heartbreaking.

And what I keep clinging to is the angry mission statement I yelled off the cuff back in 2023:

As the UFC has drifted even further to the right and become an out-and-out platform for total bullshit, it has made me more determined to stick around. I’m not ceding the space of this sport to some of the worst motherfuckers on the planet just because they got louder and more desperate. I was renting UFC on VHS before Dana White was here and I’ll still be watching the day after he wakes up in Hell.

I have seen a number of old, reliable voices in the MMA community either give up or, worse, fall into the new orthodoxy of nothing mattering, and more and more, in MMA and the world as a whole, I am coming to understand the value and necessity of continuing to exist as a reminder that things weren’t always this bad, and they don’t actually have to keep getting worse.

But right now they sure are, and we are riding this train through the Earth’s core if we have to, and we will not stop talking about the bigotry and the graft and the madness inherent to still choosing to care about this horrible, fake, bullshit sport, and I hope that when we gather here again for another one of these in 2029, we are in a much better world watching a much better sport than the one we are all suffering in.

Until then: Thank you for continuing to suffer with me.

MAIN EVENT: THE ANSWER
FLYWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP: Joshua Van (17-2, Champion) vs Alexandre Pantoja (30-6, #1)

In the interests of full disclosure, I did almost make this write-up just the essay I wrote about it in 2025, verbatim, unedited, before deciding that was too much of a smart-ass thing to do.

Crazy shit happening is one of the best parts of mixed martial arts. Many people--I am often guilty of this--like to think of combat sports as a set of predictable outcomes. Fighters have strengths and weaknesses, which they will use to the best of their abilities, fights will happen in a rational, sensible way, and the most skilled fighter will, in the end, be the victor. Because that’s how sports work. That is their primary function.

Which is an opinion any fan who’s been around for more than a few years, let alone decades, can only hold onto by refusing to acknowledge that combat is chaos. This is precisely why the UFC keeps banking on having unproven, inexperienced and consequently much cheaper fighters hop into the deep end against ranked veterans: When you take people with real potential and you roll the dice, sometimes, the universe bends your way.

Good-but-not-great Lightweight Matt Serra’s bicep slaps greatest-of-all-time Georges St-Pierre across the dome. Perpetually motionless Uriah Hall catches uncrowned Middleweight great Gegard Mousasi in the face with a jumping spinning heel kick. Career wrestler Kevin Randleman floors kickboxing star Mirko Cro-Cop with a left hook.

Alexandre Pantoja, the second-greatest Flyweight in UFC history, sees an 882-day, four-defense title reign come to an end against Joshua Van after he slips recovering from an intercepted headkick and dislocates his arm 26 seconds into the fight.

That’s the sport, man. That’s mixed martial arts. Sometimes shit’s just gonna happen, and you have to see the beauty in it.

But it does put us in a bit of a narrative pickle. Ordinarily when we talk about title rematches, we talk about how the fighters have grown and changed since their first outing; why things went the way they did, how they could go differently. We do not have that luxury here. Alexandre Pantoja didn’t get outstruck or outgrappled, he landed wrong, and for the last year he’s had nothing to do but recover, get healthy, and get back into fighting shape. Nine months with nothing to do but wait and stew in the frustration of watching Joshua Van walk around with his belt.

Van’s made the most of it, too. The world, itself, was uncertain what to make of Champion By Mistake Joshua Van, but he made no apologies, claimed himself as clearly the better fighter, and said he would continue to defend his spot in the division until Pantoja was ready to run it back. And, by god, he did it.

Tatsuro Taira was the heir apparent to the Flyweight throne. The UFC was in the process of guiding the undefeated monster to a 2025 shot at Pantoja, but it wound up going to Kai Kara-France instead after Taira lost a skin-of-his-teeth split decision to Brandon Royval. Taira spent 2025 rebuilding his momentum, and the UFC moved on to Flyweight knockout king Manel Kape as their new top contender. Kape was supposed to fight a title eliminator against Royval, but he busted his foot a couple weeks out, and Van took the fight on short notice in the hopes of also taking his spot. Van won, and got the shot at Pantoja that was once supposed to be Taira’s. But just before Van’s title victory, Tatsuro Taira walked out to the cage and handed former champion Brandon Moreno the first TKO loss of his career. No one was going to stop Taira from finally getting his all but predestined stab at the top of the mountain.

Van was there to stop him from reaching it. When we get to December and people begin talking about the best fights of the year it’s inevitably going to be drowned in a deluge of devastating stoppages and dramatic brawls, but Van/Taira deserves its place in the conversation. It was a fantastic, high-level title bout with some of the best back-and-forth swings you’ll ever see. Taira ran the table in the first round, Van dominated and nearly finished him in the next two, Taira came back and almost submitted Van in the fourth, Van hit the gas and ultimately stopped Taira on his feet in the fifth. It was so goddamn close that if Taira had somehow managed to pull away and win the fifth round, going by the scorecards at the end of the fourth, Ricardo Almeida would’ve given it to Taira 48-47, Eric Colon would’ve gone to Van 48-46, and Sal D’Amato would’ve landed on an even 47-47. We were that goddamn close to Van’s injury title win being followed by a split draw in his first defense.

But that’s what champions do: They adapt, improve, and find a way to win. Van took Taira and the judges out of the contest and used his post-fight interview to yell at Alexandre Pantoja to get healthy so they could finally finish their business.

It’s four months later. Pantoja’s ready. He’s been chomping at the bit for the chance to get his belt back. He’s never been hungrier. He’s just as good as he ever was.

After all, no fighter ever came back diminished from an unexpected injury layoff, right?

I said I almost copy-pasted my write-up from the first time again. I’ll spare you that, but I am going to note the way it concluded.

Van’s got some real good boxing and some real good leg kicks and he’s an enormous pain in the ass to keep off of you. He also gets taken down a lot. Maintaining top position on Van has proven to be real, real difficult for most people, but Alexandre Pantoja is not most people, and as good as Van’s striking is, he doesn’t actually finish people with it all that often, and Pantoja’s proven to have one of the toughest chins in the sport.

If Van can keep Pantoja off him and cross him up for five rounds, he’s gold. If Van’s been drilling nothing but wrestling defense and he can stuff Pantoja’s trips, he’s gold. If Van kicks Pantoja repeatedly in the head while Dana White holds his feet from the bottom of the cage like Bobby Heenan and Herb Dean pretends he can’t see it, he’s gold.

But ALEXANDRE PANTOJA BY SUBMISSION feels a lot more likely.

The question is: Having seen Van survive a great grappler in Tatsuro Taira, do I still think that’s true?

Taira’s more technically apt than Pantoja, but he also struggles if he can’t get strong positional control. When he’s on top of you, he’s a killer, but his ability to deal with scrambles has cost him repeatedly. Pantoja’s grappling approach is more loose, but that also makes it more flexible and, traditionally, more exhausting. He relies on his chin and his gas tank to overwhelm his opponents with stifling striking and really aggressive trips.

He has to land them, though. He was able to walk through Kai Asakura’s striking because Kai sits down on his punches, but we saw Pantoja struggle a bit with Steve Erceg, who’s a much better comparison for Van. Both men like to bounce, peck and only flatten their feet and commit to power punches when they know they have an opening. That mobility and that speed are problems for Pantoja’s style.

Moreover: Pantoja just spent almost a year on the shelf, he’s coming off an arm injury, and he’s closing in on his 37th birthday in April. Flyweight is notoriously cruel to age and Pantoja’s a guy who’s been fighting multiple times a year in almost every non-pandemic calendar year of his career. Most champions slow down when they finally win the belt: Pantoja booked five title defenses in two years. Staying active has been a hallmark of his success.

The universe made him slow down. Is he going to be too slow for Championship Van?

I think the first couple of rounds are going to be pretty rough for Pantoja, I think if he isn’t diminished he’s still going to be able to deal with Van’s punches and start dragging him down once he gets his timing, and I think he’s going to find the same opportunities Taira did when Van starts to slow down towards the end of the fight. And I’m keeping the faith and choosing to believe he’ll capitalize on them. ALEXANDRE PANTOJA BY SUBMISSION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: THE EXCUSE
LIGHTWEIGHT: Arman Tsarukyan (23-3, #2) vs Mauricio Ruffy (14-2, #7)

Wasn’t that nice? Doesn’t it feel spiritually cleansing to talk about genuinely good, important, high-level fights with an absolute minimum of bullshit dragging them down? Don’t you wish we could just do that all the time?

Tough shit, motherfucker. Welcome to Ass Junction, population: Us.

Every single year we have at least a couple fighters who are blatantly being passed up for title shots, but none have ever been so blatantly sidelined by the UFC as Arman Tsarukyan. The man has one loss in the last seven and a half years, it was a split decision against Mateusz Gamrot most of the media scored in his favor, and he followed it by snapping off a five-fight winning streak that really should’ve gotten him to the belt by three. Tsarukyan was already a top five fighter after crushing Beneil Dariush at the end of 2023. But the UFC decided to leave Tsarukyan to fight Charles Oliveira instead.

He won, and then, two months later, Islam Makhachev defended his title against Dustin Poirier, who was who was 2 for his last 4. Islam won, unsurprisingly, and they iced both men for the rest of the year. But Islam vs Arman 2--a rematch of a competitive fight Islam won back in 2019--was booked as the first pay-per-view of 2025. Justice would be served.

Justice was, of course, not served. 24 hours before showtime, Arman pulled out. His team says he had a back injury, the popular theory holds that he was going to miss weight and wanted to save himself the embarrassment, Makhachev’s coach Javier Mendez says Tsarukyan was going to botch his weight cut BECAUSE he had a back injury, and either way, that got Arman on the blacklist. Giant swaths of the MMA fanbase have decided all of this is proof Arman doesn’t deserve the shot and the UFC is right to keep their thumb on him because he ruined an event, and to them, I would like to note that Conor McGregor, Jon Jones, Dan Henderson, BJ Penn, Alistair Overeem, Khamzat Chimaev, Paulo Costa and Nate Marquardt were all, apparently, perfectly fine, but Arman is where the company draws the line.

So he’s been shoveling shit for the last two and a half years while the UFC keeps trying to derail him. They sent in Dan Hooker last November in the desperate hope of transferring Arman’s credibility to someone they actually liked, and Arman just completely wrecked him, and the UFC insisted that he still wasn’t deserving of a title shot.

Which is how we come to Arman Tsaruykan, undisputed top contender and previously-booked title challenger, with one matchup in the last 29 months, fighting down in the rankings for the second consecutive time against Mauricio Ruffy, whom the UFC sure would like to get in there for a title shot, please and thank you.

Ruffy was yet another of the innumerable members of the Fighting Nerds Combat Club the UFC brought in through the Contender Series. Savage knockout artist! Wild-eyed striker of spinning back kicks and sharp, winging haymakers! Took his last name from One Piece and used it to motivate himself to hit people until they stopped moving! He was really good at knocking people out and the UFC did their best to boost him up the ladder by very helpfully booking him only against people coming off losses until he had amassed a three-fight winning streak that gave him enough credibility to challenge for a real spot in the rankings.

Unfortunately for Ruffy, no one they’d put in his way up to that point knew how to wrestle. Benoît Saint Denis did, and he ragdolled Ruffy at will and ultimately cranked his jaw until he tapped in the second round. Devastating, momentum-destroying loss, but hey: It’s a learning experience. This is when you go prepare to fight more wrestlers to round out your game, right?

Of course not! This is when the UFC goes back to booking you as favorably as possible. Mauricio started his 2026 by knocking out a Rafael Fiziev who was 1 for 4, then rounded it out by winning--as a -600 favorite--against a 40 year-old Michael Chandler who was 1 for his last 6, and that one victory came against Tony Ferguson, owner of the longest losing streak in UFC history, and also, Ruffy killing Chandler was done on the lawn of the fucking White House during the UFC’s most-advertised event in years.

It’s basically A Tale of Two Cities, but for people who hit each other for money. Are you a formerly destitute striker who tries to be a good company man and you are also conveniently on a much cheaper, Contender Series-derived contract? Enjoy your red carpet. Are you a grappling stylist whose family worked to become wealthy, meaning the UFC can’t yank you around because you don’t actually need their cash? Welcome to years of the most irritating negotiations of your life while your boss constantly negs you in public.

Like, we couldn’t even get to the fight, itself, before they gave the game away. Dana White used the post-fight press conference for Hooker vs Parnasse on the 9th to say the winner of this match-up wasn’t necessarily guaranteed a title fight with a victory, which is, of course, the world’s least subtle code for “If Ruffy wins we will book him vs Gaethje as fast as we possibly fucking can.” You think they’re going to waste Justin Gaethje’s retirement fight on a guy they don’t even like? They would book five straight Paddy Pimblett rematches first.

The math on this match is not hard to read. Benoît Saint Denis is a worse wrestler and grappler than Arman Tsarukyan and he essentially sawed Ruffy in half. Ruffy had an acrimonious breakup with the Fighting Nerds and left to go train with Alexander Volkanovski in Australia again, and boy, that’s a legitimately smart career move, given the plateau the Nerds seem to have reached, and how poorly they prepared him to deal with a grappler. If anyone is going to get Ruffy ready to run with Arman, it’s Volk’s team.

But I just don’t think, no matter how hard Dana tries to dream it into being, they’re going to be able to do enough to save him. ARMAN TSARUKYAN BY SUBMISSION.

MAIN CARD: THE FRINGE
FEATHERWEIGHT: Patrício Pitbull (37-9, #15) vs Dooho Choi (17-4-1, NR)

Oh, Patty Pits. We have come so far together, you and I, but with every moment that passes, I fear our time is drawing to a close. You are damn near 40 and you just got rolled by Aaron Pico and the UFC is prepared to cash out on you as a ranked competitor, and once upon a time I’m pretty sure you could’ve been a goddamn champion. Explaining this to people is like trying to explain 1980s synth sounds to people born in the 21st century. Pitbull once fought at 135 pounds and he still knocked the shit out of Michael Chandler and beat A.J. McKee, man. Even now, even diminished by age and nearing the end of his career, it is important to recognize that Pitbull was a top ten ranked Featherweight sixteen goddamn years ago, before Featherweight even existed in the UFC, and damn near all of his peers from the time period are retired, and the worst you can say is Pitbull is still competitive with the top ten, two whole generations of the sport later. That’s fucking bonkers. That should not happen.

No one is more emblematic of that which should not be than The Korean Superboy. Dooho Choi was supposed to be a thing back in 2016. The UFC had plans. He had only ever lost once, he had a killer cross and no one could stop him from knocking them dead. No one but Cub goddamn Swanson. Their bout is one of the most beloved brawls in the sport, to the point that, technically, Choi’s already in the UFC Hall of Fame thanks to the odd abstract concept of their fight wing. But as good as it was, Dooho still lost, and he lost to a man who had already been eliminated from contention, and that signaled the fall of the house of Choi. Over the next seven years he only made it to the cage twice and he got knocked out both times, and in the middle of that he just kept getting injured, over and over. On the plus side, that got him out of his mandatory military service. On the minus, he is only now, ten years later, on a winning streak again.

But that streak was over folks like Bill Algeo and Daniel “Willycat” Santos, and I don’t know that he’s going to be able to pull the same power-punching tricks on Pitbull. PATRÍCIO PITBULL BY DECISION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Gable Steveson (4-0) vs Sean Sharaf (4-2)

Up until Monday night, this was supposed to be Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega, which was also a silly fight for a bunch of reasons that you will now never get to hear about, because Ortega had to pull out after showing up to fight week events with a giant late-90s Diamond Dallas Page bandage conspicuously covering a gash over his eyebrow. Instead of a replacement, Moicano is now going to headline the Apex--again--against Tom Nolan at the end of October, and Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf, which was previously banished to the prelims out of an entirely correct sense of shame, has been promoted to the main card. Not former title contender Marlon Vera vs borderline-ranked Charles Jourdain, not previous co-main eventer Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira, not the top fifteen Women’s Flyweight fight between Casey O’Neill vs Eduarda Moura, but Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf, because we are going to get Gable over no matter how many people keep talking about his history as a sex criminal.

And it’s tempting to just do that again here, because realistically, there’s very little else to talk about. This is barely a fight. Gable is a -1900 favorite, and I am not adding a second 0 by mistake. He’s one of the greatest wrestlers in American history, a freak athlete, and a solid smashing machine in mixed martial arts. Sean Sharaf has never beaten a fighter with a winning record, is 0-2 in the UFC, and started his time under the spotlight getting knocked out by Junior Tafa. In this, we have part of the injustice of combat. Sean is a seemingly nice dude who’s used his time in the UFC to talk about Palestine; Gable is a pro-Trump asshole who is partially responsible for causing Minnesota’s legislators to tighten their laws about prosecuting rape; unless something very, very funny happens, Gable is going to stomp Sean flat in one round because the world is not built out of morality.

Sometimes I understand why we still love comic book movies. GABLE STEVESON BY TKO.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Alonzo Menifield (18-6-1, #14) vs Iwo Baraniewski (9-0, NR)

They’re never gonna respect you the way you deserve, Alonzo. You’re the stepping stone now. You beat guys like Dustin Jacoby and Paul Craig and the living legend Askar “Fake Record” Mozharov, and what that earns you is the chance to get smashed by potential contenders until the UFC has scraped all the marrow out of your bones. So they try to feed you to Oumar Sy, who absolutely everyone knows is going to beat you, and then you win, but you got clocked by Volkan Oezdemir immediately so it doesn’t matter and they return you to the feeding trough. China! Co-main event! Zhang Mingyang, a killer puncher who is almost assuredly going to beat you! They cannot possibly lose! You knock out Zhang in one round. This does not endear you to them. It infuriates them.

But the good news is: Light Heavyweight is fucking terrible. See, here, the case of Iwo Baraniewski. He got to the Contender Series at 5-0, knocked out a man whose best victory was over 2-5 former UFC Welterweight Jared Gooden, and is now on a three-fight winning streak at 205 thanks to a string of the best competition you can possibly imagine. Ibo Aslan, who was on a two-fight losing streak and coasting on his 2024 victory over Anton “The Pleasure Man” Turkalj. Austen Lane, 1 for 6, who was, also, on a two-fight losing streak. The man, the myth, Junior fucking Tafa, who is 3-6 and has only beaten one person who ever won a UFC fight. The Tafa-Brother-to-Ranked-Fight pipeline lives on, against all better judgment, and Alonzo is its next victim.

Light Heavyweight, you are still, easily, the worst division. ALONZO MENIFIELD BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: THE DISGRACE
BANTAMWEIGHT: Marlon Vera (23-12-1, #10) vs Charles Jourdain (18-8-1, NR)

In my long angsty preamble I touched on how aggressively silly the UFC’s current two-rankings system is, and no fight exemplifies how broken both of them are than this one. Charles Jourdain is unranked by the media rankings the UFC actually uses, but in the Meta AI rankings he’s #12, thanks to his April victory over Kyler Phillips, who is tough, talented, and on a three-fight losing streak. Marlon “Chito” Vera is unranked by Meta’s shitty computers, but in the canonical media rankings he’s the tenth best Bantamweight on Earth, and that’s even dumber, because he’s 1 for his last 6, he hasn’t won a fight in more than three years--a decision over Pedro Munhoz that 80% of the media scored for Pedro--and he’s still coasting on the success of beating Dominick Cruz back in 2022, who never fought again. Farid Basharat is ranked below Marlon Vera. Raoni Barcelos is ranked lower than Marlon Vera AND Payton Talbott, whom he beat. And I am the fool staring into the sun and crying that it was once the moon.

Whatever belief I once had in Marlon has more or less evaporated. It’s been half a decade of watching his fights with the phrase ‘he could be a champion if he was just more active’ on the back of my tongue and it just doesn’t seem like it’s going to happen. He is who he is, and Jourdain is younger, faster and more than able to outland someone for fifteen minutes. If there’s another abrupt end-of-the-fight knockout in Marlon I will painfully ask him to do it here, because fuck Jourdain, but CHARLES JOURDAIN BY DECISION seems painfully inevitable.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Tai Tuivasa (14-10) vs Robelis Despaigne (6-2)

Less than one month ago, Dana White happily said the Heavyweight division, which had been stale for years--which he of course denied during those years, but, y’know, liars--was finally back on the rise and everything was going great. This Monday, Tom Aspinall relinquished the UFC’s Heavyweight Championship because Ciryl Gane poked him in the eyes so badly he still can’t see. Gane has now been promoted to undisputed champion, thanks to his interim title victory over Alex Pereira, who had never fought at Heavyweight before. Despite the UFC letting successful Heavyweights like Alexandr Romanov, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida go, Tai Tuivasa is still here on a seven-fight losing streak, and, should he lose, he will tie Tony Ferguson’s all-time record at eight. The UFC hired Robelis Despaigne back in 2024, when he was a plucky young 35 year-old who’d gone 4-0 mostly by knocking out people who’d never won a fight, and by the end of 2024 they had let him go, too, after he lost consecutive bouts to Waldo Cortes-Acosta, who is now in their top ten, and Austen Lane, who lost against every single person he fought in the UFC that wasn’t Robelis Despaigne. So why is he back now? Is it his incredible victory over Karate Combat Heavyweight Champion Sam Alvey?

No, it’s because MVP MMA put Robelis on Netflix once and had him destroy a 42 year-old Junior dos Santos and the UFC freaked out about the idea that they might sell tickets with him. Besides, they’ve been steadily kicking 9/10 of the wrestlers out of the division, so as long as no one puts him in a cage with anyone who can shoot a double, it’ll be fine. Robelis still isn’t very good, and he’s still one-dimensional, and he’s still incapable of fighting more than six or seven minutes without looking exhausted. But he’s fighting Tai Tuivasa, who also has a round and a half of gas, also can’t wrestle, and is giving up most of a foot of reach to a man who decapitates people with single punches. ROBELIS DESPAIGNE BY KO and we all get sad.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Michael Aswell Jr. (11-5) vs Joosang Yoo (9-1)

I’ve written about the Harry Hunsucker problem before, wherein you dedicate your life to martial arts, make it to the UFC and discover you’re nowhere close to competitive with your ostensible peers, and how painful it must be to deal with that realization. Michael Aswell Jr.’s place might be worse. He’s a perfectly fine competitor, he’s as well-rounded and tough as you’re supposed to be, and he’s just successful enough to stay at the show, but not enough to ever be comfortable. He lost on the Contender Series, but that put him on the UFC’s late replacement radar, and when they signed him as one, he lost that, too. But he knocked out Lucas Almeida! ...who was released immediately afterward for losing too much. Mr. Maswell the Second is 1-3, if he drops this one he’s on a three-fight skid and is probably gone, and Joosang Yoo is a very good fighter who is out for revenge after losing his undefeated streak during his last fight when he got too into playing you-can’t-touch-me with Daniel Santos and got knocked out.

JOOSANG YOO BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Ryan Gandra (10-1) vs Ozzy Diaz (10-4)

Shame flows from every pore of this. Ryan Gandra is one of the UFC’s favorite new undefeated knockout dudes, and you can tell because they had him debut against José Medina, who was 0-3 and had been finished twice in his last two fights. When Gandra dusted him in forty-one seconds they brought in Zach Reese, who was their big hyped undefeated knockout dude in 2023, and then it turned out he wasn’t actually up to the task of winning on a regular basis against solid competition. But you know who he did beat? José Medina. So the UFC had itself a battle of the Medina batterers, and Gandra won in 75 seconds, and now to follow it up he gets to fight Ozzy Diaz, who is notable for--wait for it--getting knocked out repeatedly by people the UFC likes. Joe Pyfer? Zhang Mingyang? Ateba Gautier? Send in Ozzy and get him killed.

Ozzy’s bigger and longer and he deserves better than the knockout he is almost certainly going to suffer. RYAN GANDRA BY TKO.

EARLY PRELIMS: THE SHADOW
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Edmen Shahbazyan (16-6) vs Brunno Ferreira (15-4)

When I say things like “nothing matters,” this is what I mean. Edmen Shahbazyan was on a three-fight winning streak, but that streak consisted of Dylan Budka, who fell to 0-3 and was promptly released, Andre Petroski, who had just also fought and beat Budka, and André Muniz, who at one point was a contender but was now 1 for 5 and promptly also cut loose. For beating these men, this past June, Edmen was given an Apex co-main event slot opposite Brendan Allen, the #4 Middleweight on the planet. The UFC and Allen’s management extolled his virtues as a real fighter who was willing to take on any challenge. Allen, unsurprisingly, won. For being a good company man, for doing the UFC such a big favor, Allen’s reward is an Apex main event next month against Christian Leroy Duncan, who is ranked six slots beneath him. And Edmen, who just one fight ago was judged worthy of being one heartbeat away from a shot at the Middleweight championship? Now he’s fighting Brunno Ferreira, who is unranked, 6-4, and on a two-fight losing streak. So many of these fights go nowhere. They build to nothing. They have no purpose but to fill a gap in a schedule.

Nothing is real. EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN BY DECISION.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Casey O’Neill (11-2, #12) vs Eduarda Moura (12-2, #13)

We are here, live, reporting from the smoldering crater that is Women’s Flyweight. This top fifteen match, which is of course less important than Ryan Gandra and Iwo Baraniewski, is between Casey O’Neill, who is back on a winning streak after two years spent wandering through the mire during which she lost to Jennifer Maia and Ariane Lipski, both of whom are no longer in the company even though she still is. Funnily enough, Casey’s coming off the two best wins of her career, having unseated Luana Santos, who is now top ten up a weight class at Bantamweight, and knocked out Gabi Fernandes, who famously choked out Wang Cong who is apparently now good enough to fight for the championship. Eduarda Moura, too, is coming off a fight with Cong, but Moura lost and missed weight in the process. Once upon a time I would have a deeper wellspring of anger for this, but the title is vacant, the top contenders are being passed up and Moura can’t even reliably make weight, so fuck, man, it is what it is.

CASEY O’NEILL BY DECISION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Joanderson Brito (19-5-1) vs Giga Chikadze (15-6)

That’s right, baby, it’s the real main event. Joanderson Brito, forever champion of my heart, destined to be a quintuple-division titleholder. Is he much smaller than Giga? Yes. Have Giga’s recent string of losses all been to very good, top-fifteen fighters? Also yes. Even in his dotage, does Giga know more about how to hit people than Joanderson has ever demonstrated in his life? Without a doubt. Is Joanderson going to win? Yes, just like he has won every fight of his life, even the ones he lost. He will knock Giga out in the first round, he will submit Giga in the second round, and he will puppet his unconscious body for the duration of the third so he can win the first ever 30-21 decision in UFC history. And then all of my favorite video game, movie, television and comic book characters will rush into my house for my birthday and we’ll all play Daggerfall.

JOANDERSON BRITO BY SUBMISSION EVEN THOUGH I THINK THERE’S A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE GIGA’S GOING TO BE ABLE TO KICK HIM FOR FIFTEEN MINUTES AND I’M GONNA GET REALLY SAD ABOUT IT.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 12 FROM THE DESERT DIAMOND ARENA IN GLENDALE, ARIZONA
SLIGHTLY EARLY START TIME WARNING | PRELIMS 11 AM PDT / 2 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 2 PM / 5 PM

Noche UFC, as an event series, was built to shamelessly market aroundpay tribute to Mexican Independence Day and Mexico’s rich cultural traditions. It has failed to ever actually do this. Last year’s Noche UFC 3 was supposed to see the UFC finally pull it off. Alexander Volkanovski was going to fight a rematch against Yair Rodríguez, and they were going to put it in the freshly-built Arena Guadalajara, and Mexico was, at last, going to be front and center.

And then Yair pulled out and the arena wasn’t ready and they wound up just doing it in a demographically Latino-heavy state with a Jean Silva main event and shrugging.

But that couldn’t possibly happen twice, could it?

MAIN EVENT: THE SHORT LADDER
FEATHERWEIGHT: Jean Silva (17-3, #6) vs Jose Delgado (12-2, NR)

Surprise! It happened again. Jean Silva and Yair Rodríguez were supposed to fight and it was supposed to be a big deal and then Yair pulled out again. Yair remains the #5 Featherweight in the UFC, a ranking he retains by virtue of one victory in almost four years, and it was against Patrício Pitbull, who is currently ranked #15. Fun fact, while we’re at it: Once this event comes and goes, in four years of Noche UFC, the event built to tie the UFC in with Mexico, there will have been twice as many Jean Silva appearances in their main events as there have been fighters who were born in Mexico.

We’re not even at the halfway point anymore. Brandon Moreno, Alexa Grasso, David Martinez, Edgar Cháirez, Rafa García, Regina Tarin, Jessie Rosas. Seven out of twenty-six fighters on this card are representing Mexico. And that’s a fuckin’ step up from last year. Somehow, impossibly, the UFC running some AI-generated video packages about Mexican history in the background of THE SPHERE between Ode’ Osbourne fights is the point at which they collectively decided they’d accomplished their mission and could give up on Noche UFC being a thing that matters past changing the .png file they put in front of the card on the website.

Exactly how little does it matter now, you ask?

Remember one week ago, when I talked about Nathaniel Wood and the way the UFC kept him perpetually buried? Two fights ago, Jose Delgado’s two-fight winning streak was snapped when he both missed weight and lost a decision to Wood--a controversial but defensible one--and then Delgado just barely scraped a split decision past the 4-for-12 Andre Fili, followed by Delgado winning his own controversial decision over the 1-1 Austin Bashi.

Despite this, despite being nowhere near the rankings, Jose Delgado is main eventing Noche UFC 4 against the #6 Featherweight on the planet because he was a) conveniently available, b) conveniently cheap and c) conveniently the son of Mexican immigrants. And I gotta tell you, man, I fuckin’ hate pointing that out, even though it’s just describing what the UFC is doing. I should just focus on being disgusted by the UFC’s shell game of spending one moment doing everything possible to propagandize for the most absurdly racist administration since Johnson and the next making Spanish-speaking Dana White holograms that totally respect Mexican culture as long as you’re willing to pay $115 for a black jersey that says Noche UFC on the back.* But because they don’t openly acknowledge it, I cannot help feeling like a shithead when I do.

_{*Yes, really. They’re also selling Noche UFC luchador masks for $80.}

There’s only been one Jose Delgado UFC appearance outside of the prelims. And it wasn’t even his last fight! They put him on the main card for the Fili fight, and then they demoted him back down to the prelims against Bashi, because heaven for-fucking-fend they not have main card space for Chase Hooper and Tommy McMillen. He’s up here in the main event fighting to be just a spot away from a title fight because making the main event of Noche UFC Jean Silva vs David Onama just wouldn’t have fit the marketing.

Of course, Jean Silva has nothing the fuck to do with Mexico, but that doesn’t matter because he’s Jean Silva.

In an era of the sport that prioritizes viral highlight-reel clips above all else, Jean Silva is the ideal fighter. He’s weird, he’s aggressive even to his detriment, he knocks people loopy with big booming punches and chokes Bryce Mitchell unconscious when you really, really need him to. There are only two men Jean’s failed to stop in his UFC tenure thus far: Diego Lopes, who ended last year’s Noche UFC 3 by rewarding Silva for his refusal to ever stop charging forward by knocking him out with a spinning elbow, and Arnold Allen, who Jean outclassed and smacked in the head dozens of times but couldn’t actually put down, because Allen is absurdly tough.

No one else has been able to fend him off. He’s too tough, too scary, and too vicious. He was a favorite to knock out Yair, and he’s an even bigger favorite to stop Delgado. And, hell, Delgado was a knockout artist himself! The whole basis of his UFC push was a lengthy KO streak that culminated in the 26-second destruction of undefeated prospect Hyder Amil.

But just like Jean Silva found he could no longer walk down and destroy fighters in the top ten, Delgado’s stoppage streak screamed to a halt against known quantities. With all respect in the world to Andre Fili, finishing him off has been one of Featherweight’s most reliable ways to prove you belong in the conversation. Dan Ige did it. Joanderson Brito did it even faster. Melquizael Costa and Vinicius Oliveira both did it. Jose Delgado got past him by the skin of his teeth.

So he’s tough, and he’s never been stopped, and he’s going to have a big size and reach advantage, and JEAN SILVA BY TKO is still the call.

CO-MAIN EVENT: GOING THROUGH THE WASH
FLYWEIGHT: Brandon Moreno (23-10-2, #8) vs Joseph Morales (14-2, NR)

We say this a lot, but this sport is fucking rough, man.

Three years ago, Brandon Moreno was the most celebrated Flyweight on the planet. He broke Brandon Royval’s arm, he kicked out Kai Kara-France’s liver, and he won the first and hopefully only championship quadrilogy in UFC history after both knocking out and submitting Deiveson Figueiredo, who, himself, went from the presumptive Flyweight king of an entire generation to kicked out of the weight class entirely. Moreno was the true king--the centerpiece of the UFC’s Mexican marketing plans, the winner of the wildest championship rivalry in years, the best Flyweight in the goddamn world.

It’s 2026 he isn’t even the best Brandon in the division anymore, and the word on the lips of angry internet fans is “washed.”

I’ll spoil it up front: I do not think Brandon Moreno is washed. I do think competing at the highest levels of the sport is really difficult. Moreno held Alexandre Pantoja and Brandon Royval to split decisions in close, competitive fights, dominated a largely motionless Amir Albazi, and took a unanimous decision over Steve Erceg. That’s two very close bouts with two of the best in the world, and two clear victories over ranked contenders.

But then he ate the first stoppage loss of his entire career against Tatsuro Taira, the man who just almost beat Joshua Van and became the world champion, and even then it was a controversial stoppage that Moreno protested immediately. Moreno was supposed to meet Asu Almabayev next, but wound up facing the very tricky Lone’er Kavanagh on very short notice and lost a decision. That’s the fight being used to cast the darkest shadows of doubt on Moreno’s future--largely because it was bookended by Kavanagh getting knocked out by Charles Johnson and choked out by Brandon Royval--to the point that Brandon Moreno is a betting underdog against Joseph “Bopo” Morales.

That and people really, really like finishes.

Let’s be real, here: Morales is barely back. He got beaten out of the UFC in 2018 after losing consecutive fights to Deiveson Figueiredo and Eric “Showtime” Shelton, who are, clearly, two equally important competitors, he vanished for most of the pandemic and resurfaced in Cage Warriors and Urijah Faber’s promotion where he mostly fought people who are barely staying above 50/50 records, he dipped for two more years, and he came back in 2025 to win The Ultimate Fighter 33 (jesus christ).

To be fair: The class of competition he fought there didn’t suck. Eduardo Chapolin is a man many cited as a serious prospect: Morales choked him out. Imanol Rodriguez is in the UFC now with a knockout win over the underrated Kevin Borjas: Morales beat him by split decision. Alibi Idiris, his partner in the tournament final, is, uh, serving a suspension after failing the UFC’s extremely unserious drug testing policy. But Bopo’s had a great UFC run in the year+ since his TUF victory, right?

I mean. He won a fight! Sure, it was against Matt Schnell, and sure, he was 3 for his last 10 and got finished in every single one of those losses, and sure, Schnell retired one fight later after getting pretty effortlessly knocked out in two and a half minutes, but hey, man, he’s finishing people.

This era of the sport really rewards finishers. Everything is built around them. Lowering the high-water mark on the roster isn’t just about affordability in talent, it’s about making it statistically more and more likely fights will end in stoppages. The less focused fighters are on defense, the less likely you get to a decision. Morales has only seen a decision four times in the last decade--three, if you don’t count TUF, which are legally just exhibitions. He’s a killer finisher!

But he struggles like hell with anyone he can’t finish. Morales throws his whole ass into his offense and it tends to leave him tired down the stretch. If Moreno can avoid getting submitted, he’s probably going to make it to a solid decision win. Which makes this a referendum on if you, yourself, believe that Moreno is, in fact, washed.

I’m still going with no. BRANDON MORENO BY DECISION.

MAIN CARD: I CANNOT SUFFICIENTLY STRESS HOW MUCH YOU CAN, SHOULD, AND MUST GO FUCK YOURSELVES

FEATHERWEIGHT: Tommy McMillen (11-0) vs Marwan Rahiki (9-0)

Let me diagram how the sport works now.

Tommy McMillen gets scouted by the UFC because the UFC’s favorite son Sean O’Malley trains with him. He’s placed on the Contender Series at an undefeated 7-0, having never fought serious competition. He wins his contract by beating David Mgoyan, who has spent almost all of his career fighting men with terrible records. McMillen barely wins a majority decision; despite the closeness of the fight, Mgoyan is not hired. In McMillen’s debut, the UFC puts him on the main card and gives him Manolo Zecchini, one of their least qualified, least successful fighters. As McMillen fights and, inevitably, wins, the commentary team calls him a superstar somewhere between three and thirty times. For his second appearance, the UFC steps him all the way up to Alberto Montes, who has one fight in two years, is past 30, and gives up almost half a foot in height and reach.

Marwan Rahiki gets scouted by the UFC because the Australian government is paying them millions of dollars to focus on their regional fight scene. He’s 6-0, a path he, too, has blazed through people that are equally inexperienced and unaccomplished. Rahiki’s DWCS opponent, Ananias Mulumba, has one solid win in his career, but earned his spot by choking out a 10-12 man in Abu Dhabi. Rahiki wins, and for his UFC debut he draws Harry Hardwick, who had one UFC fight, during which he looked terrible. Rahiki beats him, too, while the desk calls him a rising Australian star. There’s an attempt to book Rahiki against legitimate competition in Jack Jenkins, but Jack gets hurt, so the UFC shrugs and replaces him with regional fighter Ollie Schmid, who is 4-2 and has never beaten an opponent with a winning record. Rahiki nukes him in one round.

You take these two men, who have coasted to the big show on a wave of good fortune and preferable matchmaking, and you book them not just on your main card, but as your featured bout. You have the commentary team talk about their place as the future of the sport. You make them more important than top contenders, former world champions, and ranked fighters. You make god damn sure Tommy McMillen is in the press photo collages for the show, because you’ve already decided he’s The Guy and nothing’s going to stop you from making it so.

And then you go back to the rest of the roster and you tell them it’s their job to market themselves because the UFC isn’t going to do it for them.

MARWAN RAHIKI BY TKO.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Manon Fiorot (13-2, #2) vs Alexa Grasso (17-5-1, #3)

I break format pretty frequently, but I very rarely break schedule. I write the main and co-main events on Sunday, the main card on Monday and the prelims on Tuesday. That’s the system that has worked for me, given how frequently the UFC changes their cards around during fight week.

As of this writing, it is Saturday the 5th. A few hours ago, during the Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse event in Paris, the UFC officially confirmed an incredibly stupid internet rumor from the past week: Valentina Shevchenko is injured, she has been stripped of the UFC Women’s Flyweight Championship, and the new main event of UFC 332 on October 3 is Natália Silva vs Wang Cong for the undisputed title.

Good news, though: Women’s Flyweight is flush with contenders. Manon Fiorot, Alexa Grasso and Erin Blanchfield are all right there! All three of them are booked to fight within the next month! All you’d have to do is de-book one of those fights and slot them in! This fight can’t be that important to you, because despite being a de facto #1 contendership match you booked it under Tommy McfuckingMillen!

Or, you know. You could just put Wang Cong in.

I hammered out about five angry paragraphs about it before realizing I wasn’t writing about Manon vs Alexa anymore, I was writing about Silva vs Cong and what that says about the state of the sport, and that will wait until next month. Manon Fiorot and Alexa Grasso have done everything the UFC could possibly ask of them. One fight ago, Manon took on Jasmine Jasudavicius, who had never been stopped, and knocked her dead in 74 seconds. One fight ago, Alexa Grasso took on Maycee Barber, who had never been stopped, and knocked her dead--before slapping a rear naked choke on her unconscious body for good measure--in two and a half minutes.

They’re at the top of their division. They just delivered knockout-of-the-year finishes. Alexa Grasso was the world goddamn champion.

They are not as important as Jose Delgado, Joseph Morales or Marwan Rahiki.

I like Alexa and her style. I don’t think she’s going to be able to use it as effectively against Manon’s counterpunching and strength advantage as she’ll need to. MANON FIOROT BY DECISION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (17-3, #5) vs Curtis Blaydes (19-6 (1), #6)

Salsa Boy cannot fail, he can only be failed. The UFC really fucking loves Waldo, I assume on account of his fun nickname, his general refusal to wrestle, and his place as one of their only successful Contender Series Heavyweights, particularly since their terrible breakup with Jailton Almeida. They got Waldo a couple wins coming straight off DWCS, they threw him into a ranked bout with Marcos Rogério de Lima, and he lost, badly. They gave him five fairly easy wins, most of whom were coming off losses, before trying to jump him all the way to top last August by having him fight Sergei Pavlovich. Waldo got completely shut out. Waldo got three more fights and three more wins, and they somehow decided beating Derrick Lewis in 2026 made Waldo a top five Heavyweight and gave him a shot at top contender Alexander Volkov, and he lost, again.

So now it’s time to drag what’s left of Curtis Blaydes back onto the chopping block. I have been a gigantic fan of Curtis Blaydes* for years, and I have complained roundly about the UFC’s multiple attempts to sidetrack him favor of more marketable, less wrestley Heavyweights for just as long, but he bumped into the ceiling of big, terrifying punchers every time he reached the top of the room, and at this point, I think it’s just about over. Tom Aspinall killed him in sixty seconds flat, Blaydes only barely scraped by Rizvan Kuniev with a split decision, and while it’s one of the very, very few fights I haven’t watched, my understanding is he hit Josh Hokit several hundred times and still lost a decision. He looks a bit slower, a bit less mobile and a bit more tired every time we see him, and I just don’t have the faith anymore.

WALDO CORTES-ACOSTA BY TKO. Kinda hope I’m wrong, though.

_{*at least I’m a fan of Curtis Blaydes as a fighter, rather than as a guy who posts transphobic bullshit on social media all the time, but at this point I don’t know who’s left in MMA I wouldn’t have to say this about other than maybe Liz Carmouche and it bums me out every single day}

BANTAMWEIGHT: David Martinez (14-1, #8) vs Dan Ige (19-11, NR)

It’s been a really weird couple years for David Martinez. Not unsuccessful, by any means--just weird. At the end of 2024, David was the Combate Global champion, a handful of folks had heard of him, and he’d made it to the Contender Series on an episode built around people who really matter, like Diyar Nurgozhay. By the start of 2026, David was a top ten Bantamweight on a ten-fight winning streak who’d just beaten a former titlist in Marlon Vera. By the midpoint of the year, David was intended to have faced Umar Nurmagomedov in a top contendership bout. But the UFC decided it made more sense to send Umar to China to lose to Song Yadong, and their brand new top ten Bantamweight was conveniently Mexican, so Noche UFC 4 was his inevitable home.

And if that means going from a top contendership bout with Umar to defending your top ten spot against the no-longer-ranked Dan Ige, well, that’s tough, buddy. Dan has been keeping the Bantamweight gate for years, but it’s starting to show in his record. There isn’t a single embarrassing loss on the list--Emmett, Evloev, Lopes, Lerone, anyone who talks shit about losing to them isn’t worth listening to--but because Ige has been fighting these top guys for so damn long, he’s, uh, 11-10 in the UFC now. He’s been losing more than he wins for the last six years, and he’s closing in on his late thirties, and in an age where the company is cutting older, more expensive contracts on a whim, all of his time is borrowed time. He’s here until they no longer feel he’s useful.

But he’s also bigger, longer, and still a really good counterpuncher. Ige’s always had some of the best bread-and-butter boxing in the division, the people who beat him tend to be the people who are either too technical for him or too intense for his orthodox style to overcome. I’m not quite convinced Martinez is either of those. DAN IGE BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: I CAN’T LET YOU GET KLOSE

FLYWEIGHT: Tim Elliott (21-14-1, #12) vs Edgar Cháirez (14-6 (1), #15)

God bless you, Flyweight. You are my rock. There are so few matchups you can make in its ranks that aren’t extremely likely to fucking rule, and this is a great example. Tim Elliott is a seventeen-year veteran who came dangerously close to choking out Demetrious Johnson a decade ago and has settled into ten fun years of being a really creative grappler who would probably succeed a little more if he didn’t juke and dance and occasionally moonwalk in mid-fight, but then he just wouldn’t be himself, and being himself is good enough to stick as a permanent entry in the top fifteen. Edgar Cháirez is a tough prospect with some really aggressive grappling attacks, sometimes to his outright detriment as he’s sacrificed control to jump on chokes, but then, he wouldn’t have so goddamn many submissions on his record if he didn’t. He went the distance with Tatsuro Taira and Joshua Van, he just became the first man in the UFC to choke out Bruno Silva, and he needs a win over a known quantity to finally establish himself as a contender.

But I don’t think he’s gonna get it. Elliott is notoriously tough to outgrapple, Edgar’s best hopes probably involve keeping the fight standing, and unless Elliott chooses to fight to his weaknesses--which, in fairness, happens, constantly--he stands a real good chance of keeping the fight in his wheelhouse. TIM ELLIOTT BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Ignacio Bahamondes (17-7) vs Muslim Salikhov (22-6)

It is, once again, a time of judgment for Ignacio Bahamondes. The UFC’s been trying to make him a star since his post-DWCS debut all the way back in 2021, but every time they managed to get his foot in the door, someone slammed it in his face. First it was John Makdessi, then Ľudovít Klein, and after Ignacio notched the best win of his life against Jalin Turner last year management thought he was finally ready, only to watch him eat back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. He couldn’t outstrike Rafael Fiziev and he couldn’t outwork Tofiq Musayev, and now, having been thoroughly pushed out of the picture at Lightweight, it is time to do what a 6’3” man probably should have done in the first place and go back to 170 pounds. Muslim Salikhov is here to lose. He’s going on 43, he’s shorter, he’s stubbier, and every fight with him is essentially just a coinflip. He wheelkicked Song Kenan, he stopped Carlos Leal’s momentum dead in its tracks with a forty-two-second knockout, and then Uroš Medić dusted him in a minute flat. He kills or he is killed, and here, they are seeking his pelt.

I make the mistake of picking Muslim often. Statistically, it’s a terrible idea. But it’s been a long time since Ignacio has had to worry about Welterweight punching power, and Muslim has this tendency to land counters out of nowhere, and most importantly, I failed Statistics. MUSLIM SALIKHOV BY TKO.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Yousri Belgaroui (10-3) vs Djorden Santos (11-3)

If Bahamondes/Salikhov was a slanted battle, this is an attempted execution. Remember last month, when we were talking about the UFC’s attempts to rehabilitate their big scary Middleweight finishing machine Mansur Abdul-Malik? That’s because one fight ago, Yousri Belgaroui knocked him dead. Remember a few months back, when we discussed Ozzy Diaz, the man the UFC employs so they have someone to march out and get destroyed by big strikers like Zhang Mingyang and Ateba Gautier? Two fights ago, Diaz beat Djorden Santos. Belgaroui is 6’6”, undefeated in the UFC, and coming off three straight knockouts. Djorden is half a foot shorter, 1-2, and just got choked out by Baisangur Susurkaev in his last bout.

It’s not subtle. YOUSRI BELGAROUI BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Drakkar Klose (16-3-1) vs Tommy Gantt (12-0)

Sometimes there’s a fight that exists solely to make me individually feel stupid and set in my ways. Drakkar Klose has been in the UFC for damn near a decade, and in that time only three people have beaten him: David Teymur, who will go down as one of the UFC’s unsung what-ifs, Beneil Dariush, who was a top Lightweight contender during some of its toughest years, and Joel Álvarez, who is a) scary as hell and b) not a Lightweight. Klose is historically, objectively, good. Tommy Gantt is a -500 favorite to not just beat but destroy him. Gantt has only fought three men with winning records in his entire career, and one of them was the 11-9 Josh Henry, who got destroyed by UFC washout Kyle Prepolec: Gantt struggled with him into the third round. His DWCS fight was against a man with only one decent win and his UFC debut was against Artur Minev, who arguably had none*, but Gantt stopped them, so now he’s the next big thing.

And, honestly? Could be. I can tell you about Klose’s experience advantage, but he’s damn near 39 and Gantt is bigger, stronger, younger, hungrier and a better wrestler. The UFC’s probably right and Gantt is probably about to eat Klose alive and they’ll have been all the smarter for imparting his credibility to a (slightly) younger prospect with more upside and a much cheaper contract. But I choose to live in the midst of the probablies. DRAKKAR KLOSE BY DECISION.

_{*it pains me to say this because Minev’s said win was over Derek Campos, who beat Daniel Straus back in Bellator, and god knows I like Daniel Straus, but by the time of that fight he was in his late thirties and on the losing streak that led to his retirement, and by the time Minev fought Campos, it was Campos who was 37 years old and 1 for his last 11, and god, time is just the biggest bitch}

LIGHTWEIGHT: Rafa García (19-4) vs Rongzhu (28-6)

Sometimes the UFC has a couple of puzzle pieces they don’t quite know what to do with, and their solution is to slam them together in the hopes that one of them will take a shape they find useful. Rafa García is fucking great. 7-2 at Lightweight over the last five years is a fantastic accomplishment, especially when you consider the way he fucked up Jared Gordon and bounced Alexander Hernandez off his winning streak. And yet: Hernandez is fighting former champion Rafael dos Anjos next month, and Rafa is fighting Rongzhu. Rongzhu, himself, is on his second lease on life with the UFC. They hired him back in 2021, he was a giant mess who missed weight repeatedly and mostly lost, he came back for the Road to UFC 2 tournament, beat everyone in front of him and won his new contract with ease, and was promptly crushed by Chris “Taco” Padilla. To any sensible observer, this is fine: Taco is a bad motherfucker. To the UFC, which inexplicably hates him, this has seen Rongzhu banished to forgettable prelim duty. They sent him to Australia where he beat Kody Steele, they sent him to China to knock off Austin Hubbard, and then they put him back on a Road to UFC card to knock out Victor Martinez. And now, on a three-fight winning streak, with a card in China that happened just two weeks ago, Rongzhu, one of their most successful Chinese fighters, is playing the role of the evil foreigner against a Mexican fighter on a Noche UFC card three bouts from the bottom.

It sucks when they don’t care about you no matter how good you’re doing. RAFA GARCÍA BY DECISION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Jessie Rosas (8-1) vs Sean King (6-0)

Dateline: One month ago.

If you’ve been reading these for any real length of time, you’re already very familiar with my feelings on Raul Rosas Jr. and the way the UFC tried to usher him into the upper ranks of the sport with a series of carefully-curated matchups. Suppose Raul had a brother named Jessie. Suppose Jessie didn’t beat a single person with a winning record until just this past June, and suppose that record was 23-11. Suppose Jessie got a UFC contract anyway, and suppose that the UFC decided Miles Johns, who is coincidentally on a three-fight losing streak, was the right man to welcome him to the company, for some strange reason. How do you think I would feel about that, and who do you think I would pick?

Just before weigh-ins, Rosas/Johns got pulled from the card after the UFC’s doctor reportedly decided a scratch on his head looked infected. If you were the conspiratorial sort, you might want to say that someone realized they hired Rosas the Lesser and slated him to debut against a man who has beaten Actually Good Fighters and realized they should calibrate their expectations just a bit better. So: Here’s Sean King. He’s had 6 fights, only two of them were against people with winning records, and those records are 5-4 and 13-10. One bout ago King was choking out Cristian “The Cannibal” Lopez, a totally legitimate fighter for Fury FC who is 2-15 with every single loss of his career coming by stoppage and 10 of those stoppages coming in the first round, which is not at all conspicuous, and it in no way reflects on the state of our sport that the UFC is contracting this calibre of competitor on a regular basis.

Congrats on the better deal, Jessie. JESSIE ROSAS BY DECISION.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: JJ Aldrich (15-7, #15) vs Regina Tarin (8-0, NR)

But it just wouldn’t be a modern UFC card without a ranked women’s fight buried as far down on the prelims as possible. JJ Aldrich was a serious prospect once upon a time, and she’s been treading water for just about four years, instead. Only one woman that Aldrich has beaten since 2022 is still in the UFC, and it’s Jamey-Lyn Horth, whom Aldrich beat in her last fight, a victory so meaningful to the company that next month Horth is fighting former title challenger and top ten fixture Katlyn Cerminara (née Chookagian) as a home-country hero in Canada, and Aldrich is curtain-jerking Noche UFC as the American competitor against Mexico’s Regina Tarin, who has one UFC fight, ever. We saw Tarin fight and beat Ernesta Kareckaite back in February, and it was a competitive, difficult bout that saw Tarin scrape by with a decision after just barely, barely outstriking her.

On one hand: I am not sold on Regina. Ernesta Kareckaite hasn’t been all that great, and struggling that badly with her doesn’t give me a great deal of faith in Regina’s future. On the other: Aldrich has been coasting for years. She seems tired--not in the sense of her gas tank, which is perfectly fine, but in the existential sense where watching her fight feels like watching someone listen to “Once in a Lifetime” on repeat while questioning all of their life choices. JJ ALDRICH BY DECISION is still the call, but I hope there is still joy in her heart for this terrible sport.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 FROM THE ACCOR ARENA IN PARIS, FRANCE
EARLY START TIME WARNING | PRELIMS 9 AM PDT / 12 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 12 PM / 3 PM

I’ll give the UFC this: One of the benefits of fully inhabiting the Nothing Matters era of the sport is how occasionally hilarious cards can be when you’re just throwing things at the wall. Dan Hooker’s fighting international superprospect Salahdine Parnasse! Michael “Venom” Page is maybe finishing his UFC contract against Nursulton Ruziboev, for some reason! Losene Keita? He gets Muhammad Naimov, the man what got his shit broke by Mairon Santos. And Trevor Peek and his lunchbox hands are back, in Paris, fighting an Englishman.

It’s fun. It’s nihilistic, but it’s fun.

MAIN EVENT: GOING ON THE OFFENSIVE
LIGHTWEIGHT: Dan Hooker (24-14, #10) vs Salahdine Parnasse (23-2, NR)

This was the first battle in 2027’s upcoming MMA war, and the UFC won.

When I began writing these back in 2022, the landscape of the sport, particularly in America, was very different. Bellator was promoting their eighteen-event schedule, ONE was broadcasting MMA through a cable deal with TNT, the PFL was making its biggest promotional moves, Invicta was good for a half-dozen women’s MMA cards every year and Rizin was actively courting American fighters. Over the last five years, all of that has fallen apart. Rizin recalibrated its promotional intentions. ONE lost its cable deal, lost most of its MMA fighters, and is now a medium-budget kickboxing organization in denial. Invicta fell through the cracks of the sport entirely, and its promised January/February/March 2026 relaunch came and went without a peep. Bellator failed and was eaten by the PFL, and now the PFL has failed and is, itself, being consumed by Jake Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions.

Right in the middle of all of that, the UFC failed to sign Salahdine Parnasse.

The world of international prospects has fallen on hard times, with the general apathy combat sports find themselves stuck in at the moment, but there were a handful of names on the lips of the faithful, and Salahdine Parnasse was one of the biggest. Maybe France’s best fighter, two-division champion in Poland’s venerable Konfrontacja Sztuk Walki, only two losses in his career, one of which he’d avenged, the other a noble but failed attempt to become a three-division champion after going from Featherweight to Welterweight. He was a big fucking deal, everyone wanted to see where he’d go, and when his KSW contract ended in 2024 he fielded multiple offers, including one from the UFC. Per Drake Riggs, it was exactly what you would expect.

To make things sweeter, Parnasse also extended his deal with KSW after a rather disappointing bid from UFC, according to his coach and manager, Stéphane Chaufourier.

“The seesaw is huge,” Chaufourier told RMC Sport. “You should know that I won’t give figures but we had very, very good proposals. We earn two and a half times what we used to earn. So it’s just huge. It’s largely in the six figures, yes, of course. The UFC was between 20 and 30 times less.”

Parnasse, who is not an idiot, stayed in KSW, built an even bigger name for himself, and made actual money in the process. And now, two years later, he has a UFC contract his people found satisfactory. What could possibly have changed so much in just two years, that the UFC would go from lowballing him by a factor of 20 to signing him to an apparently good contract that puts him right in the main event, fighting for a spot in the top ten?

Well, mostly, they’re scared shitless of Netflix.

I’d love to tell you that they’re afraid of the upcoming world of MMA in 2027 as a whole. We know there were multiple professional entities pursuing Parnasse. After all: Scott Coker’s coming back! He’s got investors! They’re gonna do something! The GFL is going to launch, but for realsies this time! Jake Paul’s MVP Promotions bought the PFL and they’re gonna start running real shows and it’s gonna change the world of combat sports! I would love it if UFC management had a Scott Coker alarm that started ringing in a vault somewhere and they’re scrambling to prepare for his imminent return.

The reality is much simpler: The UFC promoted a multitude of multiple-title cards, the return of Conor McGregor and a live event at the fucking White House this year, and all of them got outperformed by a seventeen-second Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano fight that happened to be on Netflix.

That’s it. That’s the story. The UFC has spent years not having to even think about what their competition was doing, because no one rose to the point of being credibly called competition. Bellator tried for fifteen years and couldn’t pull it off. Rizin and ONE aren’t trying at all. The PFL was never, ever going to get there.

But Jake Paul did it on their first night, because he has the biggest gun in the broadcast war. Just a few bouts down from the main event, Salahdine Parnasse took on unsigned Contender Series winner Kenny “The Boss” Cross, who in a decade of competition had never been stopped on strikes, and battered him to a body-shot TKO in one round.

And then he went home and waited for the phone to ring, and when the UFC called, he told them about the offers he had from Paul and Coker and how happy he would be to become the first-ever Netflix champion.

Competition is good for the industry. It is good for the fighters. It is good for the fans. It is debatable if it’s good for Dan Hooker, because competition has been really giving him trouble lately.

On one hand, Dan is the kind of fighter the UFC churns through legions of human souls to find. Always exciting; always dangerous. Chases finishes, puts himself at risk to do damage, stands toe-to-toe with Dustin Poirier and goes blow-for-blow with Edson Barboza. Has a half-dozen performance awards, been around the rankings for years, able to slot into main events without any issue because he’s built up that much cache with the fans for his style and his many years of mileage. The kind of fighter every company wants to have.

He’s also 4 for his last 10.

Being the company man isn’t good for your career, just like being the noticeably tough guy isn’t actually good for your optics. Everyone knows Hooker’s tough because they’ve seen him getting the crap kicked out of him over and over. He may have stood with Poirier and Barboza, but he absorbed a hellish amount of punishment. He got knocked out by Michael Chandler and Arnold Allen. Islam Makhachev cut through him in minutes. We just watched Hooker take a fight with Arman Tsarukyan, get his face punched and elbowed until one of his eyes swelled shut, and hop right back into the cage barely two months later to get mauled all over again by Benoît Saint Denis.

The division is passing him by. His best victories in the last six years were coinflip splits over Jalin Turner and Mateusz Gamrot--the latter is the only reason Hooker’s still ranked at all--and we watched Turner get mulched by Renato Moicano, who can barely hold onto a ranking, and we’re not even a month removed from Mateusz Gamrot getting surgically disassembled by Quillan Salkilld. The same grit and grime that defined Dan’s style and made him a fan favorite have penned him in. He hasn’t evolved at pace with the rest of his peers.

And now he’s going on 37 and coming ever-closer to a 50/50 record in the UFC, and the company that’s been so glad to have his services is putting him in front of their big new French star in the middle of Paris.

Hooker’s still bigger. He’s still rangier. But he’s not faster, he’s not as multifaceted, and once upon a time I would have comfortably said he was tougher, but these days, I’m just not sure that’s true. Parnasse is exceptional at mixing his strikes and keeping his opponents stuck in defensive mode, and Hooker’s always struggled with fighters that don’t let him lead. Parnasse is the kind of fighter he used to outlast, but that was seven-eight years and three-four violent knockouts ago. In the time between that violent, legendary war with Edson Barboza and today, Hooker’s taken 599 recorded significant strikes to the head. And that’s just competition. No sparring or training. 599 professional athlete punches to the brain.

Parnasse will probably get that well over 600. Time is unkind, and so is fighting. SALAHDINE PARNASSE BY TKO.

CO-MAIN EVENT: THE FRENCHIEST
LIGHTWEIGHT: Farès Ziam (18-5) vs Axel Sola (12-1-1)

When I saw this fight I did a double-take, as I felt like we just got together to talk about the historical misfortunes of Farès Ziam, and as it turns out, the answer is Yes. We’re not even three months removed from Ziam’s fight with Tom Nolan, which we discussed, at length, as one of those pull-back-the-curtain moments where an 8-2 guy on a six-fight winning streak can’t get an ascension fight under any circumstances, but a promotionally-favored Contender Series winner gets a shot at him as soon as he’s ranked. And it worked out just the way the UFC wanted. Ziam couldn’t beat Nolan, and now Nolan is ranked and waiting for his chance to shoot up to the top ten, and Farès is here fighting Axel Sola.

Whom we also just finished talking about. Even more recently! Axel fought Mason Jones in March, lost, moved onto Ismael Bonfim in July, won, and is back in the cage just six weeks later, because he’s French. Both of these men are French. Is it medically inadvisable to cut weight, have a professional combat sports fight, get hit in the head multiple times, go homie, and do it all over again within just a matter of a handful of weeks?

Sure! But imagine how convenient it is to fight in your own country and not have to fly all the way to America and deal with DHS and ICE and the it’s-a-moldy-warehouse-but-we-put-in-bench-seats-so-it’s-fine-now depths of the Apex, and surely, you, too will decide that’s worth shredding a bunch of your neuroepithelial cells.

None of that keeps this fight from feeling as though it’s occurring from a safe, serene, seamless cell made of cotton from which nothing that matters can escape. It’s rankings-adjacent, I suppose, in that the UFC would like to get Axel up there but has proven to not give much of a shit about Ziam. It’s an acceptable prospect vs prospect bout, save that neither has any real momentum to impart to the other. It’s not even a good Hero vs Evil Foreigner bout for the hometown crowd, because both of them are fucking French.

So I am left to be guided solely by who I have more faith in. FARÈS ZIAM BY DECISION.

MAIN CARD: ALSO, SOME STUFF
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Michael Page (25-3, #15) vs Nursulton Ruziboev (37-9-2, NR)

This is the very rare case where I have more to say about a regular main card fight than I do about the co-main event. It took the UFC to make me a fan of Michael “Venom” Page, and they achieved it through the power of pure, unadulterated spite.

His entire Bellator run infuriated me. The favorable matchmaking, the baffling style, the allergy to good wrestlers, the way that when he did get wrestled it pissed people off so much that even notoriously nice Scott Coker got hit by Rita Repulsa’s staff and turned into Dana White just long enough to complain about how wrestling shouldn’t count. Everything about his career was built atop astroturf, and it made it infuriatingly difficult to figure out just how good he legitimately was.

Then he joined the UFC, and it turned out he is, in fact, very, very good. And there’s a very, very good chance this is the last time you’ll see him in the UFC’s cage, because they fuckin’ hate him.

They brought him in against Kevin Holland and he won, easily. They threw him to the wolves with Ian Machado Garry, and he lost, but only narrowly. Having established himself as a top ten fighter at Welterweight, the UFC promptly sent him up to Middleweight to fight regional attraction Shara Magomedov. When MVP won that, they booked him against Jared Cannonier, fallen contender. And when Page won that--which established him as a top ten fighter at Middleweight, too--they threw him back to Welterweight against the not-even-close-to-ranked Sam Patterson. He didn’t have a damn thing for Page, either.

So, after years of wondering, it turns out Page is legitimately good enough to contend at two weight classes at once. He’s even ranked at Middleweight now! At #15, four slots below Jared Cannonier, the man he already beat. This is the last fight on Page’s UFC contract, and in the same environment that has seen the company start throwing money around to hold down potentially important fighters again, MVP has very notably not been preemptively offered a new deal, and he is fighting the unranked Nursulton Ruziboev as the third bout down in Paris. This, I assume, is because the UFC salivated over the idea of the Michael Page that executed fighters with flying knees and spinning kicks, instead of actually watching his tape and seeing the reality of Michael Page, the ponderous, low-volume counter-striker that lands five punches per round and does it so well that, somehow, he still wins.

But if you go around the MMA internet the near-universal response to Page’s interviews about this being the end of his contract are expressions of relief and glee that he won’t be able to bore the audience to death anymore. I try not to play the contrarian, and I understand why MVP’s style turns people off, but I gotta say: In the modern era where the UFC hires the sloppiest brawlers they can find so Michael Bisping and Jon Anik can spend another seven point five minutes in paroxysms of commentariat ecstasy about the way 4-2 Jarbo Muggins and 3-1 Billiam “Trash Shorts” Landman swinging haymakers at each other for minimum wage with no semblance of defense is an exhibition of the sport at its greatest, I now, officially, appreciate Michael Page.

It took two years of effort to prove, indisputably, that Page is one of the best fighters in the world and always belonged in the UFC. It took the same amount of time for the UFC to realize they didn’t actually care. Ruziboev’s the very rare bigger man in a Michael Page fight and he’s capable of throwing straight punches, and they’re really hoping that’ll be enough to finally rub MVP’s credibility off on someone they actually want.

I’m hoping they’re wrong. I’m hoping they keep one of the most unique fighters in the sport on the roster, however frustrating he can be. I am hoping my slow migration into accepting that I am an MVP fan has not come right when the rest of the world gives up on him.

I am hoping we get MICHAEL PAGE BY DECISION while a lot of bored Frenchmen boo, and then he gets re-signed anyway and given fights that actually matter. But the faith I have in him to win this fight is not matched by the likelihood that we’ll see him in KSW or OKTAGON or the next MVP on Netflix card instead.

WELTERWEIGHT: Daniil Donchenko (14-2) vs Punahele Soriano (13-4)

A few weeks ago, while discussing Uroš Medić getting a UFC main event, we discussed poor Punahele Soriano.

Mytykbek Orolbai tapped Uroš easily and Punahele Soriano punched his head into the third row in thirty-one seconds.

Hell, Punahele’s on a four-fight winning streak. If we still believed in the UFC’s line about the best rising to the top, he’d be here. He is not here. He isn’t booked at all right now, actually.

That changed about a week later, when Punahele was scheduled against Daniil Donchenko for this card. Are you an aggressive fighter who fulfills the company’s hard-punching, knockout-hunting needs? Have you gone almost three years without losing? Did you knock future main eventer Uroš Medić out without breaking a sweat? Congratulations! You, too, are qualified to face the champion of The Ultimate Fighter 33 (jesus christ), who is 2-0* and just defeated no less than the man, the myth, the legend, Theodor “Simba” Berggren.
_{*TUF championship fights shouldn’t count. They’re fighting for a contract! The entire premise of the bout is two people are competing to see which of them is worthy of the UFC! Road to UFC fights don’t count as UFC bouts and neither should these.}

People are really up on Donchenko as a horrifyingly violent triking wrecking machine, to the point that he’s actually the favorite here, and I think it’s easy to forget that competition matters. He did worse against Alex Morono than Carlos Leal, Joaquin Buckley, and Santiago Ponzinibbio did. He’s good! But I’m not sold on his full-on prospects yet.

Though I’m probably biased by my desire for matchmaking justice. Either way: PUNAHELE SORIANO BY DECISION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Kurtis Campbell (8-1) vs Trevor Peek (9-3)

The Kurtis Campbell hype train derailed so fast most folks have already forgotten it existed at all. The world, and the UFC, believed in him. He was an undefeated British champion with an eclectic style, a sense of humor and a solid stoppage ratio, and after knocking out Demba Seck on the Contender Series, the UFC put Campbell straight onto a main card in London as a sizable favorite over promotional veteran Danny Silva. And Campbell did fine! Up until he got punched stupid as soon as the second round started. Trevor Peek made himself an instantly memorable fan favorite by fighting like a caveman that had fallen into a glacier during a mid-2000s UFC event and thawed out twenty years later, smelling of Axe, obsessed with Carrie Underwood, and throwing punches that resembled clotheslines more than hooks. It was great! It also led to him going 2 for 5. He went on the shelf with a fractured leg in 2025 and he’s been on the shelf for a year and a half, and this is his chance to make a second impression.

Realistically, Campbell should win this. He’s better-rounded and much more strategic and Peek’s been away awhile. But I’m rooting for fun. TREVOR PEEK BY TKO.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Losene Keita (16-2) vs Muhammad Naimov (13-4)

For the third time, Losene Keita is looking for a fresh start. His hype as a potential international star began to really grow in 2023 when he became a two-division champion in OKTAGON, and right as the world’s attention turned to him, he lost his undefeated streak on a fluke, breaking his foot a minute into a title unification bout. It took two more years to make it to the UFC, but by god, he got there. And then he missed weight and his debut fight got scrapped. After another half-year of waiting, this past March, he finally, finally stepped out into the spotlight of the big show, ready to announce himself as the star everyone already knew he was. And then he lost a decision to Nathaniel Wood. So, this is it. First impressions, third attempt, and if he fails, he’s Just Another Guy.

Muhammad Naimov is not here to make it easy. He’s given a half-dozen people tough fucking nights in the UFC already, with a very successful combination of angry clinch attacks, solid grappling control, head-first pressure and those up-close clipping hooks that don’t do as much damage as you’d really want them to, but they’re fast and annoying and it makes it a real pain in the ass to throw back against them. He’s tough, he’s frustrating, and he, too, has taken a good nine months to recover after Mairon Santos dealt him the first knockout loss of his entire career last December. Even that took going into the third round, though. He’s never been an easy out for anyone, and even if he’s here against a prospect the UFC would love to cultivate, he has no intention of starting now.

Keita had a lot of trouble figuring out how to pull the trigger against Wood, and I’m hoping he has his shit together a little better now, because the skills are very much there. He just needs to use them. LOSENE KEITA BY TKO.

PRELIMS: SNEAK PEEK
FEATHERWEIGHT: Morgan Charrière (21-12-1) vs Felipe Lima (14-2)

There are some guys who are just here to be fun, and at this point, Morgan Charrière is firmly stuck in that category, and that’s just fine. He was already a bit stuck in the mud when he got pulled into the UFC in 2023. No one doubted that he was good--he took on some of the best prospects in the world, put up a real fight, and ultimately went the distance with folks like Soren Bak, Jordan Vucenic and Paul Hughes. But he lost those decisions. His UFC time hasn’t been all that different. Placed against guys like Nate Landwehr, Gabriel Miranda and Manolo Zecchini, he looks like a stone-cold killer. But each of those wins is spaced out with a loss to someone just a bit better, and his 2025 ended with Melquizael Costa kicking him to death in seventy-four seconds.

He is, however: French. Felipe Lima is not. Lima’s also trying to rebound from his first loss in a decade, as just barely shy of ten undefeated years came to an end in June of 2025 when the company used Lima as a rehabilitation fight for promotional superprospect Payton Talbott. It is possible that Lima’s lifelong habit of hopping between 135 and 145 has some rough edges, and ‘fight one of the best Bantamweights we have’ did not, in fact, work out for him. One could say, in theory, that the UFC picking Lima to fight Talbott followed by a match-up with Morgan in Paris might be giving away the game just a touch about Lima being used less as a prospect than he is a utility player. But he’s good, and well-rounded, and he kicks pretty fuckin’ hard.

And I cannot help thinking he’s the kind of defensively sound fighter that gives Morgan fits. FELIPE LIMA BY DECISION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Mario Pinto (12-0) vs Ryan Spann (24-11)

Last week, Dana White used a chunk of the post-fight presser to talk about how the Heavyweight division was finally recovering and on the rise, after years of being stale. Mario Pinto, an undefeated Heavyweight with three straight UFC wins, is fighting Ryan Spann, a Light Heavyweight washout, in an unranked bout on the prelims of a Fight Night that broadcasts in the morning. Next week, Waldo Cortes-Acosta, who has failed to grasp contendership twice, is picking the bones on a tragically aging Curtis Blaydes. One week later Tai Tuivasa has the chance to tie Tony Ferguson’s all-time UFC losing streak record when he fights Robelis Despaigne, whom the UFC cut two years ago but now wants back because he was on Netflix once. Later that night sex criminal superprospect Gable Steveson is going to fight the 0-2 Sean Sharaf, and next month, Alexander Volkov, who has been the #1 contender for more than a year, is fighting down in the rankings for the third consecutive time. The champion is out indefinitely with an eye injury the UFC publicly called him a coward over and the interim champion won his belt by beating a Light Heavyweight who is still trying to sue Herb Dean for being a bad referee. Valter Walker is breaking submission records and still being downplayed in favor of Vitor Petrino. Josh Hokit is the UFC’s great Heavyweight marketing hope and even they can barely fucking stand him.

But no, you’re right, this is way better than when you had Francis Ngannou. MARIO PINTO BY DECISION.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Oumar Sy (12-2) vs Modestas Bukauskas (20-7)

Oumar, you were supposed to be a big French star by now. When the UFC signed him in 2024 Oumar was one of the precious few Light Heavyweights outside of the company anyone gave a shit about, a big, powerful wrestler and grappler who bounced between 205 and 265 with equal success. Then he got into the UFC and within a year he was losing to Alonzo Menifield. Seven undefeated years, and now Oumar’s 1 for 3 and coming off a pretty terrible submission loss to Ion Cutelaba, who, coincidentally, Modestas Bukauskas beat about a year ago. After Khalil Rountree Jr. kicked out his kneecap in 2021 the UFC fired Modestas and the world figured his time in the spotlight was over, but they brought him back on short notice in 2023 and it’s been the best run of his career. He did get knocked out by Nikita Krylov back in January, but he already rebounded with a split decision over Christian Edwards and as punishment for refusing to be easily disposed off, he’s gotta fight a Frenchman in Frenchland.

Oumar’s bigger, stronger, rangier, a better wrestler, and he gets the crowd participation buff. I am still going with MODESTAS BUKAUSKAS BY TKO anyway. Call it a dumb hunch.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Nathaniel Wood (23-6) vs Pavel Andrusca (8-0)

I don’t think the UFC really knows what it’s doing with Nathaniel Wood. He’s good! He’s really fuckin’ good! He’s solid and talented and tough as nails and capable of outworking damn near anyone in the world, and now he’s 7-1 in the last six years, and that winning streak includes borderline-ranked folks like Charles Jourdain and longtime veterans like Andre Fili and this week’s main-card friends Morgan Charrière and Losene Keita, and yet, Nathaniel Wood is down here. Hell, his originally scheduled dance partner for this card was Mairon Santos, champion of TUF 32 (jesus christ) and 3-0 fighter, except one of those was a massive robbery and another was a fight he missed weight for, which is a sign of just how much they value Wood. But Mairon couldn’t make it, so, on five days’ notice, Wood gets Moldova’s Pavel Andrusca, who’s been winning belts in Austria and knocking out not-that-great competition in Abu Dhabi, and having watched Andrusca’s tape, I can say he is, absolutely, a guy who exists.

He hits hard and he doesn’t do a lot of defense and he hasn’t yet gotten to the point in his career where that’s a problem. NATHANIEL WOOD BY DECISION.

FLYWEIGHT: Michael Aljarouj (13-3 (1)) vs Fabia Sintes (11-3)

A long time ago people told me that I should allow myself a bit of grace when it came to some fights and not needing to put my whole ass into them, and I’ve gotta be honest: I don’t have much ass for this fight. Fabia Sintes is the Spanish champion of an organzation that lets him fight 0-0 and 0-7 people on a recurring basis. His last title defense was against a man who’d done nothing but lose for years up until he fought a guy who’s 3-6. Michael Aljarouj is a French champion who got his shit wrecked by UFC failure Azat Maksum, and since then he’s fought a fairly random array of fighters, the most notable being Pedro Nobre, whose primary historical contribution to the sport was a scandalous No Contest in the UFC thirteen and a half years ago involving phantom blows to the back of the head. One fight ago, Aljarouj lost a decision to Romero dos Reis only for the commission to overturn it to a No Contest afterward because the referee fucked up in the fifth round.

I don’t know, man. I don’t care. I watched tape and neither guy is great and who knows if we’ll even see either of them again until the UFC’s back in the region. We exist in a system with traveling rosters now and that’s deeply tragic. MICHAEL ALJAROUJ BY DECISION.

WOMEN’S BANTAMWEIGHT: Nora Cornolle (9-4, #13) vs Klaudia Sygula (8-2, NR)

I’ll be honest, I know this is where I get up in arms about ranked women’s fights being stuck on the prelims, but I’m struggling with this one. Nora Cornolle is, technically, ranked. She’s also 3-3 in the UFC, and those three wins were Joselyne Edwards three years ago, Melissa Mullins and Hailey Cowan, and in both cases Cornolle missed weight. It has been two and a half years since she beat someone who has literally ever won a fight in the UFC, and in that time she got walked down by Karol Rosa and lost a revenge bout to Joselyne, who chucked her on her shoulder until it snapped and choked her out. Klaudia Sygula is 2-1, and that loss was, funnily enough, Melissa Mullins’ comeback fight after losing to Nora, and since then she’s beaten Irina Alekseeva, who is 1-3, and Priscilla Cachoeira, who is 5-9 and 1 for her last 6. That is a lot of numbers to express how little is happening at Women’s Bantamweight right now. They let it dry out and die and now we have this fight and we have to live with it.

NORA CORNOLLE BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Matthieu Duclos (10-3) vs Luis Felipe Dias (17-5)

The end of this card is just one big Olympic gauntlet of having to struggle to care. Luis Felipe Dias lost two fights to good fighters in Brave CF, then switched tactics and fought the 2-14 Helison Cruz and the 2-4 Daniel Oliveira. This was enough to get him a shot at the Contender Series, which very helpfully fed him Donavon Hedrick, who made it all the way to DWCS without ever fighting anyone with a winning record. When Felipe won, he got a UFC bout against Yisak Lee, who, himself, had only fought one person with a winning record in years, and Dias beat him in a round. But Matthieu Duclos is a champion! In Hexagone, the same French organization we were just discussing with Michael Aljarouj a few paragraphs ago. Before that Duclos was getting the shit kicked out of him by Marco Tulio on the Contender Series. And the man Duclos beat to win his French championship? Daichi Mikami--the man Yisak Lee beat before Dias destroyed him.

The waters we are swimming in are so fucking shallow, man. You could put anything here. No one would know the difference. MATTHIEU DUCLOS BY TKO.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Delphine Benouaich (7-2) vs Sofia Montenegro (6-2)

Remember a couple weeks ago when we talked about Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves, and I wondered aloud about the virtues of getting onto the Contender Series despite never, ever fighting anyone with even a single, solitary win? Remember our collective wonder at the idea of who they could possibly find that would be worse than that? Well, ladies and gentlemen, I give you Sofia Montenegro, the woman Jeisla beat by split decision to earn her UFC contract. Her two fights prior to that were the 2-3 Anyela Perez and the 4-5 Damara “Cherry Boom” Vargas, and it’s just this, all the way down. Do you think Delphine Benouaich’s record is much better? Because I promise, it’s not. Over the last two years--by which I mean virtually her entire career--Delphine has:

• Barely survived the 7-6 Anita Bekus

• Lost a decision to the 9-1 Naizi Catanhede, but had it overturned by France’s MMA body because Naizi pissed hot

• Knocked out the 5-2 Mileide Simplicio, which is good!

• Got beaten by the 6-4 Ingrid Silva, which is bad

• Got her groove back after submitting the 2-2 Lindsey “Bringer Of” Payne

I spend so much time these days thinking about numbers that only exist to hurt me. DELPHINE BENOUAICH BY DECISION.

Welcome to September. We’re beginning the decline towards the end of the year--no PFL events, no big ONE fights, some kind of disappointing UFCs including an unironic Raul Rosas Jr. Apex main event--but Super Rizin is back and so is Alexandre Pantoja, so it ain’t all bad.

THIS MONTH’S PUNCHSPORTS EVENTS

• UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse, September 5

• Noche UFC 4: Silva vs Delgado, September 12

• UFC 331: Van vs Pantoja 2, September 19

• UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos, September 26

• ONE Fight Night 47, September 4

• ONE Samurai 3, September 12

• Super RIZIN 5, September 10

IS THERE ANY NEWS

ALLAN ALVES DO NASCIMENTO - 9/11/1991 - 8/3/2026

Every once in awhile the world reminds you that people can just Stop, and it’s never not disconcerting.

People dying too young in combat sports is depressingly common. Brain injuries, drugs, the general cost of violence; everyone who’s watched the sport long enough has someone they liked watching who passed too young. You get used to the wages of sin. I was training at Ralph Gracie’s the week Ryan Gracie melted down and overdosed, and while everyone was shocked by the tragedy, no one was shocked by the cause.

Everyone was shocked by Allan Nascimento’s passing. By all accounts he wasn’t a party animal, he wasn’t a ticking time bomb, he wasn’t accumulating CTE at an alarming rate (for fighters, anyway) or burning the wick at both ends. He was a nice guy everyone seemed to like. He turned a fascination with Muay Thai as a teenager into a career in combat sports, he made a lot of friends, he got to the international stage with both Rizin and the UFC and established himself as one of the better Flyweights in the world. Maybe not one of the best, but a permanent fixture of the division and a perpetual threat to the rankings. Never stopped, never submitted, and never, ever out of a fight.

He went to sleep the night of August 2, had a heart attack, and never woke up. 34 years old, a world-class professional athlete in one of the most demanding sports there is, and that was that. There is no moralizing lesson or cautionary tale to be taken from this. Life is simply capricious and cruel, and it’s important to remember that nothing is guaranteed and treat each other accordingly.

He leaves behind a 22-7 record, a widow and two children.

Edson Barboza retired after his August 15 loss to Esteban Ribovics. I almost brought back the long-dormant Retirement Corner feature just because I liked Barboza so dang much, but for one, I have very little faith any fighter stays truly retired anymore--did you know Glover Teixeira and Shogun Rua had a boxing match against each other last week?--and for two, there’s a better, angrier story to talk about anyhow.

Four days after his retirement loss, Barboza went on Ariel Helwani’s show and revealed that he spent the last two and a half years of his career fighting half-blind. After his match with Lerone Murphy in May 2024, Barboza’s right eye stopped working. Some days he would see blobs or slivers, but most of the time, including any time he was in direct light, such as, say, a spotlight, he was missing half of his sight and essentially all of his peripheral vision.

During which he was able to get licensed to fight three times and was violently knocked out twice. Folks immediately brought up comparisons to Michael Bisping, who infamously fought with only one functioning eye for the last four years of his career. In a way, this is actually worse. Bisping and his coach Jason Parillo were frauds. In a plot point ripped straight from Y2K old-man drama Space Cowboys, Bisping would memorize eye charts, Parillo worked out a system of signals to help him pass verbal check-ups, and together, they subverted the system that was supposed to take care of his health. It was successful subterfuge.

Barboza didn’t come up with a system. He didn’t have to trick anyone. He openly acknowledged he couldn’t see and told the commissions he wanted to fight anyway, and he found an eye doctor who gave him his blessing, and apparently, that was enough. They knew he was half-blind and let him go out there and get repeatedly bludgeoned three more times anyway because he signed a waiver.

I spend a lot of time talking about the way the industry has lost sight of its responsibility to take care of its fighters, and as I write this I’m working on yet another event preview starring multiple fighters who’ve already competed and been repeatedly smacked in the head within the last 90 days, and I find myself saying that an awful, awful lot these days, and I cannot help wondering what kind of wake-up call it will take for MMA to go back to taking fighter health even remotely seriously.

WHAT HAPPENED IN AUGUST

We got on the road on August 1 with UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez in Belgrade. If you do not recognize most of the people on this recitation: That is why. It wasn’t actually an enormously successful night for the UFC’s Serbian contingent--Marina Spasić got choked out by Stephanie Luciano, Miloš Janičić got choked out by Noah Gugnon, Duško Todorović got choked out by Robert Valentin, and Vlasto Čepo got himself knocked out by Gilbert Urbina--but Jovan Leka knocked out Alexander Poppeck, and Nina Nikolija Milošević got Hailey Cowan, and Borislav Nikolić got a decision over Mark Vologdin, and god, so few of these names are anything. Look at what they’re doing, man. Aleksandar Rakić beat ranked Heavyweight Marcin Tybura but did not get ranked from it. Navajo Stirling knocked out Jan Błachowicz but will not be getting a title shot. Uroš Medić destroyed Daniel Rodriguez in thirty seconds so everyone went home happy.

The 7th got us PFL Charlotte: Battle vs Rosta, as the company continues to trade water and wait out the rest of the year so Jake Paul’s MVP can do to them what they did to Bellator. If you’re a steward of the sport you’ll recognize some things like the unfairly-cut-by-the-UFC Trey Waters smashing Trukon Carson, or Bruno Cappelozza decisioning Valentin Moldavsky, or Cheyanne Bowers beating Elora Dana and Denis Goltsov kicking Hasan Mezhiev, but your main card was Josh Fremd beating on Jhony Gregory, Lewis McGrillen winning a brawl with Brandon Lewis, Aaron Jeffrey dominating Josh Silveira and Simeon Powell scraping past Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov, which is indicative of just how thin things are getting over there. Main Event Bryan Battle squeaked by Dalton Rosta and that’s the best we can do.

We were all locked in the Apex one day later for UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld. Was it fun? Yes. Was it a giant mess of a card? Miles Johns, Juliana “Killer” Miller, and Diyar Nurgozhay all picked up wins over people who were even worse off than them. “Yadier del Valle knocks out a retiring Darren Elkins in 2026” is a really fucking stupid sentence and everyone involved in it should feel bad. But Alexia Thainara became a contender by beating Amanda Lemos, and Diego Ferreira beat Billy Quarantillo, for some reason, and in the main event Quillan Salkilld just fuckin’ destroyed Mateusz Gamrot, not only hurting him but outgrappling and choking him out, proving definitively that he is, in fact, a problem.

ONE Samurai 2 was also that day. There were two MMA fights: Subaru Mori choking out Yusuke Sato and Keito Yamakita choking out Koyuru Tanoue. That is all. Masaaki Noiri kickboxed the shit out of Liu Mengyang and knocked him dead in a round in the main event and that was fun, as Noiri always is.

The 11th--yes, a Tuesday--brought us Rizin 54, which was also a profoundly weird card. 1/4 of it was rookie fights including the lesser Hiramoto brother knocking out Ryoma Shishimoto and Naoki Tanaka getting a doctor’s stoppage over the debuting Isaa Hosokawa, 1/4 was foreign prospects Azizbek Temirov and Alibek Gadzhammatov getting rolled by Japanese fighters Joji Goto and Yuki Ito, both of whom had 3-4 times as much experience as their opponents, and the Heavyweight Grand Prix Rizin is doing while pretending last year’s never happened aw King Edokpolo knocking out Mikio Ueda and Tsuyoshi Sudario beating on Ryo Sakai. In the co-main event, Patchy Mix came back to Bantamweight and beat Shoko Sato! Except Patchy missed the weight limit by 7 pounds and thus couldn’t win the fight and also started with an automatic point deduction. So for the first time since 2023 Patchy won a fight, except he contractually couldn’t win the fight, so he lost. And then in the main event Kyoma Akimoto beat Kleber Koike to presumably pencil his way into a New Year’s Eve special against the winner of this month’s Razhabali Shaydullaev vs A.J. McKee Featherweight title fight.

ONE Fight Night 46 was on the 14th. Natalie Salcedo beat Magdalena Czaban, Viet Anh Do stopped David Brandao, and Jhanlo Mark Sangiao knocked out Marcos Aurelio. One of those divisions hasn’t had a title defense since 2023. I’m so tired.

On the 15th: UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry. This was the big one, and you can tell, because Tresean Gore was on it. Your early prelims saw Jeremiah Wells score a huge upset by choking out Myktybek Orolbai, Neil Magny pounded out Ramiz Brahimaj, and Lucas Fernando stopped Rafael Tobias. Your proper prelims had Tresean Gore outworking Vicente Luque, Donte Johnson punching Eric McConico Jr. stiff in a minute and a half, Charles Johnson hitting a twister on Eduardo Henrique, and Chidi Njokuani winning a really slow decision over Joel Álvarez. Up top, Esteban Ribovics retired Edson Barboza with a second-round TKO, Dustin Stoltzfus choked out Mansur Abdul-Malik, and Jalin Turner flattened Kauê Fernandes in thirty-nine seconds. Your co-main event title fight had Mackenzie Dern successfully defending her Strawweight title with a clear if not particularly eventful decision over Gillian Robertson; your main event had Islam Makhachev defending the Welterweight title against Ian Machado Garry.

The PFL was back on August 22 for PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs Vieira. This, too, was a weird one, as the entire card was supposed to be built around a) Cris Cyborg, legend of the sport, finally retiring, and b) Ketlen Vieira, freshly cut from the UFC, challenging for Cyborg’s belt. Unfortunately, in the week before the fight, Cyborg walked back her retirement plans from a ‘definitely’ to a ‘maybe, we’ll see,’ and Vieira blew her weight cut by 7.2 pounds and became ineligible for the title win. So it was neither. But Javid Basharat had a great fight in his PFL debut with a win over Movsar Ibragimov, and Daniel Marcos stopped Magomed Magomedov, and Nkosi Ndebele beat Marcircley Alves, and Sabrinna de Sousa pulled the upset by beating Taila Santos, and Gadzhi Rabadanov knocked out Tracy Reeder. And, hey: Cyborg vs Vieira was, in fact, Cyborg’s most competitive fight in years! But she still won.

And the 22nd also brought us UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues, which was, also, a weird one. There was only one decision on the prelims, and it was newcomer Stan Dorsainvil outworking Gauge Young on 72 hours’ notice; otherwise Shanelle Dyer turned Elise Reed into a kickboxing bag for 12 minutes, Jackson McVey knocked out Wesley Schultz, Márcio Barbosa pretty effortlessly punched out Ryan Kuse, Chris Padilla choked out Nasrat Haqparast with one second left in the fight, Shamil Gaziev dropped Kennedy Nzechukwu with one punch, and Jamall Emmers scored an enormous upset by smashing Lerryan Douglas in half a round. Up top, Anthony Wint choked out Terrance Chatman, Carli Judice kicked Jeisla Chaves in the liver, MarQuel Mederos elbowed Mason Jones to death, Reinier de Ridder pounded out Roman Dolidze, and Vitor Petrino won an incredibly sleepy decision over Serghei Spivac. The main was a Middleweight showdown between Gregory Rodrigues and Anthony Hernandez that went back and forth on a round-by-round basis, but Rodrigues ultimately won a clear decision.

We closed on the month in Shanghai for the 29th’s UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song. The UFC tried their best to showcase their Chinese talent, and, boy, it went real, real bad for them. Ding Meng got decisioned by Cam Nelson, Julia Polastri kicked Xiong Jingnan’s head off, Hector Santiago punched out Lawrence Lui, Francesco Nuzzi got the upset knockout over Xiao Long, and in other prelims, Sean Woodson took a split decision against Jack Jenkins, Rei Tsuruya choked out Kevin Borjas, and André Lima choked out Namsrai Batbayar. The main card started with Bilal Hasan knocking out Nilson Rojas and China getting some hope back, as Liu Ce took out Levi Rodrigues Jr. and Sumudaerji got a decision over Alex Perez, but then Kai Asakura domed Aoriqileng and Denise Gomes knocked out Yan Xiaonan in one round. None of it mattered, however, as in the main event, homeland hero Song Yadong scored the massive upset by not just beating but knocking Umar Nurmagomedov out cold in a round and a half, which sent everyone home happy.

WHAT’S COMING IN SEPTEMBER

September 4 starts us off with ONE Fight Night 47: Stamp vs Flores, and I think my willingness to cover ONE as an MMA organization is wavering more than ever. Some of it, as always, is their complete lack of giving a fuck about the sport, and some of it is the pain of anticipating Xiong Jingnan’s arrival on the world stage only to watch her get absolutely humiliated over and over, but some of it is also seeing people legitimately enjoy their kickboxing fights. Which 8is great! Do that! Focus on it! This half-measure thing does nothing for any of your fans, although I’m sure your Qatari financiers demand it. I just miss anything having a point. Gilbert vs Nazareth Lalthazuala is here and then Stamp Fairtex has a Muay Thai match with Selina Flores. Have fun.

The 5th brings us UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse. The UFC’s back in France, which means you have all the French folk they can manage. Nora Cornolle! Farès Ziam! Nathaniel Wood! You know, him. Losene Keita vs Muhammad Naimov, Morgan Charrière vs Felipe Lima, Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano, Michael Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev, Farès Ziam vs Axel Sola and Dan Hooker vs debuting superprospect Saladine Parnasse make up your main card.

Rizin’s biggest card until NYE comes on September 10, as the once-dormant Super Rizin 5 cross-promotional throw-it-all-at-the-wall series is back, and it’s a weird whopper of a card. You’ve still got a couple of rookie fights, including the 3-2 Daichi Tomizawa vs debuting judo champion Ryo Kawabata. Yutaka Saito, a fifteen-year veteran with 32 fights, is up against experienced kickboxer/2-2 MMA fighter YA-MAN. Ren Hiramoto is back after two years off from MMA-rules bouts to face Karshyga Dautbek, who hasn’t lost a fight since 2019. You’ve got former champions out in force, with ex-Featherweight champ Vugar Karamov facing Ryo Takagi and just-dethroned Lightweight king Satoshi de Souza meeting Shunta Nomura. You’ve got the potentially inadvisable return of a legend, as young star Mikuru Asakura meets 43 year-old PRIDE veteran Shinya Aoki, who is having his first MMA fight for a Japanese promotion since he retired Kazushi Sakuraba back in 2015. You’ve got the next stage of the Women’s Atomweight Grand Prix, as star player RENA takes on the exceedingly scary Natasha Kuziutina. And, in your main event, you’ve got the unfathomably rare, cross-promotional winner-takes-all title bout, as undefeated Rizin ace Razhabali Shaydullaev takes on the PFL’s top gun, AJ McKee Jr., with both belts on the line.

Which makes it very anticlimactic when ONE Samurai 3 happens in Yokohama on the 12th. When they started the Samurai series it was supposed to be a big deal! They pulled out all the stops! They had multiple championship matches and an MMA title fight and goddamn Takeru vs Rodtang! Now there’s, uh, Yuya Wakamatsu vs Willie van Rooyen, and Hiroba Minowa vs Yuta Miyazawa, and your main event is a Muay Thai title fight between Atomweight champion Nadaka and Har Ling Om, who is 2 for his last 5 and coming off a loss, if you didn’t get what this was for.

But don’t worry, because the 12th also brings us Noche UFC 4: Silva vs Delgado. You know! Noche UFC, the fight series that’s meant to bring the UFC ever-closer to Mexico’s lucrative and not yet fully exploited marketrich cultural traditions the UFC obviously deeply respects! This one’s in Glendale, so we’re actually geographically worse-off, but that’s fine because this card is a goddamn mess. Manon Fiorot, the woman who almost beat Valentina Shevchenko, and Alexa Grasso, the woman who DID beat Valentina Shevchenko, are meeting in a top contendership match at Women’s Flyweight, during a year that’s seen women not get a single main event. And this isn’t, either. It isn’t even a co-main event--that’s Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales. It isn’t even the featured bout, that’s the unbelievably Mexican Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki. The actual main event? Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado. Eat the paste, fans.

On the 19th, we get the monthly show that matters. UFC 331: Van vs Pantoja 2 is one of those cards that has a really great main event, in the Flyweight Championship rematch between Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja, and then a decent co-main event, as the UFC once again tries to get Arman Tsarukyan out of the picture by having him fight Maurício Ruffy, but after that, it goes off a damn cliff. The rest of your main card: Patrício Pitbull vs Choi Doo-ho, Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega 2 but this time it’s at Lightweight, and Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski. Your prelims? Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf, Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain, Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne and Edmen Shahbazyan vs Bruno Ferreira. Down on the bottom, it’ll be Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito, Casey O’Neill vs Eduarda Moura, Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz and Michael Aswell Jr. vs Yoo Joo-sang. Most of that should be illegal.

Our last UFC for the month is UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos on September 26, and I gotta tell you, man, it’s depressing. You’ve got the Women’s Strawweight and Men’s Bantamweight finals of TUF 34 (jesus christ), which are now so important that we’re burying them in the Apex. You’ve got Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simón, a battle of people who should’ve been more. You’ve got Norma Dumont vs Ailín Pérez and Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui, and if either makes it onto the main card I will be pleasantly gobsmacked. And up top, guess what: Raul Rosas Jr. is a main eventer now, and they’re going to try as hard as possible to feed Raoni Barcelos to him.

CURRENT UFC CHAMPIONS
Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs

Tom Aspinall - 15-3 (1), Either 1, 2 or 0 Defenses Depending On How You Look At It

You know, once upon a time, the UFC would’ve killed for a Tom Aspinall. Entire years of UFC events were spent desperately trying to get a Dan Hardy or Darren Till or Jimi Manuwa into championship pictures so they could cash in on UK superstardom. And somehow, Tom Aspinall just fell into their lap. They didn’t go out of their way to softball him, they didn’t put a ton of effort into marketing him, they just let him mulch everyone in his path. In 2025, Tallison Teixeira has a main event in just his second UFC bout: In 2022 Tom Aspinall had to notch five straight stoppages to get his first crack at the top of the card against Curtis Blaydes, and it ended with his knee imploding fifteen seconds into the fight. When he lost that fight, Francis Ngannou was the reigning UFC Heavyweight Champion of the World. By the time Tom returned in the Summer of 2023, it belonged to Jon fucking Jones. Within one fight Aspinall was a top contender again, and with Jon comically scheduled to defend his title against Stipe Miocic, who hadn’t fought in two and a half years, Aspinall was left in a holding pattern--until Jon injured himself in training. With barely two weeks to prepare, Tom Aspinall fought Sergei Pavlovich for an interim championship. Sergei was the most devastating knockout artist in the Heavyweight division: Tom knocked him out in sixty-nine seconds. Not only did it give him gold, it gave him a golden ticket. The sole purpose of an interim champion is to one day reunify the belts, and that meant Tom had a shot at Jon Jones, one of the biggest fighters in the history of the sport. All he had to do was wait. And wait. And wait. Tom waited so fucking long the UFC made him defend his interim title in a rematch with Blaydes--which he won easily, knocking him out in 60 seconds--on July 27, 2024. Four months later, Jon Jones returned and had his fight with Stipe, who by that point had been effectively retired for almost four years. Unsurprisingly, Jon won. Equally unsurprisingly, Jon and the UFC refused to commit to fighting Aspinall. Jones reportedly held the UFC up for a huge payday, and when they shockingly agreed, he changed his mind. In the end, the most obvious pair of conclusions happened: On June 21st, during the press conference after Fight Night Baku, Dana White announced Jon was retiring and Tom was being promoted to Undisputed Champion; an hour later, coincidentally, news broke that Jon was being summoned for arraignment in July on charges of leaving the scene of an accident after drunkenly crashing another car and leaving another heavily-inebriated half-naked woman behind in it and also threatening the police over the phone when they called him. It is the only way the Jon Jones story could possibly have ended. Tom Aspinall was an interim champion for 588 days, and he made his first undisputed one against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 on October 26--and, because this division is fucking cursed, it ended in a No Contest after Gane poked him in both of his eyes at once. The UFC has decided this is mostly Tom’s fault, which has nothing at all to do with Tom’s dad talking about how he shouldn’t sign a new contract. A rematch has been vowed, but Tom had to get eye surgery to regain his sight and the UFC doesn’t want to wait when there’s marketing to be done, so Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira fought for an interim title at the godforsaken White House.

Interim Heavyweight Champion

Ciryl Gane - 14-2 (1), 0 Defenses

Five years ago, the UFC ran into issues with their undisputed Heavyweight champion and chose to end-run around them by putting an interim title on Ciryl Gane. It is 2026, and nothing has changed. With Tom out thanks to Ciryl’s fingertips piercing his eyeballs, Ciryl was rewarded with a big fight against Alex Pereira for the interim belt--again--at the UFC’s big, terrible White House super-event, in the not-so-subtle hopes that the UFC’s continuing attempts to put all their eggs in the Alex Pereira basket would pay off in the form of their first-ever three-division champion. Instead, Ciryl beat the crap out of him. At 205 pounds, Alex was a monster; at 265 he was slower, smaller and no longer possessed the biggest guns in the cage. Ciryl boxed him up and knocked him out in the second round, but in the process of getting the stoppage he dropped elbows on a fallen, shaky Pereira that hit the back of his head, over which Pereira is attempting to a) have the fight’s result reversed and b ) have referee Herb Dean fired. Ciryl Gane, meanwhile, continues to profit from everyone else’s misery. He’s the interim champ again, which means either he’s going to face Tom in a rematch when Tom’s healthy, or the UFC’s going to stop pretending and strip Tom and Ciryl will ascend to the Heavyweight throne on a trail of eyeballs and brainstems.

Light Heavyweight Champion, 205 lbs

Carlos Ulberg - 14-1, 0 Defenses

It’s so hard not to skip to the punchline on this one. Carlos Ulberg’s combat sports career is more mixed than MMA alone would lead one to believe. He started as a mixed martial artist all the way back in 2011, but after winning his debut fight, he decided to give fighting a break for almost half a decade. Then it was boxing, and then it was MMA again, and then it was kickboxing, and for a brief period of time it was both at once. The rise of Israel Adesanya led the UFC on an all-out talent search for big, credible strikers from Oceania, and that is how despite being just 3-0 as a mixed martial artist, Carlos wound up on the Contender Series in 2020, and just a few months later, in March of 2021, he was debuting in the UFC. They hyped him, they gave him a spot on the pay-per-view prelims, they booked him against the 1-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu and despite having half his experience Ulberg was the heavy betting favorite, because everyone knew they wanted him on top. Which was unfortunate, because Kennedy knocked him out in two rounds. Carlos described the loss as the most important moment of his career--half for the lesson of the loss itself, half for the $50,000 bonus that gave him his first taste of actual profit as a professional. He vowed to take his career more seriously, he vowed to prepare for his fights as though every one mattered rather than simply being happy to be in the UFC, and four years later, he was the top contender for the Light Heavyweight crown. A testament to determination and a good mindset? Absolutely! But also a bit of a testament to the careful cultivation and protection of a prospect. Carlos did his job and beat everyone the UFC put in front of him, but the people put in front of him tended to be carefully picked. At one point he beat a genuine prospect in Nicolae Negumereanu, and the UFC followed it up by giving him Ihor Potieria, the man Nicolae had just knocked out in his previous fight. Stiff prospects like Aleksandar Rakić and Azamat Murzakanov flew past in the background, but Da Woon Jung and Alonzo Menifield had to be destroyed. The UFC spent a year and a half trying on three separate occasions to book Ulberg against Dominick Reyes, and by the time they finally got there, it was, somehow, impossibly, a title eliminator. But Ulberg won, just as he’d won every fight since his meeting with Kennedy Nzechukwu, and he proceeded to his title fight with Jiří Procházka for the championship Alex Pereira had left behind to try his hand at the Heavyweight division. It was fun, it was fast, it was dramatic and it was definitive. In just a hair under four minutes, Jiří was flat on the canvas and Carlos Ulberg, five years after his debut, was the Light Heavyweight champion of the world. He also very visibly tore his ACL in half right in the middle of the fight and could barely move. If Jiří had simply backed away, hacked a few leg kicks and kept his distance, the fight would’ve been stopped between rounds, but he chose to engage and got flattened by a left hook counter for his troubles, and the result was a brand new titleholder who proceeded directly to the emergency room after the fight and had knee surgery less than a week later. For the third time in six title reigns, the new champion has an injury so bad it will prevent them from defending their title for at least the rest of the year. Will we get an interim title? Will yet another champion have to give up the gold? Will Paulo fucking Costa wind up technically a 205-pound champion? Stay tuned.

Middleweight Champion, 185 lbs

Sean Strickland - 31-7, 0 Defenses

After all of that time, we are back where we were. When Sean Strickland got his first shot at the UFC Middleweight Championship back in 2023, it was under particularly thin circumstances. Strickland had just come off back-to-back losses against Alex Pereira and Jared Cannonier, his title prospects seemed slim, and a short-notice victory over the then-unheralded Nassourdine Imavov and one-fight UFC veteran Abus Magomedov seemed unlikely to get Strickland anywhere. But then Dricus du Plessis wanted another month to prepare for Israel Adesanya, and the UFC wanted to keep their pay-per-view main event, and suddenly, Sean Strickland was beating one of the sport’s biggest stars and becoming its top Middleweight. It was a stellar performance, it was a career-defining victory, and it was one of the shortest title reigns in UFC history, as just four months later Strickland lost the belt to du Plessis in his first defense. But it was a split decision, so his argument for a rematch was sound, and after a pretty dubious win over Paulo Costa, Strickland got du Plessis back in the cage, where he vowed vengeance, justice, and a return to greatness. Dricus beat him 50-45. It would be a full year before Strickland returned, and in that time, the Middleweight division had changed shape. Nassourdine Imavov was in pole position. Israel Adesanya was a shadow of his former self. Anthony Hernandez was the fastest-rising contender in the class. And Strickland’s nemesis Dricus du Plessis had lost his title to Khamzat Chimaev. On February 21, 2026, on the back of a bunch of bigot bullshit that was growing ever-more tired by the day, Sean returned to the cage and walked right through Hernandez, not just beating him but knocking him out in the third round, and just like that, Imavov’s work didn’t matter, Dricus beating Sean twice didn’t matter. The UFC has its favorites, and Sean got the shot. Khamzat, as he did, hadn’t fought in nine months, and had been busying himself making threats about moving to Light Heavyweight and chasing a superfight with Alex Pereira, who had, himself, already moved up to Heavyweight altogether. Chimaev swore he would outwrestle Sean, smash him, and move on with his life. And for one round, he looked completely correct. After the first, suddenly, Strickland evened things up. Khamzat was never able to assert his wrestling game again, so the rest of the title fight became a boxing match, and in that sense, it was surprisingly even, with Khamzat arguably landing the bigger punches but Strickland landing at a higher clip, and the scorecards were split right down the middle. But the coinflip went Sean’s way. For the second time, Sean Strickland is a world champion, and we are all bastards for it. A rematch seems almost inevitable, but Sean has a shoulder injury to rehabilitate, so we’ll see what the future holds.

Welterweight Champion, 170 lbs

Islam Makhachev - 29-1, 1 Defense

The prophecy has been fulfilled. Khabib Nurmagomedov was considered by many to be the greatest Lightweight of all time, but in the later stages of his career he began to repeatedly reference his lifetime friend and training partner Islam Makhachev as not just his successor, but the man who would break the mold he’d left behind. And the fanbase was more than willing to buy another Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov protege coming in and wrecking shop--until he got knocked out by Adriano Martins. Khabib’s aura of invulnerability came from the simple, so-obvious-more-people-should-try-it factor of simply never losing a damn fight. When Islam got torched in under two minutes by a man that couldn’t beat Donald Cerrone, that aura vanished. A lot of folks still thought he could be a champion, but most felt the greatest-of-all-time lane was closed to him. It turns out there’s another way to regain that sense of unbeatable awe, though: Just don’t lose for so goddamn long people forget it ever happened. In the ten full years since that Martins bout, Islam has not lost a single fight. Most of the time, he hasn’t even lost a round. He worked his way up the Lightweight ladder and began to rack up incredible achievements. He tore through top prospects with virtually no effort, he choked out one of the best MMA grapplers ever in Charles Oliveira, he outlasted and later knocked out one of the two men with a claim to the all-time Featherweight crown in Alexander Volkanovski, he choked out Dustin Poirier and he broke the Lightweight title defense record after stomping Renato Moicano. And then he traded in his record-breaking reign to challenge for Welterweight gold. Jumping divisions is always difficult, but the 15-pound leap from Lightweight to Welterweight is a mountain, and no Lightweight champion had ever managed it. Even BJ Penn, the canonical first man to hold gold at both, had to do it in reverse: He failed at both of his attempts to win Lightweight gold and shocked the world by abruptly taking it at Welterweight instead, and it would be five more years before he finally got his shit together and won a title in the division that made him famous. His subsequent attempts all ended in defeat, half because Matt Hughes and Georges St-Pierre were both great and half because BJ was just a Lightweight. Even though Islam was Islam and widely agreed to be a monster in the cage, Jack Della Maddalena had won the Welterweight title with some of the cleanest boxing the UFC had seen, and his championship victory over wrestler Belal Muhammad had people convinced that Islam, at best, would struggle. They met in the main event of UFC 322 on November 15, 2025, and there was absolutely no struggle. Islam kicked Jack’s leg to pieces, landed some surprisingly big punches, and took the fight to the ground almost at will, and by the time the fight ended, it felt like Jack never had a chance. The shadow has been stepped out of. Islam Makhachev is a two-division champion. And now he has a brand new horde of contenders beating down his door. He beat back the first of them after defending his title against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 on August 15. He says he wants to fight one more time this year, but we’ll see.

Lightweight Champion, 155 lbs

Justin Gaethje - 28-5, 0 Defenses

This has been a long, long time coming. Justin Gaethje has been right on the edge of the top for so long he banked two half-championships on his way up the mountain. Back in 2016, before the UFC even signed him, he was the champion of the World Series of Fighting--now known as the Professional Fighters League, much to our collective sadness--and was widely considered one of the best Lightweights in the world before ever setting foot in the Octagon. Back in 2020 he fought Tony Ferguson, then arguably the scariest Lightweight in the world, and beat him so horrifically that his career never recovered, and that netted Gaethje his first interim belt, which he promptly lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov in the latter’s retirement bout. Back in 2022, Gaethje got his second shot at the undisputed title against Charles Oliveira and he wound up strangled in three and a half minutes. Three and a half years after that, Gaethje was still right there at the precipice of the top, Ilia Topuria needed a break from the sport, and the UFC needed an aging veteran to propel their marketing star Paddy Pimblett to the top, and at UFC 324 on January 24, 2026, they threw Paddy’s big party and Justin crashed it. The UFC will tell you the fight was close, and it was in the sense that it went the whole way and one judge only gave Justin three rounds, but Paddy got brutally beaten and dropped repeatedly. With their desired player having failed his final exam, the UFC booked Gaethje into the main event of their big, terrible White House card against the finally-returning Ilia Topuria, who vowed to put Gaethje out within two rounds and resume his journey to a Welterweight showdown with Islam Makhachev. Instead, the two men had a goddamn war, with both hurting each other repeatedly and Topuria, arguably, giving away a TKO victory in the second round after crumpling Gaethje with bodyshots and choosing to roll for an armbar rather than pound him out. Gaethje broke Topuria’s face and left him nearly blind, and by the end of the fourth round, Topuria had nothing left and his corner threw in the towel. It took ten years, two interim belts and two failed shots, but finally, Justin Gaethje is the champion of the world. Which makes whatever happens next really fucking weird. They could run a Topuria rematch, but the ending was definitive and Topuria never defended the belt in the first place. They could have Gaethje fight rematches with Oliveira or Max Holloway, both of whom stopped him in the recent past, but Gaethje is hesitant about them and Holloway is booked against Conor McGregor. I’m sure they would LOVE it if Conor won so he could fight Gaethje instead, but that seems drastically unlikely. Arman Tsarukyan is, as ever, the #1 contender, but we know the UFC doesn’t care about that. My guess: Paddy Pimblett rematch. Gaethje does, however, say his hands are too busted up to fight again this year, so we won’t find out ‘til 2027.

Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Alexander Volkanovski - 28-4, 1 Defense

And just like that, 2024 never happened. For eleven years Alexander Volkanovski was the best Featherweight on the planet, and most of that time was simply waiting for everyone else to notice. He was short and he won by decisions a lot and the world was entirely into Max Holloway so he skated under the radar right up until the moment he finally beat Max. And that wasn’t enough to convince people, so Volkanovski beat him again. And that somehow made the world doubt him even more, so he beat Max a third time. By 2023 Volk was second only to all-time great José Aldo in Featherweight title defenses--and he’d beaten Aldo in a fight, and his only actual loss was an all-timer of an effort against Islam Makhachev that still stands as the closest Islam has come to losing his title as the best pound-for-pound fighter in the world, so it was very, very easy to accept Alexander Volkanovski as the greatest Featherweight on the planet. And then he took a rematch with Islam with only one week to prepare and got knocked out in three minutes, and then he came back less than four months later and got flattened by Ilia Topuria, and in the space of two fights the audience went from celebrating him as the best around to calling for his retirement. Volkanovski took an entire year off to heal and rebuild, which was enough time for Ilia to get bored and vacate the belt to go chase Lightweight greatness, and the Topuria/Volkanovski rematch became Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes at UFC 314 on April 12 to fill the vacant throne instead. It was somehow both close and clear. Lopes gained steam in the middle stanza of the bout and at one point dropped Volk, but Volk got right back up and resumed punching him in the face, and by the end of the bout he’d outlanded him more than two to one. The judges sided with him, the audience sided with him, and Alexander Volkanovski became not just one of the rare few to win back a UFC title, but the first man over 35 to ever win a UFC belt in the sub-170 weight classes typically reserved for young lions. His logical next contender should’ve been Movsar Evloev, but the UFC was busy trying to get him to fight an unranked, debuting Aaron Pico, thus clearing the way for a rematch with Yair Rodríguez in Guadalajara for Noche UFC 3 in September. Except the Arena Guadalajara wasn’t done yet, so Noche UFC 3 got moved to the most Mexican of places, Las Vegas, in October, and Alex’s manager said he had an eye injury that needs time to heal, so he took the rest of 2025 off. Good news, though: That left time for the UFC to get new contenders going. Lerone Murphy wound up fighting and knocking out Pico! Aljamain Sterling beat Brian Ortega! Hell, Movsar Evloev is still right there! The UFC looked at all of them and gave them all the finger. At UFC 325 on January 31, fresh off his title victory over Diego Lopes, Alexander Volkanovski had his first title defense against Diego Lopes. Unsurprisingly, the guy who beat Diego Lopes beat Diego Lopes again. The UFC had Evloev and Murphy fight in March and Evloev won a contentious decision, and after years of trying to derail him, they finally gave up. Volk and Evloev will meet at UFC 333 on October 24.

Bantamweight Champion, 135 lbs

Petr Yan - 20-5, 0 Defenses

Petr Yan’s road to the top has been incredibly circuitous. When Yan initially won the Bantamweight title back in 2020, no one was particularly surprised. He’d been one of the best in the world for years, he’d put together a six-fight winning streak on his road to the title shot, and the UFC had fed aging legend Urijah Faber to him in an attempt to make him a known quantity. Felling an even greater legend in José Aldo and taking the belt felt like an entirely expected passing of the torch, and a long reign as the division’s standardbearer seemed all but assured. And then, as they so often do, things went wrong. In quite possibly the most infamous title change in UFC history, Yan became the first champion to ever lose his title by disqualification after drilling Aljamain Sterling in the face with an illegal knee. Yan’s team cried foul and the world turned on Sterling, but when they had their rematch a year later, Sterling beat him by decision and that was that. But it was a split decision, and it was close, so the UFC gave Yan another theoretical title eliminator with Sean O’Malley, and this time the world was almost unanimously convinced Yan won--except for two of the three judges, who split in O’Malley’s favor. To top it off, Yan’s attempt to stay in the contendership conversation ran into the brick wall that was the rising Merab Dvalishvili, who handed him the most one-sided loss of his entire life. In the space of two years, Petr Yan went from being perceived as a generational champion to 1 for his last 5 and seemingly eliminated from contendership. After a year off to cope with injuries, reassess his career and figure out how to turn things around, Yan proceeded to take the path that most commonly leads to success: Just fucking beating everyone. He battered Song Yadong, he outpunched Deiveson Figueiredo, he won an exceedingly weirdly-booked matchup with Marcus McGhee, and suddenly, he was on a winning streak and right back in contendership. It might have taken him longer to get an actual title fight were it not for Merab Dvalishvili being a crazy person. Merab was on the greatest championship run the division had ever seen, and after clearing out most of his to contenders and recording a blistering three defenses in a single year, he announced his intention to break a UFC record and cement himself as the greatest 135-pounder of all time by recording a fourth--just two months after the last one--and Petr Yan was available and ready. The world saw the fight as a foregone conclusion, given how one-sided their first match had been, and the world was wrong. Yan put on the best performance of his career, not just battering Merab but outwrestling him, and in one of the best career comebacks we’ve seen, almost five years after he’d given it away, Petr Yan got his title back. He’s on top of the world again, and in all likelihood, the rubber match with Merab will be next. But it had to wait until the second half of the year, because Yan needed back surgery. So, almost a full year later, Yan and Merab will run it back at UFC 333 on October 24.

Flyweight Champion, 125 lbs

Joshua Van - 17-2, 1 Defense

It would be disrespectful as hell to Joshua Van to say that no one saw this coming, as many people perceived it as a possibility, but I don’t think anyone saw it coming like this. Van was the Flyweight champion of the Fury Fighting Championships when the UFC came calling, as a 21 year-old regional titleholder with a penchant for collecting knockouts despite fighting at 125 pounds so thoroughly ticks all of their boxes that Van couldn’t have been a more perfect fit without also having a history of racist tweets, and his Contender Series debut was set for August of 2023. But the UFC needed someone to fill in against Zhalgas Zhumagulov, so Van got called up to the big show early and proceeded to justify their faith by beating Zhalgas, and then beating the man he was originally slated to Contend against, and then facing off with Legacy Fighting Alliance champ Felipe Bunes and handing him the first TKO loss of his entire career. In the space of six months, Van went from a little-known regional fighter to a borderline-ranked Flyweight in the UFC. And then he got atomized by Charles Johnson. It was the second loss of Van’s career, the first time he’d ever been knocked out, and the snapping of an eight-fight winning streak, and in many cases, that would’ve permanently ended his momentum. But Van was smart enough to learn from his mistakes, and the UFC was invested enough in him to bring him back up to speed with a gentle hand, and eleven months later he was on a four-fight winning streak again and had successfully made his way to the top ten after knocking out Bruno Silva, which left him in the perfect position to take advantage of an abrupt opportunity. Top contender Brandon Royval had just lost his opponent and needed a replacement, and Van was game to fight for the second time in three weeks if it meant a shot at the belt. It was a close bout, and if Van hadn’t knocked Royval down at the end of the third round he may well have lost, but he did, so he didn’t, and suddenly the prospect was next in line for the title. All but one month of Joshua Van’s UFC career took place during Alexandre Pantoja’s reign as the Flyweight king. His streak was monstrous and he was a sizable favorite coming into his defense against Van, but many were waiting to see if Van’s boxing could defuse Pantoja’s aggression. As it turns out: We’re gonna have to wait a bit longer. Twenty-six seconds into the bout Pantoja busted his own arm on the mat after a head kick gone awry. So Van’s the champion, but it’s under some real weird circumstances, and it means a number of people are immediately gunning for him. Alexandre Pantoja presumably has a rematch as soon as he’s back, but Tatsuro Taira just pounded Brandon Moreno out and got his crack at Van at UFC 327 on April 11. It was an amazing fight, but ultimately, Van got the knockout in the final round. The long-awaited rematch with Pantoja will come at UFC 331 on September 19.

Women’s Bantamweight, 135 lbs

Kayla Harrison - 19-1, 0 Defenses

Every once in awhile the inevitable turns out to actually be inevitable. Ronda Rousey parlayed a 2008 bronze medal in Judo into mixed martial arts stardom; Kayla Harrison took the gold medal in 2012 and 2016. The world was already asking her about MMA before the second. The UFC made a play for her, but there was a problem: By the standards of female fighters Kayla was huge. Ronda had competed at 70 kg in the Olympics, which translated to about 154 pounds, well within the range of weight cutting for the insane standards of combat sports and Women’s Bantamweight. Kayla competed at 78 kg, which was almost 172 pounds. Even at a twenty-pound weight cut, her division simply did not exist in major mixed martial arts organizations. So she had to find one that would build it. The Professional Fighters League needed star power, and Kayla was their gal. They founded the first Women’s Lightweight division in a major American organization, and it was populated mostly by Bantamweights and Featherweights who were trying the best they could. For four straight years, Kayla was their recurring, undefeated champion. She won the 2019 and 2021 tournaments, and in 2022 she made it to the finals and looked poised to take it for a third time, as her only competition was Larissa Pacheco, whom she’d already beaten twice. In a massive upset, Larissa took a decision off of her. It was shocking, it was unexpected, and it was also more or less fine, because Kayla was more or less done with the PFL. She took one more fight against Aspen Ladd as a one-off, but her future was with the UFC. Even with her loss to Pacheco, the world was sure she was a future UFC champion--as long as she could stomach the weight cut. And it did, visibly, kill her! But she made it. She choked out Holly Holm in her debut, she took a decision over Ketlen Vieira in a title eliminator, and all she had to do after that was wait. Julianna Peña was a +500 underdog in her own title defense against Kayla, and that turned out to be just about right. On June 7, 2025, at UFC 316, Kayla achieved the inevitable, ragdolled Peña and tapped her out in just two rounds. She’s the best in the world and she’s going to get her shot at the superfight everyone wanted in the first place, as Amanda Nunes is coming out of retirement to face her later this year--actually, this got delayed so much it’s only now finally booked for UFC 324 on January 24, 2026--maybe never? A couple weeks before the superfight Kayla had to pull out for apparently fairly major neck surgery. No word on when she’ll be back or what on Earth happens now.

Women’s Flyweight, 125 lbs

Valentina Shevchenko - 26-4-1, 2 Defenses

After almost two years of suffering, we have gone back to the start. At the end of 2022 Valentina Shevchenko was so thoroughly ensconced as The Greatest Women’s Flyweight that a sizable segment of the fanbase had built an honest-to-god antipathy for her over it. Sure, she won, all the time, and sure, her only losses in almost a decade and a half came to the greatest of all time in Amanda Nunes, and sure, Shevchenko arguably won their second fight, but familiarity breeds contempt, and after watching the purported greatest struggle with a split decision to Taila Santos that could easily have gone the other way, too, a big chunk of the mixed martial world was ready to move on from Val. And then, unexpectedly, it did. Valentina was a -900 favorite when Alexa Grasso shocked the world, choked her out, and took her title away on March 4, 2023. An instant rematch was obligatory, given Val’s long history on top, so half a year later they ran it back at Noche UFC in 2023, and, awkwardly, it ended in a draw. If the rematch had been obligatory, the threematch was mandatory, but a hand injury on Val’s part and the UFC’s desire to put an entire season of The Ultimate Fighter behind their promotion meant a full twelve months passed before they got back in the cage. That’s a long goddamn time, and it left a lot of air, and that air was filled by doubt. Alexa won the first fight, after all--but she was on her way to losing a decision before Valentina made a costly mistake, threw one of her trademark nowhere-close-to-landing spinning back kicks, and got immediately jumped on and choked out for her troubles. Alexa didn’t lose the second fight--but based on the scorecards, she should have, and would have, were it not for one judge handing her a completely indefensible 10-8 in the final round. When the third fight came on September 14, 2024, it was seen as Alexa’s chance to cement her legacy: Either she was the superior fighter and the herald of a new generation for Women’s Flyweight, or the whole thing was just a weird episode. Unfortunately for Alexa, it was the latter. Valentina dominated her. She outstruck her and outwrestled her with almost comical ease, the fight was a complete shutout, and despite their series being now tied at 1-1-1, no one has any doubts about the winner, nor any desire to see them fight again. Once again, much to the internet’s chagrin, Valentina Shevchenko is a champion. And--only two years late--she defended her title against Manon Fiorot at UFC 315. It was close, it was contentious, and it was also a fight the audience does not want to see again. Her next fight was a long-awaited champion vs champion affair against Zhang Weili at UFC 322 on November 15, 2025. After years of watching Zhang dominate her competition, the world felt she had genuine double-champ potential and could be the woman to unseat Valentina. As it turned out: Not even close. Val dominated her in every aspect of the game, Zhang got completely shut out, and her Flyweight hopes are dead in the water. Valentina has multiple title defenses again and is now tied with Amanda Nunes and Anderson Silva for the fourth-most wins in title fights in UFC history. We’ll have to see who they give to her next, but Natália Silva feels like a safe bet.

Women’s Strawweight, 115 lbs

Mackenzie Dern - 17-5, 1 Defense

On a long enough timeline, the house always wins. Mackenzie Dern signed with the UFC as a 5-0 fighter all the way back in 2018 and they’ve been trying to get a belt on her ever since. She came into mixed martial arts with a pre-existing pedigree as one of the more decorated women in the history of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu: Gi championships, no-gi championships, pan-Am championships, Asian open championships, world championships, ADCC championships, she took them all. And the UFC marketed her as a grappling champion who was bringing some of the best submission offense in the sport to the Strawweight division! But they also marketed her as an extremely conventionally attractive woman who frequently wore bathing suits. It was one of the touchiest things to comment on with her career: Where other women would have to struggle for their matchmaking and featured spots, Mackenzie’s opportunities kept coming, and they were almost always on the main broadcast and, on multiple occasions, in the main event slots women almost never received. And she needed them, because despite being legitimately quite good, she just wasn’t great. She could make it into the top fifteen, and sometimes even brush the top ten, but every time they tried to get Mackenzie into title contention, she’d falter. It was Amanda Ribas in 2019, it was Marina Rodriguez in 2021, and between 2022 and 2024, Mackenzie had the worst run of her life, winning only one out of four bouts, getting shut down by Yan Xiaonan and Amanda Lemos, and taking the first stoppage loss of her career after being knocked out by Jéssica Andrade. She managed to get her way back up the ladder again by outgrappling Loopy Godinez and submitting a struggling Amanda Ribas in a six-years-belated rematch, but with so many losses to top contenders, her path to the title still seemed closed. Then a funny thing happened: Zhang Weili gave up the Strawweight belt to move up to Flyweight and challenge Valentina Shevchenko. Suddenly, the door was wide open. And conveniently, the UFC had booked all the women who beat Mackenzie into other matches, leaving Mackenzie with just one contender left--and it was Virna Jandiroba, a career grappler whom Mackenzie had already beaten back in 2020. The two met at UFC 321 on October 25, and after seven years of effort, the UFC finally got its way. Mackenzie beat Virna again, fair and square, in a close and hard-fought but ultimately clear decision. She is, at last, the Strawweight Champion of the World. And she’s in the exceptionally weird position of being a newly-minted champion that has very recently lost to several of her own top contenders. One would think, Zhang Weili having been soundly thwomped by Valentina Shevchenko in her bid for 125-pound supremacy, she would be back at Strawweight to reclaim her crown. Instead she’s MIA and Mackenzie defended her title against Gillian Robertson at UFC 330 on August 15, who was game but stood very little chance.

NOTABLE CHAMPIONS ACROSS THE WORLD

Rizin Lightweight Champion, 156 lbs

Luiz Gustavo - 16-4, 0 Defenses

Sunrise, sunset. Luiz Gustavo is not new to Rizin. He made his debut all the way back in 2018, when he was an undefeated, 8-0 22 year-old who’d only barely started fighting real competition down in Katana Fight. Rizin threw him straight into a main event in the hopes of completing the ascension of their rising star Yusuke Yachi, who’d just capped off a six-fight winning streak that included torch-passing matches with Japanese legends like Satoru Kitaoka and Takanori Gomi. Gustavo was supposed to be Yachi’s victim. Instead he knocked Yachi out in two rounds. Suddenly, Gustavo was the star and the man folks had flagged as Rizin’s next big Lightweight champion. He proceeded to go 1-3 over the next year, which culminated in the first knockout loss of his life against Patricky Pitbull and, ultimately, an almost three-year hiatus while the world struggled with COVID. When Rizin tried to get back to its wholly-international ways in 2022, they had Yusuke Yachi waiting for a rematch, and once again, Gustavo knocked him dead in two rounds. In two years Luiz had a winning streak and a shot at longtime champion Roberto “Satoshi” de Souza, and the world expected a classic striker-vs-grappler clash. Satoshi shocked him with a right hand and knocked him out in twenty seconds. Having lost his shot, and followed it with an unsuccessful bout against Shunta Nomura, Gustavo’s hopes for the top of the heap were so distant that Rizin booked him into a fight with living legend Kazushi Sakuraba’s son, the 2-1 Taisei. Gustavo punched him out in seven and a half minutes. Barely two months later, Rizin needed a challenger to stand opposite Ilkhom Nazimov, the man who had unseated Satoshi during their big New Year’s Eve special, and Luiz was available. Once again, the world underestimated him, and once again, they were wrong. Luiz punched Nazimov out in two minutes to finally take his title home.

Rizin Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Razhabali Shaydullaev - 18-0, 3 Defenses

I asked how long the second reign of Kleber Koike Erbst would last, and as it turns out, the answer was sixty-two seconds. Razhabali Shaydullaev’s rise through the sport has been impressively meteoric. Four years ago he was a rookie fighting on Batyr Bashy cards in Kyrgyzstan as a predominantly grappling-based fighter. Three years ago he was disposing of journeymen in the developmental leagues of Russia’s Absolute Championship Akhmat. Two years ago he was choking out top contenders in South Korea’s Road FC. One year ago he got signed to Rizin. In just six months he choked out a DEEP champion, submitted a Bellator champion and smashed through a K-1 Kickboxing champion with virtually no resistance. He was the favorite against Erbst, but few thought it would be an easy night, with Erbst having been finished only once in his entire career, and even that was an armbar all the way back in 2009 when he was still a rookie. Shaydullaev, as he has been doing for the entirety of his run thus far, destroyed Erbst. He walked through him and flattened him in just barely over a minute. Rizin’s got another gaijin champion, and given how good he’s looked, they may be stuck with him for awhile--or, worse, they might lose him to the UFC sooner than later. With Mikuru Asakura’s victory over Chihiro Suzuki on the same night he’s the logical next contender, but that would just be stupid, so instead it was Shaydullaev making his first defense against Viktor Kolesnik at Rizin 51 on September 28: He knocked Kolesnik out in just thirty-three seconds. His successful murders got him the main event of 2025’s Japanese New Year’s MMA special, where Rizin secretly hoped their big national star Mikuru Asakura would get the job done; Shaydullaev chain-suplexed him, grounded him, and laid an unconscionable amount of ground and pound on him in one of those Japan-likes-to-let-its-heroes-die moments before the ref finally called the fight in just shy of three minutes. Shaydullaev’s the best guy in the company, and now there’s a question of what’s left for him to do. For now, inexplicably, the answer was carrying the murder of the 5-2 Yuta Kubo at Rizin Landmark 13 on April 11, which is wild because they already fought at the end of 2024 and Shaydullaev destroyed him in seven and a half minutes. Try to control your shock: This time it only took Shaydullaev four. He’s the centerpiece of the Rizin/PFL crosspromotion, now: He’ll face the PFL’s top Featherweight, A.J. McKee, in the main event of Super Rizin 5, with the winner taking home the Featherweight title for both companies.

Rizin Bantamweight Champion, 135 lbs

Danny Sabatello - 19-4-1, 2 Defenses

When Naoki Inoue won Rizin’s Bantamweight title I wrote that Rizin was one step closer to its dream of an all-Japanese championship roster, and it’s fitting that as gaijin once again take over the majority of the championship belts in the biggest organization in Japan, Danny goddamn Sabatello is one of the men to do it. Sabatello has been dogged by a reputation as a grinding wrestler without a ton to offer since 2020, when he got the call to compete on Dana White’s Contender Series, won, and was notably not offered a contract on the grounds of Boring Grappler. He made the move to late-stage Bellator instead, where he attempted to establish himself as their own personal Chael Sonnen: An indefatigable wrestling machine whose mouth ran just as hard as his double-legs. But it never quite caught on. The talk seemed a bit forced, the wrestling wasn’t that fun to watch, and all his 1980s wrestling promos about the bums in Bellator’s Bantamweight Grand Prix ended with an elimination at the hands of Raufeon Stots. Sabatello swore he’d won and that he’d get revenge; instead he ended his Bellator tenure getting choked out by Magomed Magomedov, decisioned again by Stots, and losing out on a shot at the PFL after going to a draw with Lazaro Dayron, who would’ve won the decision were it not for a point deduction. It was a bit of a shock when Sabatello signed with Rizin in 2025, but it seemed to have paid off when he scored his first knockout in six years during his debut against Shinobu Ota and swore he’d reinvent himself as Japan’s new American superstar. Then he went back to wrestling. It was still enough to get him his shot at Inoue’s belt at 2025’s New Year’s special, and despite the common wisdom of judging favoritism, a very close split decision went Danny’s way. It took three years longer than he intended, but Danny Sabatello is holding gold. Now we see if he can, in fact, become Big In Japan. His first title defense was against Joji Goto at Rizin Landmark 13 on April 11, and, unsurprisingly, he wrestled Goto to a broad decision. After a lot of public threats from Rizin CEO Nobuyuki Sakakibara about terminating his contract if he didn’t stop winning by decision, because, in their heart of hearts, every MMA promoter is Dana White, Danny gave the boss what he wanted by knocking the fuck out of Jinnosuke Kashimura on July 18. It’s seeming likely a rematch with Naoki Inoue will be next.

Rizin Flyweight Champion, 125 lbs

Makoto Takahashi - 23-5-1 (1), 0 Defenses

Oh, buddy, Rizin has wanted this one for years. Anytime a fighter with an above-average winning rate successfully gets their name replaced with a nickname it means the marketing power is strong with them, and within one fight in Rizin, no one called him Takahashi anymore. Japanese MMA is perpetually desperate for young national stars, and they knew almost immediately that Makoto Shinryu was their guy. By July of 2023 Shinryu was already 16-1-1 despite having just turned 23, he was the most-hyped male prospect in the country, and he was uniquely positioned to take over the world, as Rizin and Bellator were in the middle of their historical co-promotion days, and Bellator was inaugurating its Flyweight title with a match between Shinryu and top dog Kyoji Horiguchi. It ended with Kyoji unintentionally poking Makoto in the eye in twenty-five seconds. It took half a year to get the rematch together, and this time it was for Rizin’s Flyweight title, and Kyoji choked Shinryu out in two rounds. This marked the beginning of Shinryu’s career hitting speedbumps, as after almost seven years of constant victory, it’d be two years before he managed back-to-back wins again. Hiromasa Ougikubo, Jose Torres and Yuki Motoya all turned Shinryu away by decision, the last of which knocked him out of the Flyweight Grand Prix to fill the throne Horiguchi abdicated to return to the UFC. Ougikubo ultimately won the tournament and the title, but wins over Hiroya Kondo and Nkazimulo Zulu were enough for Rizin’s brass to put Shinryu right back in the title conversation, because, well, that’s what they wanted in the first place. They were right, too. Three years after his first failed attempt at grasping gold, Shinryu took Ougikubo the distance and took his belt home. There may have been detours along the way, but he’s got the title everyone felt he was destined for. Now we get to watch him try to keep it.

Rizin Women’s Super Atomweight Championship, 108 lbs

VACANT - The source of life and death

The world has long wondered who or what could beat Seika Izawa, and as it turns out, the answer is childbirth. At Rizin Landmark 13 on April 12, 2026, Seika took to the ring and announced her pregnancy and, accordingly, her hiatus from the sport. After four straight years as the undisputed best Atomweight in the world, the queen has abdicated the throne. She vowed to one day return and take back the belt from whichever unlucky woman gets it in her absence, but obviously there’s no timeline for said return, nor should there be. All eyes now turn to the rest of Rizin’s Atomweight division, which is, like, four people. Ayaka Hamasaki’s back in Rizin, but she got armbarred pretty easily by the debuting Natasha Kuziutina. Moeri Suda and Saori Oshima are always around on loan from DEEP. I’m sure they’d love to belt up RENA, but she spends half of her time closer to Strawweight. It’s a loss for mixed martial arts, we are all happy for Seika and wish her well, and god bless Rizin, which can never, ever have a full complement of champions.

ONE Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs
ONE Light Heavyweight Champion, 225 lbs
ONE Middleweight Champion, 205 lbs

VACANT - The inevitable end of hubris

We were always destined to end here. ONE’s heavier title belts have always been more suggestion than reality. All three have seen at most five champions apiece in their decade-plus of existence--in Light Heavyweight’s case it’s just four, which makes sense, as after ten goddamn years there have been exactly five Light Heavyweight title fights. The belt-padding era began in earnest when ONE made Reinier de Ridder the double-champion over a division that barely existed, and when he fell on hard times with ONE management, they one-upped him by having Heavyweight champion Anatoly Malykhin drop to 225 and 205 thereafter just to beat him out of the company entirely. Over the past two years there was exactly one championship fight across all three weight classes, and it saw Oumar “Reug Reug” Kane take Malykhin’s Heavyweight title away, and it was a portent of the future that Marcus Buchecha won #1 contendership on that same night and opted to leave the company rather than fight for its title. Kane and Malykhin wouldn’t have their scheduled rematch until May 15, 2026, when Malykhin got his revenge by knocking out an exhausted Kane in the fourth round. Having won back his belt, he retired immediately, and in so doing rendered 1/3 of ONE’s MMA championships vacant. I’d bet we will, eventually, see another Heavyweight champion in ONE; I doubt we’ll ever see the other two belts again.

ONE Welterweight Champion, 185 lbs

Christian Lee - 18-4 (1), 0 Defenses

ONE Lightweight Champion, 170 lbs

Christian Lee - 18-4 (1), 1 Defense

It took three tries, but by god, Chatri gets what Chatri wants. Christian Lee, the male half of the first family of ONE Championship and its homegrown golden boy, was very mad about losing his lightweight championship in a controversial decision to Ok Rae Yoon last year. He demanded the decision be reviewed and overturned and his championship reinstated. Unsurprisingly: This did not happen. After months of complaining and just shy of a year of waiting, the two had their long-awaited rematch and Lee left nothing to chance, knocking Yoon out in six minutes to reclaim his belt. Having finally retrieved his title, Lee, being a responsible champion, proceeded to immediately challenge ONE’S 185-pound champion, Kiamrian Abbasov, for his title, a move that was definitely in no way influenced by ONE’s repeated attempts to get his sister Angela Lee double-champion status. Fortunately for Christian, Abbasov horribly botched his weight cut: He came in overweight, lost his title on the scale, and was visibly depleted in the fight. Which is particularly lucky, because Abbasov beat Lee senseless in the first round to the point that a standing TKO would not have been an unreasonable stoppage. But whether from his failed weight cut or simply from punching himself out, Abbasov was exhausted by the second round, and Lee mounted a gutsy comeback and ultimately stopped him with ground-and-pound in the fourth round. After three attempts, ONE has succeeded in getting two belts on a Lee. Unfortunately, it was followed by tragedy. After the passing of his younger sister Victoria, Christian took the whole of the year to, understandably, grieve. ONE planned his comeback for February of 2024, but, y’know, that clearly did not happen. ONE held an interim title fight between Alibeg Rasulov and Ok Rae Yoon to welcome him back--but that didn’t exactly happen either, as Rasulov failed hydration tests, became ineligible to win the title, then won the fight anyway. Lee vs Rasulov was scheduled for October. And then November. It finally happened on December 7, 2024--and it ended in a No Contest after two rounds thanks to Christian unintentionally gouging Rasulov’s eye. They ran it back almost a full year later at ONE 173 on November 16, 2025, and this time Lee knocked him out in the second round, marking Lee’s first win in three years.

ONE Featherweight Champion, 155 lbs

Tang Kai - 20-4, 2 Defenses

Tang Kai has been flying under the radar for some time, and in hindsight, that was clearly a mistake. He made his professional debut as a 20 year-old collegiate wrestler and won a rookie featherweight tournament in China’s WBK (after investigating, we THINK it’s World Battle Kings), but his stylistic limitations became apparent when he moved up to Kunlun Fight--and stopped fighting rookies. Dominant decision losses to ACA standout Bekhruz “Ong Bak” Zukurov and Road to UFC runner-up Asikeerbai Jinensibieke made Kai’s weaknesses too apparent to ignore, and he made the tough call to commit to his dream, pack up his life, and move away from home to start training with real fight camps, most notably Shanghai’s Dragon Gym and Phuket’s legendary Tiger Muay Thai. It’s worked out quite well: He hasn’t lost a fight in five years. Three knockout wins in China’s Rebel FC got ONE’s attention, and since debuting with the organization in 2019, Kai has soundly defeated everyone in his path. He claims his wrestling base makes him impossible to take down and he proves it by using it almost entirely defensively, vastly preferring to bludgeon his opponents on his feet. His fight against Thanh Le, while blistering and difficult, was proof: He evaded every takedown attempt, widely outstruck him, dropped him with punches and leg kicks alike, and took the belt he’s held for two years. And then, absolutely nothing else happened. It took ONE almost a full year to book another match for Tang Kai, and it was just an instant rematch with Thanh Le with no fanfare, and it was delayed by eight full months thanks to an injury. So after more than a year and a half without a fight, Tang Kai finally fought Thanh Le again, and this time, he knocked him out in three rounds. Congratulations, Tang Kai: You are back at square one. His position hasn’t improved much, either. He was supposed to defend his title against Akbar Abdullaev on January 10, and Abdullaev pounded him out in the fifth round, but he also missed weight by a pound and a half and thus was ineligible for the championship. So, hey: Still a world champion! You just got knocked out a little bit. It’s fine. ONE cut Abdullaev anyway rather than give him another shot. After almost another year and a half of inactivity Tang Kai finally defended his title on May 15, this time knocking out Shamil Gasanov.

ONE Bantamweight Champion, 145 lbs

Elbek Alyshov - 10-0, 0 Defenses

You know, Bantamweight was one of ONE’s best divisions. The higher weight classes were always troubled, but Bantamweight thrived with activity and Kim Soo-chul, Martin Nguyen, John Lineker--hell, Bibiano Fernandes, one of the best fighters to never take a shot at the UFC, remains the all-time greatest, champion in ONE history. But things ain’t what they used to be. Bibi alone had eleven title fights in five years. Since 2022, there have now been five Bantamweight title fights altogether. John Lineker took it from Bibi, the scale took it away from him, Fabrício Andrade picked the bones and waited almost two full years to defend the title once, and in his second attempt in 2025, Mongolian wrestler Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu choked it out of him. By then, Elbek Alyshov was already waiting, but waiting was something he’d gotten used to. He turned pro back in 2017, realized he wasn’t ready, and bumped back down to the amateur scene, only re-emerging three years later as a finished product after winning the International Mixed Martial Arts Federation Junior Championship. He made a name for himself as a standout in Moscow’s regional fight scene, but had to take another three-year hiatus from the sport after chronic health conditions grounded him. He finally joined ONE in 2025, rattled off two submission wins in two months, and had to sit and wait for another eight months before finally getting his shot at the top of the mountain. He didn’t waste it. Alyshov knocked Baatarkhuu flat in a round and a half to take the Bantamweight title home. Now he waits to see if ONE can book him more than once a year.

ONE Flyweight Champion, 135 lbs

Avazbek Kholmirzaev - 16-2, 0 Defenses

There’s a certain kind of tragedy in winning a championship during what certainly seems to be the waning days of a promotion’s time with mixed martial arts. Avazbek Kholmirzaev is by no means new to ONE, his title victory came a whole eleven fights into his time on their roster, but he spent a great deal of that time nigh-unto invisible. He got his start in his native country’s Uzbekistan MMA Association, but like so many of his countrymen, the successes that built his career came from the bigger, more popular Alash Pride FC, Kazakhstan’s biggest promotion, which is large, well-populated, and also the kind of bullshit record-padding organization that books main events between promising prospects and 5-11 guys who mysteriously always lose within three minutes. But he was on the positive side of the equation, and he knocked people out with spinning kicks, so ONE scouted him for their expansion across the East and he proved to be a natural fit--for the prelims. Avazbek almost never left the first few fights of the cards he was booked on, right up to his championship-opportunity-earning victory over no less than the 11-10 Jeremy Miado this past December curtain-jerking an Amazon Prime card, and an unkind man would probably intimate that his shot at Yuya Wakamatsu’s Flyweight Championship was an attempt to get Yuya a win, being as it was ONE’s big Ariake Arena show in Tokyo and they were attempting to showcase as much of their Japanese talent as possible. It was going well for Yuya right up until he ate a spinning elbow to the dome and went down in a heap just moments before the second round was about to end. Avazbek is a champion and he should be duly proud, and now we’re just left to see what being an MMA champion in ONE means in 2026.

ONE Strawweight Champion, 125 lbs

Joshua Pacio - 24-5, 2 Defenses

It’s been a difficult couple of years for Joshua Pacio. “The Passion” stands as a true veteran of ONE Championship, having made his debut--and his first, unsuccessful attempt at winning the Strawweight title--all the way back in 2016. Pacio established himself as both a fan favorite and a solid promotional favorite for the company, and when he lost his second bid for the title against Yosuke Saruta in 2019, ONE, in a trick they’d become very friendly with over the years, gave him an instant rematch anyway. Pacio knocked Saruta out in the rematch and became easily the greatest 125-pound champion in ONE history, ultimately defending the title three times--including a trilogy match against Saruta. By 2022, Pacio was a crown jewel for ONE’s lineup. Which is when he promptly got wrestled into paste by UFC cast-off Jarred Brooks. Rather than having him defend the title, ONE booked Brooks into grappling matches, and in the meantime Pacio fought and defeated undefeated prospect Mansur Malachiev to earn himself a rematch. Multiple delays ensued, but on March 1, the Brooks/Pacio rematch finally came. Fifty-six seconds in, Pacio attempted a standing kimura on Brooks, who hoisted him off the ground, suplexed him, and knocked him out. Unfortunately, this was a problem. Under ONE’s ruleset, slams that land headfirst are illegal. ONE has been regularly criticized for this--less for the rule itself as for ONE’s tendency to selectively enforce the rule, using it to benefit fighters they would like to succeed. ONE, of course, denies this vehemently. However you draw your own conclusions, at the end of the day Jarred Brooks was disqualified, and thus, by DQ, Joshua Pacio is now a three-time Strawweight champion. He almost immediately announced he has torn his ACL and was out for an entire year. On February 20th, 2025, Pacio and Brooks finally fought again and it was weird, but definitive. Jarred Brooks seemingly exhausted himself after a round and Pacio pounded him for the entire second round, which eventually elicited a mercy stoppage from the ref. ONE has only one 125-pound champion again. So he, of course, challenged for the 135-pound title next. Pacio vs Wakamatsu happened at ONE 173 on November 16 and ended in Pacio getting smashed in six minutes. Thankfully, he secured his first win in a year and a half, and his second title defense, after choking out Mansur Malachiev on July 10.

ONE Women’s Atomweight Champion, 115 lbs

VACANT - The planting ground for broken dreams

On June 23, Denice Zamboanga vacated the Atomweight title after she had a baby. On one hand: Mazel tov. On the other, for those keeping track, this means Stamp Fairtex was the champion, then she got hurt, then Denice won the interim belt a year and a half ago, then Stamp fell out of their unification bout with an injury so ONE promoted Denice to undisputed champion, and that was more than a year ago, and now it’s ended with the belt going to nobody. There has been one championship fight in the last three fucking years and it was for an interim belt and one of the women in said fight hadn’t recorded a win since January of 2021. I am once again pleading with ONE: Just stop doing MMA. Let my people go.

PFL Heavyweight Championship, 265 lbs

Vadim Nemkov - 19-2 (1), 0 Defenses

When the PFL announced that it was going to crown a standing Heavyweight champion, they had a raft of interesting options. Oleg Popov, their 2025 tournament champion, had a strong argument. Denis Goltsov, 2024 champion and the only man in almost ten years to beat Popov, could’ve called dibs. Hell, the PFL still technically has Francis Ngannou, the best Heavyweight on the planet, under contract. They, of course, did not choose any of those men. They chose Renan Ferreira, the 2023 tournament champion whose only fight in almost two years was a TKO loss to Ngannou, and Vadim Nemkov, Bellator’s best Light Heavyweight. Nemkov, a Fedor protégé, hadn’t lost since 2016, when he got himself punched out by Jiří Procházka and narrowly edged out by Karl Albrektsson, and it’s a testament to both his skills and the world’s dim view of the Heavyweight division that when the PFL acquired Bellator and Nemkov announced he was leaving 205 for the 265-pound world, instead of the expected fretting about how a 6’1” man would contend in the world of the big boys, more or less everyone said “Yeah, that’s fine.” And lo: It was. Nemkov choked out 2021 PFL champ Bruno Cappelozza, and then he choked out the ever-pained Timothy Johnson, and when he fought Renan Ferreira at PFL Champions Series 4 on December 13, 2025, shockingly, he choked him out, too. Nemkov’s now the only major Heavyweight champion in American MMA outside of the UFC. Hopefully it pays off.

PFL Light Heavyweight Championship, 205 lbs

Corey Anderson - 20-6 (1), 0 Defenses

One of the best Light Heavyweights in the world isn’t in the UFC, and they have only themselves to blame. Corey Anderson was the precise kind of fighter the UFC wanted when they first got ahold of him in 2014: Big, young, athletic, talented, undefeated. He had all the makings of a future champion, and his victory on The Ultimate Fighter 19 (jesus christ) cemented him as a prospect to watch. Unfortunately, he had also barely been in the sport for a year and only had four professional fights to his name. In short order he’d suffered his first loss, and a couple years later, a pair of back-to-back knockouts in 2017 sent him to the realm of afterthoughts. But a recommitment to his wrestling style, an extremely well-aged victory over Glover Teixeira, and a devastating knockout over Johnny Walker got Anderson back in the title picture, and in 2020, he fought Jan Błachowicz to determine the #1 contender to the soon-to-be-vacated belt. They’d done battle once, five years prior, and Corey had won a clear decision. This time, Jan flattened him in three minutes. Despite his top-ten ranking and the four consecutive fights he’d just won, the UFC decided to dump Corey, sending him from main event to unemployment in a week. Corey went straight to Bellator and proceeded to become one of its best stars, and he would have become the first man in America to beat Vadim Nemkov had they not banged their heads together and ended the fight prematurely. Corey lost the rematch, but he became the last man to hold Bellator’s Light Heavyweight title after beating Karl Moore, and on October 3, Corey had a champion vs champion match against the PFL’s 205-pound tournament champion, Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov. Corey had pounded him out in Bellator four years prior, and while he didn’t get the stoppage in the present, he did get the win, and in so doing he became the inaugural PFL Light Heavyweight Champion. What that actually means going forward, we’ll have to see.

PFL Middleweight Championship, 185 lbs

Costello van Steenis - 18-3, 1 Defense

For years, the Professional Fighters League has threatened to crown standing champions. Did they carry through any of their major tournament winners? Nope. Did they bring out their holdout Bellator champions? Not exactly! Did they at least make a big hubbub about finally going through with it? Of course not. Instead, just five days before PFL Champions Series 2, their promotional debut in South Africa, they abruptly announced that Bellator champ Johnny Eblen was suddenly the first-ever PFL Middleweight Champion, and his match with Costello van Steenis was the first-ever defense of the title. Costello, himself, was a Bellator veteran who’d been absorbed in the PFL buyout, but he’d always played second fiddle in the organization, unable to get through the John Salters and Douglas Limas of the world, and thus said world was mostly overlooking him as a challenger. The first three rounds of Eblen gradually grinding him into dust bore out that expectation, but then a funny thing happened: The inexhaustible wrestler got tired. Eblen found himself punched up by van Steenis in the fourth round, and he seemed to be pulling it together again in the fifth, but right before the bell could ring van Steenis managed to take his back and sink in a choke, and with just seven seconds separating him from an almost-certain decision victory, Eblen passed out. Costello van Steenis is the first man to truly hold a standing PFL Championship, and he became the second man to defend one after knocking out Fabian Edwards on March 20.

Interim PFL Middleweight Championship

Johnny Eblen - 18-1, 0 Defenses

Yeah, I dunno, man. This is kind of silly. So, as you read above, Johnny Eblen lost an upset last-minute fight against Costello van Steenis in 2025, and it cost him his chance to be the inaugural Middleweight Champion of the PFL. They could have booked an instant rematch, but instead they decided to build the tension by having Costello battle 2025 PFL Tournament Champion Fabian Edwards, and Eblen fight, uh, the unranked UFC cast-off Bryan Battle. Unsurprisingly, both men won their fights with ease. Costello and Johnny were to have their almost-a-year-later rematch on July 18, but two weeks before fight night, van Steenis injured himself training and fell out of the fight. Instead, Eblen met Impa Kasanganay--in what was ALSO a rematch of a 2024 contest that Eblen won--for an interim title. Eblen trounced Impa and knocked him out in the third round, and now he has his own shiny PFL belt and can sit and twiddle his thumbs until Costello’s ready to roll.

PFL Welterweight Championship, 170 lbs

Thad Jean - 12-0, 0 Defenses

One of the least necessary championship snarls in the world has been resolved, but not without one last bit of comedy. Ramazan Kuramagomedov was the PFL’s first Welterweight champion, but he retired in the cage seconds after winning the belt, and there was very little doubt about who they wanted carrying their banner in his stead. Thad Jean is one of the precious few fighters the PFL can legitimately call a home-grown star. He was only 4-0 when they picked him up for their development Challenger Series as a Haitian-American prospect turned regional veteran, and a year and a half later he had four straight PFL preliminary wins, two of them by horrifically violent knockout. They put him in as a dark horse contender in their last-ever tournament in 2025, and in a bracket that included three Bellator champions, one Pancrase champion and multiple title contenders, Thad Jean was the last man standing, having knocked out Russian champion Mukhamed Berkhamov and taken decisions over Jason Jackson and Logan Storley on his way to the throne. On July 25 Thad was supposed to face Shamil Musaev, the man Kuramagomedov beat, for the vacant belt, but Musaev fell out at the last minute and was replaced by Ernesto “Starboy” Rodriguez, a much lower-profile challenger. Which has somewhat clouded the fight, as no one expected anything from Starboy and he damn near killed Thad. The two had a war, with both getting knocked down, both having success on the floor and both almost finishing the other, but ultimately, Thad got the ground-and-pound TKO in the third and with it, the belt. Presumably, he’ll be waiting for Musaev to come back.

PFL Lightweight Championship, 155 lbs

Usman Nurmagomedov - 22-0 (1), 2 Defenses

The Nurmagomedov family is trying to run the sport, and Usman is their B-league beachhead, but that assault has proven to be an awful lot rockier than the rest. As the kid brother of Umar and the cousin of Khabib, Usman had great expectations thrust upon him very early in his career, and he dealt with them the way regional talents with great camps traditionally do: Squashing severely overmatched competition until you get a contract from one of the big companies. Bellator won the Usman bidding war and brought him over in 2021, and he proved to be one of the breakout stars of their final days, blitzing his way up the Lightweight ranks, knocking off several contenders and ultimately beating Patricky Pitbull to win the 155-pound championship and securing his reign by retiring former star and UFC champ Benson Henderson. It was 2023, and even though Bellator’s upcoming death was clear, Usman was a name and widely considered one of the best Lightweights in the world. Unfortunately, then, things got weird. He was a massive, -2200 favorite to beat Brent Primus in the waning days of Bellator, and he did--and it became the first non-win of his career after failing a drug test for something that was never disclosed. He carried Bellator’s title over into its new life as a colony of the PFL, and he immediately ran into controversy after barely scraping a majority decision off of Irish superprospect Paul Hughes. The world wanted a rematch for the inaugural PFL Lightweight Championship fight, and on October 3, at the PFL’s big Dubai show, they got it--and this time, it waws even closer, with media scorecards split right down the middle. This, by itself, is not that unusual, nor is one fighter winning a controversial decision unusual. It is unusual when the decision is not only unanimous, but one judge scores the entire fight as a 50-45 shut-out. So Usman’s last two wins were dubious, and his future as part of the PFL depends on how they treat their own championship, but for now, he is the damn champion. He notched his first title defense by choking out Alfie Davis on February 7, and he scored his second after easily knocking out Archie Colgan on July 31.

PFL Women’s Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Cris Cyborg - 30-2 (1), 1 Defense

Are you noticing how all of the inaugural PFL champions are just Bellator’s champions? Funny, that. Cris Cyborg is the greatest Women’s Featherweight of all time, and we all just kind of have to deal with that, because Women’s Featherweight has only barely ever existed. Strikeforce set the standard back in 2006 because Gina Carano was one of their biggest stars, and that star lasted right up until 2009, when they attempted to put a belt on her and failed because Cris Cyborg punched the shit out of her. In the following sixteen years Cyborg’s only lost one mixed martial arts fight, and it took Amanda Nunes, the greatest Women’s mixed martial artist of all time, to do it. Aside from that one loss, she’s run the table. She was the Strikeforce Featherweight Champion until it closed, and then she was Invicta’s Featherweight Champion until they let the UFC have her, and then she was the UFC’s Featherweight Champion until Amanda dropped her, and Cyborg promptly went to Bellator and won their title, too. When the PFL brought her over in the Bellator buyout, they set her up for an interpromotional superfight against Larissa Pacheco, a two-time PFL tournament winner and the only woman who’d ever beaten Kayla Harrison. On one hand, Pacheco’s one of just six women to ever make it to the final bell with Cyborg. On the other, she lost 4-1. In the ultimate act of promotional cowardice, the PFL promoted Cyborg to champion status three days before her appearance at the PFL Champions Series on December 13, 2025, meaning her fight with Sara Collins was, technically, a title defense. It was as one-sided as you’d expect. In theory, this is great! The biggest female fighter outside the UFC has a belt and the PFL is bringing back a division the UFC threw in the garbage. In practice, Cyborg didn’t even get out of her post-fight interview without noting that after her next fight she’s going to retire from MMA in favor of focusing on her boxing career. Unless she changes her mind--again--her swan song will come against UFC cast-off Ketlen Vieira on August 22. UPDATE: She may or may not have retired. She beat Ketlen, but it wasn’t a title defense because Ketlen missed weight really, really badly, and then Cyborg said she’s not retired but doesn’t know when she’ll fight again, which is the kind of limbo Women’s Featherweight has always existed in.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 29 FROM THE SHANGHAI INDOOR STADIUM IN SHANGHAI, CHINA
EARLY START TIME WARNING | PRELIMS 12 AM PDT / 3 AM EDT | MAIN CARD 3 AM / 6 AM | EARLY START TIME WARNING

If the UFC’s trips to China are starting to look a little familiar to you, don’t worry, contrary to social expectations you are not in fact growing more racist as you age, you just have basic pattern recognition. Eight of the fighters on this card were on the last China card back in May and have done nothing else in the interim. One of these fights is just a re-do from said event.

(Zhang Mingyang, it should concern you deeply that they don’t have you here.)

MAIN EVENT: RELATIVE SILENCE
BANTAMWEIGHT: Umar Nurmagomedov (20-1, #3) vs Song Yadong (23-9-1 (1), #6)

Earlier this Summer Umar Nurmagomedov posted a video that was ostensibly about the press denying the genocide occurring in Gaza but was, more forwardly, about the Holocaust being an overinflated lie. I woke up, I read the story, I double-checked it, I thought about it, and I realized with some mixture of extreme dismay and exhaustion that I didn’t really have anything to say about it anymore.

Rather: What is there to say other than the acknowledgment that it’s there and it, and everything, is the worst? We’re coming up on 200 of these write-ups pretty soon (event #200 is on my birthday, hilariously enough), and I can’t stop reflecting on just how much more nihilistic things have become in those two and a half years. One of the top Bantamweights in the world, someone who will almost certainly win a title at some point--sorry to spoil the ending of this essay--posting Holocaust denial isn’t just no longer particularly notable, it’s not even the first, second or third time it’s happened in recent memory. Fuck, it’s not even the WORST time. Bryce Mitchell did a podcast episode that included his opinions on how the story of the Holocaust is liberal public school indoctrination and Hitler was a patriot who was just trying to stop the Jews from turning Germany gay and not only did it not have any negative consequences for him, it had positive consequences. The UFC pulled him from other events so he could be on a pay-per-view.

We’re just so absurdly neck-deep and near-drowning in the nothing-matters era of the sport that I’m not sure what it would even take to register a response these days. Dana White smacked his wife on camera and is still promoting Power Slap. Conor McGregor lost a very public rape trial and the UFC gave him a hero’s welcome. Justin Gaethje won a UFC championship on the White House lawn in front of Donald Trump after staring lovingly at the Declaration of Independence inside the Oval Office during his walkout. Everything is as stupid, as gross and as utterly banal as it could possibly be, and instead of controversy, the overarching response--even from the right wing the entire company has pivoted towards courting--is apathy.

No one cares. Positively or negatively. The biggest UFC shows do about 1/4 as many viewers as an episode of hit Paramount+ series Landman, which is, I assume, about a man who has land. The average numbered UFC event underperforms televised re-runs of R.J. Decker. And the average Apex show? Hell, they don’t even put out viewership ballparks for those.

The UFC has a white-hot Welterweight contendership bracket and one of the greatest fighters of all time in Islam Makhachev and a whole platoon of generational talents like Tom Aspinall, Kayla Harrison, Alexander Volkanovski, Max Holloway, Ilia Topuria, Petr Yan, Merab Dvalishvili, Alex Pereira, Charles Oliveira and Valentina Shevchenko on their roster, and they are absolutely struggling to make anyone outside of their dedicated fanbase give a damn.

And--even divorced from the fucking Holocaust denial aspect--this fight is a prime example of why.

Umar Nurmagomedov’s one of the best Bantamweights on the planet. Think about what you watched Mario Bautista do to fighters like Cory Sandhagen and Vinicius Oliveira, and realize Umar did that to him. There’s only one blemish on Umar’s record, ever, and it’s Merab, and Umar was one round away from taking the decision and the title. He’s a fantastic fighter. He’s a complete competitor. On a long enough timeframe it’s almost inevitable that he’ll wear the belt.

Song Yadong isn’t that far away. The patch on Song has always been his inability to crack the very top of the division. He puts everyone below him to shame, but Sandhagen punched his eyebrow off, and Petr Yan outworked him, and at the start of this year Song got a shot at Sean O’Malley and split the media scorecards almost down the middle, but the judges weren’t having it. He’s an exceptional puncher and, almost ten years into his UFC tenure, people are still underestimating his grappling.

Great fighters. Solid fight.

And it’s happening in the vacuum of space.

There are two reasons to promote an MMA event. One is to build cash/cache with a region, which is essentially the UFC’s entire reason for being right now, and in that sense it’s not a particular surprise why Song Yadong keeps showing up on their Chinese cards. Win over China with your most successful (male) Chinese fighter. Is it a fight he’s most likely going to lose? Sure! But it’s the highest-profile one you can give him.

The second reason is to get your viewers invested in what you’re going to do next, and in that sense, this kind of fucking sucks.

Umar’s already earned his title rematch, and he’s treading water instead because Bantamweight is stuck. Merab ran the table for years only to get upset by Petr Yan last December, and then Yan needed back surgery, and rather than booking an interim title or working out contendership or having anyone do anything, the entire division’s been in a holding pattern. Merab’s been doing wrestling matches for Eric Bischoff’s fake-real amateur wrestling organization. By the time we get to the only-recently-booked rubber match between Yan and Merab at the end of October it will have been almost an entire goddamn year since the title changed hands.

In the meantime? Aiemann Zahabi rose up in the ranks and they sacrificed him to O’Malley. Song almost beat O’Malley and had to settle for choking out the rapidly aging Deiveson Figueiredo, who had, one fight prior, already lost to Umar. Hell, they wanted Umar to fight David Martinez, and if your response to that was “Who?” I have the task of telling you two of his three UFC fights were co-main events, and yet, your answer is still correct.

Is this going to fix any of that? No! Of course not. If Umar Nurmagomedov beats Song Yadong it is business as usual, if Song Yadong beats Umar that’s kind of a big deal, but all of that’s irrelevant because the fight’s going to be happening on an internet stream at like five in the fucking morning for the majority of the UFC’s audience. I am a giant fight sicko and I live in the Eastern time zone and I am not waking up at six in the goddamn morning to see if Bilal Hasan can beat Nilson Rojas.

The only really beneficial outcome this has from a promotional standpoint is the home-appeal upset shock if Song beats Umar, and, respectfully, I really don’t think that’s going to happen. Song’s got a power advantage here. If he can keep Umar too wary of his punches to commit and/or too hurt to focus on not getting knocked out, he’s got a solid chance. Failing that? Umar’s got a lot more variety on his strikes, he’s got a real big grappling advantage, and he’s really, really hard to hurt, let alone rattle.

UMAR NURMAGOMEDOV BY DECISION is a massive betting favorite for a reason. I hope whoever wakes up to watch it has a good time and I hope Umar gets a set of history textbooks for his birthday.

CO-MAIN EVENT: TRUE SUBTLETY
WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Yan Xiaonan (19-5 (1), #4) vs Denise Gomes (12-3, #14)

So, just out of curiosity, what exactly do you think the UFC’s hoping will happen when top-five ranked former title challenger Yan Xiaonan fights a barely-ranked woman whose best victory was over a retiring Tecia Pennington and also they’re in Shanghai?

We just finished discussing the holding pattern the Bantamweight division has been stuck in, but Women’s Strawweight hasn’t been doing much better. Zhang Weili’s thousand-day reign as the queen of 115 only included one title defense per calendar year, but by far the most memorable was her UFC 300 showdown with Yan Xiaonan. In the course of five rounds Zhang arguably both knocked out and submitted Yan only to have the referee recognize neither, scored multiple 10-8 rounds, and somehow, Yan still came out of the fight with more fan approval than she’d had going in, as despite getting absolutely shellacked, she survived and even won a round.

Fantastic performance. Career-making performance! It was also in April of 2024 and Yan’s only fought twice since, and the last time was almost a year and a half ago. Which sounds apocalyptic until you realize there have only been three title fights in those nearly three years and 2/3 of them were dominated by a woman Yan already beat in Mackenzie Dern. Despite having defeated her, Yan has been sitting on the sidelines, watching the red carpet lead Mackenzie straight to the title.

That is, however, saying more than Denise Gomes, who has simply been toiling in the background just to get to a position where the UFC could use and dispose of her as a utility player.

It’s rough, man. It’s rough out there for the people they don’t really care about pushing. Amanda Ribas is ranked above Denise and she has one win in the last three and a half years. Alexia Thainara just won a top ten match that she earned with a decision victory against the 3-5 Bruna Brasil. Back in 2023, Denise knocked Bruna out in a round and a half, and her reward was getting booked as a +300 underdog against the undefeated, unranked Yazmin Jauregui on a card explicitly marketed around ascending Mexican prospects. And when Denise walked right through Yazmin and punched her silly in twenty seconds?

Why, that meant it was time for a barely-ranked matchup with Angela Hill on some prelims, baby.

Gomes is tougher and more powerful than most of her opponents, and that confidence lets her simply march people down and smash them. Last week we watched Shanelle Dyer, a killer striker with a big size and strength advantage, need almost a full three rounds to chip Elise Reed down to nothing, and even then she had to settle for a standing TKO when the ref simply had enough. Denise broke Elise’s face and dropped her in five and a half minutes. Bruna, Elise and Yazmin had never been flattened on their feet before: Denise walked punches into them until they fell over. That’s her power. It’s what she’s best at.

Which makes this a legitimately interesting bout, because walking stiff punches into people is what got Yan here.

She doesn’t beat Mackenzie without being able to stick her at the end of her fists. She doesn’t get her shot at the title without smashing Jéssica Andrade. And she certainly doesn’t take a round off Zhang Weili without punching Weili right off her feet.

Yan’s more patient. Denise is more intense. I’m leaning towards YAN XIAONAN BY DECISION, but this one’s pretty up in the air.

MAIN CARD: THE RETURNING CAST
BANTAMWEIGHT: Aoriqileng (26-13 (1)) vs Kai Asakura (22-6)

We’re in a little bit of a bizarre situation, here. Aoriqileng is the Chinese fighter given the premier bout on the Chinese card and he’s also pretty unmistakably being set up for failure. Aoriqileng’s crossed over into a double-digit UFC career, but unfortunately for him said career is still more losses than wins, and one of those losses notably came during the UFC’s last constitutional to China back in May, where Cody Haddon beat the absolute stuffing out of him. An 84 to 12 striking differential beating. A kneed-in-the-liver-until-he-can’t-move kind of beating. It was brutal, it was one-sided, and, as is happening an awful lot these days, it was only barely 90 days ago, and somehow, that has not stopped this fight from getting booked.

Kai Asakura was on that card, too. The Rizin champion turned unsuccessful UFC Flyweight titlist gave up on the 125-pound division after Tim Elliott strangled him back in 2025, and that May trip to Macau was Asakura’s return to the Bantamweight class, where his success back in Japan had come from in the first place. It certainly looked a lot better on his frame, and he certainly seemed much more comfortable. It was, however, probably more important that instead of Alexandre Pantoja or Tim Elliott, Kai was fighting Cameron Smotherman, whose biggest UFC achievement was passing out during weigh-ins. Kai knocked him out in under two minutes, and the world, and management, are waiting for him to do it again.

Which feels real, real likely. Aoriqileng is tough, but as Aiemann Zahabi showed, good, straight-aiming counterpunchers are his kryptonite, and that’s Kai’s best game. KAI ASAKURA BY TKO.

FLYWEIGHT: Alex Perez (26-10 (1), #11) vs Sumudaerji (19-7 (1), #11 even though that’s not how rankings fucking work)

This is stupid. This is just so goddamn stupid on multiple levels. For one, before we even get to the fight: Both of these men are ranked #11 and that defeats the purpose of rankings. The point of the rankings is to separate people. If your ranking system leads to two fighters being tied, the system needs to be adjusted. Also, Sumudaerji has never beaten a ranked opponent. The closest he came was losing a unanimous decision to Charles Johnson, whom Alex Perez, notably, knocked the fuck out in one round.

For two: This is a rematch from the aforementioned Macau card in May, which was also aggressively stupid. Perez controlled Sumudaerji in round one, Sumudaerji caught him with a good shot in the second but Perez recovered, and then Sumudaerji kicked him in the dick so badly that Perez began vomiting uncontrollably. The ref decided the kick was egregious, docked Sumudaerji a point and, thus, should have disqualified him when Perez couldn’t continue, but instead it’s a No Contest and now we’re doing it again three months later.

And for three: The first time they fought Perez was a -140 favorite, and then he almost choked Sumudaerji out but got kicked in the jimmy, and now, in the rematch, Perez is a +160 underdog. This is because everything is designed to make me angry, all of the time.

ALEX PEREZ BY SUBMISSION.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Levi Rodrigues Jr. (5-1) vs Liu Ce (3-1)

This fight is how I am going to die. This will be the one that gets me. It has everything.

You may vaguely remember Levi Rodrigues Jr. from one and a half months ago, but it’s a lot more likely that you don’t, because all of this has blurred together into a mélange of horror, so here’s your refresher course: He got on the Contender Series in 2025, beat a 4-0 fighter who worked as a fulltime gym teacher, had the win overturned after he pissed hot for steroids, got signed to the UFC anyway, and got grotesquely mauled by Felipe Franco, the man said gym teacher had defeated who got his own UFC contract thanks to a victory over a 1-1 guy on the regional circuit. 42 days before this fight, a 205-pound man sat on Levi’s chest and elbowed him in the head until he briefly lost consciousness, and that, of course, does not matter.

Liu Ce has a solid background as a kickboxer. He came up in China’s local scene, he fought around Wu Ling Feng, and he knocked out 6’7” meme kickboxer Sina Karimian to win the K-1 Max Cruiserweight Championship, which is a little impressive and a lot very funny. You may notice that I am only really talking about his kickboxing career! This is because in MMA he’s basically done nothing. He beat a 5-5 journeyman, an 0-2 guy who was also almost a full foot shorter than him, and the 2-6 Igor Barabanov, who has, himself, never won an MMA fight against anyone who’s ever won an MMA fight. The UFC has so much faith in Ce that they initially booked him against the legend himself, Junior Tafa, but Junior couldn’t make it, so they instead took the other not-that-good guy who just got the shit beat out of him a goddamn month ago.

Craven does not begin to cover it. LIU CE BY TKO.

FLYWEIGHT: Bilal Hasan (9-0) vs Nilson Rojas (9-0)

There’s a very good chance this is going to be a murder, but it could be the fun kind of murder. On paper these men are identical, but in practice, Bilal--who is Indonesian by way of Hawaii and now lives and fights in Washington, but his nickname is “The Indoninja” so he can do whatever the fuck he wants, as far as I am concerned--moved up to the Cage Fury Fighting Championships a couple years ago, won their Flyweight title, and proceeded to not just defend it against some genuinely solid prospects, but knock all of them the fuck out. He’s got great offense, he’s got great mix-ups, and he only really moves his head when the time comes to lean back for a pull counter, which makes me nervous that he will one day get chin-checked really badly, but for now, it’s great. Two and a half weeks ago Bilal went on DWCS and smashed Mridul Saikia in 45 seconds, so, as always, it’s imperative the UFC get him in the cage as soon as is humanly possible.

Nilson has not had the same experience. He’s 9-0, he’s undefeated, but, as I find myself saying an awful lot these days, he’s getting pulled into the UFC before getting to really test himself against stiff competition. Thanks to the Peruvian scene and its tendency towards record-padding, two fights ago he was beating the 6-10 Wallafy “Muuh” Fernandes--yes, really--and his contract-earning victory came from Inka, which matched him up with the 4-0 Gonzalo Hanampa, who had half Nilson’s experience and had never fought anyone with a winning record. Consequently, Nilson looks like a lot of prospects you’ll see if you run enough regional tape: Strong offense, with huge, sweeping hooks he likes to dive into, which gives him a lot of knockout power and virtually zero defense.

Which is the meta, these days. And hey: If he catches Bilal not moving his head, he could turn his lights out. Still: BILAL HASAN BY TKO.

PRELIMS: PUT THE GOOD FIGHTS WHERE FUCKING NOBODY WILL WATCH THEM, THAT’S THE FUCKING TICKET, YOU ARE ALL SO FUCKING GOOD AT YOUR JOBS

FLYWEIGHT: André Lima (11-1) vs Namsrai Batbayar (10-1)

André Lima’s career is a fucking roller coaster, man. He was brought into the UFC despite the mortal sin of winning a DWCS fight by decision and became a sensation when his debut fight ended in a DQ after Igor Severino bit him so hard it left a full-ass dental imprint on his bicep. Lima got a lot of positive press for dealing with it, then boned it up by missing weight for his next fight. He won, steadily, but missed almost a year and a half thanks to injuries and scheduling problems. And when he finally came back this past June, he dropped an enormous upset loss to Kevin Borjas, who no one really gave a chance. Having lost for the first time in his career--having just been punched in the head dozens of times barely two months ago--the directive is, fuck you, get back in the cage. Namsrai Batbayar isn’t going to fight himself. Do you remember Road to UFC 4? No you fucking don’t, don’t lie. Batbayar knocked everyone in the tournament out and won his contract and they’re not pulling any punches with him, it’s sink or swim against one of their best prospects.

Batbayar’s scary as hell, but he’s also been very accustomed to barnstorming everyone he fights. Lima can get outworked, but I don’t think he’s sloppy enough to get overwhelmed. ANDRÉ LIMA BY DECISION.

FLYWEIGHT: Rei Tsuruya (11-1) vs Kevin Borjas (11-5)

Having just beaten Lima, Kevin Borjas is, of course, booked underneath him. In fairness, a) that win still only made Borjas 2 for his last 6, b) Borjas did miss weight by coming in at 129 for a Flyweight fight, which is unfortunate, and more importantly, c) They want him to lose this fight really badly. If you do remember a Road to UFC winner, there’s an even chance it’s Rei Tsuruya, who took the second season’s Flyweight bracket and wound up fighting future champion Joshua Van just two fights later, because the margins at Flyweight are pretty slim. Injuries kept Rei on the shelf for an entire year, he came back in Macau this past May and became the first person to ever submit Luis Gurule, and if you can draw the line between “well-hyped fighter the UFC keeps booking for the Asian market who needs to continue to get back on the right track” and “guy the UFC’s pissed off at for missing weight and killing a prospect he was supposed to be a jobber for,” you are beginning to pick up on the tricks.

REI TSURUYA BY TKO. If Borjas beats Rei they might keep Rei and cut Borjas out of sheer frustration.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Xiao Long (27-11) vs Francesco Nuzzi (11-2 (2))

It wouldn’t be a Road to UFC reunion without Xiao Long. The UFC has moved Heaven and Earth to try to make Xiao Long a thing, and the universe continues to laugh in their face. They brought Long to the Contender Series in 2021: He was soundly beaten by Cristian Quiñonez, who has since been lost in the shuffle. They brought Long in for the first-ever Road to UFC tournament: He got sick and pulled out days before it began. They brought him back for Road to UFC 2: He made it to the finals, got injured, delayed the end of the tournament by half a year, and promptly lost to Lee Chang-ho, who, also, is 1-1 and hasn’t been booked in almost a year. They signed Xiao anyway, because fuck it, and got him a real, honest to god UFC win! Over the 1-3 Quang Le, after which Xiao was beaten by Su-Young You. The UFC doubled down again, booking Xiao into the preliminary headliner under Max Holloway vs Charles Oliveira 2, and they gave him former champion and marketing star Cody Garbrandt at the tail end of years of near-constant loss and thoughts of retirement. And Xiao would have won a unanimous, 29-28 decision! Except he kneed Garbrandt in the junk and lost two points. They won’t stop. They can’t stop. Francesco Nuzzi has never fought in the UFC. He’s only competed three times in the last 3+ years, and one of those fights was a submission loss and another was a No Contest because he got kneed in the dick and couldn’t stop writhing around on the ground saying things in Italian that, I presume, translated to “oh no, my penis.”

Long is meant to win. Long has to win. There is no reason for Long to lose other than sheer, painful comedy. Consequently: FRANCESCO NUZZI BY TKO.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Jack Jenkins (14-4) vs Sean Woodson (13-2-1)

This bothers me deeply. Both of these men, while embattled, have been extremely solid prospects. Jack Jenkins is a solid combination striker with devastating leg kicks and getting choked out by the perpetually underrated Gabriel Santos shouldn’t have devastated his stock with the company. Sean Woodson is a terrifying giraffe-man with Jon Jones arms at Featherweight who just lost for the first time in half a decade, and it was a slightly dodgy TKO stoppage against Dan Ige, one of the best gatekeepers in the business. Jenkins isn’t that far away from being rehabbed, and Sean Woodson was on a seven-fight unbeaten streak until his last bout, and now they’re right in the middle of the graveyard shift death slot on the prelims of a Chinese card.

Soul-crushing shit. Woodson’s got an enormous range advantage, as always, and I’m still banking on SEAN WOODSON BY DECISION, but he also has dangerously thin scarecrow legs that he tends to plant way out in front, and a few kicks will really fuck up his day.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Lawrence Lui (8-1) vs Hector Santiago (6-1)

You know what I can’t help noticing? We’ve got multiple Road to UFC winners on this card, which is in China, but none of the Chinese fighters to win Road to UFC are here. Zhu Kangjie? Still recovering from his knockout loss in Macau. Shi Ming? Somehow, inexplicably, bumped back down to Road to UFC exhibitions. Yizha? Hasn’t been booked since January. Rongzhu is booked to fight at Noche UFC 4, two weeks from now, instead of here in China. But Rei Tsuruya is here, and Namsrai Batbayar is here, and Lawrence Lui, who just barely squeaked by China’s Sulangranbao to win this year’s Bantamweight tournament, is here. And so is Hector Santiago, who was just fighting for Renato Moicano’s MONEY MOICANO MMA, which is, as it turns out, yet another Brazilian promotion that dares to ask if ostensibly promising prospects can beat journeymen. Hector, to his credit, beat someone who was actually close to him in experience, and looked okay doing it.

LAWRENCE LUI BY DECISION will happen anyway.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Xiong Jingnan (19-3) vs Julia Polastri (14-6)

Sometimes, you go to bat for someone and you get let down real, real bad. Xiong Jingnan was one of my favorite fighters. Best champion in ONE Championship history, one of the two most accomplished female fighters outside of the UFC (no one’s touching Seika Izawa), dangerous, aggressive, just plain good at everything. I was prepared for her to still lose her UFC debut against Angela Hill this past May. Angie will never get the credit she truly deserves as the greatest road warrior in the history of women’s mixed martial arts, but she’s tough, tricky, and very, very hard to walk down. I thought Xiong would win, but I didn’t think it would be easy. I did not expect Xiong to wind up looking completely lost. 66% of the punches she threw hit nothing but air. She didn’t adjust, she didn’t compensate, she just got speedbagged for fifteen minutes while looking progressively more frustrated. But, once again: That was Angela Hill. Julia Polastri is not one of the best in the sport’s history. She’s not even one of the best today. She’s decent! But she struggles regularly with smaller, less successful fighters, she has trouble handling pressure, and her clinch control fails her regularly.

You gotta get this one, Jingnan. If you can’t, we’re kind of at the end of the road. XIONG JINGNAN BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Ding Meng (35-10) vs Cam Nelson (7-1)

At some point talking about opportunity disparity in the UFC just gets obvious and tired. Ding Meng had a long career in China primarily fighting people who weren’t very successful, the UFC scouted him as a potential mainland star and put him on the Contender Series in 2024, and he got soundly beaten by Remi Hamed, who is Lebanese by way of Russia and now lives in Florida. None of those marks are financially meaningful for the UFC, so they ignored him and signed Ding Meng a year later anyway. For his debut they gave him José “Canela” Souza, who had 1/5 his level of experience, a Contender Series knockout loss to washout Yusaku Kinoshita, and a career best win against a man who, I swear to god, was coming out of retirement in his forties after thirteen years on the shelf. And Meng lost. Souza, too, has yet to be rebooked. But Ding Meng is right back on the track, and this time, they went out and got Cam Nelson, who is even smaller, even less experienced, has never fought in the UFC before, and has just one fight in his entire career against someone with a winning record.

They cannot win the fight for you, Mr. Meng. You gotta meet them halfway. DING MENG BY DECISION.

As mentioned in this episode, here is Dr. Oliver Barley documenting on video his process to beating ONE FC’s alleged hydration test. Below also include the relevant academic journal articles written by Dr. Barley on this topic as well.

Reviewing the current methods of assessing hydration in athletes (2020) -https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33126891/

Weight loss strategies in combat sports and concerning habits in mixed martial arts (2018) - https://ro.ecu.edu.au/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=5693&context=ecuworkspost2013

SATURDAY, AUGUST 22 FROM THE GOLDEN 1 CENTER IN SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA
PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 5 PM / 8 PM

It’s Sunday and this card still isn’t finalized. I am, once again, relying on the wisdom of Marcel Dorff to guide how this card is set up, because the company can’t be bothered to clarify what’s a prelim, what’s a main and who actually gets the co-main slot. But I hope this is correct, half because I don’t want to have to redo it, and half because co-main event Vitor Petrino would be fucking hilarious.

MAIN EVENT: MUSICAL CHAIRS
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Anthony Hernandez (15-3 (1), #6) vs Gregory Rodrigues (19-6, #11)

This is a real darkest-timeline kind of main event.

We came so close to the Anthony Hernandez dimension. An eight-fight winning streak in a division as tumultuous and stupid as Middleweight is a hell of an achievement, especially one that included knocking out kickboxers, choking out jiu-jitsu world champions and finishing the previously unfinishable. His getting a title eliminator made sense. His being a favorite against former and future champion Sean Strickland made sense. Everyone saw it.

I wholly include myself in this instance of Everyone. I was on the goddamn train, man. I knew he was sloppy, I knew his defense was a bit on the porous side, but he was so tough, so aggressive and so well-conditioned that everyone who’d tried to take advantage of it had found themselves broken down and exhausted within minutes. His ability to walk his opponents down and punch the fight out of them was best-in-class. Did I think he’d have an easy time against Strickland? Absolutely not. Did I think he’d win? Sure! I watched Hernandez walk through heavier strikers, I fully believed he was capable of dragging Strickland through Hell and maybe tapping him out at the end of the bout.

One of the greatest sources of agony and ecstasy in mixed martial arts is the thin, thin margin that separates success and failure. There are just whispers of space between an awful lot of wins and losses. Uriah Hall can knock out Gegard Mousasi with the most Ong Bak shit you’ve seen in your life on Monday and Mousasi can dust him in one round by Friday. Matt Serra dropped Georges St-Pierre and got his ribs turned to powder in the rematch. We just saw Islam Makhachev, arguably the best mixed martial artist on the planet, win a fight with Ian Machado Garry that, in the eyes of one judge, turned entirely on the basis of one takedown. Part of the excitement of the sport, and part of why promoters roll the dice on prospects so often, is just how unpredictable fights can be.

Hernandez/Strickland was not one of those fights.

Sean Strickland is not traditionally a demolisher. He’s a point fighter. He jabs, he teeps, he throws one-twos and he keeps himself defensively sound. It’s where his success comes from. Which is why it was so disarming when he demolished Hernandez. Outlanded him 2:1, laughed off his attempts at grappling, busted his ribs with knees and finished him in two and a half rounds. It was the kind of fight you could have rerun one hundred times without getting a different result.

It was dark. It was depressing. It damned us to the timeline where Sean Strickland is a world champion again and Anthony Hernandez is fighting Robocop in a desperate attempt to stay in the top ten.

Which is really fucking funny. And I love Gregory Rodrigues! We’ve spent many paragraphs here together discussing my deep-seated appreciation for him and his many foibles. His deep well of judo skill he typically ignores in favor of bludgeoning people. His forward-pressure style that continues even when there’s a hole in his face big enough for an artery to slip out. His inexplicable use of “Robocop” as a nickname when it really seems like he meant “Terminator” but now it’s decades later and it’s too late to look back.

He’s fun! He’s fine! He’s never not a good time!

He also got knocked the fuck out by Jared Cannonier in the very recent past.

To be clear on this point: Jared, who turns 43 in March, only has one win in the last five fights and three and a half years of his life. It’s Robocop. Everyone else has made Jared look various shades of confused, old, or only partially conscious. The UFC tried to feed their oldest, most vulnerable top-ten-ranked Middleweight to their big brawling marketing machine and it failed. So how’d Gregocop get back here?

Well,

• He knocked out Jack Hermansson, who hadn’t had back to back wins since 2019 and was coming off a year and a half on the shelf

• He got a decision over Roman Kopylov, the man responsible for letting Paulo Costa back into the world, and who had once been choked out by, oh, Anthony Hernandez

• He knocked out Brunno Ferreira, a man one fight divorced from beating no less than Jackson McVey himself

And now it’s back to the top ten. Bo Nickal? Ikram Aliskerov? Never heard of ‘em. What’s that? Reinier de Ridder, a more logical step up, is fighting on this very card?

Fuck that. Put the striker in the top fucking ten.

I don’t think this is a great fight. Rodrigues is a very straightforward fighter who succeeds through power and looks visibly drained whenever a fight makes it past a second round; Hernandez is a cardio machine who takes people apart if they can’t stop him from chipping away at them. If Robocop can smash him with big bazooka punches then this will all look very silly, but it’s difficult to imagine this fight not being some permutation of Hernandez exhausting and battering an increasingly immobile Rodrigues. ANTHONY HERNANDEZ BY TKO.

CO-MAIN EVENT: A TOP TEN BOUT AT THE HEAVYWEIGHT DIVISION
HEAVYWEIGHT: Serghei Spivac (18-6, #6) vs Vitor Petrino (14-2, NR)

Serghei Spivac versus Vitor Petrino for the number six spot in the Heavyweight division. Serghei Spivac is fighting Vitor Petrino, and at stake is the title of sixth-best Heavyweight in the world.

Serghei Spivac, who just lost a decision to Waldo Cortes-Acosta and got run through by Jailton Almeida, will compete in a mixed martial arts bout against Vitor Petrino, who dropped consecutive stoppage losses to Anthony Smith and Dustin Jacoby an entire weight class down from here less than two years ago, to be five men away from the Heavyweight Championship.

Serghei “The Polar Bear” Spivac, a man whose career best victory after twelve years of competition as a professional cage fighter is either Ante Delija, post-crisis Derrick Lewis, or domestic violence enthusiast Greg Hardy, will battle, on camera, for money, against Vitor Petrino, whose entire all-time Heavyweight record consists of wins over Thomas Petersen, who has a losing record with the company, Steven Asplund, who just barely scraped his way to 2-1 a couple weeks ago, and former NFL player Austen Lane, who got cut from the company after going 1-5 (1), to determine which man deserves to be ranked as the #6 Heavyweight on the planet Earth.

If you’re wondering why the UFC is going all-in on Josh Hokit: This is why. This is where we’re at. This is how far we have fallen.

You know what’s funny? In the blitz of fight announcements they made over the last week, one that flew under the radar was Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev. Volkov went on a four-fight winning streak that included former titlist Sergei Pavlovich, and then he got screwed out of a decision against Ciryl Gane that the UFC swore they’d make up to him, and instead of a make-up fight they booked Volkov down the ladder against Jailton Almeida, and after he won that they booked him down the ladder again, this time with the aforementioned Waldo Cortes-Acosta, and now that Volkov’s won that, they’re booking him even further down the ladder against Kuniev, who is ranked #8.

To be clear: Alexander Volkov, the top contender in the Heavyweight division, is fighting over a worse position in the rankings than Vitor Petrino, the currently unranked man whose best victory is Thomas Petersen.

I don’t know who’s going to win this fight because none of it means anything. Sometimes Vitor is a wrecking machine and sometimes he charges headfirst into a grappler’s armpit. Sometimes Serghei remembers he’s a wrestler and sometimes he throws bad haymakers. We can call it SERGHEI SPIVAC BY SUBMISSION, but that’s not the point. The point is that sometimes to grow as a human being, to acknowledge your mistakes, shed your skin and become the person you feel like you could be when you’re in the shower in the morning, you have to burn the Heavyweight division to the ground, put its ashes in a box, bury that box in a field, and wait twenty years for it to blossom into a brand new Heavyweight division that isn’t terrible.

MAIN CARD: UNANNOUNCED AS OF A WEEK BEFOREHAND
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Reinier de Ridder (21-4, #9) vs Roman Dolidze (15-5, #15)

We touched on the failing fortunes of prominent Middleweights in the main event, but by gosh, no one has fallen so far as Reinier de Ridder. In 2022, RDR was the double-champion kingpin of ONE Championship: By 2024, he had been knocked out twice in a row (by the same guy!) and was fighting in the UAE to wait out his contract. By mid-2025, Reinier was 4-0 in the UFC, had derailed superprospect Bo Nickal and outlasted former champion Robert Whittaker, and was being theorized by many to be a solid counter to then-unbeatable top dog Khamzat Chimaev. Reinier was big, a great grappler and an extremely hard out, which made him a good matchup for Chimaev’s slightly gassy wrestling--as long as you weren’t already familiar with RDR’s career. If you’d followed him in ONE, you knew the fall was coming. Reinier was supposed to fight Anthony Hernandez, injuries led to Brendan Allen stepping in on short notice, and after one and a half solid rounds RDR’s year of hyperactivity caught up with him and he fell apart. Allen dismantled him on the ground, RDR threw in the towel between rounds, half a year later RDR was put opposite Caio Borralho and lost a close but clear fight, and just as quickly as he rose, Reinier de Ridder fell to Earth.

Except he’s also climbing? If you fall out of Middleweight so hard you end up in the Light Heavyweight division, did you fall upwards or simply collapse the ground and wind up in Hell? RDR (correctly) thinks 205 will be better for his body, and the UFC is trying to make that jump just a bit gentler on him by setting him up against Roman Dolidze, a man without a weight class. Everyone in the UFC got to know Roman for his Middleweight success, but he actually debuted in the company at 205 before dropping down in the hopes that his terrifying beef jerky muscles and weirdly effective offensive grappling would work better against smaller men. And it did! Kind of. Sometimes. For every real-life STF he pulled off on a Jack Hermansson, Roman got battered about by a Marvin Vettori. When it became clear he wasn’t getting to title contention anytime soon, Roman took a replacement-for-a-replacement-for-a-replacement berth against Anthony Smith at Light Heavyweight, and through winning he opened the doors to brand new opportunities! Which is fortunate, because he lost his last two fights at 185 in a row and he could really use a win.

He probably won’t get it. Roman succeeds by virtue of outlasting, out-toughing and out-grappling his opponents, but RDR’s ganglier, grapplier and--hopefully!--will have his body sorted without having to cut an extra twenty pounds. REINIER DE RIDDER BY DECISION.

LIGHTWEIGHT: MarQuel Mederos (11-1-1) vs Mason Jones (18-2 (1))

One fight ago, MarQuel Mederos lost to Chris “Taco” Padilla. It wasn’t the world’s most eventful bout, and Padilla got some scorn for missing weight, but it was clear and obvious enough that 100% of media scorecards had Padilla taking the decision, and that was without even taking into consideration that Mederos lost a point for gouging Padilla’s eye. This being mixed martial arts, this was, of course, meaningless. Two out of three judges scored it 28-28--meaning Mederos would have won a split decision, were it not for the deduction--and now Mederos is here on the main card, fighting Mason Jones, and Padilla’s down on the prelims where the UFC knows half as many people, at best, will be paying attention.

Which is fine for the UFC’s purposes, as Mederos is mostly here to, optimistically, lose. Mason Jones is a guy the UFC’s wanted to be a thing for awhile, now, as a prominent fighter from the UK, but the first time he was in the company they made the mistake of matching him up against a bunch of difficult motherfuckers. Mike Davis? Difficult. Ľudovít Klein? Super difficult! So when they brought Mason back last year they decided to go as far down the difficulty curve as it is humanly possible to travel, and had him fighting 2025-era Jeremy fucking Stephens. After Jones, shockingly, won that fight? The embattled Bolaji Oki. It’s only now that Jones is on a winning streak that they’re comfortable giving him guys like Axel Sola and Marquel Mederos.

But make no mistake, Mederos is here to put Jones over. MASON JONES BY DECISION.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Carli Judice (6-2) vs Jeisla Chaves (7-0)

Today, I am an enormous hypocrite. I have devoted so many paragraphs to complaining about how few opportunities women get to shine on the main card in the UFC. I had a whole research project about it last week numerically demonstrating how far removed women have become from the spotlight. I kvetch constantly about the lengths the matchmakers go to bury their female talent. And when I saw this fight on Marcel Dorff’s listing for the main card, my immediate response was “Really?”

Carli Judice is...okay? She’s okay! She can hit pretty hard when she lands cleanly and she has some solid counter-grappling. She is also six fights deep into her UFC tenure and this is the first time she will fight someone with a winning record in the company, except that someone is Jeisla Chaves and that record is 1-0. And said victory was a split decision over Yuneisy Duben, one of the precious few female fighters I have ever been willing to simply say did not belong here, as a fighter who made it to the Contender Series despite never fighting anyone with a single professional fight to their credit. Yuneisy still got into the UFC, and made her debut in 2025--against Carli Judice, who knocked her out in a single round.

Jeisla, to her credit, can say that unlike Yuneisy, she fought multiple women with past professional records on her way to DWCS. She cannot say any of those women had ever won a fight. Jeisla’s only fights against people with any wins, ever, have come under the UFC’s promotional auspices, and both times she scraped by with split decisions despite both women being, objectively, not very good at this.

And that’s why this is on the main card. Carli knocked a woman out once and the literal only way the UFC can market anyone anymore is with either outright bigotry or knockout clips, so they’re hoping Carli puts an shin upside Jeisla’s head and says something shitty about some random nationality. Luana Santos vs Karol Rosa was on the Apex prelims, but by god, there’s a chance this might get a knockout. CARLI JUDICE BY DECISION. Sorry.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Anthony Wint (7-0) vs Terrance Chatman (5-1)

or

HEAVYWEIGHT: Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-6-1) vs Shamil Gaziev (14-3)

So: As of this writing, it’s 2:26 AM on Tuesday, which means that a) My sleep schedule is terrible and b) There’s only three days before fight day. This card still isn’t finalized. According to the UFC’s unfinished event listing, Kennedy vs Shamil is the last main card bout. According to the schedule the UFC gave to ESPN--and Marcel’s report--it’s Wint vs Chatman. Instead of waiting to see how long it takes for the UFC to fix its shit, we’re going to talk about both of them in a brief discussion I’m naming Heavyweight Is Delivered To Us From The Eighth Circle of Hell.

One side of this equation is either Kennedy Nzechuwku or Anthony Wint. Kennedy is 8-6-1 in the UFC, having washed out of Light Heavyweight twice. Not only did he lose repeatedly, he was losing to dudes like Nicolae Negumereanu, who would be retired one year later, and Ovince St. Preux, who, uh, also retired one year later. But that’s okay, because Kennedy’s 2-0-1 at Heavyweight! His wins were Chris Barnett, who got cut one year later, and Łukasz Brzeski, who got cut one year later, and the last time we saw Kennedy he had a worst-of-the-year tier fight with Marcus Buchecha, who has yet to win a fight and generally just looks terrible, and Kennedy still only got a Draw out of it. Anthony Wint is a 5’11” Heavyweight. He’s never fought a legitimately successful fighter in his life. But he has multiple 30-second knockouts! He got them by running forward winging haymakers because up to about the top thirty at Heavyweight you can just do that, and if you’re sufficiently athletic, it has a good chance of working. Also, he just won his DWCS contract on the 11th, so this is his second fight in two weeks, because why not.

Your b-side choice here is either Shamil Gaziev or Terrance Chatman. Shamil was ranked! briefly. He got there by knocking out Martin Buday, which was nice, but he also got the stuffing beaten out of him by Jairzinho Rozenstruik and then the UFC released Rozenstruik and tried to pretend none of it ever happened and it didn’t matter because Gaziev was about to miss almost an entire year and then get knocked out in back-to-back fights because ‘being dense’ and ‘throwing punches’ eventually hits a wall when it comes to defining traits as a fighter. Terrance Chatman is 5-1 and he’s never beaten a fighter with a winning record. He got here by beating the 8-17 Juan “El Martillo” Torres. In fact: If your memory is good, you may remember a guy I’ve mentioned a couple times now, Myron “Lightskin Dynamite” Dennis. He’s a 22-14 journeyman and he’s been there to help a number of not-great fighters punch their tickets to the UFC. No less than Tuco Tokkos and Julius “Juice Box” Walker themselves stopped Myron. It’s a rite of passage for joining the big leagues. Myron beat Chatman. Terrance Chatman is demonstrably worse at this than Tuco Tokkos.

And yet he is here. They’re both here. Everyone is here, because Heavyweight needs as many fucking bodies as it can get as long as they’re cheap. If you’re Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and you’ve been around for a decade and you’re not going to win the title but you’re clearly too good to trust with prospect elevation duty, then fuck you, it doesn’t matter that you’re one of the fifteen best Heavyweights on the planet, we can replace you with someone who can’t beat Myron Dennis for $12k.

KENNEDY NZECHUKWU BY TKO and/or ANTHONY WINT BY TKO and I think both fights are going to be bad.

PRELIMS: WE’RE JUST...DOING THIS
FEATHERWEIGHT: Jamall Emmers (22-8) vs Lerryan Douglas (14-5)

I want to be angry on behalf of Jamall Emmers, because he’s on a winning streak for the first time in six and a half years after getting boned pretty badly by the judges and he probably deserves better, but this fight is, in total fairness, rad as hell. When Lerryan Douglas made his debut this year I wasn’t as sold on his prospects as a lot of other folks. His offense looked good, but it looked good the way offense does when it’s been trained on years of opponents incapable of defending it. For all we know, that might still be accurate! But his debut came against Julian Erosa, so it didn’t matter, because Lerryan smashed him in three and a half minutes. Jamall’s always had solid striking and real power, but he’s just as capable of being knocked out, as Nate Landwehr proved.

End of the day, even if he didn’t get my initial endorsement, LERRYAN DOUGLAS BY TKO is the call nowadays.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Chris Padilla (17-6-1) vs Nasrat Haqparast (18-6)

If Jamall Emmers probably deserves better, Chris Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast definitely deserve better. The UFC likes to have their commentators flog the idea that signing up for short-notice bouts is a great way to gain yourself an opportunity in the UFC, but not all opportunities are created equal, and the man they call Taco knows this better than most. Padilla jumped into the UFC on short notice against James Llontop, choked him out as a huge underdog, and is undefeated across 5 bouts--including his last one, which, as we mentioned, was an absolute robbery of a draw against MarQuel Mederos--and all that gets him is stuck on the prelims. Up until this past October, Nasrat Haqparast was on a five-fight winning streak that included two performance bonuses, one for dusting Jamie Mullarkey in two minutes, the other for a fight-of-the-night win over Esteban Ribovics. Funnily enough, both men proceeded to fight top lightweights after that. Esteban got a shot at Mateusz Gamrot; Nasrat tested Quillan Salkilld. Both of them got crushed. Esteban, after his crushing, was given a main card slot against a retiring Edson Barboza under a card with two title fights and some of the UFC’s biggest names. Nasrat is on the prelims of a card main evented by Robocop.

Do not forget that everything is marketing. CHRIS PADILLA BY DECISION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Márcio Barbosa (18-2) vs Ryan Kuse (9-2)

Some days, I don’t feel like I need to say very much. Four months ago, when Márcio Barbosa made his UFC debut, I noted my personal fandom for him based on his strict policy of throwing angry Wanderlei Silva hooks all the time while still somehow being a capable all-arounder. I said he would stomp Dennis Buzukja and he did, taking him out in all of eighty seconds. Ryan Kuse is a sanitation worker who trains with Asim “President Awesome” Zaidi, the head of Karate Combat, and he got the call up to the UFC for beating the 7-9 Leandro Camargo. Do you remember Cameron Smotherman? The guy who lost three straight in the UFC and had a weight cut go so badly that he passed out in mid-stride and faceplanted seconds after leaving the scale, which the UFC denied had anything to do with weight-cutting?

He beat Kuse. MÁRCIO BARBOSA BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Gauge Young (11-3) vs Stan Dorsainvil (5-0)

This is the game, right here. It may sound silly, but genuinely: This fight is why things are bad right now. Gauge Young joined the UFC in 2025 as a short-notice replacement fighter against Evan Elder. Elder beat him, which put Elder on a three-fight winning streak. He got scratched from a September fight with a leg injury, recovered, and has yet to be booked again. In that time, Gauge, himself, ran up back to back wins. The first was against Maheshate, their once-upon-a-time big Chinese marketing prospect, and the second came against Thiago Moisés, an eight-year, sixteen-fight veteran of the company who’d shared the cage with everyone from Islam Makhachev to Jared Gordon. So they tried to book him against Kody Steele, a 1-1 fighter, whose only victory was against Road to UFC winner Dom Mar Fan, who hadn’t had a real, official UFC bout yet, and when Kody couldn’t make it, they replaced him with short-notice debutant Stan “The Drill” Dorsainvil, who has five professional fights, ever, all of which were against fellow people who haven’t really fought anybody.

Is Stan a good prospect? I don’t know, and anyone who says they do is lying to you. He can wrestle and he can hit pretty hard and he has yet to fight anyone who could really stop him from doing either of those things, because he has five professional fights. It doesn’t actually matter if Stan is good, just like it didn’t matter if Gauge was good. The point of the UFC is no longer to figure out who’s good, bad or even the best, but to use the athletic equivalent of seat filler to maintain a steady flow of Content until marketing figures out who they like this year. Upward momentum is granted, not earned, and the best you can do is spurn strategy and hope for viral moments, and the fact that meta-gaming the concept of winning fights is now a necessary tool for advancement in the sport is the most damning condemnation of its not-a-sport status as any I can think of. GAUGE YOUNG BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Wes Schultz (9-3) vs Jackson McVey (7-2)

I didn’t intentionally line things up so that rant would lead right into Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey but it’s painfully appropriate. Wes Schultz got knocked silly by Damian Pinas and booked to fight again two months later because fighter safety is dead and buried, but his opponent was an Australian accustomed to fighting guys who aren’t very good, so Schultz tapped him out. Jackson McVey is another in the growing army of fighters that made it to the UFC despite having only ever competed against one person with a winning record, he proceeded to lose repeatedly, and then he rescued his career by choking out Sedriques Dumas. That loss made four straight winless bouts for Dumas, but don’t worry: The UFC re-signed him and we’ll be talking about him next month because everything is terrible.

Including this. Including everything about this. JACKSON MCVEY BY SUBMISSION.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Shanelle Dyer (7-1) vs Elise Reed (8-5)

Elise, I’m sorry, but we are long past the point where they see you as a utility player. Everyone you’ve beaten in the UFC was marked as not long for the world of mainstream sports; everyone who’s beaten you has gone on to better things. You are a gatekeeper for Women’s Strawweight, but the gate you are keeping is the one for general entry to the park. Shanelle Dyer was supposed to take the MMA world by storm after she went viral for headkicking poor Mariam Torchinava to back in 2024, but as it turns out, the PFL can only really take you so far, which is why they’re now a wholly-owned subsidiary of Whatever The Fuck Jake Paul Wants To Do. Shanelle got her DWCS shot, lost, and got signed anyway, and they dutifully had her destroy Ravena Oliveira, who is one of the worst fighters to ever get multiple shots in the company.

Shanelle’s bigger, younger, more athletic and more marketing-friendly than Elise, and more than any of that Elise, while very tough, is also kind of slow. SHANELLE DYER BY TKO.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 15 FROM THE XFINITY MOBILE ARENA IN PHILADELPHIA
EARLY PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | PRELIMS 4 PM / 7 PM | MAIN CARD 6 PM / 9 PM

There’s been a lot of rumbling about this card being kind of bad, and having templated it all out: Yeah, pretty much. It’s not great. But it’s in the tradition of how the UFC tended to book these cards. When they knew they had a strong headline up at the top of the card, they did not give a dang about anything else. Every MMA fan from the mid-2000s remembers GSP armbarring Matt Hughes and Chuck Liddell winning his long-awaited showdown with Wanderlei Silva: No one remembers the fight just before that was Eddie Sanchez vs Soa Palelei.

Here’s the thing, though. Underneath that fight, you had Lyoto Machida, Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou, Rich Clementi (remember when he was almost a thing?) and Luiz Cané. The cards coasted on the value of their headliners, but they were constructed to impart that value to lesser-known but extremely serious prospects.

This card is trying to impart its value to Jose Ochoa (EDIT: not anymore!), Mansur Abdul-Malik, and Esteban Ribovics.

But we’ve got two title fights to get through first, and only one and a half of them bum me the fuck out, so it could be worse.

MAIN EVENT: FEMINISM, VOL. ONE
WELTERWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP: Islam Makhachev (28-1, Champion) vs Ian Machado Garry (17-1, #1)

The things that get you scorned in mixed martial arts in 2026 are outright hilarious.

Up until 2024, Ian Garry was the universally-acclaimed face of the future. He was exclusively attached to pay-per-views and the extremely rare network television broadcast, he was given a healthy diet of reasonable-but-not-insurmountable challenges on his way up the ladder, he was compared to Conor McGregor as many times as the UFC possibly could thanks to the many likenesses between them, up to and including Being Irish, and the internet liked him. He was young, he was talented, he was the next big thing.

At the end of 2024, Ian Garry lost a fight for the first time in his career. This is the jumping-off point for most fighter bandwagons, really. Fighters turning out to be mortal depresses fanbases, and if you doubt it, look at how Khamzat Chimaev fell from the scariest man in the sport to an afterthought thanks to a single coinflip split decision going against him. Sure, Ian lost against one of the best of the best in Shavkat Rakhmonov, but it was still a loss, and at the end of the day, losing kills your fanbase li--

Oh, I’m sorry. I am being informed that what pissed off Ian’s fanbase was the discovery that he loves his wife.

He wasn’t Ian Machado Garry when he got started in the UFC. Machado was his wife’s maiden name, and he adopted it because he wanted her son from her first marriage to not feel disconnected from their family. This baffled people. Changing names is what girls do, and fighters are supposed to be ultra-masculine, and within months you had multiple fighters, particularly perennial poop elemental Sean Strickland, cracking on Garry with the best jokes about cuckolding, homosexuality and emasculation 1996 had to offer.

In the press leading up to this fight, in one of the seemingly endless arrays of podcast interviews every fighter is now obligated to do, Ian made a comment about how the almost universally male leadership of the world has really fucked everything up, and if we turned leadership over to women for a change things would probably be a lot smoother. This has turned the majority of the discourse around this fight into the worst commentary on gender politics you have ever heard in your entire fucking life, and it leaves me fascinated by where we are right now in the moral arc of mixed martial arts.

Islam Makhachev, who generally does not give a shit about press, took time out of his schedule to talk shit about Ian’s feminism. Islam periodically trains with and is a close friend of Umar Nurmagomedov, who’s about two months removed from engaging in public denial of the Holocaust; that did not require any comment. We’re only a couple years removed from human dryer chute Strickland sitting at a press dais next to Mayra Bueno Silva and Raquel Pennington and using the UFC’s on-screen press time to discuss women’s MMA being worthless, and that barely got a peep. Adjudicated sex offenders are all over the UFC’s roster and the company just took a $30 million bath so it could get a four-hour photo-op with Donald Trump’s White House, but Ian Machado Garry is a vegan who thinks women are good, and it turns out that’s what it actually takes to get the UFC fanbase to hate you now.

It’s also just incredibly weird that this feels like it’s the only fucking thing to talk about when it comes to the story of this fight.

Like, the UFC just plain gave up. You have Islam Makhachev, possibly the greatest mixed martial artist on the planet, against Ian Machado Garry, his top contender and one of the most accomplished Welterweights in the world, and the UFC ran promo packages for it during last week’s fight night that were essentially just file footage of the Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov advertisements but with Islam and Ian added in. That’s what they’ve got. The best fighter of a generation against a huge threat to his legacy, 29 UFC bouts between them, and marketing dug deep into its Mind Palace and came up with “What if we just say it’s like Khabib vs Conor 2?” because they know fully well that they’ve done such a shit job of promoting these men that Islam, a two-division champion with victories over the champions of three weight classes, is simultaneously one of the biggest draws they have and still a drop in the bucket of mainstream awareness compared to fooling people into thinking this fight has fuck-all to do with Conor McGregor.

Which is a shame, because aside from how goddamn hard it is to grapple Ian effectively, aside from how mobile Ian is and how much of a size and range advantage he has, this fight is deeply intriguing because it represents something Islam’s legacy really needs: After four years of holding gold, it’s the first time Islam will ever get to defend a title against a top contender.

After he beat Charles Oliveira for the belt back in 2022, his first defense wasn’t a rematch or a bout against Dustin Poirier or Justin Gaethje, but a cross-weight class challenge against Featherweight king Alexander Volkanovski. After winning, Islam was supposed to fight still-#1 Oliveira, but a gash in training scratched him from the fight, and instead, we got an incredibly unnecessary, short-notice Volkanovski rematch. By mid-2024 Arman Tsarukyan was the top contender and Gaethje had knocked out Poirier, but the UFC didn’t like either of those ideas, so they booked Islam against Poirier instead, who had fallen halfway down the ladder. Islam was booked against Arman to kick off 2025, but that went squirrelly the night before the pay-per-view and Islam wound up destroying the #10-ranked Renato Moicano instead.

None of this is Islam’s fault. He didn’t bust Oliveira’s eyebrow, he didn’t make the UFC give him Poirier, he didn’t make Arman fuck up his weight cut. Islam’s done everything he can, given the cards dealt to him by fate and the matchmakers that, even as we speak, are conducting arcane rituals below the surface of the Earth to figure out how to get Paddy Pimblett back into title contention. But there’s a thing about success: The more of it you have, the more scrutiny your legacy starts to receive. Anderson Silva is still the man most people think of as the ideal champion, and he’s still held to task for fucking around too much in multiple title fights. Jon Jones is indisputably the most accomplished Light Heavyweight in MMA history, but between all his drug busts, his close scrape with Dominick Reyes and his refusal to take a rematch, his record is as much controversy as content. Fedor Emelianenko, still held by many as the best Heavyweight to ever do it, only actually defended his title three times in fourteen fights, and spent more of his prime battling professional wrestlers and engaging in freakshow fights than he did taking on top contenders.

When you’re the best in the world, every single choice you make matters. People are going to dissect your career for decades to come. When your definitive victories are last-minute replacements and Moicanos, you need every Ian Machado Garry you can get, no matter how good you are.

But Islam is very, very good. Everyone expected him to outwrestle Jack Della Maddalena; very few expected Islam to outstrike him, too. Jack’s legs had been kicked apart before the fight was halfway through. Islam learned a lot of lessons from Khabib, but I’m not sure any were as valuable as the awareness that having no fear of the grappling game means being able to really commit when it’s time to fuck someone up on the feet. He floored Oliveira, he kicked Volkanovski in the face, and he went punch for punch with Poirier. He’s proven his bonafides.

Which might be the biggest threat to his success, here. Islam hasn’t spent a lot of his career dealing with bigger men, and when he has, it’s been folks like Dan Hooker that can be taken down and submitted by a stiff breeze. Shavkat struggled to get Ian down. Belal Muhammad struggled to get Ian down. He’s proven absurdly difficult to control in grappling situations, and that, combined with Ian having damn near half a foot of leverage, makes this potentially very interesting. Ian’s not a Della Maddalena, he’s not going to leave himself in striking distance while he waits for Islam to pick his legs apart because his striking requires close proximity. He’s got the range and the footwork to control their engagements, and with the right gameplan and the right takedown defense, he can force Islam to rush him if he wants to have any hope of getting his takedown game going.

It is, however, Islam Makhachev we’re talking about. He trains with the best there has ever been at rushing takedowns. If Ian winning this fight means pitching a perfect game against one of the best clinch grapplers in the history of mixed martial arts, Islam just has to hit more than he misses. I am not betting against that likelihood. ISLAM MAKHACHEV BY DECISION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: FEMINISM, VOL. TWO
WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP: Mackenzie Dern (16-5, Champion) vs Gillian Robertson (17-8, #5)

We’ve been writing about this fight for awhile without directly referring to it.

Two weeks ago, I tried to quantify it, finishing some math that good buddy, Pagoda columnist and android kidney superhero Jess Hudnall started.

Wanna hear something fun? This is the 25th UFC held this year, and presuming it doesn’t face any last-minute cancellations, by the time it’s over, there will have been 140 main-card fights broadcast in 2026. Seven of those main-card slots went to women. That’s five percent.

Last week, I tried to encapsulate it.

I have this persistent feeling that we’re seeing the slow winding down of women’s MMA. It’s not like it’s conspiracizing or catastrophizing to say the UFC would do it: They already did it, right in front of your face. Women’s Featherweight was a real division with real fighters who really competed at their chosen weight class, but the UFC never bothered to fill it, and once Amanda Nunes retired, instead of trying to promote anyone to fill the void, they let the division wither and die on the vine. They never announced anything, they never put out a press release, there was no commemorative video package set to “Leave the Memories Alone” with footage of Megan Anderson getting choked out. They just pushed the fights down the card, and started booking them less and less, until one day they vanished altogether.

Luckily, nothing like that is happening right now.

I wanted to see just how accurate that worry was, so much to the deep chagrin of my English student brain, I did a little more math. The first women’s main event in UFC history--the first women’s fight period, after plans for Erica Montoya vs Shelby Walker in 2005 fell through--was Ronda Rousey vs Liz Carmouche back on February 23, 2013. Despite the new, revised version of history wherein the UFC took to gender equality in the sport on the spot, we still had aways to go before it was to any extent normalized. But if you go through the logbook, and you count out how many main events women actually got over the years, you can see a funny little pattern form.

• 2013: 1

• 2014: 1

• 2015: 5

• 2016: 6

• 2017: 5

• 2018: 2

• 2019: 5

• 2020: 4

• 2021: 4

• 2022: 5

• 2023: 5

• 2024: 2

• 2025: 1

We’re eight and a half months into 2026. Cards have been announced through mid-September. There hasn’t been a single women’s main event yet this year. I had some hope that Noche UFC 4 on September 12 would finally break the drought--they announced Alexa Grasso vs Manon Fiorot, it’s a top contendership match by default, both are former title contenders, one’s a former champion, and both women scored incredible knockouts in their last fights. It would’ve been an excellent way to finally get women in the main event.

The actual main event of Noche UFC 4 got announced on August 4. It’s Yair Rodríguez, who has one fight in the last two and a half years, against Jean Silva, who got clocked by Diego Lopes one fight ago.

This is the only women’s title fight of 2026 thus far. Kayla Harrison won the Bantamweight belt in June of 2025, and between neck injuries and waiting on Amanda Nunes, she’s been champion for 427 days and counting without a defense. Valentina Shevchenko dominated all-time great Zhang Weili last November, and despite having Fiorot, Erin Blanchfield, and #1 contender Natália Silva on an eight-fight winning streak all waiting and ready to go, Fiorot’s fighting Graso, Blanchfield’s fighting Jasmine Jasudavicius, and Silva’s fighting nobody.

A ten-year campaign to make Mackenzie Dern a star, one that saw the UFC paying her before she had fought a single mixed martial arts bout, finally came to fruition last October when, despite having losses against half of her division’s top five, Mackenzie got the call to fight for the vacant Strawweight title against Virna Jandiroba, the one and only top contender she had, conveniently, already beaten once before. It was cynical, it was obvious, and it was effective. They caught the car. Mackenzie Dern: UFC World Champion. Congratulations, boys, you finally got the big giant marketing star you’ve been salivating over for a decade. What’re you gonna do with her now?

Why, you’re going to sit her on the shelf for ten straight months and then make her the co-main event, obviously.

And you’re conveniently going to book all of the top contenders who’ve already beaten her before into competitive matchups with other people. Amanda Lemos just failed prospect duty against Alexia Thainara last week. Yan Xiaonan, despite being #4, is facing the barely-ranked Denise Gomes at the end of the month.

But Gillian Robertson can make it to the show.

She’s earned her way here. I would never say she hasn’t. Gillian’s quietly one of the longest-tenured fighters in the UFC--she actually started back in 2017 as part of The Ultimate Fighter 26 (jesus christ), the season that birthed Women’s Flyweight and gave us Nicco Montaño, the essentially unbeatable forever-answer to the “who’s the worst UFC champion of all time?” trivia question--and after a rocky start up at 125, her career resurgence as a Strawweight contender has been a joy to watch. Flyweights tossed her around and made her miserable; Strawweights, by and large, have gotten strangled. Since making the switch at the start of 2023 Gillian’s 6-1, the only blemish coming against Tabatha Ricci, who looked like a sure thing once upon a time.

Other than that, it’s been dominance. She just about broke Piera Rodriguez’s arm, she pounded out Polyana Viana, she outworked Luana Pinheiro and retired both Michelle Waterson-Gomez and Marina Rodriguez, and this past March she fought what was more or less a title eliminator against the aforementioned Amanda Lemos and finally got that seat at the top she’s always wanted.

Except most of those seats were in the dark. Only two of those seven Strawweight fights made it off the prelims--and both of them were in the Apex. Gillian’s victory over Luana Pinheiro was gently cradled right inbetween Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Duško Todorović and Gaston Bolaños vs Cortavious “Are You Not Entertained?” Romious, and her last fight--the fight that made her a world title contender--was an Apex co-main event, right beneath Kevin Vallejos knocking out Josh Emmett.

It’s funny: I spent so much of Gillian’s ascent through the division complaining about their repeated refusal to put Gillian, a Canadian from Canada who reps the Canadian flag, on any UFC card in Canada, ever, despite frequently being booked to fight within weeks of one, that I neglected to complain about none of her fights ever making the main broadcast. But that’s women’s MMA, right? Just like we said up top. It gets booked into the background because the UFC doesn’t think anyone wants to watch it, and after refusing to invest in it for so long that even their hand-picked chosen savior of the division can’t get a main event for her first title defense, why on Earth would we expect them to care enough to build a title challenger?

After all, she’s here to lose.

You didn’t think it was a coincidence that they picked her, did you? Gillian’s a grappler-type Pokemon. She succeeds through her jiu-jitsu. In ten years of professional competition, she’s never scored a knockout on the feet. I don’t think she’s even gotten a knockdown. Her entire gameplan lives and dies by her ability to get her opponents on the ground and simulate murdering them. Mackenzie’s one of the best grapplers in the history of women’s mixed martial arts. She once nearly hit a kimura on Tecia Pennington while hanging horizontally in the air by way of a single foot on the fence. Over the course of years, much like we just said about Islam, Mackenzie’s even been able to build an effective striking game out of complete lack of fear she has about being taken down. If she’s wildly punching you and you shoot a double to stop her, all you have done is given her the chance to do the shit she’s actually good at.

Last week I said Quillan Salkilld was going to destroy Mateusz Gamrot, and I was picking Gamrot anyway, because that’s what my heart wanted. I think this is a really bad matchup for Gillian. She’s a great grappler in her own right, I’ve loved watching her just bread-and-butter her way through the division, but I think Mackenzie’s jiu-jitsu is another level above hers, and Gillian’s striking has never been effective enough that I see it changing the way this bout goes. I think Mackenzie’s going to outwork her on the feet, I think Mackenzie’s going to outplay her on the ground, and I think we’ll see Gillian’s first submission loss in eight years.

But that’s not what I want. I want Gillian to chuck the apple cart off the Florida coast. I want her chip-away boxing to wind up being more effective than Mackenzie expects. I want her solid, conservative grappling game to defuse Mackenzie’s sub attempts. I want Mackenzie to get worn down on the ground and I want GILLIAN ROBERTSON BY SUBMISSION.

And then you can do the stupid fucking rematch in Canada.

MAIN CARD: GIVING UP
FLYWEIGHT: Charles Johnson (19-9) vs Jose Ochoa (9-2)Eduardo Chapolin (15-2)

Congratulations, Charles! You’re in the featured bout on a numbered show with two title fights! Did they give you a main card berth when you were on a four-fight winning streak and looked like a serious prospect? Nope! They had you curtain-jerk the prelims at the Apex. Did they bump you back up to the main card after you knocked out Lone’er Kavanagh? Of course not! That spot was reserved for Salsa Boy. When DID they finally give you a featured spot? Why, it was your last fight, when you were a giant underdog against Asu Almabayev in the middle of Azerbaijan and you got turned into a human pretzel. So why, do you suppose, are they putting you in your highest-profile UFC slot ever, despite coming off a two-and-a-half round submission loss where you got punched in the head dozens of times all of 49 days ago?

Why, indeed. Why would they be trying to trade you out for a 25 year-old on a Contender Series-tier contract with a near-total finishing rate? He’s smaller than you, he is less successful than you, he lost to Kavanagh, unlike you, and the best win of his career is either Clayton Carpenter or Cody Durden, and brother, neither of those make for great news. But he’s cheaper and younger and not yet ruled out of reaching the top. Charles is 8-7 in the UFC. He’s had multiple shots and unfortunately biffed them all. Jose is 2-2. He has room to grow into the easily-paid Peruvian punching machine of their dreams. All he has to do is beat a guy who’s outperformed him in several head-to-head matchups while also possessing a sizable advantage in size, range, and technique.

In other words: Charles, if you lose this one, I’m giving up on you for good. CHARLES JOHNSON BY DECISION. UPDATE: Wednesday afternoon as I was editing this for publishing, Ochoa got pulled and now this is a 130-pound catchweight fight between Charles and Eduardo Chapolin, the LFA champion and a man who got choked out of The Ultimate Fighter 33 (jesus christ) in the first round. Flip a coin at your leisure from here on out.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Mansur Abdul-Malik (9-1-1) vs Dustin Stoltzfus (16-8)

The UFC keeps trying to get Mansur Abul-Malik in the prospect conversation, and things just keep going wrong. When they brought him in through DWCS in 2024 he was the exact story we’ve repeated hundreds of times over the course of our long watch: Undefeated, knocks everyone out, never fought anyone with a winning record, doomed to an extremely foreseeable future fall. They booked him against the softest targets they could find, but good ol’ Cody Brundage failed to produce a highlight-reel stoppage because Mansur headbutted the crap out of him and the fight was eventually ruled a Draw for particularly dumb reasons. This past March the UFC finally threw Mansur in the cage with Yousri Belgaroui, his first competitor to have more UFC wins than losses, by which I mean he was 1-0, and Mansur got knocked the fuck out.

So do you try to keep Mansur vital? Do you give him another test? Of course not! You have him fight Dustin Stoltzfus, who is 3-7, has been knocked out repeatedly, hasn’t won a fight in almost two years, is traditionally a grappler who poses very little threat on the feet, and was last seen losing a fight to 2025-level Kelvin Gastelum. It feels like shit every time I reduce a fight down to “fighter y is here to lose to fighter x.” It makes me think of Harry Hunsucker, of all people. Harry was a big ol’ dude who devoted his life to studying martial arts, and the UFC gave him a DWCS shot in 2020 and he got the shit beaten out of him, but they brought him in anyway, because they needed a late replacement to get the shit beaten out of them. He proceeded to stick around for a year and a half and three fights, all of which involved getting more shit beaten out of him, and they lasted a grand total of just under four minutes. An entire life of studying the arts you find fascinating and participating in the sport you love, and your only utility to the uppermost reaches of the sport was serving as a really convenient way for the UFC to go “hey, we need that guy who always gets the shit beaten out of him.”

I hope you don’t get the shit beaten out of you, Dustin. It’d be a lot more gratifying if you won. MANSUR ABDUL-MALIK BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Edson Barboza (24-14) vs Esteban Ribovics (15-3)

Speaking of people the UFC will not stop trying to get over: We are well and truly stuck with Esteban Ribovics. And, like, it could be worse. He’s not terrible. He has some very fun fights! He is also not going to make it in this division. He only barely won a split decision against Daniel Zellhuber, who has spent the subsequent two years losing repeatedly. Esteban only barely lost a split decision against Nasrat Haqparast, who has, himself, been stuck at the periphery of Lightweight since 2017. But it was this past April’s attempt to jump Esteban all the way from a one-fight winning streak and nowhere near ranked to the top fucking ten against Mateusz Gamrot that truly gave away the UFC’s game, and it blew up in their faces, as Gamrot proceeded to ragdoll Ribovics and choke him out in two rounds--which is even more damning now that Charles Oliveira and Quillan Salkilld have proven, pretty definitively, that Gamrot’s never making it to the top of the Lightweight ladder, either.

But does that mean we stop trying? Of fucking course not. Not when we have 40 year-old Edson Barboza, on a three-fight losing streak, 2 for his last 7, coming off a knockout loss and openly talking about the likelihood that his career is over and it’s time to retire. Does a 32-fight veteran who provided some of the most memorable knockouts in the history of the sport get a good send-off? No, a handful of people still remember his name and that means he is philosophically and ethically obligated to go out there and get starched by whatever unproven prospect the UFC is inexplicably attached to this week so their past marketing efforts don’t go to waste. They did it with Lerone Murphy back in 2024 just in case Edson was done, they did it with Jalin Turner at the end of 2025 should he decide not to come back, and by god, we need to wash the taste of all of that filthy wrestling out of our mouths by letting Esteban kick a man until he falls over so we can pretend he has a shot at being a divisional contender again.

There is no retirement plan in mixed martial arts. Edson, if I see you in BKFC, I will be very, very sad. ESTEBAN RIBOVICS BY TKO.

PRELIMS: INEXPLICABLY, WHERE THE PROSPECTS LIVE
WELTERWEIGHT: Chidi Njokuani (25-12 (1)) vs Joel Álvarez (23-4)

You know what the UFC likes? Tall people. Are you a pair of 6’3” Welterweights, a division once ruled by short king Matt Serra? Then the UFC wants you, so long as you will promise to hit people a lot and hopefully not lose to any stinky grapplers. Joel, at least, has only fallen victim to their wiles. Six and a half years in, the only people who’ve beaten him have been capable of grounding and controlling him. Is this because Arman Tsarukyan and Yaroslav Amosov are exceptionally good? Definitely. Is it because between them Joel’s fighting guys like Marc Diakiese and the ghost of Vicente Luque? Probably also a factor. But that’s still a step up from Chidi, who is very, very good when he can beat up on Jared Gooden, but got choked out in a minute flat by Jake Matthews and liberally battered by Carlos Leal. If you are a tall boy and you do tall boy striking and you get outwrestled, that’s fine, they’re not going to hold that against you, because wrestling is illegal and the bouncers should’ve stopped the wrestlers from entering the octagon in the first place. But if you get outpunched? By a short? You must be disassembled.

All of this is to say I am not enormously invested in this fight, but generally-speaking, Chidi vs someone who is just as big as he is but also knows how submission holds work seems like a bad night for him. JOEL ÁLVAREZ BY SUBMISSION. Also, it’s super cool and not at all annoying that Amosov choked Joel out and Joel’s already booked again while Amosov is twiddling his thumbs.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Jalin Turner (15-9) vs Kauê Fernandes (11-2)

This match-up is absolutely fucking fascinating, because both of its component parts could be really, really good, and despite having plenty of fights with the company, we have no way of presently knowing. We knew, in the past tense, that Jalin Turner was a competitive Lightweight: But for the minds of a single judge he would’ve won split decisions against Mateusz Gamrot and Dan Hooker and wound up near title contention years ago. In our version of reality he lost, his confidence broke and he ultimately retired after a 1-for-5 skid. He un-retired this past December and smashed Edson Barboza in two and a half minutes, and that’s great, but it’s also Edson Barboza, who, as we’ve already discussed, is basically done, so just how good Jalin’s doing these days remains a question mark. Kauê Fernandes is in a much weirder position. He’s four fights into his UFC tenure, and outside of kicking that run off by dropping a split decision to Marc Diakiese, he’s on a three-fight winning streak. But every one of those wins is kind of fucked up. He knocked out Mohammad Yahya, but Yahya very visibly did not belong there and kept getting booked anyway because the UAE liked him. He beat Guram Kutateladze, who at one point was a serious Lightweight contender, but by the time Kauê got to him Guram’s body and career had fallen apart, he looked exhausted and immobile, and he got cut immediately afterward. Kauê was supposed to fight Farès Ziam, which would’ve been a great test, but after Ziam’s grandmother died he pulled out and got replaced by Harry Hardwick, a Cage Warriors Featherweight making a short-notice debut at a higher weight class who also seemed to have no idea what leg kicks were and got disassembled in three and a half minutes.

So we still haven’t gotten to see Fernandes get tested, just as we haven’t seen a full accounting of how Turner’s doing after his retirement. Both men need to prove they can handle offensive pressure coming back at them, and their styles are both built on moving forward all the time, so they’ll probably get the chance. Still think we’ll see JALIN TURNER BY DECISION, though.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Donte Johnson (8-0) vs Eric McConico (11-4-1)

I gotta be honest: This is one of those fights my eyes just refuse to focus on. Just a few fights ago Donte Johnson was on DWCS as a Heavyweight, and then he choked out Sedriques Dumas, which should have earned him my undying loyalty, but then he won the barest split decision against Cody Brundage and my interest waned. Which is funny, because, hey, you know who else only barely got past divisional journeyman Cody Brundage by split decision? Eric McConico! Sure, he gets knocked out a lot, but he can beat Cody and Rodolfo Vieira, so who’s to say if he’s good or bad? Me. You. Our lying eyes. There are two Middleweight divisions. One of them is populated by fighters who, however frustrating, are rounded competitors who’ve demonstrated the ability to hang and potentially contend. The other is a swirling vortex of bodies and names all fighting to consume each other in the hopes that one of them, one day, will get the opportunity to lose to Brendan Allen on an Apex show, which will be the highlight of their career.

But don’t worry, the duality’s only temporary! Eventually it’ll just be the vortex. Until then, DONTE JOHNSON BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Vicente Luque (24-12-1) vs Tresean Gore (6-4)

Thinking about Vicente Luque reminded me of just how close we came to a reality where Vicente Luque and Nick Diaz had a professional mixed martial arts fight in 2024. However dumb, dark and decrepit our timeline might be, at least, at least, it isn’t the one where Vicente Luque and Nick Diaz had a professional mixed martial arts fight in 2024. Instead, Luque got bounced out of Welterweight, went up to 185 pounds, and proceeded to choke out Kelvin Gastelum, the living embodiment of unrealized potential. Tresean Gore is still here because there’s always someone there to bail him out. He was a finalist on The Ultimate Fighter 29 (jesus christ), but he had to be replaced in the final. Instead of cutting him, the UFC signed up to have the UNFINISHED ULTIMATE FIGHTER BUSINESS angle, which was ruined when he promptly lost twice in a row. But instead of getting fired, he beat Josh Fremd and Antonio Trócoli, both of whom lost their way out of the company. And then Gore lost two more in a row and massively blew a weight cut, so that could’ve been that! But instead he came in as a massive underdog against Azamat Bekoev and choked him out in the third round.

We are just spinning in these circles over and over until someone sets us free. I value Welterweight more than I do Middleweight, so VICENTE LUQUE BY TKO it is.

EARLY PRELIMS: THE FALL OF THE HOUSE OF MAGNY
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Rafael Tobias (14-2) vs Lucas Fernando (13-3)

Here’s a fun one for you. Remember Azamat Bekoev, our friend from the last paragraph that couldn’t hack it against Tresean Gore? How about Diyar Nurgozhay, last week’s Light Heavyweight prospect that got trashed in two rounds by the 17-11 Brendson Ribeiro? What if there was a pair of men that had lost to each of them? What if the UFC signed both of them and put more of the future of the sport on their shoulders? What if Light Heavyweight has to burn through bodies to survive? What if it doesn’t matter how capable those bodies are so long as they throw more punches than they do takedowns? Did you know that of the 46 fighters signed off Contender Series bouts last season, a grand total of four, or 8.7%, were women? Fortunately, there’s space for Lucas Fernando.

I just do not have the joy in me for this, so I flipped a coin, and the coin said LUCAS FERNANDO BY TKO.

WELTERWEIGHT: Neil Magny (31-14) vs Ramiz Brahimaj (13-6)

There’s a really acute sense of tragedy to this fight. Neil Magny was supposed to be a big deal, man. He was a giant Welterweight before 6’3” Lightweights became common; he was a cardio king when fighters still struggled to finish three active rounds; he was a good, chip-away striker with a surprisingly underrated grappling game. Hell, he’s still fine! He wadded Mike Malott up and threw him in the damn garbage two and a half years ago! But his dreams of making it to the top of the mountain died a little more every time one of his winning streaks ended, and now it’s 2026, and he just turned 39, and he has double-digit losses, and the UFC is pushing Malott anyway because they can make more money off of him than Magny, and it’s better to let him fight other coulda-been-a-contenders like Ramiz Brahimaj instead, because they’ve already let Magny get crushed by all the Welterweights they currently care about marketing.

I wish things had been different, Neil. I hope you can still keep doing this long enough to invest in an index fund. NEIL MAGNY BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Jeremiah Wells (13-4-1) vs Myktybek Orolbai (16-2-1)

Alright, this kinda sucks. Myktybek Orolbai has been killing it. He’s 5-1 and his only loss was a war of a split decision down at Lightweight, he’s undefeated at his proper home in the Welterweight division, and some of those wins are really fucking good. Jack Hermansson, the man who beat Joe Pyfer and damn near beat Sean Strickland? Orolbai knocked him out in less than three minutes. Chris Curtis, the Schrodinger’s contender of Middleweight that gave Brendan Allen fits? Orolbai pitched a shut-out against him. Remember two weeks ago when the UFC organized an entire event around coronating Uroš Medić as Welterweight’s big new ranked knockout artist? Myktybek Orolbai tapped him out in two rounds. He’s very, very good, he’s on a three-fight winning streak and he deserves a spotlight. Which is why he is curtain-jerking the prelims against a man with one fight in the last two and a half years and one win in the last three and a half. Every fight is a risk, and the UFC is so disinterested in Orolbai that they’re willing to risk him against an unknown veteran with zero upside who’s turning 40 in October as the very first fight on the early preliminary section of a card they didn’t even bother putting together a real featured bout for.

But, of course: He’s a grappler, so. MYKTYBEK OROLBAI BY DECISION.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 8 FROM THE COLDEST COLD OF THE APEX
PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 5 PM / 8 PM

I hope you enjoyed your month and a half off from Apex duty, because we’re back and we’re back so fucking hard that as of this writing we’re less than a week out from this event, there are only eleven fights slated for it, no one knows what the bout order is, and fifteen of the twenty-two people on it are either coming off a loss or making their debut. But Darren Elkins is back, so that’s what matters.

MAIN EVENT: THE GOOD SON
LIGHTWEIGHT: Mateusz Gamrot (26-4 (1), #8) vs Quillan Salkilld (12-1, #12)

Wake up, everyone, it’s time to try to kill Mateusz Gamrot again.

At this point, this is Gamrot’s job. Has he earned his spot as one of the best Lightweights on the planet? Not a shred of doubt about it. But he is, above all else, a wrestler, and that means the UFC will always be one loss away from plotting his demise, and at this point in his career Gamrot’s got more than one unfortunate loss and said losses are starting to overtake his wins.

I mean, not numerically. Numerically, he’s doing gangbusters. But realistically, his best win in the last four years was Rafael Fiziev, and that happened because Fiziev’s knee quit the fight seven minutes in. Over those four years he’s beaten Rafael dos Anjos, who, much as I love him, is aging into a relic, Ľudovít Klein, who really could have been something but the UFC kept him on matchmaking ice until he got eaten alive by Tofiq Musayev, and Esteban Ribovics, which was about as blatant an attempt to get Gamrot out of the picture in favor of a marketing favorite as there’s yet been.

Between them he lost a coinflip of a decision to Dan Hooker, who has spent his subsequent time getting repeatedly murdered, and last October Gamrot got the short-notice fill-in shot at the top against Charles Oliveira only to find out Oliveira is really fucking good. He got dominated, he got choked out, and with that loss, I think the UFC’s just kind of done with him. Gamrot could still run up the scoreboard and make himself impossible to ignore, but as a grappler with one non-injury finish in the last half-decade, management would be much happier if he simply went away.

Esteban couldn’t pull it off. Quillan Salkilld has a much better chance. At least, they’re really hoping he does.

It’s no secret the UFC has been taking a lot of money from the Australian government to promote more events down their way, and in an attempt to make it worth Australia’s while, the company keeps trying to push their Oceanic fighters up the card. Tom Nolan went from Viacheslav Borshchev and DWCS loser Charlie Campbell to a berth in the Lightweight top fifteen. Steve Erceg became a fixture of the Flyweight main event scene despite losing every one of them. Navajo Stirling just got bumped from barely-ranked to the top five thanks to a short-notice fight against a man who’s almost 44. The UFC still employs Junior Tafa.

They want successful marketing darlings for the region. They want to get more of that Australian grant money. But they want their Oceaniac manpunchers to actually punch men. They want finishes. That is the only goddamn thing the UFC cares about. By that metric, Quillan’s everything they could ask for.

Four finishes in five UFC fights. Three violent knockouts, one submission, and just one decision. That’s a fantastic highlight reel for any weight class, but Lightweight is one of the hardest to consistently net finishes in. Being able to punch and headkick and choke your way to Lightweight stardom is worth its weight in gold.

Unfortunately you gotta do it against competition that impresses people, and the UFC has been soft-pedaling Quillan just a touch too much for him to catch fire naturally. The man he submitted, Jamie Mullarkey, was a 6-6 veteran who’d spent most of the last three years getting knocked out repeatedly. That headkick knockout came against perpetual gatekeeper Nasrat Haqparast. And that big right-cross punchout that put Quillan on the map? Why, that was over Anshul Jubli, a man who once lost a UFC fight because his opponent began barking like a dog and he got confused.

Even the fight that got him ranked was a setup. After four straight wins, the UFC--on a card in Australia, naturally--gave Salkilld a bout with Beneil Dariush, a former contender who, in the present, is nearing 40, is 1 for his last 5, and had showed up to his last fight tired and overweight and gotten himself knocked out in sixteen seconds.

Quillan crushing him in one round wasn’t a surprise, either. They want Quillan to succeed. They want a reliable Oceanic knockout artist at the top. They tried, repeatedly, with Dan Hooker, and now he’s on prospect duty and it’s Quillan’s time to shine. And, sure: Gamrot represents a challenge he hasn’t had to face before. Quillan beat Dariush’s ghost, but that ghost still took him down twice, and Beneil may have been a better technical wrestler than Gamrot, but he isn’t half as athletic anymore, nor a tenth as tenacious.

But the matchmakers aren’t stupid, either. Gamrot’s one of the best grinders in the sport, but between Jalin Turner and Dan Hooker, he has a pattern of struggling against tall, lanky strikers. His style is dependent on being able to rush down his opponents and crowd them to the ground, and the more range he has to rush through, and the harder he can get hit while he’s doing it, the less successful he’s been. Quillan’s just as tall as Hooker and just as rangy as Turner, and thus far, he’s been able to consistently find his targets.

And I absolutely cannot stop myself from rooting for wrestling to ruin everyone’s plans again. In my head, if I’m letting my inner analyst pilot the spaceship, Sakilld’s gonna salkill Gamrot. Different levels of competition or no, Gamrot’s trouble dealing with range and Salkilld’s ability to heap on damage really, really fast form a terrible combination. But you don’t explore space with math or science, you do it by pure heart, and a willingness to ignore the safety of the rules that govern the universe. MATEUSZ GAMROT BY DECISION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: ON FUCKING PLUTO
LIGHTWEIGHT: Billy Quarantillo (18-7) vs Diego Ferreira (19-7)

This is ordinarily where I say “yeah, we’re not doing this,” but I can’t say that this week, because that would presuppose that we already know what This is.

We don’t know for sure if this is the co-main event. The UFC has announced no bout order whatsoever. The official card website (as of this writing on Sunday) doesn’t even have the prelims listed as a separate entity. But Marcel Dorff is still the most reliable card reporter in the game, and he says this is the main card order he’s been told, though the prelims aren’t set.

So, in theory, this is the co-main event of this UFC Fight Night. Not the top ten-ranked Women’s Strawweight bout between Amanda Lemos, a former title contender with a definitive victory over current champion Mackenzie Dern, and Alexia Thainara, the young, rising contender on a three-fight winning streak who retired major marketing star Molly McCann. Why, that would require us to market a woman, and heaven fucking forfend we do that for more than two women at a time, if even that.

No, that fight is apparently randomly thrown on the main card under Darren Elkins (PRE-PUBLISHING UPDATE: Now technically more important than Darren Elkins!), and the co-main event is--apparently--Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira. Billy Quarantillo is 6-5 and very close to turning 38. His best win in 7 years under contract came against Alexander Hernandez. Edson Barboza, a title contender from more than a decade ago now almost unanimously agreed to be tragically washed up at 2 for his last 7, has exactly one stoppage victory in the last five years: It’s Billy Quarantillo. Diego Ferreira has been in the UFC since the Summer of 2014, and you can make him sound very impressive by pointing out the way he once submitted Anthony Pettis, but that was already almost seven goddamn years ago. He turns 42 this January. Both men are on two-fight losing streaks. Both men are at the absolute periphery of the weight class.

And this is our co-main event, I guess. So, let me restate: If this is what we’re doing, then yeah, we’re not doing this.

I have this persistent feeling that we’re seeing the slow winding down of women’s MMA. It’s not like it’s conspiracizing or catastrophizing to say the UFC woulkd do it: They already did it, right in front of your face. Women’s Featherweight was a real division with real fighters who really competed at their chosen weight class, but the UFC never bothered to fill it, and once Amanda Nunes retired, instead of trying to promote anyone to fill the void, they let the division wither and die on the vine. They never announced anything, they never put out a press release, there was no commemorative video package set to “Leave the Memories Alone” with footage of Megan Anderson getting choked out. They just pushed the fights down the card, and started booking them less and less, until one day they vanished altogether.

Luckily, nothing like that is happening right now.

We’re just getting Billy Quarantillo vs Diego Ferreira co-main events because that’s what’s best for the sport.

I hope I have to rewrite this at the last minute because Marcel had the unbelievably rare miss and they change their minds at the eleventh hour (PRE-PUBLISHING UPDATE: Nope). I hope, but I doubt. I think we’re getting this and I think we’ll be lucky if we get a single women’s main event this year.

As for this actual fight, I say this with all possible respect to both of these men: Not even the UFC cares. It’s the unfinalized co-main event of an unfinished Apex card put on as a throwaway the week before a numbered event. You are both veterans of the sport and you, too, deserve better. BILLY QUARANTILLO BY TKO.

MAIN CARD: SOMEHOW EVEN MORE INSULTING
WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Amanda Lemos (15-6-1, #8) vs Alexia Thainara (14-1, #12)

Hey, look at that: It’s the co-main event. My focus on numbers and career comparisons and “____ is x for their last y” statements has to be carefully metered, because sometimes, if you don’t look close enough, they will lie to you. Amanda Lemos is 2 for her last 6. Subjectively, that’s a terrible record. Objectively, every one of those losses--hall, all of her losses since mid-2017--came against world champions or #1 contenders. Losing fights to Virna Jandiroba, Gillian Robertson and Tatiana Suarez is nothing to feel ashamed of. Hell, as we discussed earlier, she beat Mackenzie Dern all of two and a half years ago. Damn near killed her in the second round, too. If Amanda had beaten Gillian this past March, there’s a solid chance she’d be getting that shot at Dern next week. But she didn’t, and she’s not, and that means she’s playing gatekeeper.

It is entirely accurate to say Alexia Thainara is one of the two best prospects Strawweight has right now. Hasn’t lost a fight since her rookie days back in 2019, currently riding a three-fight win streak, the last time we saw her she actually avenged that old loss because old foe Bruna Brasil happened to also be in the UFC. It’s great! It’s also another case of having to look past the numbers. Bruna Brasil is 3-5 in the UFC. Alexia’s wins before that were Loma Lookboonmee, who has existed at the periphery of the division for years, and Molly McCann, who was about to retire as a 7-7 journeywoman who just couldn’t stop getting tapped out. Winning is better than losing! Hell, the lines are thin and grey. Loma beat Denise Gomes and Denise has a shot at the top five later this month. But it shows the lack of elite competition Alexia’s faced.

That doesn’t have to doom her. She’s well-rounded, she’s capable, and she’s also more than a decade younger than Amanda. If Lemos is aging out, Alexia is entirely capable of taking advantage of the dust in her bones. But I don’t think Lemos is quite finished yet, and I don’t think Alexia’s going to challenge her enough in the grappling or striking to get her on the floor. AMANDA LEMOS BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Ty Miller (7-0 (1)) vs Billy Ray Goff (9-4)

We’re gonna play a game, you and I. Neither of these men are debuting. Ty Miller made his debut last January. This is Billy Ray Goff’s fourth fight in the UFC. If you can name any of their previous fights off the top of your head, stop reading for a second and post it before you move on. Literally any of them. One of those opponents is about to hit a double-digit record in the UFC next week!

Yeah. It’s hard for me, too. That double-digit opponent was Ramiz Brahimaj, who choked Goff out in one round more than a year ago. What’s even funnier: The fight before that, Goff lost a decision against Trey Waters. Trey went on to not get booked for almost a year and a half, after which he got knocked out by Sam Patterson and was promptly cut from the company despite being 2-1. So, as usual, Trey, who won, is gone, but Goff, who lost--and then lost again!--is still here. Ty Miller’s only UFC opponent, for the record? Adam Fugitt, who was 10-5, 2-3 in the company, and had been viciously stopped in all three of his losses. But Fugitt was kept around just long enough for Miller to starch him! Because the UFC needs people they can reliably trust to lose or their marketing plans will fall apart.

Billy: This is why you’re here. Please prove them wrong and fuck up their plans. That said, TY MILLER BY TKO.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Darren Elkins (29-12) vs Yadier del Valle (10-1)

Darren Elkins! We are still doing Darren Elkins. The last time Darren Elkins beat a man with more wins than losses in the UFC it was Dennis Bermudez and it was 20goddamn17. I remember watching Cub Swanson wheelkick Darren Elkins to death and thinking ‘that should probably be it for both of these guys, honestly,’ and that was already five years ago, and Cub retired this past April, but Darren is still here. You know the way we’ve regularly discussed how bad it is to be known primarily for your toughness in fightsports, because it means more than winning, you are renowned for getting the shit kicked out of you on a regular basis? Darren has had this reputation for thirteen fucking years. He’s going to be 43 in May. The last time we saw him was already almost a year and a half ago and that was just so he could get completely demolished by Julian Erosa in one round, and Julian Erosa is also a journeyman in his late thirties who loses frequently.

But Yadier del Valle was a Contender Series guy, and they really liked the way he was choking out everyone he faced, and after watching him cut through Connor Matthews and Isaac Dulgarian in one round apiece the matchmakers were salivating about the idea of seeing him rise in the ranks as the rare grappling finishing machine. But they tried to Pimblett him, and they paid for it. He was matched up with Jordan Leavitt, a canny grappler with a tendency to wilt against bigger, better grapplers like Pimblett and Chase Hooper, but the matchmakers and the betting odds both overlooked that del Valle was neither bigger nor better than Leavitt, and despite being a -400 favorite he lost. So the UFC is jumping the entire roster and pulling Darren fuckin’ Elkins out of mothballs to make sure del Valle gets the win.

And I absolutely refuse to stop myself from rooting for comedy over common sense. DARREN ELKINS BY SUBMISSION.

PRELIMS: LOWERED EXPECTATIONS
HEAVYWEIGHT: Steven Asplund (7-2) vs Guilherme Pat (6-1)

You know, there was a brief moment when Steven Asplund looked like he had prospect potential. In total fairness: Being a Heavyweight, having a basic understanding of throwing in combinations and being able to do so for more than five minutes already places you above most of the sport. But he fell victim to the great migration of failed Light Heavyweights to the biggest of big boy divisions, and Vitor Petrino--a man whose previous greatest achievement was giving Anthony Smith his final career victory--managed to outlast Asplund and steal his place as the large punchman du jour. Guilherme Pat is already on his third UFC fight in less than a year with the company, and those three fights have taken him through a win over Allen Frye Jr., with just one bout ever against anyone with a winning record, and a loss against Thomas Petersen, who himself has repeatedly proven to be particularly middling.

So you’d better goddamn win this one. STEVEN ASPLUND BY TKO.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Juliana Miller (4-4) vs Ravena Oliveira (7-4-1)

Sometimes the act of rooting for a fighter crosses the boundary from meme to reality. Do I actually like Juliana Miller, or do I like the irony of rooting for Juliana Miller despite the statistical likelihood that she will badly lose any fight she’s in? Does it adjust the math at all when she’s up against Ravena Oliveira, who, generally-speaking, also loses her fights very, very badly? We make a lot of jokes here about the things that don’t matter, but this is Juliana, who peaked in 2022 by winning The Ultimate Fighter 30 (jesus christ) and has mostly lost since, and Ravena, who’s 0-3 and two of those losses were at Strawweight. Is it more correct to say this truly, genuinely doesn’t matter, or more correct to say the existence of this fight proves that evaluating fights based on whether or not they matter is a flawed concept because every fight matters to the people who are fighting it?

Philosophy cannot get us out of dealing with this. Fortunately, while I may not know if my appreciation for Juliana is genuine or ironic, whichever it may be, it is real. JULIANA MILLER BY SUBMISSION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Louie Sutherland (11-5) vs José Montanha da Silva (6-1)

Because fight databases get confused and José Montanha da Silva fights under that name rather than his real name, some folks got him mixed up with the other Brazilian Heavyweight named Montanha, who only has one win in the last decade. Don’t worry, we’re not that hard up! We got the good Montanha. You know, the one who’s only had three bouts in his life against people who’d fought at all before, and one of them is 1-1 and the other is 3-2, and the third is Richard “Boss Baby” Jacobi, who is a respectable 10-3-1. Boss Baby beat Montanha easily, but only because he didn’t get into the UFC after Austen Lane--Austen Lane--knocked him out in one round on the Contender Series. So don’t worry! It’s just a guy who was worse than a guy who was worse than Austen Lane against a Louie Sutherland who’s more than a dozen fights into his career with a similarly awful-looking record but he just beat former top contender Tai Tuivasa so who’s to say if Heavyweight is actually bad or if we all just need to shut up and accept the inevitability of the heat death of the universe.

Everything: It’s bad. LOUIE SUTHERLAND BY DECISION.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Diyar Nurgozhay (11-2) vs Bruno Lopes (14-3)

Remember a couple weeks ago when we were in Abu Dhabi and we discussed the complete and utter destruction of the Light Heavyweight division, and one piece of that conversation was a man named Brendson Ribeiro? The 2-6 guy who just kept getting booked to lose, over and over and over again? Well, if you count the Contender Series, he actually beat three people under the UFC’s corporate banner. Bruno Lopes and Diyar Nurgozhay are two of them. Brendson didn’t just beat both of these men, he finished them. He starched Lopes on DWCS in one round and he submitted Diyar in two. Bonus points: Diyar missed the 205-pound weight limit by almost five pounds. This is a contest between two Light Heavyweights who are both 1-2 and both worse at fighting than Brendson goddamn Ribeiro and we have no choice but to accept that this is the best we can collectively do.

BRUNO LOPES BY SUBMISSION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Miles Johns (15-5 (1)) vs Jessie Rosas (8-1)

If you’ve been reading these for any real length of time, you’re already very familiar with my feelings on Raul Rosas Jr. and the way the UFC tried to usher him into the upper ranks of the sport with a series of carefully-curated matchups. Suppose Raul had a brother named Jessie. Suppose Jessie didn’t beat a single person with a winning record until just this past June, and suppose that record was 23-11. Suppose Jessie got a UFC contract anyway, and suppose that the UFC decided Miles Johns, who is coincidentally on a three-fight losing streak, was the right man to welcome him to the company, for some strange reason. How do you think I would feel about that, and who do you think I would pick?

Thank you for knowing me so well. MILES JOHNS BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Manoel Sousa (14-1) vs Richie Miranda (13-1)

This is a rad fight between two legitimately good Lightweight prospects who both deserve a shot at the spotlight, and aside from it being in the sucking void of the Apex, I don’t have a bad thing to say about it. Manoel’s a really good all-arounder who carved out a solid run in the PFL, has only ever lost against Archie Colgan, who just got a title shot at Usman Nurmagomedov, and already hopped into the UFC this year by blasting Bolaji Oki out on his feet. Richie Miranda has spent almost his entire career growing up in the Legacy Fighting Alliance, one of the few regional promotions left that’s actually pretty goddamn legitimate, and even held its Lightweight title for the last year. He’s more grappling-focused, but he’s solid and dangerous enough to snatch a goddamn bulldog choke with it in the present day, which just should not happen.

I inch towards MANOEL SOUSA BY DECISION, but both of these guys belong on this roster and I hate how pleasantly unusual that feels in this era of the sport.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Carol Foro (9-1) vs GiGi Canuto (7-1)

This fight got added on Tuesday evening, and by ‘added’ I mean it was reported by Brazilian journalist Leo Guimaraes. The UFC didn’t acknowledge it until Wednesday, presumably because GiGi Canuto was on this season of The Ultimate Fighter 34 (jesus christ) up until this week, when, I am told, she got elbowed to death on the ground after exhausting herself in the first round. It feels like it should mess with the format of an everyone-competes-for-a-contract tournament if people who lose midway through the season are getting promoted to the big show before the little show is even over, but on the other hand, caring about this would require things to matter, which, we are aware, they do not. Besides, this fight is 90% for Carol Foro, a Muay Thai knockout artist the UFC’s had signed since last September, but they keep trying to book her and the fights keep falling apart, so what’s better than throwing her in on four days’ notice against a woman who got elbowed in the face until she stopped moving a few months ago during the taping of a reality show.

Sports: They’re good for you. CAROL FORO BY TKO.

Welcome to August. After an incredibly lame month, we are getting back up to speed with some things that are at least a little interesting. Also, Islam Makhachev and Cris Cyborg’s retirement fight. Will it all be great? Probably not. Will it be better than July? Let’s fucking hope so.

THIS MONTH’S PUNCHSPORTS EVENTS

• UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, August 1

• UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, August 8

• UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry, August 15

• UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues, August 22

• UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song, August 29

• PFL Charlotte: Battle vs Rosta, August 7

• PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs Vieira, August 20

• ONE Samurai 2, August 8

• ONE Fight Night 46: Hemesberger vs Diachkova, August 14

• Rizin 54: Koike vs Akimoto, August 11

IS THERE ANY NEWS

There’s this prevailing sensibility in mixed martial arts that companies only seek out cross-promotion when they’re in dire straits. The UFC famously sent Chuck Liddell over to Pride for their 2003 Middleweight tournament only to wheel around and decry Pride’s desires to cross-promote after the TUF boom as pathetic and unnecessary. Bellator and Rizin began co-promoting towards the end of Bellator’s life, and when the Professional Fighters League bought Bellator out, they felt co-promotion was beneath them and served only to dilute their brand.

It’s three years later, and you definitely shouldn’t read anything into how business is going for the PFL here, but they’ve announced the proud return of the co-promotional deal with Rizin. It actually started a couple months ago, with Rizin lending their former Bantamweight champ Naoki Inoue to the PFL for a fight in Brussels, and that experience went well enough for everyone involved that they’ve decided to make it official. The two companies announced a formal, recurring talent exchange similar to the Bellator x Rizin cards of yesteryear, and as a show of good faith, they’re kicking it off with one of the single biggest fights they could make: The main event of Super Rizin 5 on September 10 will see Rizin’s Featherweight phenom Razhabali Shaydullaev facing top PFL 145er A.J. McKee Jr. in a winner-takes-all title match for both the Rizin and PFL belts.

It’s a great idea. It’s a huge step! It’s slightly compromised by Shaydullaev having very publicly signed a management deal with Ali Abdelaziz last year and announced his hopes of moving to the UFC once his Rizin contract ends in 2027. Would it be kind of a bummer if the biggest co-promotional event MMA has seen in years ends with a double-champion taking all of his hype to the UFC? Yeah, kinda! Is it still cool as hell that it’s happening? Absolutely.

So, hey: You know what happened after I wrote that? You know what happened one day before the end of the month? The PFL merged with Jake Paul’s MVP MMA, by which I mean MVP bought out the PFL and it is going to gradually cease to exist as a brand because despite being around for almost a decade its entire identity is still less notable than MVP’s after exactly one event. This just broke on the 30th so it’s going to be developing for some time yet, but it’s hard not to have some real cynical, unfortunate feelings about it.

Let’s call a spade a spade, here: The PFL has not been a grand success. It’s stayed afloat for nine years, and in a world like MMA that’s a genuine accomplishment, but for how hard it has positioned itself as a competitor to the UFC it’s never reached real popularity and most of its gambles have not paid off. ESPN, Francis Ngannou, acquiring Bellator, ditching the tournament format--none of it has stuck. When their financiers more or less took over the company at the turn of the year they got an awful lot quieter about their big, expansive plans for the future, and that was not at all a surprise. The PFL folding itself into MVP is not a surprise.

And it doesn’t, necessarily, have to be bad. MVP MMA 1 was an extremely uneven card, but their instincts weren’t exactly terrible. They had a strong nostalgia headliner in Rousey/Carano, a big legitimacy source in Ngannou, a young, vital prospect in Salahdine Parnasse, a heavyweight bullshit session thanks to Robelis Despaigne and Junior dos Santos, a solid backbone with fighters like Phumi Nkuta, Adriano Moraes and Jason Jackson, and a giant, popular trainwreck in Mike Perry vs Nate Diaz. For a first stab, it could have gone a lot worse. But it could’ve gone a lot better, too. A lot of the event was inherently opportunistic, and now most of those opportunities are gone. Rousey and Carano are back to being retired. Parnasse and Despaigne got snatched up by the UFC. Ngannou’s wherever Ngannou is. There’s no way to know if MVP has more left in the tank. Buying out the PFL and simply importing their roster is a quick answer to that problem, and being able to throw their fights on Netflix is a potentially huge step for the sport--so long as MVP can make people care about Dakota Ditcheva and Vadim Nemkov in ways the PFL failed to do.

But mostly? Christ alive, it sucks to ponder the reality of the entire American MMA landscape being held by Dana White and Jake Paul. If there’s one unequivocal negative to all of this, it’s how much harder Scott Coker’s life just became. $50 million in your pocket and a wide-open B-league to rebuild is a solid starting point. If the entire PFL roster just got locked down by a company that can dangle a potential timeslot on Netflix in front of a fighter’s face, I have no idea what Coker can do to compete.

I’ve spent years begging for someone to take up the opportunity presented by the state of the B-leagues. I fucking hate that it’s Jake Paul. I hope the sport survives the next five years. The merger closes on January 1, and thus begins our new, terrible future.

I really hate writing these, but not as much as I hate how often I have to write these. Anthony Smith, longtime UFC veteran, multiple-time main eventer, one-time championship contender and constant on-air analyst, was arrested on July 27th. It’s a domestic violence case, so if that’s going to bother you, rest assured that it’s pretty gross and you can move onto the next story. Otherwise: According to the police report, he was kicked out of a bar concert over a fight, when his wife refused to leave with him he threatened to kill her and forced her into his car, and, allegedly, he tried to hit her with the car after she hopped out of it.

The history of fighters having domestic violence incidents is as long as the history of combat sports and it never stops being deeply depressing. I don’t have anything smart to say about it save that I wish they weren’t joined at the fucking hip and I hope everyone involved gets help.

In less depressing/more funny legal news, hey: Remember the giant boondoggle ONE Championship went through this past April, with their biggest kickboxing fight ever in Rodtang vs Takeru 2 becoming an eleventh-hour legal drama wherein Rodtang accused ONE Of defrauding him and hiding his contract and ONE sued their own main-eventer right before the fight for breaching said contract and it all ended with everyone walking away unsatisfied?

Yeah, Rodtang re-signed with ONE on July 23. On his twenty-ninth birthday. And then he published a statement through his Facebook that was most definitely written by him in which he took all the blame and described ONE as a great company that never did anything wrong and pays him more than everyone says they do. I’m glad we all went through that together.

This isn’t exactly news, but bear with me. On July 25, Mike Davis fought at the UFC’s Abu Dhabi show and got wrestled into paste by Nurullo Aliev. This was not enormously unexpected, nor was Davis going on Twitter and having one of those old-school, mid-2000s meltdowns about how wrestling is gay and you should get fired if all you do is wrestle. Again: None of that is a surprise, up to and including when Davis apologizing to Aliev a few hours later. But there was a bit from the middle of his twitter rant that I think bears a closer look.

Im not bashing the @ufc
by anymeans.
But listen,
I have been ridiculed and demoted in a way for my fight against ziam. I was told that they didnt even want to resign me because I “pulled guard”.....
I’m not even joking.

It took me so long to get a fight because they had to push so hard to even get me a new contract.

Then I was told, I have to fight this kid the way I fought mason jones or sodiq Yusuf to keep my job.

You would have to be either incredibly credulous or not paying attention to miss that the UFC is putting its thumb on the scale and pressuring its fighters to compete in fan-friendly ways, which explains why all of the UFC’s commentary teams are perpetually baffled by the concept, but it is, like so many things, an unspoken phenomenon. You do not talk about it, the UFC does not acknowledge it, and everyone goes on pretending the sport is legitimate. But I do remember a certain angry red CEO recording a video in his backyard screaming about how EliteXC telling Seth Petruzelli to ‘make it exciting’ and not grapple against Kimbo Slice was, as he repeated very loudly, “fucking illegal.”

It should probably be a conversation that Mike Davis casually dropped in an entirely unrelated thread of tweets that the UFC froze him out for a year and then, once he was desperate, ordered him to fight to their specific liking if he wanted his job back. It should probably be a conversation that Mike Davis said this in relation to how it’s totally bullshit that someone beat him by spamming takedowns, rather than in relation to how unbelievably unethical it is to run the world’s biggest fight promotion that way.

Neither of those conversations are going to happen. But they really fucking should.

WHAT HAPPENED IN JULY

ONE Friday Fights 161 started things off on July 10, and they crammed most of the MMA into the early portion of the card. Former champ and 41 year-old retiree Eduard Folayang came back to give it one more shot against young, talented Shozo Isojima, and, contain your shock, Isojima knocked him out in one round. Strawweight champion Joshua Pacio also fought a rematch against Mansur Malachiev, whom he’d beaten by decision in 2023; in the present day Pacio choked him out in four and a half minutes, securing his second title defense in the process. Min Sung Kang also knocked out Yusei Iwakura in a rookie MMA fight that technically went higher on the card than the title because ONE’s format now is bizarre. There was a lot of kickboxing afterward. If you’re a diehard Jaradchai Maxjandee fan: Congratulations! He won.

One day later we got UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2, which was a lot, in so, so many ways. Your very long card started with early prelims: Alessandro Costa choked out Cody Durden, Ryan Gandra effortlessly smashed Zach Reese, Farid Basharat outpointed John Garza, Damian Pinas knocked out César Almeida in the middle of Joe Rogan talking about how Damian Pinas wasn’t going to just knock out César Almeida, and Wang Cong took a decision over Tracy Cortez despite losing a point for illegally kneeing the crap out of her. On your regular prelims, Luke Riley knocked out Kai Kamaka III, Adrian Yañez punched out Cody Garbrandt in about two and a half minutes, Gable Steveson made his UFC debut by knocking out Elisha Ellison, and Robert Whittaker made his Light Heavyweight debut by breaking Nikita Krylov’s jaw. On your main card, King Green survived Terrance McKinney’s two and a half minutes of terror before knocking him out in the first, Brandon Royval denied Lone’er Kavanagh’s contendership dreams by choking him out, Mario Bautista won a close fight with Cory Sandhagen, and Paddy Pimblett continued to benefit from all of his opponents fighting like idiots, choking out a Benoît Saint Denis who decided to dive headfirst directly into the submission specialist’s waiting arms and get slept in under a minute. But all eyes were on the main event, as the UFC had spent the entire goddamn year hyping the return of Conor McGregor, who was definitely not on drugs, definitely taking all of this seriously, and definitely in the best fighting shape of his entire life. He promptly ran across the cage, threw a flying kick, ripped his ACL and meniscus apart in the first five seconds of the bout, and lost an injury stoppage sixty-nine seconds into the bout. His projected return is July 2027, so one year from now, we will do all of this again.

ONE Fight Night 45 kicked off the 17th, and Ayaka Miura lost, which means everything is stupid and I hate it. Victoria Souza beat her, and Ruslan Satiev got a decision over Sanzhar Zakirov, and Lee Seung Cheol got a decision over Bokang Masunyane, and Anastasia Nikolakakos got a decision over Jihin Radzuan, and Antonio Cesar got a decision over Lito Adiwang, and I am intentionally writing this in as boring and repetitive a fashion as possible because that’s what looking to ONE for MMA is like now. This is it. None of it means anything. For god’s sake, they have like ten fucking fighters under contract between 265 and 185 pounds. You cannot rise in the rankings by winning decisions because the rankings don’t exist. I am begging Chatri Sityodtong to put all of us out of his misery.

On the topic of misery, one day later, it was time for UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs Usman. Critics are calling it one of the least necessary nights of fights in years. Does the phrase “Dione Barbosa chokes out Anna Melisano” mean anything to you? How about “RJ Harris knocks out Alvin “Goozie” Hines” or “Ezra Elliott has a successful debut” or jesus fucking christ how would you even know if I was making any of these up. This wasn’t even an Apex card, man. This was a road show. Jose Miguel Delgado vs Austin Bashi was a prelim headliner for a road show. The main card for your road show was Tommy McMillen knocking out Alberto Montes after three rounds of struggle, Fatima Kline dominating Tabatha Ricci, Chase Hooper missing weight but still choking out an overmatched Mitch Ramirez, and Christian Leroy Duncan needing a decision to best a 42 year-old Jared Cannonier. And your main event? Kamaru Usman going to 0-2 at Middleweight after inexplicably getting a title eliminator with former champion Dricus du Plessis that was mostly just Usman getting dribbled around the cage for twenty-five minutes.

But not to be outdone, that same day, the PFL brought you PFL Austin: Eblen vs Kasanganay 2. That’s right! Not only was it a card where only four out of eighteen fighters rate a Wikipedia page and your approval of the main card depends on how much you care about Caolán Loughran, Lewis McGrillen or Joey Ruquet--all of them lost, for the record, at the hands of Julio Arce, Rafael do Nascimento and Jesus Pinedo respectively--but the main event was an abrupt interim title for a division that doesn’t really need one AND it was a rematch. Johnny Eblen punched out Impa Kasanganay and now he’s the interim PFL Middleweight Champion, which is definitely a real belt.

The long triple-event weekend ended with Rizin Landmark 15. Rizin’s been on a tear of making their Landmark cards booked as big and splashy as their regular cards, so it’s both a little disappointing and a little refreshing that this brought them back down to their usual developmental pace--hell, more of the card were either rookies or journeymen than prospects. But that was fun, as it so often is with Rizin, and you got highlights like Johnny Case crushing Tenya Yoshimura in three minutes, or Yrysbek Tilenov taking out wrestling star Shinobu Ota, or, in my personal favorite, the first couple fights of Rizin’s tournament to fill the vacant throne at Women’s Atomweight, with Park Si-Woo beating Moeri Suda and Saori Oshima tapping Lee Ye-ji with a kneebar. Some folks will remember the card for national antihero icon Kyohei “Kenka Bancho” Hagiwara getting utterly destroyed by Karshyga Dautbek; most folks will remember it for Danny Sabatello defending his Bantamweight title by not just finally getting a finish in his knockout over Jinnosuke Kashimura, but for trying to Mario stomp him and having to be pushed away by the ref.

And the UFC wound down its month in Abu Dhabi with UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov on the 25th. I dunno, man. It wasn’t great, either. Abdul Hussein choked out Cody Gibson, Nurullo Aliev wrestled Mike Davis so hard he had a twitter meltdown that exposed the UFC forcing fighters to stand up for their money, Magomed Tuchalov somehow failed to finish Brendson Ribeiro and even lost a damn round, Axel Sola pretty effortlessly choked out Ismael Bonfim, Sam Patterson knocked out poor Santiago Ponznibbio, Muhammad Saidov kicked Dustin Jacoby to death, and Valter Walker hit an honest to god calf slicer on Thomas Petersen, which continues to force one to ask why the hell they’re not pushing him to the moon. Up top, Abubakar Vagaev won a fun back and forth with Saygid Izagakhmaev, Rizvan Kuniev stopped Tyrell Fortune in the third, Magomed Zanukov got a decision over Damian Rzepecki, and Ramazan Temirov finally came back from his steroid bust by knocking Steve Erceg out in one round. But the main event, which was supposed to be Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr., got swapped out at the last minute, and Bogdan Guskov got tagged in despite being barely top ten and extremely not ready, and the result was a slow fight where Guskov was constantly trying not to engage and Ankalaev was annoyedly potshotting him with very little difficulty, and ultimately Ank just started taking the Bogman down and pounding on him and the ref called a mercy rule stoppage.

ONE Friday Fights 164 came on the last day of the month, and to be honest, it’s not even over yet as I am writing this, but the there are only two MMA fights on the card and one of them was “African Spartan” Philemon Britus Jeb, coming off a victory over an 0-0 debutant, against Kevin Perdomo--Perdomo won--and the other was ONE 145-pound champ Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu losing his title to Elbek Alyshov after a second-round knockout. It was fun while it lasted, Enkh.

But the 31st also gave us PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs Colgan. On one hand, the card broke my heart by seeing Raufeon Stots lose a close split against Lazaro Dayron and Montana De La Rosa, whom I still root for, dropping her own split against Tatiana Postarnakova. On the other, Moustapha Diakhate crushed the 2-0 Darryl “The Sacred Beast” Walker in a fight that was inexplicably on the main card, Amru Magomedov pounded out Angel Alvarez, Dakota Ditcheva pieced up Denise Kielholtz to an easy decision, and Usman Nurmagomedov retained his Lightweight title after knocking out the undefeated Archie Colgan in one round.

WHAT’S COMING IN AUGUST

We’re starting bright and early on the 1st with UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez. The UFC’s in Serbia, so they’ve booked every goddamn Serbian or Serbian-adjacent fighter they can. What, Jan Błachowicz and Mateusz Rębecki are Polish? Fuck it, it’s close enough. Oban Elliott’s a goddamn Welshman and he’s on the card, who cares. Hailey Cowan is fighting! Mark Vologdin is fighting! I am going to tell you that main card fights include Miloš Janičić vs Noah Gugnon, Vlasto Čepo vs Gilbert Urbina and Duško Todorović vs Robert Valentin, and you will have no idea if I am making any of it up, and my friend, I could not make it up if I tried. Aleksandar Rakić is trying out Heavyweight against Marcin Tybura, Jan’s fighting Navajo Stirling, and your main event, I swear, is Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez.

On the 7th, the PFL’s slow march towards its own demise continues with PFL Charlotte: Battle vs Rosta. Look, man: It’s fucking rough out there. It’s rough in the b-leagues. This is a show in an arena that seats almost 9,000 and its main card includes Lewis McGrillen--who just got choked out less than a month ago!--against Brandon Lewis, Valentin Moldavsky vs Bruno Cappelozza, Josh Silveira vs Aaron Jeffrey, and a main event featuring Bryan Battle, who is 0-1 in the PFL, against Dalton Rosta, who is 2-2 and on a two-fight losing streak. That’s the main event! That’s the best we can do right now. No wonder they’re selling.

But surely, things are better in the UFC! One day later you go back to the god damned Apex for UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld. As of this writing, this card is eight days away (I waited as long as I could!) and it still isn’t finalized. There are only eleven fights and there’s no bout order yet. Is Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara the co-main event? Is it Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo? Or what about the returning Darren Elkins, for some reason, and Yadier del Valle? Louie Sutherland is having a Heavyweight fight with José Montanha, who has been fighting for a decade and somehow only just beat his first person with a winning record last August, so that’s dandy. Your main event is Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld, in the UFC’s eternal attempts to get Gamrot out of their hair.

That day also brings ONE Samurai 2, their second swing at their big new premiere-grade card. The first ONE Samurai card? 15 fights, several top MMA fights, one MMA title fight, and three kickboxing title fights concluding in the huge Rodtang/Takeru rematch. Samurai 2? Eight days out we have ten fights booked, there are only three MMA fights, two of them are rookie bouts, the only one that isn’t is Keito Yamakita vs Koyuru Tanoue--no hate, it should be fun--but zero title fights and a headliner between Masaaki Noiri and Liu Mengyang.

On the 11th--not a typo, Rizin’s putting on some weekday cards for once--we get Rizin 54: Koike vs Akimoto. Rizin’s throwing a bunch of its weird shit at this point. Rookie bouts? Check. Former contenders like Yuki Ito and Joji Goto fighting middle-eastern men with half their experience who are still favored to beat them? Check. The start of a Heavyweight tournament that features four men with bad records but not the winner of last year’s Heavyweight tournament who beat at least one of them? Check. Patchy Mix desperately trying to prove he still has some fight left in him despite getting stopped by Kyoma Akimoto just a few months ago? Check. Former Featherweight champ Kleber Koike Erbst trying to get back on the road to regaining his belt again by fighting the aforementioned Akimoto? You better believe that’s a check.

On August 14, it’s ONE Fight Night 46, and as is always the case I struggle to stay afloat in this world. There are two MMA bouts, one is an atomweight clash featuring Natalie Salcedo vs Magdalena Czaban and the other is Jhanlo Mark Sangiao vs Marcos Aurelio, and Nico Carrillo has a kickboxing bout and the main event is Stella Hemetsberger defending the Strawweight Muay Thai title against Natalia Diachkova. If you like it, have fun.

And one day later it’s UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry. This has a very solid main event and co-main event: In the latter, Mackenzie Dern defends the UFC Strawweight Championship against Gillian Robertson, and in the former, Islam Makhachev defends the Welterweight title against Ian Machado Garry. Those fights? Pretty cool. Everything else? Pretty lame. Jeremiah Wells is 1 for 3, but he’s fighting Myktybek Orolbai. Jalin Turner, fresh off his return, is up against Kauê Fernandes. Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj? Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico? Fuckin’ Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore? It’s not great, my friends.

On the 22nd we go back to the PFL for PFL Tampa: Cyborg vs Vieira. Granted we’re grading the PFL on a curve, but it’s hard not to wonder if it’s a better card. Javid Basharat is making his PFL debut against Movsar Ibragimov, Marcirley Alves, fresh off his war with Naoki Inoue, takes on Gustavo Oliveira, top contender Magomed Magomedov faces Daniel Marcos after he was inexplicably cut by the UFC, Taila Santos is up against Sabrinna de Sousa, Gadzhi Rabadanov faces PFL Europe champion Jakub Kaszuba, and in your main event, after twenty-one years, Cris Cyborg is finally retiring with one last Featherweight title fight against fellow UFC cast-off Ketlen Vieira.

That same day, the UFC is in Sacramento for UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues. As a general rule, 170 pounds is a quality demarcator for a card. The more fights taking place under 170, the better it’ll probably be. The more fights you get over it, the more you should watch out. As of now, half of this card is big boys, and those fights include Wesley Schultz vs Jackson McVey, Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev, Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino and Roman Dolidze vs Reinier de Ridder, so it’s unfortunate alllll the way down. Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues is a good main event, at least.

And we end the month back in Shanghai on the 29th for UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song. It’s--I mean, it’s a UFC China card. Aoriqileng is on it again, and so is Kai Asakura, but this time against each other. Sumudaerji is having a rematch with Alex Perez from the last time they fought in Shanghai. Julia Polastri is facing Xiong Jingnan. Junior Tafa is back, again, somehow, impossibly. Yan Xiaonan is fighting for the first time in a year and a half against Denise Gomes. Umar Nurmagomedov is going to face Song Yadong in the main event, to determine who has any chance of being relevant in the title picture.

CURRENT UFC CHAMPIONS
Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs

Tom Aspinall - 15-3 (1), Either 1, 2 or 0 Defenses Depending On How You Look At It

You know, once upon a time, the UFC would’ve killed for a Tom Aspinall. Entire years of UFC events were spent desperately trying to get a Dan Hardy or Darren Till or Jimi Manuwa into championship pictures so they could cash in on UK superstardom. And somehow, Tom Aspinall just fell into their lap. They didn’t go out of their way to softball him, they didn’t put a ton of effort into marketing him, they just let him mulch everyone in his path. In 2025, Tallison Teixeira has a main event in just his second UFC bout: In 2022 Tom Aspinall had to notch five straight stoppages to get his first crack at the top of the card against Curtis Blaydes, and it ended with his knee imploding fifteen seconds into the fight. When he lost that fight, Francis Ngannou was the reigning UFC Heavyweight Champion of the World. By the time Tom returned in the Summer of 2023, it belonged to Jon fucking Jones. Within one fight Aspinall was a top contender again, and with Jon comically scheduled to defend his title against Stipe Miocic, who hadn’t fought in two and a half years, Aspinall was left in a holding pattern--until Jon injured himself in training. With barely two weeks to prepare, Tom Aspinall fought Sergei Pavlovich for an interim championship. Sergei was the most devastating knockout artist in the Heavyweight division: Tom knocked him out in sixty-nine seconds. Not only did it give him gold, it gave him a golden ticket. The sole purpose of an interim champion is to one day reunify the belts, and that meant Tom had a shot at Jon Jones, one of the biggest fighters in the history of the sport. All he had to do was wait. And wait. And wait. Tom waited so fucking long the UFC made him defend his interim title in a rematch with Blaydes--which he won easily, knocking him out in 60 seconds--on July 27, 2024. Four months later, Jon Jones returned and had his fight with Stipe, who by that point had been effectively retired for almost four years. Unsurprisingly, Jon won. Equally unsurprisingly, Jon and the UFC refused to commit to fighting Aspinall. Jones reportedly held the UFC up for a huge payday, and when they shockingly agreed, he changed his mind. In the end, the most obvious pair of conclusions happened: On June 21st, during the press conference after Fight Night Baku, Dana White announced Jon was retiring and Tom was being promoted to Undisputed Champion; an hour later, coincidentally, news broke that Jon was being summoned for arraignment in July on charges of leaving the scene of an accident after drunkenly crashing another car and leaving another heavily-inebriated half-naked woman behind in it and also threatening the police over the phone when they called him. It is the only way the Jon Jones story could possibly have ended. Tom Aspinall was an interim champion for 588 days, and he made his first undisputed one against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 on October 26--and, because this division is fucking cursed, it ended in a No Contest after Gane poked him in both of his eyes at once. The UFC has decided this is mostly Tom’s fault, which has nothing at all to do with Tom’s dad talking about how he shouldn’t sign a new contract. A rematch has been vowed, but Tom had to get eye surgery to regain his sight and the UFC doesn’t want to wait when there’s marketing to be done, so Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira fought for an interim title at the godforsaken White House.

Interim Heavyweight Champion

Ciryl Gane - 14-2 (1), 0 Defenses

Five years ago, the UFC ran into issues with their undisputed Heavyweight champion and chose to end-run around them by putting an interim title on Ciryl Gane. It is 2026, and nothing has changed. With Tom out thanks to Ciryl’s fingertips piercing his eyeballs, Ciryl was rewarded with a big fight against Alex Pereira for the interim belt--again--at the UFC’s big, terrible White House super-event, in the not-so-subtle hopes that the UFC’s continuing attempts to put all their eggs in the Alex Pereira basket would pay off in the form of their first-ever three-division champion. Instead, Ciryl beat the crap out of him. At 205 pounds, Alex was a monster; at 265 he was slower, smaller and no longer possessed the biggest guns in the cage. Ciryl boxed him up and knocked him out in the second round, but in the process of getting the stoppage he dropped elbows on a fallen, shaky Pereira that hit the back of his head, over which Pereira is attempting to a) have the fight’s result reversed and b ) have referee Herb Dean fired. Ciryl Gane, meanwhile, continues to profit from everyone else’s misery. He’s the interim champ again, which means either he’s going to face Tom in a rematch when Tom’s healthy, or the UFC’s going to stop pretending and strip Tom and Ciryl will ascend to the Heavyweight throne on a trail of eyeballs and brainstems.

Light Heavyweight Champion, 205 lbs

Carlos Ulberg - 14-1, 0 Defenses

It’s so hard not to skip to the punchline on this one. Carlos Ulberg’s combat sports career is more mixed than MMA alone would lead one to believe. He started as a mixed martial artist all the way back in 2011, but after winning his debut fight, he decided to give fighting a break for almost half a decade. Then it was boxing, and then it was MMA again, and then it was kickboxing, and for a brief period of time it was both at once. The rise of Israel Adesanya led the UFC on an all-out talent search for big, credible strikers from Oceania, and that is how despite being just 3-0 as a mixed martial artist, Carlos wound up on the Contender Series in 2020, and just a few months later, in March of 2021, he was debuting in the UFC. They hyped him, they gave him a spot on the pay-per-view prelims, they booked him against the 1-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu and despite having half his experience Ulberg was the heavy betting favorite, because everyone knew they wanted him on top. Which was unfortunate, because Kennedy knocked him out in two rounds. Carlos described the loss as the most important moment of his career--half for the lesson of the loss itself, half for the $50,000 bonus that gave him his first taste of actual profit as a professional. He vowed to take his career more seriously, he vowed to prepare for his fights as though every one mattered rather than simply being happy to be in the UFC, and four years later, he was the top contender for the Light Heavyweight crown. A testament to determination and a good mindset? Absolutely! But also a bit of a testament to the careful cultivation and protection of a prospect. Carlos did his job and beat everyone the UFC put in front of him, but the people put in front of him tended to be carefully picked. At one point he beat a genuine prospect in Nicolae Negumereanu, and the UFC followed it up by giving him Ihor Potieria, the man Nicolae had just knocked out in his previous fight. Stiff prospects like Aleksandar Rakić and Azamat Murzakanov flew past in the background, but Da Woon Jung and Alonzo Menifield had to be destroyed. The UFC spent a year and a half trying on three separate occasions to book Ulberg against Dominick Reyes, and by the time they finally got there, it was, somehow, impossibly, a title eliminator. But Ulberg won, just as he’d won every fight since his meeting with Kennedy Nzechukwu, and he proceeded to his title fight with Jiří Procházka for the championship Alex Pereira had left behind to try his hand at the Heavyweight division. It was fun, it was fast, it was dramatic and it was definitive. In just a hair under four minutes, Jiří was flat on the canvas and Carlos Ulberg, five years after his debut, was the Light Heavyweight champion of the world. He also very visibly tore his ACL in half right in the middle of the fight and could barely move. If Jiří had simply backed away, hacked a few leg kicks and kept his distance, the fight would’ve been stopped between rounds, but he chose to engage and got flattened by a left hook counter for his troubles, and the result was a brand new titleholder who proceeded directly to the emergency room after the fight and had knee surgery less than a week later. For the third time in six title reigns, the new champion has an injury so bad it will prevent them from defending their title for at least the rest of the year. Will we get an interim title? Will yet another champion have to give up the gold? Will Paulo fucking Costa wind up technically a 205-pound champion? Stay tuned.

Middleweight Champion, 185 lbs

Sean Strickland - 31-7, 0 Defenses

After all of that time, we are back where we were. When Sean Strickland got his first shot at the UFC Middleweight Championship back in 2023, it was under particularly thin circumstances. Strickland had just come off back-to-back losses against Alex Pereira and Jared Cannonier, his title prospects seemed slim, and a short-notice victory over the then-unheralded Nassourdine Imavov and one-fight UFC veteran Abus Magomedov seemed unlikely to get Strickland anywhere. But then Dricus du Plessis wanted another month to prepare for Israel Adesanya, and the UFC wanted to keep their pay-per-view main event, and suddenly, Sean Strickland was beating one of the sport’s biggest stars and becoming its top Middleweight. It was a stellar performance, it was a career-defining victory, and it was one of the shortest title reigns in UFC history, as just four months later Strickland lost the belt to du Plessis in his first defense. But it was a split decision, so his argument for a rematch was sound, and after a pretty dubious win over Paulo Costa, Strickland got du Plessis back in the cage, where he vowed vengeance, justice, and a return to greatness. Dricus beat him 50-45. It would be a full year before Strickland returned, and in that time, the Middleweight division had changed shape. Nassourdine Imavov was in pole position. Israel Adesanya was a shadow of his former self. Anthony Hernandez was the fastest-rising contender in the class. And Strickland’s nemesis Dricus du Plessis had lost his title to Khamzat Chimaev. On February 21, 2026, on the back of a bunch of bigot bullshit that was growing ever-more tired by the day, Sean returned to the cage and walked right through Hernandez, not just beating him but knocking him out in the third round, and just like that, Imavov’s work didn’t matter, Dricus beating Sean twice didn’t matter. The UFC has its favorites, and Sean got the shot. Khamzat, as he did, hadn’t fought in nine months, and had been busying himself making threats about moving to Light Heavyweight and chasing a superfight with Alex Pereira, who had, himself, already moved up to Heavyweight altogether. Chimaev swore he would outwrestle Sean, smash him, and move on with his life. And for one round, he looked completely correct. After the first, suddenly, Strickland evened things up. Khamzat was never able to assert his wrestling game again, so the rest of the title fight became a boxing match, and in that sense, it was surprisingly even, with Khamzat arguably landing the bigger punches but Strickland landing at a higher clip, and the scorecards were split right down the middle. But the coinflip went Sean’s way. For the second time, Sean Strickland is a world champion, and we are all bastards for it. A rematch seems almost inevitable, but Sean has a shoulder injury to rehabilitate, so we’ll see what the future holds.

Welterweight Champion, 170 lbs

Islam Makhachev - 28-1, 0 Defenses

The prophecy has been fulfilled. Khabib Nurmagomedov was considered by many to be the greatest Lightweight of all time, but in the later stages of his career he began to repeatedly reference his lifetime friend and training partner Islam Makhachev as not just his successor, but the man who would break the mold he’d left behind. And the fanbase was more than willing to buy another Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov protege coming in and wrecking shop--until he got knocked out by Adriano Martins. Khabib’s aura of invulnerability came from the simple, so-obvious-more-people-should-try-it factor of simply never losing a damn fight. When Islam got torched in under two minutes by a man that couldn’t beat Donald Cerrone, that aura vanished. A lot of folks still thought he could be a champion, but most felt the greatest-of-all-time lane was closed to him. It turns out there’s another way to regain that sense of unbeatable awe, though: Just don’t lose for so goddamn long people forget it ever happened. In the ten full years since that Martins bout, Islam has not lost a single fight. Most of the time, he hasn’t even lost a round. He worked his way up the Lightweight ladder and began to rack up incredible achievements. He tore through top prospects with virtually no effort, he choked out one of the best MMA grapplers ever in Charles Oliveira, he outlasted and later knocked out one of the two men with a claim to the all-time Featherweight crown in Alexander Volkanovski, he choked out Dustin Poirier and he broke the Lightweight title defense record after stomping Renato Moicano. And then he traded in his record-breaking reign to challenge for Welterweight gold. Jumping divisions is always difficult, but the 15-pound leap from Lightweight to Welterweight is a mountain, and no Lightweight champion had ever managed it. Even BJ Penn, the canonical first man to hold gold at both, had to do it in reverse: He failed at both of his attempts to win Lightweight gold and shocked the world by abruptly taking it at Welterweight instead, and it would be five more years before he finally got his shit together and won a title in the division that made him famous. His subsequent attempts all ended in defeat, half because Matt Hughes and Georges St-Pierre were both great and half because BJ was just a Lightweight. Even though Islam was Islam and widely agreed to be a monster in the cage, Jack Della Maddalena had won the Welterweight title with some of the cleanest boxing the UFC had seen, and his championship victory over wrestler Belal Muhammad had people convinced that Islam, at best, would struggle. They met in the main event of UFC 322 on November 15, 2025, and there was absolutely no struggle. Islam kicked Jack’s leg to pieces, landed some surprisingly big punches, and took the fight to the ground almost at will, and by the time the fight ended, it felt like Jack never had a chance. The shadow has been stepped out of. Islam Makhachev is a two-division champion. And now he has a brand new horde of contenders beating down his door. He’ll try to notch his first defense against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 on August 15.

Lightweight Champion, 155 lbs

Justin Gaethje - 28-5, 0 Defenses

This has been a long, long time coming. Justin Gaethje has been right on the edge of the top for so long he banked two half-championships on his way up the mountain. Back in 2016, before the UFC even signed him, he was the champion of the World Series of Fighting--now known as the Professional Fighters League, much to our collective sadness--and was widely considered one of the best Lightweights in the world before ever setting foot in the Octagon. Back in 2020 he fought Tony Ferguson, then arguably the scariest Lightweight in the world, and beat him so horrifically that his career never recovered, and that netted Gaethje his first interim belt, which he promptly lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov in the latter’s retirement bout. Back in 2022, Gaethje got his second shot at the undisputed title against Charles Oliveira and he wound up strangled in three and a half minutes. Three and a half years after that, Gaethje was still right there at the precipice of the top, Ilia Topuria needed a break from the sport, and the UFC needed an aging veteran to propel their marketing star Paddy Pimblett to the top, and at UFC 324 on January 24, 2026, they threw Paddy’s big party and Justin crashed it. The UFC will tell you the fight was close, and it was in the sense that it went the whole way and one judge only gave Justin three rounds, but Paddy got brutally beaten and dropped repeatedly. With their desired player having failed his final exam, the UFC booked Gaethje into the main event of their big, terrible White House card against the finally-returning Ilia Topuria, who vowed to put Gaethje out within two rounds and resume his journey to a Welterweight showdown with Islam Makhachev. Instead, the two men had a goddamn war, with both hurting each other repeatedly and Topuria, arguably, giving away a TKO victory in the second round after crumpling Gaethje with bodyshots and choosing to roll for an armbar rather than pound him out. Gaethje broke Topuria’s face and left him nearly blind, and by the end of the fourth round, Topuria had nothing left and his corner threw in the towel. It took ten years, two interim belts and two failed shots, but finally, Justin Gaethje is the champion of the world. Which makes whatever happens next really fucking weird. They could run a Topuria rematch, but the ending was definitive and Topuria never defended the belt in the first place. They could have Gaethje fight rematches with Oliveira or Max Holloway, both of whom stopped him in the recent past, but Gaethje is hesitant about them and Holloway is booked against Conor McGregor. I’m sure they would LOVE it if Conor won so he could fight Gaethje instead, but that seems drastically unlikely. Arman Tsarukyan is, as ever, the #1 contender, but we know the UFC doesn’t care about that. My guess: Paddy Pimblett rematch.

Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Alexander Volkanovski - 28-4, 1 Defense

And just like that, 2024 never happened. For eleven years Alexander Volkanovski was the best Featherweight on the planet, and most of that time was simply waiting for everyone else to notice. He was short and he won by decisions a lot and the world was entirely into Max Holloway so he skated under the radar right up until the moment he finally beat Max. And that wasn’t enough to convince people, so Volkanovski beat him again. And that somehow made the world doubt him even more, so he beat Max a third time. By 2023 Volk was second only to all-time great José Aldo in Featherweight title defenses--and he’d beaten Aldo in a fight, and his only actual loss was an all-timer of an effort against Islam Makhachev that still stands as the closest Islam has come to losing his title as the best pound-for-pound fighter in the world, so it was very, very easy to accept Alexander Volkanovski as the greatest Featherweight on the planet. And then he took a rematch with Islam with only one week to prepare and got knocked out in three minutes, and then he came back less than four months later and got flattened by Ilia Topuria, and in the space of two fights the audience went from celebrating him as the best around to calling for his retirement. Volkanovski took an entire year off to heal and rebuild, which was enough time for Ilia to get bored and vacate the belt to go chase Lightweight greatness, and the Topuria/Volkanovski rematch became Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes at UFC 314 on April 12 to fill the vacant throne instead. It was somehow both close and clear. Lopes gained steam in the middle stanza of the bout and at one point dropped Volk, but Volk got right back up and resumed punching him in the face, and by the end of the bout he’d outlanded him more than two to one. The judges sided with him, the audience sided with him, and Alexander Volkanovski became not just one of the rare few to win back a UFC title, but the first man over 35 to ever win a UFC belt in the sub-170 weight classes typically reserved for young lions. His logical next contender should’ve been Movsar Evloev, but the UFC was busy trying to get him to fight an unranked, debuting Aaron Pico, thus clearing the way for a rematch with Yair Rodríguez in Guadalajara for Noche UFC 3 in September. Except the Arena Guadalajara wasn’t done yet, so Noche UFC 3 got moved to the most Mexican of places, Las Vegas, in October, and Alex’s manager said he had an eye injury that needs time to heal, so he took the rest of 2025 off. Good news, though: That left time for the UFC to get new contenders going. Lerone Murphy wound up fighting and knocking out Pico! Aljamain Sterling beat Brian Ortega! Hell, Movsar Evloev is still right there! The UFC looked at all of them and gave them all the finger. At UFC 325 on January 31, fresh off his title victory over Diego Lopes, Alexander Volkanovski had his first title defense against Diego Lopes. Unsurprisingly, the guy who beat Diego Lopes beat Diego Lopes again. The UFC had Evloev and Murphy fight in March and Evloev won a contentious decision, and now Jean Silva is lobbying as hard as possible for the fight, so we’ll see who gets it.

Bantamweight Champion, 135 lbs

Petr Yan - 20-5, 0 Defenses

Petr Yan’s road to the top has been incredibly circuitous. When Yan initially won the Bantamweight title back in 2020, no one was particularly surprised. He’d been one of the best in the world for years, he’d put together a six-fight winning streak on his road to the title shot, and the UFC had fed aging legend Urijah Faber to him in an attempt to make him a known quantity. Felling an even greater legend in José Aldo and taking the belt felt like an entirely expected passing of the torch, and a long reign as the division’s standardbearer seemed all but assured. And then, as they so often do, things went wrong. In quite possibly the most infamous title change in UFC history, Yan became the first champion to ever lose his title by disqualification after drilling Aljamain Sterling in the face with an illegal knee. Yan’s team cried foul and the world turned on Sterling, but when they had their rematch a year later, Sterling beat him by decision and that was that. But it was a split decision, and it was close, so the UFC gave Yan another theoretical title eliminator with Sean O’Malley, and this time the world was almost unanimously convinced Yan won--except for two of the three judges, who split in O’Malley’s favor. To top it off, Yan’s attempt to stay in the contendership conversation ran into the brick wall that was the rising Merab Dvalishvili, who handed him the most one-sided loss of his entire life. In the space of two years, Petr Yan went from being perceived as a generational champion to 1 for his last 5 and seemingly eliminated from contendership. After a year off to cope with injuries, reassess his career and figure out how to turn things around, Yan proceeded to take the path that most commonly leads to success: Just fucking beating everyone. He battered Song Yadong, he outpunched Deiveson Figueiredo, he won an exceedingly weirdly-booked matchup with Marcus McGhee, and suddenly, he was on a winning streak and right back in contendership. It might have taken him longer to get an actual title fight were it not for Merab Dvalishvili being a crazy person. Merab was on the greatest championship run the division had ever seen, and after clearing out most of his to contenders and recording a blistering three defenses in a single year, he announced his intention to break a UFC record and cement himself as the greatest 135-pounder of all time by recording a fourth--just two months after the last one--and Petr Yan was available and ready. The world saw the fight as a foregone conclusion, given how one-sided their first match had been, and the world was wrong. Yan put on the best performance of his career, not just battering Merab but outwrestling him, and in one of the best career comebacks we’ve seen, almost five years after he’d given it away, Petr Yan got his title back. He’s on top of the world again, and in all likelihood, the rubber match with Merab will be next. But it’s gonna have to wait until the second half of the year, because Yan’s having back surgery.

Flyweight Champion, 125 lbs

Joshua Van - 17-2, 1 Defense

It would be disrespectful as hell to Joshua Van to say that no one saw this coming, as many people perceived it as a possibility, but I don’t think anyone saw it coming like this. Van was the Flyweight champion of the Fury Fighting Championships when the UFC came calling, as a 21 year-old regional titleholder with a penchant for collecting knockouts despite fighting at 125 pounds so thoroughly ticks all of their boxes that Van couldn’t have been a more perfect fit without also having a history of racist tweets, and his Contender Series debut was set for August of 2023. But the UFC needed someone to fill in against Zhalgas Zhumagulov, so Van got called up to the big show early and proceeded to justify their faith by beating Zhalgas, and then beating the man he was originally slated to Contend against, and then facing off with Legacy Fighting Alliance champ Felipe Bunes and handing him the first TKO loss of his entire career. In the space of six months, Van went from a little-known regional fighter to a borderline-ranked Flyweight in the UFC. And then he got atomized by Charles Johnson. It was the second loss of Van’s career, the first time he’d ever been knocked out, and the snapping of an eight-fight winning streak, and in many cases, that would’ve permanently ended his momentum. But Van was smart enough to learn from his mistakes, and the UFC was invested enough in him to bring him back up to speed with a gentle hand, and eleven months later he was on a four-fight winning streak again and had successfully made his way to the top ten after knocking out Bruno Silva, which left him in the perfect position to take advantage of an abrupt opportunity. Top contender Brandon Royval had just lost his opponent and needed a replacement, and Van was game to fight for the second time in three weeks if it meant a shot at the belt. It was a close bout, and if Van hadn’t knocked Royval down at the end of the third round he may well have lost, but he did, so he didn’t, and suddenly the prospect was next in line for the title. All but one month of Joshua Van’s UFC career took place during Alexandre Pantoja’s reign as the Flyweight king. His streak was monstrous and he was a sizable favorite coming into his defense against Van, but many were waiting to see if Van’s boxing could defuse Pantoja’s aggression. As it turns out: We’re gonna have to wait a bit longer. Twenty-six seconds into the bout Pantoja busted his own arm on the mat after a head kick gone awry. So Van’s the champion, but it’s under some real weird circumstances, and it means a number of people are immediately gunning for him. Alexandre Pantoja presumably has a rematch as soon as he’s back, but Tatsuro Taira just pounded Brandon Moreno out and got his crack at Van at UFC 327 on April 11. It was an amazing fight, but ultimately, Van got the knockout in the final round.

Women’s Bantamweight, 135 lbs

Kayla Harrison - 19-1, 0 Defenses

Every once in awhile the inevitable turns out to actually be inevitable. Ronda Rousey parlayed a 2008 bronze medal in Judo into mixed martial arts stardom; Kayla Harrison took the gold medal in 2012 and 2016. The world was already asking her about MMA before the second. The UFC made a play for her, but there was a problem: By the standards of female fighters Kayla was huge. Ronda had competed at 70 kg in the Olympics, which translated to about 154 pounds, well within the range of weight cutting for the insane standards of combat sports and Women’s Bantamweight. Kayla competed at 78 kg, which was almost 172 pounds. Even at a twenty-pound weight cut, her division simply did not exist in major mixed martial arts organizations. So she had to find one that would build it. The Professional Fighters League needed star power, and Kayla was their gal. They founded the first Women’s Lightweight division in a major American organization, and it was populated mostly by Bantamweights and Featherweights who were trying the best they could. For four straight years, Kayla was their recurring, undefeated champion. She won the 2019 and 2021 tournaments, and in 2022 she made it to the finals and looked poised to take it for a third time, as her only competition was Larissa Pacheco, whom she’d already beaten twice. In a massive upset, Larissa took a decision off of her. It was shocking, it was unexpected, and it was also more or less fine, because Kayla was more or less done with the PFL. She took one more fight against Aspen Ladd as a one-off, but her future was with the UFC. Even with her loss to Pacheco, the world was sure she was a future UFC champion--as long as she could stomach the weight cut. And it did, visibly, kill her! But she made it. She choked out Holly Holm in her debut, she took a decision over Ketlen Vieira in a title eliminator, and all she had to do after that was wait. Julianna Peña was a +500 underdog in her own title defense against Kayla, and that turned out to be just about right. On June 7, 2025, at UFC 316, Kayla achieved the inevitable, ragdolled Peña and tapped her out in just two rounds. She’s the best in the world and she’s going to get her shot at the superfight everyone wanted in the first place, as Amanda Nunes is coming out of retirement to face her later this year--actually, this got delayed so much it’s only now finally booked for UFC 324 on January 24, 2026--maybe never? A couple weeks before the superfight Kayla had to pull out for apparently fairly major neck surgery. No word on when she’ll be back or what on Earth happens now.

Women’s Flyweight, 125 lbs

Valentina Shevchenko - 26-4-1, 2 Defenses

After almost two years of suffering, we have gone back to the start. At the end of 2022 Valentina Shevchenko was so thoroughly ensconced as The Greatest Women’s Flyweight that a sizable segment of the fanbase had built an honest-to-god antipathy for her over it. Sure, she won, all the time, and sure, her only losses in almost a decade and a half came to the greatest of all time in Amanda Nunes, and sure, Shevchenko arguably won their second fight, but familiarity breeds contempt, and after watching the purported greatest struggle with a split decision to Taila Santos that could easily have gone the other way, too, a big chunk of the mixed martial world was ready to move on from Val. And then, unexpectedly, it did. Valentina was a -900 favorite when Alexa Grasso shocked the world, choked her out, and took her title away on March 4, 2023. An instant rematch was obligatory, given Val’s long history on top, so half a year later they ran it back at Noche UFC in 2023, and, awkwardly, it ended in a draw. If the rematch had been obligatory, the threematch was mandatory, but a hand injury on Val’s part and the UFC’s desire to put an entire season of The Ultimate Fighter behind their promotion meant a full twelve months passed before they got back in the cage. That’s a long goddamn time, and it left a lot of air, and that air was filled by doubt. Alexa won the first fight, after all--but she was on her way to losing a decision before Valentina made a costly mistake, threw one of her trademark nowhere-close-to-landing spinning back kicks, and got immediately jumped on and choked out for her troubles. Alexa didn’t lose the second fight--but based on the scorecards, she should have, and would have, were it not for one judge handing her a completely indefensible 10-8 in the final round. When the third fight came on September 14, 2024, it was seen as Alexa’s chance to cement her legacy: Either she was the superior fighter and the herald of a new generation for Women’s Flyweight, or the whole thing was just a weird episode. Unfortunately for Alexa, it was the latter. Valentina dominated her. She outstruck her and outwrestled her with almost comical ease, the fight was a complete shutout, and despite their series being now tied at 1-1-1, no one has any doubts about the winner, nor any desire to see them fight again. Once again, much to the internet’s chagrin, Valentina Shevchenko is a champion. And--only two years late--she defended her title against Manon Fiorot at UFC 315. It was close, it was contentious, and it was also a fight the audience does not want to see again. Her next fight was a long-awaited champion vs champion affair against Zhang Weili at UFC 322 on November 15, 2025. After years of watching Zhang dominate her competition, the world felt she had genuine double-champ potential and could be the woman to unseat Valentina. As it turned out: Not even close. Val dominated her in every aspect of the game, Zhang got completely shut out, and her Flyweight hopes are dead in the water. Valentina has multiple title defenses again and is now tied with Amanda Nunes and Anderson Silva for the fourth-most wins in title fights in UFC history. We’ll have to see who they give to her next, but Natália Silva feels like a safe bet.

Women’s Strawweight, 115 lbs

Mackenzie Dern - 16-5, 0 Defenses

On a long enough timeline, the house always wins. Mackenzie Dern signed with the UFC as a 5-0 fighter all the way back in 2018 and they’ve been trying to get a belt on her ever since. She came into mixed martial arts with a pre-existing pedigree as one of the more decorated women in the history of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu: Gi championships, no-gi championships, pan-Am championships, Asian open championships, world championships, ADCC championships, she took them all. And the UFC marketed her as a grappling champion who was bringing some of the best submission offense in the sport to the Strawweight division! But they also marketed her as an extremely conventionally attractive woman who frequently wore bathing suits. It was one of the touchiest things to comment on with her career: Where other women would have to struggle for their matchmaking and featured spots, Mackenzie’s opportunities kept coming, and they were almost always on the main broadcast and, on multiple occasions, in the main event slots women almost never received. And she needed them, because despite being legitimately quite good, she just wasn’t great. She could make it into the top fifteen, and sometimes even brush the top ten, but every time they tried to get Mackenzie into title contention, she’d falter. It was Amanda Ribas in 2019, it was Marina Rodriguez in 2021, and between 2022 and 2024, Mackenzie had the worst run of her life, winning only one out of four bouts, getting shut down by Yan Xiaonan and Amanda Lemos, and taking the first stoppage loss of her career after being knocked out by Jéssica Andrade. She managed to get her way back up the ladder again by outgrappling Loopy Godinez and submitting a struggling Amanda Ribas in a six-years-belated rematch, but with so many losses to top contenders, her path to the title still seemed closed. Then a funny thing happened: Zhang Weili gave up the Strawweight belt to move up to Flyweight and challenge Valentina Shevchenko. Suddenly, the door was wide open. And conveniently, the UFC had booked all the women who beat Mackenzie into other matches, leaving Mackenzie with just one contender left--and it was Virna Jandiroba, a career grappler whom Mackenzie had already beaten back in 2020. The two met at UFC 321 on October 25, and after seven years of effort, the UFC finally got its way. Mackenzie beat Virna again, fair and square, in a close and hard-fought but ultimately clear decision. She is, at last, the Strawweight Champion of the World. And she’s in the exceptionally weird position of being a newly-minted champion that has very recently lost to several of her own top contenders. One would think, Zhang Weili having been soundly thwomped by Valentina Shevchenko in her bid for 125-pound supremacy, she would be back at Strawweight to reclaim her crown. Instead she’s MIA and Mackenzie will defend her title against Gillian Robertson at UFC 330 on August 15.

NOTABLE CHAMPIONS ACROSS THE WORLD

Rizin Lightweight Champion, 156 lbs

Luiz Gustavo - 16-4, 0 Defenses

Sunrise, sunset. Luiz Gustavo is not new to Rizin. He made his debut all the way back in 2018, when he was an undefeated, 8-0 22 year-old who’d only barely started fighting real competition down in Katana Fight. Rizin threw him straight into a main event in the hopes of completing the ascension of their rising star Yusuke Yachi, who’d just capped off a six-fight winning streak that included torch-passing matches with Japanese legends like Satoru Kitaoka and Takanori Gomi. Gustavo was supposed to be Yachi’s victim. Instead he knocked Yachi out in two rounds. Suddenly, Gustavo was the star and the man folks had flagged as Rizin’s next big Lightweight champion. He proceeded to go 1-3 over the next year, which culminated in the first knockout loss of his life against Patricky Pitbull and, ultimately, an almost three-year hiatus while the world struggled with COVID. When Rizin tried to get back to its wholly-international ways in 2022, they had Yusuke Yachi waiting for a rematch, and once again, Gustavo knocked him dead in two rounds. In two years Luiz had a winning streak and a shot at longtime champion Roberto “Satoshi” de Souza, and the world expected a classic striker-vs-grappler clash. Satoshi shocked him with a right hand and knocked him out in twenty seconds. Having lost his shot, and followed it with an unsuccessful bout against Shunta Nomura, Gustavo’s hopes for the top of the heap were so distant that Rizin booked him into a fight with living legend Kazushi Sakuraba’s son, the 2-1 Taisei. Gustavo punched him out in seven and a half minutes. Barely two months later, Rizin needed a challenger to stand opposite Ilkhom Nazimov, the man who had unseated Satoshi during their big New Year’s Eve special, and Luiz was available. Once again, the world underestimated him, and once again, they were wrong. Luiz punched Nazimov out in two minutes to finally take his title home.

Rizin Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Razhabali Shaydullaev - 18-0, 3 Defenses

I asked how long the second reign of Kleber Koike Erbst would last, and as it turns out, the answer was sixty-two seconds. Razhabali Shaydullaev’s rise through the sport has been impressively meteoric. Four years ago he was a rookie fighting on Batyr Bashy cards in Kyrgyzstan as a predominantly grappling-based fighter. Three years ago he was disposing of journeymen in the developmental leagues of Russia’s Absolute Championship Akhmat. Two years ago he was choking out top contenders in South Korea’s Road FC. One year ago he got signed to Rizin. In just six months he choked out a DEEP champion, submitted a Bellator champion and smashed through a K-1 Kickboxing champion with virtually no resistance. He was the favorite against Erbst, but few thought it would be an easy night, with Erbst having been finished only once in his entire career, and even that was an armbar all the way back in 2009 when he was still a rookie. Shaydullaev, as he has been doing for the entirety of his run thus far, destroyed Erbst. He walked through him and flattened him in just barely over a minute. Rizin’s got another gaijin champion, and given how good he’s looked, they may be stuck with him for awhile--or, worse, they might lose him to the UFC sooner than later. With Mikuru Asakura’s victory over Chihiro Suzuki on the same night he’s the logical next contender, but that would just be stupid, so instead it was Shaydullaev making his first defense against Viktor Kolesnik at Rizin 51 on September 28: He knocked Kolesnik out in just thirty-three seconds. His successful murders got him the main event of 2025’s Japanese New Year’s MMA special, where Rizin secretly hoped their big national star Mikuru Asakura would get the job done; Shaydullaev chain-suplexed him, grounded him, and laid an unconscionable amount of ground and pound on him in one of those Japan-likes-to-let-its-heroes-die moments before the ref finally called the fight in just shy of three minutes. Shaydullaev’s the best guy in the company, and now there’s a question of what’s left for him to do. For now, inexplicably, the answer was carrying the murder of the 5-2 Yuta Kubo at Rizin Landmark 13 on April 11, which is wild because they already fought at the end of 2024 and Shaydullaev destroyed him in seven and a half minutes. Try to control your shock: This time it only took Shaydullaev four. He’s the centerpiece of the Rizin/PFL crosspromotion, now: He’ll face the PFL’s top Featherweight, A.J. McKee, in the main event of Super Rizin 5, with the winner taking home the Featherweight title for both companies.

Rizin Bantamweight Champion, 135 lbs

Danny Sabatello - 19-4-1, 2 Defenses

When Naoki Inoue won Rizin’s Bantamweight title I wrote that Rizin was one step closer to its dream of an all-Japanese championship roster, and it’s fitting that as gaijin once again take over the majority of the championship belts in the biggest organization in Japan, Danny goddamn Sabatello is one of the men to do it. Sabatello has been dogged by a reputation as a grinding wrestler without a ton to offer since 2020, when he got the call to compete on Dana White’s Contender Series, won, and was notably not offered a contract on the grounds of Boring Grappler. He made the move to late-stage Bellator instead, where he attempted to establish himself as their own personal Chael Sonnen: An indefatigable wrestling machine whose mouth ran just as hard as his double-legs. But it never quite caught on. The talk seemed a bit forced, the wrestling wasn’t that fun to watch, and all his 1980s wrestling promos about the bums in Bellator’s Bantamweight Grand Prix ended with an elimination at the hands of Raufeon Stots. Sabatello swore he’d won and that he’d get revenge; instead he ended his Bellator tenure getting choked out by Magomed Magomedov, decisioned again by Stots, and losing out on a shot at the PFL after going to a draw with Lazaro Dayron, who would’ve won the decision were it not for a point deduction. It was a bit of a shock when Sabatello signed with Rizin in 2025, but it seemed to have paid off when he scored his first knockout in six years during his debut against Shinobu Ota and swore he’d reinvent himself as Japan’s new American superstar. Then he went back to wrestling. It was still enough to get him his shot at Inoue’s belt at 2025’s New Year’s special, and despite the common wisdom of judging favoritism, a very close split decision went Danny’s way. It took three years longer than he intended, but Danny Sabatello is holding gold. Now we see if he can, in fact, become Big In Japan. His first title defense was against Joji Goto at Rizin Landmark 13 on April 11, and, unsurprisingly, he wrestled Goto to a broad decision. After a lot of public threats from Rizin CEO Nobuyuki Sakakibara about terminating his contract if he didn’t stop winning by decision, because, in their heart of hearts, every MMA promoter is Dana White, Danny gave the boss what he wanted by knocking the fuck out of Jinnosuke Kashimura on July 18. It’s seeming likely a rematch with Naoki Inoue will be next.

Rizin Flyweight Champion, 125 lbs

Makoto Takahashi - 23-5-1 (1), 0 Defenses

Oh, buddy, Rizin has wanted this one for years. Anytime a fighter with an above-average winning rate successfully gets their name replaced with a nickname it means the marketing power is strong with them, and within one fight in Rizin, no one called him Takahashi anymore. Japanese MMA is perpetually desperate for young national stars, and they knew almost immediately that Makoto Shinryu was their guy. By July of 2023 Shinryu was already 16-1-1 despite having just turned 23, he was the most-hyped male prospect in the country, and he was uniquely positioned to take over the world, as Rizin and Bellator were in the middle of their historical co-promotion days, and Bellator was inaugurating its Flyweight title with a match between Shinryu and top dog Kyoji Horiguchi. It ended with Kyoji unintentionally poking Makoto in the eye in twenty-five seconds. It took half a year to get the rematch together, and this time it was for Rizin’s Flyweight title, and Kyoji choked Shinryu out in two rounds. This marked the beginning of Shinryu’s career hitting speedbumps, as after almost seven years of constant victory, it’d be two years before he managed back-to-back wins again. Hiromasa Ougikubo, Jose Torres and Yuki Motoya all turned Shinryu away by decision, the last of which knocked him out of the Flyweight Grand Prix to fill the throne Horiguchi abdicated to return to the UFC. Ougikubo ultimately won the tournament and the title, but wins over Hiroya Kondo and Nkazimulo Zulu were enough for Rizin’s brass to put Shinryu right back in the title conversation, because, well, that’s what they wanted in the first place. They were right, too. Three years after his first failed attempt at grasping gold, Shinryu took Ougikubo the distance and took his belt home. There may have been detours along the way, but he’s got the title everyone felt he was destined for. Now we get to watch him try to keep it.

Rizin Women’s Super Atomweight Championship, 108 lbs

VACANT - The source of life and death

The world has long wondered who or what could beat Seika Izawa, and as it turns out, the answer is childbirth. At Rizin Landmark 13 on April 12, 2026, Seika took to the ring and announced her pregnancy and, accordingly, her hiatus from the sport. After four straight years as the undisputed best Atomweight in the world, the queen has abdicated the throne. She vowed to one day return and take back the belt from whichever unlucky woman gets it in her absence, but obviously there’s no timeline for said return, nor should there be. All eyes now turn to the rest of Rizin’s Atomweight division, which is, like, four people. Ayaka Hamasaki’s back in Rizin, but she got armbarred pretty easily by the debuting Natasha Kuziutina. Moeri Suda and Saori Oshima are always around on loan from DEEP. I’m sure they’d love to belt up RENA, but she spends half of her time closer to Strawweight. It’s a loss for mixed martial arts, we are all happy for Seika and wish her well, and god bless Rizin, which can never, ever have a full complement of champions.

ONE Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs

ONE Light Heavyweight Champion, 225 lbs

ONE Middleweight Champion, 205 lbs

VACANT - The inevitable end of hubris

We were always destined to end here. ONE’s heavier title belts have always been more suggestion than reality. All three have seen at most five champions apiece in their decade-plus of existence--in Light Heavyweight’s case it’s just four, which makes sense, as after ten goddamn years there have been exactly five Light Heavyweight title fights. The belt-padding era began in earnest when ONE made Reinier de Ridder the double-champion over a division that barely existed, and when he fell on hard times with ONE management, they one-upped him by having Heavyweight champion Anatoly Malykhin drop to 225 and 205 thereafter just to beat him out of the company entirely. Over the past two years there was exactly one championship fight across all three weight classes, and it saw Oumar “Reug Reug” Kane take Malykhin’s Heavyweight title away, and it was a portent of the future that Marcus Buchecha won #1 contendership on that same night and opted to leave the company rather than fight for its title. Kane and Malykhin wouldn’t have their scheduled rematch until May 15, 2026, when Malykhin got his revenge by knocking out an exhausted Kane in the fourth round. Having won back his belt, he retired immediately, and in so doing rendered 1/3 of ONE’s MMA championships vacant. I’d bet we will, eventually, see another Heavyweight champion in ONE; I doubt we’ll ever see the other two belts again.

ONE Welterweight Champion, 185 lbs

Christian Lee - 18-4 (1), 0 Defenses

ONE Lightweight Champion, 170 lbs

Christian Lee - 18-4 (1), 1 Defense

It took three tries, but by god, Chatri gets what Chatri wants. Christian Lee, the male half of the first family of ONE Championship and its homegrown golden boy, was very mad about losing his lightweight championship in a controversial decision to Ok Rae Yoon last year. He demanded the decision be reviewed and overturned and his championship reinstated. Unsurprisingly: This did not happen. After months of complaining and just shy of a year of waiting, the two had their long-awaited rematch and Lee left nothing to chance, knocking Yoon out in six minutes to reclaim his belt. Having finally retrieved his title, Lee, being a responsible champion, proceeded to immediately challenge ONE’S 185-pound champion, Kiamrian Abbasov, for his title, a move that was definitely in no way influenced by ONE’s repeated attempts to get his sister Angela Lee double-champion status. Fortunately for Christian, Abbasov horribly botched his weight cut: He came in overweight, lost his title on the scale, and was visibly depleted in the fight. Which is particularly lucky, because Abbasov beat Lee senseless in the first round to the point that a standing TKO would not have been an unreasonable stoppage. But whether from his failed weight cut or simply from punching himself out, Abbasov was exhausted by the second round, and Lee mounted a gutsy comeback and ultimately stopped him with ground-and-pound in the fourth round. After three attempts, ONE has succeeded in getting two belts on a Lee. Unfortunately, it was followed by tragedy. After the passing of his younger sister Victoria, Christian took the whole of the year to, understandably, grieve. ONE planned his comeback for February of 2024, but, y’know, that clearly did not happen. ONE held an interim title fight between Alibeg Rasulov and Ok Rae Yoon to welcome him back--but that didn’t exactly happen either, as Rasulov failed hydration tests, became ineligible to win the title, then won the fight anyway. Lee vs Rasulov was scheduled for October. And then November. It finally happened on December 7, 2024--and it ended in a No Contest after two rounds thanks to Christian unintentionally gouging Rasulov’s eye. They ran it back almost a full year later at ONE 173 on November 16, 2025, and this time Lee knocked him out in the second round, marking Lee’s first win in three years.

ONE Featherweight Champion, 155 lbs

Tang Kai - 20-4, 2 Defenses

Tang Kai has been flying under the radar for some time, and in hindsight, that was clearly a mistake. He made his professional debut as a 20 year-old collegiate wrestler and won a rookie featherweight tournament in China’s WBK (after investigating, we THINK it’s World Battle Kings), but his stylistic limitations became apparent when he moved up to Kunlun Fight--and stopped fighting rookies. Dominant decision losses to ACA standout Bekhruz “Ong Bak” Zukurov and Road to UFC runner-up Asikeerbai Jinensibieke made Kai’s weaknesses too apparent to ignore, and he made the tough call to commit to his dream, pack up his life, and move away from home to start training with real fight camps, most notably Shanghai’s Dragon Gym and Phuket’s legendary Tiger Muay Thai. It’s worked out quite well: He hasn’t lost a fight in five years. Three knockout wins in China’s Rebel FC got ONE’s attention, and since debuting with the organization in 2019, Kai has soundly defeated everyone in his path. He claims his wrestling base makes him impossible to take down and he proves it by using it almost entirely defensively, vastly preferring to bludgeon his opponents on his feet. His fight against Thanh Le, while blistering and difficult, was proof: He evaded every takedown attempt, widely outstruck him, dropped him with punches and leg kicks alike, and took the belt he’s held for two years. And then, absolutely nothing else happened. It took ONE almost a full year to book another match for Tang Kai, and it was just an instant rematch with Thanh Le with no fanfare, and it was delayed by eight full months thanks to an injury. So after more than a year and a half without a fight, Tang Kai finally fought Thanh Le again, and this time, he knocked him out in three rounds. Congratulations, Tang Kai: You are back at square one. His position hasn’t improved much, either. He was supposed to defend his title against Akbar Abdullaev on January 10, and Abdullaev pounded him out in the fifth round, but he also missed weight by a pound and a half and thus was ineligible for the championship. So, hey: Still a world champion! You just got knocked out a little bit. It’s fine. ONE cut Abdullaev anyway rather than give him another shot. After almost another year and a half of inactivity Tang Kai finally defended his title on May 15, this time knocking out Shamil Gasanov.

ONE Bantamweight Champion, 145 lbs

Elbek Alyshov - 10-0, 0 Defenses

You know, Bantamweight was one of ONE’s best divisions. The higher weight classes were always troubled, but Bantamweight thrived with activity and Kim Soo-chul, Martin Nguyen, John Lineker--hell, Bibiano Fernandes, one of the best fighters to never take a shot at the UFC, remains the all-time greatest, champion in ONE history. But things ain’t what they used to be. Bibi alone had eleven title fights in five years. Since 2022, there have now been five Bantamweight title fights altogether. John Lineker took it from Bibi, the scale took it away from him, Fabrício Andrade picked the bones and waited almost two full years to defend the title once, and in his second attempt in 2025, Mongolian wrestler Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu choked it out of him. By then, Elbek Alyshov was already waiting, but waiting was something he’d gotten used to. He turned pro back in 2017, realized he wasn’t ready, and bumped back down to the amateur scene, only re-emerging three years later as a finished product after winning the International Mixed Martial Arts Federation Junior Championship. He made a name for himself as a standout in Moscow’s regional fight scene, but had to take another three-year hiatus from the sport after chronic health conditions grounded him. He finally joined ONE in 2025, rattled off two submission wins in two months, and had to sit and wait for another eight months before finally getting his shot at the top of the mountain. He didn’t waste it. Alyshov knocked Baatarkhuu flat in a round and a half to take the Bantamweight title home. Now he waits to see if ONE can book him more than once a year.

ONE Flyweight Champion, 135 lbs

Avazbek Kholmirzaev - 16-2, 0 Defenses

There’s a certain kind of tragedy in winning a championship during what certainly seems to be the waning days of a promotion’s time with mixed martial arts. Avazbek Kholmirzaev is by no means new to ONE, his title victory came a whole eleven fights into his time on their roster, but he spent a great deal of that time nigh-unto invisible. He got his start in his native country’s Uzbekistan MMA Association, but like so many of his countrymen, the successes that built his career came from the bigger, more popular Alash Pride FC, Kazakhstan’s biggest promotion, which is large, well-populated, and also the kind of bullshit record-padding organization that books main events between promising prospects and 5-11 guys who mysteriously always lose within three minutes. But he was on the positive side of the equation, and he knocked people out with spinning kicks, so ONE scouted him for their expansion across the East and he proved to be a natural fit--for the prelims. Avazbek almost never left the first few fights of the cards he was booked on, right up to his championship-opportunity-earning victory over no less than the 11-10 Jeremy Miado this past December curtain-jerking an Amazon Prime card, and an unkind man would probably intimate that his shot at Yuya Wakamatsu’s Flyweight Championship was an attempt to get Yuya a win, being as it was ONE’s big Ariake Arena show in Tokyo and they were attempting to showcase as much of their Japanese talent as possible. It was going well for Yuya right up until he ate a spinning elbow to the dome and went down in a heap just moments before the second round was about to end. Avazbek is a champion and he should be duly proud, and now we’re just left to see what being an MMA champion in ONE means in 2026.

ONE Strawweight Champion, 125 lbs

Joshua Pacio - 24-5, 2 Defenses

It’s been a difficult couple of years for Joshua Pacio. “The Passion” stands as a true veteran of ONE Championship, having made his debut--and his first, unsuccessful attempt at winning the Strawweight title--all the way back in 2016. Pacio established himself as both a fan favorite and a solid promotional favorite for the company, and when he lost his second bid for the title against Yosuke Saruta in 2019, ONE, in a trick they’d become very friendly with over the years, gave him an instant rematch anyway. Pacio knocked Saruta out in the rematch and became easily the greatest 125-pound champion in ONE history, ultimately defending the title three times--including a trilogy match against Saruta. By 2022, Pacio was a crown jewel for ONE’s lineup. Which is when he promptly got wrestled into paste by UFC cast-off Jarred Brooks. Rather than having him defend the title, ONE booked Brooks into grappling matches, and in the meantime Pacio fought and defeated undefeated prospect Mansur Malachiev to earn himself a rematch. Multiple delays ensued, but on March 1, the Brooks/Pacio rematch finally came. Fifty-six seconds in, Pacio attempted a standing kimura on Brooks, who hoisted him off the ground, suplexed him, and knocked him out. Unfortunately, this was a problem. Under ONE’s ruleset, slams that land headfirst are illegal. ONE has been regularly criticized for this--less for the rule itself as for ONE’s tendency to selectively enforce the rule, using it to benefit fighters they would like to succeed. ONE, of course, denies this vehemently. However you draw your own conclusions, at the end of the day Jarred Brooks was disqualified, and thus, by DQ, Joshua Pacio is now a three-time Strawweight champion. He almost immediately announced he has torn his ACL and was out for an entire year. On February 20th, 2025, Pacio and Brooks finally fought again and it was weird, but definitive. Jarred Brooks seemingly exhausted himself after a round and Pacio pounded him for the entire second round, which eventually elicited a mercy stoppage from the ref. ONE has only one 125-pound champion again. So he, of course, challenged for the 135-pound title next. Pacio vs Wakamatsu happened at ONE 173 on November 16 and ended in Pacio getting smashed in six minutes. Thankfully, he secured his first win in a year and a half, and his second title defense, after choking out Mansur Malachiev on July 10.

ONE Women’s Atomweight Champion, 115 lbs

VACANT - The planting ground for broken dreams

On June 23, Denice Zamboanga vacated the Atomweight title after she had a baby. On one hand: Mazel tov. On the other, for those keeping track, this means Stamp Fairtex was the champion, then she got hurt, then Denice won the interim belt a year and a half ago, then Stamp fell out of their unification bout with an injury so ONE promoted Denice to undisputed champion, and that was more than a year ago, and now it’s ended with the belt going to nobody. There has been one championship fight in the last three fucking years and it was for an interim belt and one of the women in said fight hadn’t recorded a win since January of 2021. I am once again pleading with ONE: Just stop doing MMA. Let my people go.

PFL Heavyweight Championship, 265 lbs

Vadim Nemkov - 19-2 (1), 0 Defenses

When the PFL announced that it was going to crown a standing Heavyweight champion, they had a raft of interesting options. Oleg Popov, their 2025 tournament champion, had a strong argument. Denis Goltsov, 2024 champion and the only man in almost ten years to beat Popov, could’ve called dibs. Hell, the PFL still technically has Francis Ngannou, the best Heavyweight on the planet, under contract. They, of course, did not choose any of those men. They chose Renan Ferreira, the 2023 tournament champion whose only fight in almost two years was a TKO loss to Ngannou, and Vadim Nemkov, Bellator’s best Light Heavyweight. Nemkov, a Fedor protégé, hadn’t lost since 2016, when he got himself punched out by Jiří Procházka and narrowly edged out by Karl Albrektsson, and it’s a testament to both his skills and the world’s dim view of the Heavyweight division that when the PFL acquired Bellator and Nemkov announced he was leaving 205 for the 265-pound world, instead of the expected fretting about how a 6’1” man would contend in the world of the big boys, more or less everyone said “Yeah, that’s fine.” And lo: It was. Nemkov choked out 2021 PFL champ Bruno Cappelozza, and then he choked out the ever-pained Timothy Johnson, and when he fought Renan Ferreira at PFL Champions Series 4 on December 13, 2025, shockingly, he choked him out, too. Nemkov’s now the only major Heavyweight champion in American MMA outside of the UFC. Hopefully it pays off.

PFL Light Heavyweight Championship, 205 lbs

Corey Anderson - 20-6 (1), 0 Defenses

One of the best Light Heavyweights in the world isn’t in the UFC, and they have only themselves to blame. Corey Anderson was the precise kind of fighter the UFC wanted when they first got ahold of him in 2014: Big, young, athletic, talented, undefeated. He had all the makings of a future champion, and his victory on The Ultimate Fighter 19 (jesus christ) cemented him as a prospect to watch. Unfortunately, he had also barely been in the sport for a year and only had four professional fights to his name. In short order he’d suffered his first loss, and a couple years later, a pair of back-to-back knockouts in 2017 sent him to the realm of afterthoughts. But a recommitment to his wrestling style, an extremely well-aged victory over Glover Teixeira, and a devastating knockout over Johnny Walker got Anderson back in the title picture, and in 2020, he fought Jan Błachowicz to determine the #1 contender to the soon-to-be-vacated belt. They’d done battle once, five years prior, and Corey had won a clear decision. This time, Jan flattened him in three minutes. Despite his top-ten ranking and the four consecutive fights he’d just won, the UFC decided to dump Corey, sending him from main event to unemployment in a week. Corey went straight to Bellator and proceeded to become one of its best stars, and he would have become the first man in America to beat Vadim Nemkov had they not banged their heads together and ended the fight prematurely. Corey lost the rematch, but he became the last man to hold Bellator’s Light Heavyweight title after beating Karl Moore, and on October 3, Corey had a champion vs champion match against the PFL’s 205-pound tournament champion, Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov. Corey had pounded him out in Bellator four years prior, and while he didn’t get the stoppage in the present, he did get the win, and in so doing he became the inaugural PFL Light Heavyweight Champion. What that actually means going forward, we’ll have to see.

PFL Middleweight Championship, 185 lbs

Costello van Steenis - 18-3, 1 Defense

For years, the Professional Fighters League has threatened to crown standing champions. Did they carry through any of their major tournament winners? Nope. Did they bring out their holdout Bellator champions? Not exactly! Did they at least make a big hubbub about finally going through with it? Of course not. Instead, just five days before PFL Champions Series 2, their promotional debut in South Africa, they abruptly announced that Bellator champ Johnny Eblen was suddenly the first-ever PFL Middleweight Champion, and his match with Costello van Steenis was the first-ever defense of the title. Costello, himself, was a Bellator veteran who’d been absorbed in the PFL buyout, but he’d always played second fiddle in the organization, unable to get through the John Salters and Douglas Limas of the world, and thus said world was mostly overlooking him as a challenger. The first three rounds of Eblen gradually grinding him into dust bore out that expectation, but then a funny thing happened: The inexhaustible wrestler got tired. Eblen found himself punched up by van Steenis in the fourth round, and he seemed to be pulling it together again in the fifth, but right before the bell could ring van Steenis managed to take his back and sink in a choke, and with just seven seconds separating him from an almost-certain decision victory, Eblen passed out. Costello van Steenis is the first man to truly hold a standing PFL Championship, and he became the second man to defend one after knocking out Fabian Edwards on March 20.

Interim PFL Middleweight Championship

Johnny Eblen - 18-1, 0 Defenses

Yeah, I dunno, man. This is kind of silly. So, as you read above, Johnny Eblen lost an upset last-minute fight against Costello van Steenis in 2025, and it cost him his chance to be the inaugural Middleweight Champion of the PFL. They could have booked an instant rematch, but instead they decided to build the tension by having Costello battle 2025 PFL Tournament Champion Fabian Edwards, and Eblen fight, uh, the unranked UFC cast-off Bryan Battle. Unsurprisingly, both men won their fights with ease. Costello and Johnny were to have their almost-a-year-later rematch on July 18, but two weeks before fight night, van Steenis injured himself training and fell out of the fight. Instead, Eblen met Impa Kasanganay--in what was ALSO a rematch of a 2024 contest that Eblen won--for an interim title. Eblen trounced Impa and knocked him out in the third round, and now he has his own shiny PFL belt and can sit and twiddle his thumbs until Costello’s ready to roll.

PFL Welterweight Championship, 170 lbs

Thad Jean - 12-0, 0 Defenses

One of the least necessary championship snarls in the world has been resolved, but not without one last bit of comedy. Ramazan Kuramagomedov was the PFL’s first Welterweight champion, but he retired in the cage seconds after winning the belt, and there was very little doubt about who they wanted carrying their banner in his stead. Thad Jean is one of the precious few fighters the PFL can legitimately call a home-grown star. He was only 4-0 when they picked him up for their development Challenger Series as a Haitian-American prospect turned regional veteran, and a year and a half later he had four straight PFL preliminary wins, two of them by horrifically violent knockout. They put him in as a dark horse contender in their last-ever tournament in 2025, and in a bracket that included three Bellator champions, one Pancrase champion and multiple title contenders, Thad Jean was the last man standing, having knocked out Russian champion Mukhamed Berkhamov and taken decisions over Jason Jackson and Logan Storley on his way to the throne. On July 25 Thad was supposed to face Shamil Musaev, the man Kuramagomedov beat, for the vacant belt, but Musaev fell out at the last minute and was replaced by Ernesto “Starboy” Rodriguez, a much lower-profile challenger. Which has somewhat clouded the fight, as no one expected anything from Starboy and he damn near killed Thad. The two had a war, with both getting knocked down, both having success on the floor and both almost finishing the other, but ultimately, Thad got the ground-and-pound TKO in the third and with it, the belt. Presumably, he’ll be waiting for Musaev to come back.

PFL Lightweight Championship, 155 lbs

Usman Nurmagomedov - 22-0 (1), 2 Defenses

The Nurmagomedov family is trying to run the sport, and Usman is their B-league beachhead, but that assault has proven to be an awful lot rockier than the rest. As the kid brother of Umar and the cousin of Khabib, Usman had great expectations thrust upon him very early in his career, and he dealt with them the way regional talents with great camps traditionally do: Squashing severely overmatched competition until you get a contract from one of the big companies. Bellator won the Usman bidding war and brought him over in 2021, and he proved to be one of the breakout stars of their final days, blitzing his way up the Lightweight ranks, knocking off several contenders and ultimately beating Patricky Pitbull to win the 155-pound championship and securing his reign by retiring former star and UFC champ Benson Henderson. It was 2023, and even though Bellator’s upcoming death was clear, Usman was a name and widely considered one of the best Lightweights in the world. Unfortunately, then, things got weird. He was a massive, -2200 favorite to beat Brent Primus in the waning days of Bellator, and he did--and it became the first non-win of his career after failing a drug test for something that was never disclosed. He carried Bellator’s title over into its new life as a colony of the PFL, and he immediately ran into controversy after barely scraping a majority decision off of Irish superprospect Paul Hughes. The world wanted a rematch for the inaugural PFL Lightweight Championship fight, and on October 3, at the PFL’s big Dubai show, they got it--and this time, it waws even closer, with media scorecards split right down the middle. This, by itself, is not that unusual, nor is one fighter winning a controversial decision unusual. It is unusual when the decision is not only unanimous, but one judge scores the entire fight as a 50-45 shut-out. So Usman’s last two wins were dubious, and his future as part of the PFL depends on how they treat their own championship, but for now, he is the damn champion. He notched his first title defense by choking out Alfie Davis on February 7, and he scored his second after easily knocking out Archie Colgan on July 31.

PFL Women’s Featherweight Champion, 145 lbs

Cris Cyborg - 29-2 (1), 1 Defense

Are you noticing how all of the inaugural PFL champions are just Bellator’s champions? Funny, that. Cris Cyborg is the greatest Women’s Featherweight of all time, and we all just kind of have to deal with that, because Women’s Featherweight has only barely ever existed. Strikeforce set the standard back in 2006 because Gina Carano was one of their biggest stars, and that star lasted right up until 2009, when they attempted to put a belt on her and failed because Cris Cyborg punched the shit out of her. In the following sixteen years Cyborg’s only lost one mixed martial arts fight, and it took Amanda Nunes, the greatest Women’s mixed martial artist of all time, to do it. Aside from that one loss, she’s run the table. She was the Strikeforce Featherweight Champion until it closed, and then she was Invicta’s Featherweight Champion until they let the UFC have her, and then she was the UFC’s Featherweight Champion until Amanda dropped her, and Cyborg promptly went to Bellator and won their title, too. When the PFL brought her over in the Bellator buyout, they set her up for an interpromotional superfight against Larissa Pacheco, a two-time PFL tournament winner and the only woman who’d ever beaten Kayla Harrison. On one hand, Pacheco’s one of just six women to ever make it to the final bell with Cyborg. On the other, she lost 4-1. In the ultimate act of promotional cowardice, the PFL promoted Cyborg to champion status three days before her appearance at the PFL Champions Series on December 13, 2025, meaning her fight with Sara Collins was, technically, a title defense. It was as one-sided as you’d expect. In theory, this is great! The biggest female fighter outside the UFC has a belt and the PFL is bringing back a division the UFC threw in the garbage. In practice, Cyborg didn’t even get out of her post-fight interview without noting that after her next fight she’s going to retire from MMA in favor of focusing on her boxing career. Unless she changes her mind--again--her swan song will come against UFC cast-off Ketlen Vieira on August 22.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 1 FROM THE BELGRADE ARENA IN BELGRADE, SERBIA
EARLY START TIME WARNING | PRELIMS 7 AM PDT / 10 AM EDT | MAIN CARD 10 AM / 1 PM | EARLY START TIME WARNING

There was a time when I would have really enjoyed the phrase “UFC Serbia” as a testament to the growth and universal appeal of mixed martial arts. To some extent, that kind of self-identification with the product is how we wound up in this particularly terrible present day for the sport, but when Pride died the UFC became the sole global face of mixed martial arts, and expanding the sport internationally meant falling in line. People used to talk about MMA joining the Olympics, man. People used to wonder what the future of MMA as a fully globalized industry would look like--interpromotional title fights, grand prix tournaments across national borders, a world cup of combat sports!

We’re here. We made it. It turns out the face of international mixed martial arts is Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez as a main event.

MAIN EVENT: SPORT AS A SECONDARY FACTOR
WELTERWEIGHT: Uroš Medić (13-3, #14) vs Daniel Rodriguez (20-5, #15)

This is it. This is the end of our long, dark month of terrible main events. We survived the Conor McGregor comeback tour, we shrugged our way through Kamaru Usman’s Middleweight title eliminator, we stared in disbelief as Bogdan Guskov got a shot at the top of the 205-pound ladder. Next week, we’re free. Next week we emerge from our cocoon of bad fights into a long string of genuinely good main events. Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld! Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues! Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong! The UFC finally signed Salahdine Parnasse and he’s main eventing in Paris against Dan Hooker! Our first actual title fight in two goddamn months, and it’s Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry!

It’s a legitimately great run. It’s the kind of cleansing string of cards that makes you feel motivated to watch this sport, for all of the terrible things it chooses to do to the world and to you, as a fan, for caring about it.

But that’s next week.

This week, you have to survive Main Event Uroš Medić.

Is he on a winning streak? Sure! Granted, two of them were Muslim Salikhov and Gilbert Urbina--more on that later--but he knocked out Geoff Neal! Geoff Neal matters, right? Why, I remember Geoff Neal being nigh-unto a contender once upon a time!

That time was four years ago. In the last four years Neal is 1 for 5 and said win was Rafael dos Anjos, who was fighting on his honest-to-god 40th birthday, which made it especially funny when his knee collapsed ninety seconds into the fight. By the transitive property, Uroš is a ranked fighter because Rafael dos Anjos doesn’t have any cartilage left in his kneecaps.

Before that, Medić was a good-but-not-great competitor. He tried his hand at Lightweight, he went 1-2 and the weight cut kept killing him, so he moved up to Welterweight and promptly went 2-2. But those two pick-offs were Matthew Semelsberger, who got cut shortly after on a losing record, and Tim Means, who was, also, past 40. Mytykbek Orolbai tapped Uroš easily and Punahele Soriano punched his head into the third row in thirty-one seconds.

Hell, Punahele’s on a four-fight winning streak. If we still believed in the UFC’s line about the best rising to the top, he’d be here. He is not here. He isn’t booked at all right now, actually.

But Uroš is Serbian, and we’re in Serbia, so by god, let the man in. Who do we have to fight him? Well, fortunately, Daniel Rodriguez just got out of a Mexican prison.

Just to be clear, that’s not some dumb joke. Daniel’s been plagued by problems maintaining momentum thanks to poorly-timed losses and a history of hand injuries, so when he finally ran up a three-fight winning streak last year that culminated in a win over Kevin Holland only to drop off the face of the Earth again, everyone--by which I mean the incredibly small handful of people still plugged into mixed martial arts enough to know or care about Daniel Rodriguez--wondered if he was having contract issues or if he’d busted his hand up again.

Nope! Mexican prison. He got busted crossing the border to Tijuana with an ounce of weed in his backpack, got stuck in prison for eight months, and only narrowly avoided a six-year sentence over it. At one point he was going to be fighting for a top ten berth in one of the sport’s best divisions and then he left an 11th-grader’s sandwich bag worth of reefer in his car and that was most of a year of his life gone, because we are still, collectively, really fucking weird about marijuana*.

_{*In full disclosure: I am not cool enough to smoke weed.}

Only a few months ago D-Rod said the UFC sent him a contract to fight Leon Edwards for International Fight Week. I wonder if being in a main event in Serbia instead carries any kind of comfort. I wonder if knowing the UFC values him so much that they’d shunt him towards hopefully putting over their biggest Serbian fighter in Serbia makes him feel any better about his professional comeback.

I dunno. I do know I still don’t really believe all that strongly in Uroš Medić. He hits like a fucking truck, there’s no way to doubt that unless you’re covering your eyes and screaming every time he fights, which, in all fairness, is a fully acceptable way to survive being a mixed martial arts fan in 2026. But his best work comes against people who are willing to trade recklessly, and Daniel’s always been good, to a fault, at keeping his distance, flicking jabs, and slowing the pace of a fight all the way down if it means he doesn’t catch a fist upside the head.

As always, though: That was a year ago. Is another long layoff, this time in prison, going to mess with his head? Is nearing 40 going to take a toll on his defensive speed? Will Uroš feel the power of Serbia surging through his veins?

Are you emotionally invested in the answer? You should not be. The main event of this show is Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez. That is a main event in the UFC. This is the first time in a longi time that I have more to say about a co-main than its main, and if I am going to make fun of the Professional Fighters League for Main Event Salamat Isbulaev, I can at least be fair enough to know this sucks ass, too. DANIEL RODRIGUEZ BY DECISION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: AAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHH, PART 2
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Jan Błachowicz (29-11-2, #4) vs Navajo Stirling (10-0, #15)

Last week, in discussing Magomed Ankalaev’s top-ranked 205-pound main event, we prepared ourselves for this.

But last week, Khalil Rountree Jr. got injured. This left the UFC in a pickle. Fortunately, Jan Błachowicz and Bogdan Guskov were scheduled for a fight on the UFC’s card in Serbia next week, in an attempt to get Jan out of the rankings once and for allrun back the majority draw they went to last December, but that means Jan was fresh and available. It even made perfect sense as a fight. Jan’s the #4-ranked man in the division, he’s a former world champion, and he and Ankalaev also have unfinished business--back in 2022 they fought for the then-vacant title and it ended in a controversial split draw.

The two highest-ranked available fighters, and they’re both former champions and multiple-time main event talents, and they have a built-in backstory to finish. It’s rare that the universe gives you a better replacement fight than the original would’ve been, but the gods of combat smiled on the UFC and sent them a gift.

So anyway, Jan’s fighting the unranked Navajo Stirling next week. Ank’s got Bogdan.

Well, thank god they made the right decision, because Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov was a terrible fight that served only to remind the world that a) there are levels to this and b) Light Heavyweight is at its lowest possible point. It was the kind of fight that made the commentary team begin nervously discussing the way that, sure, Magomed is completely outclassing the opponent deemed an acceptable challenge for him, but is he, the undisputed #1 contender, winning impressively enough to justify getting a shot at the title?

You know. The prestigious Light Heavyweight title, whose champion is out until sometime next year and whose next logical top contender is Paulo Costa, a man whose only Light Heavyweight bout before 2026 was a decision loss to Marvin Vettori, who is, notably, not a Light Heavyweight. Did Magomed Ankalaev, who beat Alex Pereira and hasn’t lost to anyone but him in nearly a decade, do enough to justify being in the contendership discussion alongside such luminaries of the sport as Literally Fucking No One Because We Don’t Have Any Contenders Left Please God Can One Of Our Contender Series Wage Slaves Do Something To Separate Themselves From The Pack And Save Us From The Wreckage We’ve Made Of What Was Once The Most Popular Division In The Sport?

Oh, hey, Navajo Stirling. You heard us call your name.

Last week we played the “look at how we got here” game with Bogdan Guskov, and Navajo’s even less visible, so we’re going to go even deeper. We’re not just talking about his UFC tenure, this is The Full Navajo Stirling Story.

• Debuts in his native New Zealand with a decision victory over fellow debutant James Craughwell, who eventually retires at 0-3; despite being between two 0-0 guys this fight is for the Shuriken Fight Series Heavyweight Championship

• Defends his title by knocking out the 15-13-2 (1) Kevin Filtial, who has one victory in the last seven years and it came against Ben Schneider, a 3-29-1 Welsh fighter who mysteriously loses almost all of his fights by TKO within 90 seconds

• Stops Stu “Tumbleweed” Dare, a 9-8 Heavyweight out of Tasmania

• Becomes a two-division champion after winning the HEX Light Heavyweight title against Sam Kei, who promptly retires at 8-9

• Wins his UFC contract on the Contender Series after knocking out Phillip “The Doctor” Latu, who is 6-1 at the time; Latu is now 7-5, including somehow losing a decision--a decision--against Greg Hardy

• Makes his official UFC debut with a decision over Tuco Tokkos, who is cut from the UFC a year and a half later after going 1-3

• Earns another decision victory over Ivan Erslan, who is cut from the UFC a year later after going 1-3, with that one win being, of course, Tuco Tokkos; this is demoted to the prelims

• Gets a decision over Rodolfo Bellato, which makes Rodolfo officially 1-1-1 (1) in the UFC; as of March, he now has two wins; you better believe this was a fuckin’ prelim

• Knocks out Bruno Lopes, who is 1-2 in the UFC and was once denied a Contender Series contract after getting knocked out by Brendson Ribeiro, who, as of last week, is 2-6; this fight is even LOWER on the prelims

• Outlasts Ion Cuțelaba, who is 9-11-1 in the UFC and has never beaten a ranked opponent, marking Navajo’s first main-broadcast fight since his debut a year and a half earlier

• Gets picked on short notice to fight the former world champion for the #4 spot in the division.

You may assume that I am here to tell you what a terrible thing it is that this is the route you now take to reach the top of the Light Heavyweight division. You may assume that I am going to say Jan Błachowicz deserves better. And you’re absolutely right! Both of those things are true. But, also, here’s every fight Jan has had since Navajo started his professional MMA career in September of 2022:

• Goes to a split draw with Magomed Ankalaev (which Ank should 100% have won) for the vacant Light Heavyweight title, leaving the belt unclaimed

• Loses a split decision to Alex Pereira in the latter’s 205-pound debut

• Spends almost two years on the shelf with a shoulder injury

• Comes back in 2025 and loses a unanimous decision to Carlos Ulberg

• Goes to a majority draw with Bogdan Guskov

• Turns 43

• Tears his meniscus and goes right back on the shelf for half a year

I need you to understand: This is the fourth-best Light Heavyweight in the UFC, and he deserves that distinction, and he also hasn’t won a fight in more than four years. Jan is one of the best men in this weight class in the world, and he’s also 43 and has spent most of the last five years of his career recovering from injuries.

Up until one fight ago, you could defend Jan by pointing out that he was fighting the absolute best of the best in the sport. Ankalaev, Pereira and Ulberg are the last three men to hold the Light Heavyweight Championship, and Jan wasn’t just competitive with them, some folks had him outright beating all three on the scorecards. We’re one Ron McCarthy coinflip away from living in the reality where the Alex Pereira era never came to pass because Jan almost strangled it in its crib.

But that Bogdan Guskov fight? That was rough on its own terms, let alone re-examined after watching Guskov look completely, utterly lost in the cage against Ankalaev. And that was Jan before tearing his meniscus at 43 and having to make a combat sports comeback within the same calendar year against an undefeated man in his twenties who is also taller, rangier, and pretty defensively sound.

I don’t think the UFC is wrong to invest in Navajo. He is, by the standards of Light Heavyweight, pretty darn good. He doesn’t make many silly mistakes, he controls his weapons, and he knows how to wait for his chances. He’s a rock-solid prospect. He’s also not going to save the division. Nothing that is currently happening is going to save the division. There is, arguably, no saving this fucking division. The UFC is bending over backwards to find a way, any way, to keep from booking another Magomed Ankalaev title fight, and if you think they wouldn’t bounce Navajo all the way to top contendership should he knock Jan out, you have not been paying attention to the way they do business now.

And that’s the problem. They put all their eggs in the Alex Pereira basket and when he hatched into a beautiful failure of a Heavyweight, they had nothing left. They spent years kneecapping Ankalaev. They got Jiří Procházka murdered in three straight title fights. They overpushed Jamahal Hill and were subsequently stunned by his sudden lust for imploding his own leg tendons. They slow-rolled Azamat Murzakanov and now after one loss he’s already done. They jumped the gun on Guskov and now no one will take him seriously as a contender.

And their best plan--their original plan, the thing they actually intended to do--was have Ankalaev fight Khalil Rountree Jr., a man with 0 wins over active Light Heavyweights in the last four years, and have Jan fight an immediate rematch with Guskov, a fight no one was asking for, and have Navajo fight a fight against (blank), because he just beat Ion barely a month ago and they hadn’t figured out what to do with him yet.

Because they don’t have a plan.

Some divisions do! They parked the entire Heavyweight division for Alex Pereira! They froze multiple contenders to put Sean Strickland in the driver’s seat at Middleweight! Christ, they spent years arranging the dominos necessary to belt up Mackenzie Dern. With Pereira gone, there is no plan for Light Heavyweight. There’s no anointed prospect, there’s no up-and-coming star, there aren’t even many international prospects waiting in the wings. Middleweights are moving up to Light Heavyweight to try to take over the division again because it is ripe for the taking. But there’s no promotional aid package coming for anybody. They’re just throwing darts and hoping to God that one of them somehow sticks.

This will, probably, stick. I have appreciated Jan for a very long time, but unfortunately, I have appreciated Jan for a very long time. I would absolutely love to see him come out and batter Navajo’s legs and wear him down until he can’t avoid one of those big Jan Błachowicz hooks anymore, but after watching him struggle against Bogdan, who I genuinely believe is worse at fighting than Navajo, and knowing that he’s coming back from a serious leg injury and will almost certainly be even more diminished than he has been the last couple of times we’ve seen him, I think this is just about the end of the road.

Prove me wrong, Jan. I need one more run. NAVAJO STIRLING BY DECISION.

MAIN CARD: THE EXODUS
HEAVYWEIGHT: Aleksandar Rakić (14-6, #13 at Light Heavyweight) vs Marcin Tybura (27-11, #12 at Heavyweight)

I used to believe in you, Aleksandar. I thought you were gonna be a damn champion one day. You had the tools, you had the power, you were big as heck for 205 pounds and you could maintain a fighting pace for fifteen minutes, and by jove, that puts you ahead of the game. But then you got signed to fight Jan, and you twiddled your thumbs for a year waiting, and when you got there the gods of humor and hubris ripped your ACL in half in mid-fight, and since then everything’s been fucked. You were gone for two whole years, you looked solid against Jiří Procházka for a round before you got flattened, you had nothing for Magomed Ankalaev and Azamat Murzakanov knocked you out in one round with a fucking jab. The Light Heavyweight world cast you out, and you are leading the charge up to the Heavyweight division in the hopes of reinvigorating your career, because if there’s one thing leg ligaments love, it’s deciding to make them support even more weight than they did when you were healthy.

Don’t you look so smug over there, Marcin, you’re in trouble, too. You’ve been one of the UFC’s most reliable gatekeepers--maybe we have to forgive you for letting Augusto Sakai through, but we forgave Anderson Silva for losing to Daiju Takase, everyone gets one mulligan--and you will always have our eternal gratitude for putting a stop to the rise of Greg Hardy. But the fact remains that you have been doing an unfortunate job lately. You beat Mick Parkin! That’s good! But you let Ante Delija blast through you in two minutes, and then, when we needed you to show some signs of improvement, you let Tyrell goddamn Fortune take your spot in the top ten. Being an unstoppably grinding wrestleboxing meat wall is your entire reason for being, and you let a guy who needed a doctor’s stoppage to beat Demoreo Dennis take the crown from you. Now you’re trying to hold the door against the Light Heavyweight invasion. Ciryl did it! Now it’s your goddamn turn.

I think Aleksandar is a lot faster than Marcin. I think he has more tools in his belt. I also think putting on more weight and trying to compete at a higher weight class at this stage in his physical progression is a really difficult path. But above all: I think Heavyweight is Bad. ALEKSANDAR RAKIĆ BY TKO.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Duško Todorović (13-6) vs Robert Valentin (11-6 (1))

Really roll that fight around on your tongue. Main Card Robert Valentin. In the past three years, these two men combine for a truly outstanding UFC record of 2-6. They’ve both been stopped twice and they’ve both lost a decision. And their sole wins? Eleven months ago Duško knocked out José Medina, who was released one fight later for being 0-4 in the company, and this past April Robert saved his contract by choking out Julien Leblanc, who was making his UFC debut thanks to his truly incredible victory on the Quebecois regional circuit over the 6-10 Ryan “The Lion” Rohovich. That is how deep they had to dig to find people who could feasibly lose a fight to either of these men. “But Duško has other UFC wins,” you plaintively cry from the alcove where I told you I kept the Amontillado. And you’re right! He does! He has three whole other wins! The most recent one was almost four years ago, and the three of them put together were just 3-14 in the UFC, and brother, you don’t want to know who the three poor motherfuckers were that they beat, and also, no one can hear you.

However, and this may shock you: Duško Todorović is Serbian. Sorry, everyone else. Nothing to be done. Gotta sell those Serbian tickets, and if that means Duško Todorović and Robert Valentin get a big bright spot on the main card, that’s what’s best for the sport. Wanna hear something fun? This is the 25th UFC held this year, and presuming it doesn’t face any last-minute cancellations, by the time it’s over, there will have been 140 main-card fights broadcast in 2026. Seven of those main-card slots went to women. That’s five percent. It is so worth it to the UFC to make sure there’s broadcast space for folks like Duško Todorović and Vlasto Čepo to secure those lucrative government grantsinternational audiences, but heaven forfend you have lady parts, because there’s definitely never been any money in women fighting in mixed martial arts.

This fight is bad and neither of these guys have done much to prove they belong here but we’re just gonna keep on trucking, I guess. DUŠKO TODOROVIĆ BY TKO.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Vlasto Čepo (14-3) vs Gilbert Urbina (7-4)

Do you even need me to say anything? Do we need to talk about this fight? Are context clues enough for you to know why the UFC booked a debuting Serbian fighter against a guy with half as many wins and yet more losses than him? Can I just communicate my feelings through pictures?

No? I need to be a professional? Why the fuck! Why do I have to give a shit about this more than they do.

Here’s your cypher: Vlasto Čepo is Pretty Good, he’s been fighting in OKTAGON and doing a bang-up job of it, he’s Serbian as fuck and he’s finished everyone he’s ever beaten, most of them by knockout. Gilbert Urbina managed to lose The Ultimate Fighter 29 (jesus christ) twice (jesus christ). He has won exactly one fight not just in the UFC but in the last five+ years of his life, and that was against Orion Cosce, who seemingly retired from shame on the spot because that was in mid-2023 and he still hasn’t fought again. Otherwise it’s been a half-decade of getting knocked out or choked out, over and over. Which is why he’s still under contract. They’ve been waiting for a Vlasto Čepo to book him against.

Congratulations, matchmakers. Your day has come. VLASTO ČEPO BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Miloš Janičić (19-3) vs Noah Gugnon (9-2)

One of these men fights out of Serbia. One of them fights out of France. You may be able to subtly guess which is which! It’s a sign of where the sport is right now that Janičić is simultaneously a genuinely promising Lightweight prospect and he’s spent more of the last three years on kickboxing, bareknuckle boxing and my personal favorite, the Dirty Boxing Championship promotion that runs out of sweaty rooms in Miami and has the goddamn Schmo as an interviewer, than he has on MMA. This is how you make money as a regional fighter now. You go to fucking DBX. Noah Gugnon has been beating folks up in France’s ARES FC, and he was born in the year 2000, and that should be illegal and I do not appreciate it. Do not tell me a fighter born in the year 2000 is closing in on thirty, because I assure you, I cannot do math.

I dunno, man. I like Janičić’s offense and the way he lances forward into his jabs and straights, it’s very Whittakery, and I like how Gugnon drives forward and gets real aggressive on the ground, but Janičić also has some trouble getting outwrestled, and Gugnon also keeps his head bolt-upright way too often, and I cannot help seeing both men getting hurt badly by the time they get anywhere close to the Lightweight ladder.

But we’re not actually there yet, so whee! NOAH GUGNON BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: THE LAST STAND OF COWAN
LIGHTWEIGHT: Ľudovít Klein (24-5-1) vs Tofiq Musayev (23-6)

Ľudovít Klein continues to exist as an example of just how bizarre the path to success is in the UFC today. He was a steady, reliable winner as a Lightweight prospect, but despite going three years and seven fights without a loss (albeit one slightly embarrassing draw against Jai Herbert) he was no closer to a ranking, or a ranked fight, than any of his managerially-favored peers. Then, suddenly, they threw him in there on relatively short notice with Mateusz Gamrot, one of the ten best Lightweights on the goddamn planet. Klein lost, so now it’s back to back to the prelim mines forever. One fight ago it was scraping out a decision over Mateusz Rębecki; now it’s battling Tofiq Musayev, former Rizin and Bellator veteran turned currently 50/50 fighter in the UFC. Myktybek Orolbai ruined his much-ballyhooed debut after submitting him in one round, but Musayev managed to take his own decision--the first victory by decision he’d earned in six and a half years--after beating on-again off-again marketing darling Ignacio Bahamondes. Who is, coincidentally, the man Klein pissed off the UFC by beating almost three years ago to the day.

I still like Musayev, but I think the UFC’s going to continue to be a very tough run for him. ĽUDOVÍT KLEIN BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Oban Elliott (12-4) vs Michael Oliveira (9-0)

Oban, buddy, I think they’re tired of you. We’re barely two years removed from Oban’s debut as a big Contender Series prospect out of the UK, and it went well, in the sense that he beat several folks with losing UFC records, and then he kept getting injured and struggling to get a visa (which is clearly his problem and has nothing to do with America), and then he dropped two fights in a row, and now his fortunate son status has been revoked and he’s on the DWCS welcoming committee. Michael Oliveira is your new Brazilian knockout guy. A year and a half ago he was in the Legacy Fighting Alliance beating a 13-11-2 guy named Aldo Pereira, then he was winning on the contract mill show by destroying Victor Valenzuela, who wound up signed to the company anyway. Oliveira is trained by our old Strikeforce buddy Rafael “Feijão” Cavalcante, and it shows, because he really likes big, angry punches and does not appear to be sufficiently concerned with pacing himself.

Oliveira also has this style of defense that centers entirely around moving his head just barely enough to avoid punches, which is going to work incredibly well right up until the moment it very violently does not. Fortunately, that probably won’t be tonight. MICHAEL OLIVEIRA BY TKO.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Mark Vologdin (12-4-2) vs Borislav Nikolić (16-2)

Remember back in April, when I introduced you to Mark Vologdin, the 5’3” Bantamweight who the UFC signed despite losing his DWCS fight because his entire fighting style can be summarized by that Simpsons gif of Bart walking forward while constantly windmilling his hands? Good news! He’s still here. I said he’d lost his debut match against John Castañeda, and he would have, were it not for John getting docked a point over errant groin shots. Funnily enough, even with the deduction most of the media still thought Castañeda won, but that’s just not how this works. Vologdin was supposed to meet in a prospect-filtering fight with fellow struggler Josias Musasa here, but Josias couldn’t make it, so instead it’s Borislav Nikolić, who is--try to be surprised--a Serbian guy who stops almost everyone he beats. He’s half a foot taller, he hits a lot harder, and primarily, I just don’t think Mark Vologdin is great at this.

And I normally love my short guys! Just not this one. BORISLAV NIKOLIĆ BY TKO.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Dennis Buzukja (12-6) vs Bogdan Grad (15-4)

Speaking of fights featuring people who are inexplicably still here, there’s this, which will probably be a lot of fun. Bogdan Grad is an adherent of the modern-day meta whereby winning excitingly is more important than fighting well, and consequently he needed two chances to win on the Contender Series and he’s on a two-fight losing streak that could, with one more fall, very easily get him fired. Dennis Buzukja got signed as a replacement for a replacement for another replacement, he’s a whole 1-4 in the company, and he would’ve been released already had his losses not been separated by a knockout over the incredibly unfortunate Connor Matthews.

Buzukja’s solid, but aside from being in unfriendly territory he’s also been booked into this fight despite being just under three and a half months separated from getting completely, utterly, limp-on-the-ground knocked out by Márcio Barbosa. In the old days, he wouldn’t even have been cleared to spar until about two weeks ago. They know what they are doing. BOGDAN GRAD BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Mateusz Rębecki (20-5) vs Kyle Prepolec (18-10)

How many times do you think we can write about people who probably shouldn’t be here? Spoiler: This isn’t the last time on this card. Kyle Prepolec was hired as a last-minute replacement to keep Benoît Saint Denis on a card in Quebec, meaning Kyle punched his ticket to a UFC contract by defeating no less than the 25-33 Gustavo “Show Man” Wurlitzer, and now he’s 0-2 in the company and he’s gotten completely fucked up in both fights and the second was a brutal mauling at the hands of the aging Drew Dober, but that, too, was in Canada, so it made sense to put the Canadian in. Now he’s in Serbia fighting a guy whose name I have to copy-paste because it’s easier than finding the character map and manually keying in the combination to make the ę, which I have only just today discovered has a Polish name that honest-to-god translates as “e with a little tail” and I don’t know if there’s any inherent purpose in life but that’s the kind of factoid that makes me glad to still be living it. Kyle, they want to kill you. I’m sorry. Mateusz is their big brawler and he’s on a losing streak and someone in matchmaking thinks Poland and Serbia are close enough together that this is fine and you are here to be destroyed.

I hope Quebec welcomes you home. MATEUSZ RĘBECKI BY TKO.

WOMEN’S BANTAMWEIGHT: Nina Milošević (8-1) vs Hailey Cowan (7-5)

Hailey Cowan, it’s now or never. It’s very hard to imagine now, but four years ago the UFC put a surprising amount of hype behind Hailey after she won her Contender Series contract. It would be very easy to be cynical and say they only cared about her because she’s a blonde American lady from Texas and they have no idea how to market any female fighters who aren’t generically photogenic to American audiences. Very, very easy. Even easier now, because in the last four years Hailey’s fought three times and she’s lost every one of them. She lost her debut by decision, she spent two years on the shelf, she got choked out by noted kickboxer Nora Cornolle, she went back on ice for another year, she got knocked out by Alice Pereira this past April, and even though it’s barely four months later they’re cutting bait and shipping her off to Serbia to get eaten alive. Because that’s what’s going to happen, right? I mean, Nina Milošević is 8-1! She’s the Serbian champion in Serbia! She hasn’t lost a fight since her rookie outing! All of this is true. It is also true that Nina and Hailey both have exactly the same number of career victories against women with winning records, and that number is Two, and you only get that far if you are willing to think of “2-1” as a winning record. I watched Nina’s tape and I’ll tell you, man, it isn’t great. Neither of them are great. Hailey still looks lost a lot of the time and Nina tends to throw punches like she’s swimming, and I want to tell you neither of them belong here, but is that even true anymore? Miesha Tate is still a ranked Women’s Bantamweight and she has one ranked win in the last decade. Bia Mesquita is the most exciting prospect in the division and one fight ago Melissa Mullins had her basically dead on her feet, but gave away the bout taking the half-conscious world champion grappler to the ground only to react in Pikachu shock when she got armbarred seconds later. Joselyne Edwards is the only new, genuinely-cultivated contender Bantamweight has had in years, and she isn’t even two years removed from constantly missing weight and being unable to stop Ailín Pérez.

I don’t know if I can say the bar is too high for anyone anymore. Throw all the talent into a pool. Invest real time and money in them. See what happens. Hailey, this is your chance. HAILEY COWAN BY DECISION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Jovan Leka (13-2) vs Alexander Poppeck (21-5 (1))

Like this! This is a perfect continuation for that conversation we were just having, because Heavyweight and Women’s Bantamweight are, inherently, the same division. Legendary champion and international celebrity who left the company? Check. Current champion sidelined with injury issues the UFC really doesn’t want to talk about? Double check. Former champion the company wants to bury? You better fuckin’ believe that’s a check. Thrown-together matchups? Buddy, one of these Heavyweights isn’t even a Heavyweight. Jovan Leka is! He’s a 6’5” meatbrick whose primary skills are Wrestling, Kind Of and Being Dense. I strongly encourage you to go watch the footage of his last fight against Danilo Suzart--the iron-brained will remember him as the guy Waldo Cortes-Acosta nuked on the Contender Series back in 2022--and observe, as Jovan looks visibly confused by Suzart walking at him throwing giant winging overhands again and again until the moment it clicks in Leka’s head that he is half a foot larger and can simply push the other man over and choke him. Poppeck, funnily enough, is also a former DWCS guy--he’s the one who got pounded out by Jamahal Hill way back in 2019 and in so doing helped steer us onto the dark, terrible course into which we now have no escape. He’s been fighting as a constant favorite in OKTAGON as a 205-pounder and he’s actually visibly mobile and has a couple legitimately solid wins and he’s content to take his time attacking and defending and once he’s back at his home weight class I think he might have some work to do.

Here, I think he’s gonna get smothered by the actual Heavyweight in this Heavyweight bout. JOVAN LEKA BY DECISION.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Marina Spasić (7-1) vs Stephanie Luciano (7-2-1)

There’s been some level of attempt to get Marina Spasić some debut hype, here, but I’m not feeling it. The sentence “the best Women’s Strawweight in the Balkans” is one of those things that’s so utterly specific that it feels like an insult more than an endorsement, and when you look at her record and watch her tape and see her struggling with women who are only barely staying afloat in the sport, or watch her need two and a half rounds to dispatch Samara Santos, who is 12-11-1, has never beaten anyone with a winning record and whose opponents have a truly, genuinely incredible combined record of 16-60, you begin to realize why I both focus on numbers as a way of evaluating where someone’s been in the sport and fully recognize just how useless they can be. After all, I loved Jingnan Xiong, and it took her three rounds to knock out Santos, too. Is struggling with Samara Santos an equivalent exchange to Stephanie Luciano losing a split decision to Sam Hughes? What’s a 50-50 on the regional scene worth vs a 50-50 in the UFC? Is Stephanie choking out Ravena Oliveira really any more impressive than Marina knocking out journeywoman Maristela Alves?

I don’t know. Nothing in her tape wows me, though. STEPHANIE LUCIANO BY DECISION.

SATURDAY, JULY 25 FROM THE ETIHAD ARENA IN ABU DHABI
EARLY START TIME WARNING | PRELIMS 6 AM PDT / 9 AM EDT | MAIN CARD 9 AM / 12 PM

You know William Utermohlen? The artist who very tragically and famously painted a series of progressively more confused self-portraits depicting his gradual descent into Alzheimer’s and his growing inability to recognize himself, his work, and the things he loved?

I’ve just been thinking about that a lot lately, for some reason. Anyway, two weeks after Conor McGregor’s Welterweight comeback fight that ended in hilarious disgrace and one week after Kamaru Usman got a top-ranked Middleweight fight that concluded equally pointlessly here’s a card built around a de facto Light Heavyweight title eliminator featuring one guy who was the world champion one fight ago and one guy with just one ranked win and a draw in his last fight.

MAIN EVENT: AAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHH
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Magomed Ankalaev (21-2-1 (1), #1) vs Bogdan Guskov (18-3-1, #9)

I’ve been staring at the blinking caret on this paragraph header for two hours because talking about this fight is like trying to describe the sound a body makes when it falls off the back of a truck into an unkept interstate thicket.

Up until about a week and a half ago, this fight was just the normal sort of bad. If you’ve read these articles you already know the story, but let’s recap it in a blurb: The UFC spent years keeping Magomed Ankalaev away from Alex Pereira because Alex was their meal ticket and Ankalaev was a dangerous #1 contender, they finally ran out of road and put them in the cage together, Ankalaev took Pereira’s title, Alex presaged his current situation by complaining about being injured, the UFC gave him an instant rematch, he mauled Ankalaev in eighty seconds, Ankalaev noted that he, too, was injured and they should have a rubber match, and the UFC/the entire world laughed at him and then Alex moved on to getting rabbit-punched by a scab in front of the White House.

Magomed was supposed to fight former title contender Khalil Rountree Jr. here. I was already crotchety about this, because Khalil is the guy they surfed to contention on the back of a victory over a near-retirement Anthony Smith in a blatant attempt to keep Ankalaev away from the belt, but Khalil was ranked relatively high and Light Heavyweight is a tire fire where Ankalaev’s only other adjacently-ranked options were a just-knocked-out Jiří Procházka or Paulo fucking Costa, so: Fuck it. Fine. I was willing to grit my teeth and admit that this was the best they could do, even if that was their own fucking fault.

But last week, Khalil Rountree Jr. got injured. This left the UFC in a pickle. Fortunately, Jan Błachowicz and Bogdan Guskov were scheduled for a fight on the UFC’s card in Serbia next week, in an attempt to get Jan out of the rankings once and for allrun back the majority draw they went to last December, but that means Jan was fresh and available. It even made perfect sense as a fight. Jan’s the #4-ranked man in the division, he’s a former world champion, and he and Ankalaev also have unfinished business--back in 2022 they fought for the then-vacant title and it ended in a controversial split draw.

The two highest-ranked available fighters, and they’re both former champions and multiple-time main event talents, and they have a built-in backstory to finish. It’s rare that the universe gives you a better replacement fight than the original would’ve been, but the gods of combat smiled on the UFC and sent them a gift.

So anyway, Jan’s fighting the unranked Navajo Stirling next week. Ank’s got Bogdan.

Here, unabridged, is Bogdan Guskov’s entire UFC career:

• Gets mauled in one round by Volkan Oezdemir

• Knocks out The Ultimate Fighter 30 (jesus christ) runner-up (jesus christ) Zac Pauga, who is cut after the fight for being 1-3

• Knocks out Ryan Spann, who is best summed up by the fact that the aforementioned retiring Anthony Smith only managed to beat three men in the last four years of his career and Ryan was two of them

• Chokes out Billy Elekana, a man who is 3-1 in the UFC and has yet to beat anyone with a winning record

• Knocks out Nikita Krylov, who had just been knocked out by Dominick Reyes barely three months prior

• Goes to a draw with Jan Błachowicz, who, despite all of the nice things I just said about him, is 43 years old and has one win in the last five and a half years and it happened because Aleksandar Rakić’s leg imploded in mid-fight

Like, fuck, man. This division! This fucking division! I really don’t like being negative to the point of histrionics about mixed martial arts, but oh my fucking god, Light Heavyweight is garbage. Light Heavyweight is so goddamn bad that Alex Pereira just fought at Heavyweight, and has reiterated his intention to never, ever come back, and he’s still ranked #3. Jamahal Hill, Johnny Walker and Aleksandar Rakić are joining him at 265. Volkan Oezdemir is out of action after getting busted for using EPO. Paulo Costa is a fight away from a title shot. Robert Whittaker, who spent the last five years getting repeatedly knocked around at Middleweight, is now a top fifteen Light Heavyweight after knocking out Nikita Krylov, who is, coincidentally, Bogdan Guskov’s best fucking win and the only thing keeping him ranked.

There are two matchups scheduled for the entire ranked roster, and this is one of them, and the other is Jan/Stirling, which means Stirling is going from beating up Bruno Lopes and fighting tooth and nail to beat the 9-11-1 (1) Ion Cuțelaba to fighting a former world champion for a berth in the top five. The company’s biggest, deepest hopes for the future of this division lay in Bogdan Guskov knocking out Ankalaev and that somehow making him a star despite their putting absolutely no effort into any of it.

And whoever wins this fight is the top contender to a champion whose injury status still isn’t clear, and the leader of a top ten that only contains one active fighter coming off of a win.

Burn the estate. Salt the Earth. Disband Light Heavyweight like they disbanded Lightweight back in 2003 and just give it a few years off to see if anything good happens or if we can all learn to live without Frank Shamrock’s division. MAGOMED ANKALAEV BY TKO.

CO-MAIN EVENT: THE WAY THE OTHER SIDE LIVES
FLYWEIGHT: Steve Erceg (14-4, #10) vs Ramazan Temirov (19-2, NR)

You think you can just mollify me by throwing a Flyweight fight at me right after all of that bullshit, Mick Maynard? Do you really think I’m that easy? Honestly, you’re probably right. Once upon a time I would’ve held a bit of loathing in my heart for this matchup thanks to the presence of Steve Erceg, but I think he’s officially off my shitlist.

Which is probably overdue. I have said it before, I will say it again: My problems with Steve Erceg had nothing to do with Steve Erceg. He is and has always been a perfectly fine fighter. His boxing is sharp and fluid, his wrestling is underrated in the annals of the division, and by all accounts he seems like an entirely inobtrusive personality. He’s a fine young man with an acceptable head of hair.

The problem is not Steve. The problem is Steve knocked out Matt Schnell once and the matchmakers lost their shit about an Australian Flyweight with punching power and refused to ever let him go. Despite being ranked #10, Steve got a shot at Alexandre Pantoja’s world title. Despite losing, he followed it up with a title eliminator against Kai Kara-France. Despite getting flattened in four minutes, his next fight was a main event against the #2-ranked Brandon Moreno, and despite having lost twice in a row, Erceg went up in the rankings.

It was an exceedingly blunt marketing push and it killed Erceg’s momentum. He went from a rising prospect to a three-time loser who’d been so effectively boxed out of the title picture that despite being featured on main cards for his last six straight fights, no one’s really talking about him as a relevant Flyweight anymore. He’s being booked and winning on broadcasts, but it’s against folks like Ode’ Osbourne and Tim Elliott--solid fighters that no one really pays heed to.

Which is what tends to happen when the UFC wants to keep one of their old projects vital. They don’t turf them, but they don’t give them room to maneuver, either. They get matchmade into stasis, so the UFC can one day cash in on them.

Steve: The day has come. After a career spent as the favored Australian, you’re fighting in Abu Dhabi against an Uzbekistani man whose name ends in -V. The matchmakers spent the last season planting and watering you, and now they have come for their harvest.

Which is good, because Ramazan Temirov kind of needs the boost. When he popped into the UFC in late 2024 he had a fair bit of hype as one of the better international Flyweight prospects the world had to offer. No losses since 2019, a whole bunch of knockout highlights from Kazakhstani organizations that you could find on Dailymotion with titles like SPIN KICK MASTER, he had everything except a win in a global league.

It didn’t come from the UFC, either. In 2023, Japan’s Rizin gave Temirov a shot at their favorite kind of matchup--the scary, unfamiliar foreigner against the canny local veteran--by putting him up against Takaki Soya. Soya had more than a decade of experience under his belt, he’d been a standout in Shooto, the actual oldest extant MMA organization in the world, and he had a reputation for being a tough out for anyone. The only man to stop him since his rookie years was a multiple-time Pancrase champion with a dozen knockouts under his belt, and it still took him three rounds.

Ramazan dusted Soya in three minutes. He never fought for Rizin again. The UFC signed him away, and in 2024 he hopped into the cage and repeated his performance by meeting the tough-as-nails CJ Vergara and becoming the only man to ever knock him out--once again, in just about three minutes. Five months later Temirov met Charles Johnson, at the time on a four-fight winning streak that included crushing future champion Joshua Van, and ended his winning streak with a decision loss. Five months, two wins, and Ramazan had all the momentum in the world on his side.

And then he failed a drug test and became a sacrificial lamb for the UFC’s need to pretend it still has a legitimate drug testing program.

It’s been a year and a half. Ramazan has served his time. The UFC wants him back on track, and they’re willing to sacrifice their Australian marketing darling to do it.

But it’s going to take a fucking scrap to get it done. Steve’s only been stopped once in his entire career, and it took Kai, one of the single hardest punchers in the history of the Flyweight division, to do it. And even Kai was gifted with long-ass arms that saw him actually outrange Erceg despite being visibly shorter than him. Ramazan is both the shorter man and fighting with an almost half-foot reach disadvantage. He’s going to have to tank Erceg’s traditionally sharp jabs to get into range enough to land one of his spinning kicks or big hooks.

I am choosing to have faith that he’ll get there. RAMAZAN TEMIROV BY TKO.

MAIN CARD: VIOLENTLY BACKPEDALING
WELTERWEIGHT: Islam Dulatov (12-1) vs Wellington Turman (18-8)

Here, we have your scheduled murder of the week. If you have a particularly good memory, you’ll recall Islam Dulatov as a fairly well-hyped Contender Series debutant last July. He hadn’t lost a fight since his very first outing back in 2019, he’d made a solid name for himself by picking up wins in organizations like BRAVE and OKTAGON, and he was benefitting greatly from possessing the best gimmick you can have as a mixed martial artist, the “What if I just destroy everyone and never lose” Hardcore Holly special. (Unfortunately, he also has the currently popular ‘what if I say a lot of antisemitic shit and also think vaccines are the devil and QAnon is great’ gimmick.) He showed up, he punched the shit out of an exceedingly digestible target in Adam Fugitt, and then he decided to fuck off for an entire year.

The UFC would like to keep the train running, because of all the people they could have matched him up with for his return, they picked Wellington Turman. Wellington is on a three-fight losing streak. He hasn’t competed since 2023, when he was choked out by Jared Gooden, who was released one fight later after repeatedly botching his weight cut and losing. Wellington is two for his last seven, which conveniently goes back seven entire-ass years, and said two victories came against Misha Cirkunov, who retired one fight later on a massive losing streak, and Sam fucking Alvey, one of the losingest men in UFC history, whom Turman only beat by split decision on account of losing multiple points for poking Alvey in the eye.

It is hard to get more blatant than this. ISLAM DULATOV BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Magomed Zaynukov (8-0) vs Damian Rzepecki (10-0)

I’m not sure that there is a better testament to the current age of the sport than this. Magomed Zaynukov is an undefeated fighter, a UAE Warriors veteran, a Contender Series winner and yet another soldier in the endless Dagestani wrestling army. Nobody knows him for any of these things. He is not here because of any of those things. He is here because Islam Makhachev said his nickname in an interview, and because of his accent, people thought instead of “Chanco” Islam said “John Pork,” like the fucking meme, and now that’s his identity. If you search for his name you will find perfunctory results, but if you search for “John Pork MMA” you will find twice as many articles, all of which also include how much he and his team really hate the nickname.

But that’s maybe less unfortunate than being Damian Rzepecki, who is also undefeated, and also a top international prospect, and a Lightweight champion in his native Poland thanks to his tendency to punch his opponents in the liver until they stop being able to stand up and/or process toxins, and after ten straight wins he’s accomplished enough that the UFC signed him without even sending him to DWCS first. But they did it because they wanted John Pork on the card. Imagine that you have spent your entire adult life singlemindedly dedicated to mixed martial arts, and you finally get the call up to the big show, and it’s just because you’re a convenient target for a guy who’s popular because he makes people think of a virtual pig-man.

We get the sport we deserve. I kinda want an upset. DAMIAN RZEPECKI BY TKO.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Rizvan Kuniev (14-3-1 (1), #8) vs Tyrell Fortune (18-3, #9)

Okay. Lemme make sure I have this all correct. The UFC signed Rizvan Kuniev, former Eagle FC champ and PFL steroid enthusiast, and spent half a year trying to repeatedly book him into a debut fight against the #5-ranked Curtis Blaydes. When Kuniev lost, they tried to bump him allllll the way down to the entirely irrelevant Ryan Spann, and when Spann couldn’t make it, they decided to give Kuniev the #6-ranked Jailton Almeida instead. And Kuniev won! For which they immediately fired Almeida. Despite being the #6-ranked man in the world, and despite that man not even being in the UFC anymore and thus a big ol’ opening being right there, Kuniev is #8.

And despite being a top-six contender, Kuniev is now fighting Tyrell Fortune. Fortune, you may recall, went from fighting Oklahoma City’s Dennis brothers, the 22-13 Myron and the 9-7 Demoreo, and the 52 year-old 65-34 (1) Tony Lopez sandwiched between them, to getting called up to the UFC for a top ten bout against Marcin Tybura. And, hey, it’s Heavyweight, so Fortune won! He took a 29-28 and became a ranked fighter and got that sweet, sweet, minimum wage contract, and in exchange, the UFC booked him into an adjacently-ranked fight as a big underdog against a big Dagestani grappler in Abu Dhabi.

Matchmaking department: What are you doing. What are you doing with this entire division. You’ve spent years antagonizing Tom Aspinall even though he’s a star, you tried to put all your eggs in the Alex Pereira basket again and then Ciryl Gane scrambled them, you are constantly shitting all over two very good top contenders in Alexander Volkov and Sergei Pavlovich while pushing Josh Hokit to the moon, you are having the entire world fight Curtis Blaydes in an attempt to suck the marrow out of his bones, Serghei Spivac is ranked and winning so you have him fighting an unranked Vitor Petrino, Valter Walker is on a submission streak so he’s down here on the prelims against Thomas fucking Petersen, and after repeatedly trying to force Rizvan Kuniev through the square hole you finally, finally succeeded, and you’re celebrating by pushing him down the rankings for a fight with zero stakes or purpose.

In other words: You are booking Heavyweight with the exact amount of respect it deserves. Don’t change a thing, you’re doing great. RIZVAN KUNIEV BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Abubakar Vagaev (24-4) vs Saygid Izagakhmaev (22-3)

This is probably going to rule. There’s one major MMA promotion ruling the roost in Russia, and that’s Absolute Championship Akhmat, the only company big enough to promote regular events and attract international talent. Abubakar Vagaev’s been its Welterweight champion twice, which not only puts him in the rare position of holding one of the precious few international titles left with a lot of credibility, but means he’s had the chance to fight folks like Michel Pereira and ol’ Trator Prazeres and Yasubey Enomoto and Albert Tumenov, people who were moderately to fairly successful in the big leagues. He beat all of them. This was, funnily enough, originally supposed to be an ersatz champion-vs-champion ACA fight--Vagaev, who gave up his 170-pound belt for a shot in the UFC, was going to welcome ACA Middleweight champion Magomedrasul Gasanov, himself a mega-prospect.

But Gasanov couldn’t make it, and for once, the UFC found a really solid replacement. We wrote about Saygid Izagakhmaev during his UFC debut back in November--he was the Eagle FC fighter turned ONE Championship contender who’d turned heads by flattening living-if-aging legend Shinya Aoki in under ninety seconds, and all of those heads proceeded to get stuck with horrible neck problems, as ONE proceeded to ice Saygid for two and a half goddamn years of his athletic prime before finally letting him go in 2025. He stopped over in Karate Combat for a donut, he made it to the UFC, he fought the undying enigma that is Nicolas Dalby, and Dalby managed to exhaust him and scrape away a split decision.

Hopefully, Saygid has learned to pace himself better and navigate the realities of his gas tank. Realistically? ABUBAKAR VAGAEV BY DECISION.

PRELIMS: LARGE MEN OF SHAME
HEAVYWEIGHT: Valter Walker (15-1, #13) vs Thomas Petersen (11-4, NR)

In the current mire of the large-man no man’s land, Valter Walker should be getting a place of honor. The Heavyweight landscape lacks people who can manage persistent success: Valter has four straight first-round finishes. Heavyweight struggles to find effective grapplers: Valter’s submitted everyone he’s beaten in the company. In a time where the product is glutted with meaninglessness, historically notable achievements are harder to find than ever: Before Valter there were three heel hook submissions in the entire history of the UFC’s Heavyweight division, and now Valter has four. In just under two years, he has outstripped the nearly thirty-year history of the regulated weight class. He’s funny. He’s memorable. He comes to weigh-ins wearing a necklace made of a decapitated foot. You could push this man to the moon. He is instead risking his winning streak on the Abu Dhabi prelims in a timeslot no one will be watching against Thomas Petersen, a man who cannot string together two wins or losses, just barely survived a run-in with Guilherme Pat three months ago, and is more likely, when named, to make people think you are talking about Tom Goes to the Mayor rather than mixed martial arts.

There is no order. There is no reason. Feet must be removed until no one can run any longer. VALTER WALKER BY SUBMISSION.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Dustin Jacoby (22-9-1) vs Muhammad Said (9-0)

Y’know what? This too, actually. This is also a thing that sucks. Dustin Jacoby is one of the 205-pound division’s best gatekeepers. He’s a very reliable knockout artist, he’s always an interesting challenge, and he has so much credibility for both that Dominick Reyes dropping him--Dustin’s first stoppage loss in the UFC after six goddamn years--singlehandedly made Dom a relevant fighter again. And Dustin’s knocked three motherfuckers out since then! Hell, Dustin dusted Vitor Petrino and now Vitor’s about to fight for a top ten berth at Heavyweight! In a division as completely hosed as Light Heavyweight you could be doing a lot with a Dustin Jacoby. Instead he’s down here fighting Muhammad Said, a UAE Warriors prospect who’s been subsisting on a diet of aging jobbers and can-crushers who rush at him with their heads completely still and then get very confused when he punches them. Said’s been waiting patiently for the next time the UFC needs a guy who knocks people out for a show in the UAE.

So congrats on getting here, I guess. If you win I’ll never forgive you. DUSTIN JACOBY BY TKO.

WELTERWEIGHT: Santiago Ponzinibbio (30-9) vs Sam Patterson (14-3-1)

This is a big part of why I complain so much about the matchmaking these days. The institution of marketing favorites getting preferential treatment is neither new nor shocking. If you went to a Boston library’s microfiche department I’m sure you could find newspapers complaining about promoters letting Gentleman Jim duck a rematch with Peter Jackson. While I would prefer a perfectly even promotional playing field, I am not so foolish as to think such a thing does, or even could, exist. But even the attempts to promote specific guys these days are so often batshit that I don’t really know what the UFC is trying to get out of them anymore. They fell in love with Sam Patterson’s tall-ass habit of gangling about, and they made a big deal out of him, and then he got smashed in his debut. It happens! They proceeded to feed him a diet of digestible opponents for two straight years, and having proven himself capable of dispatching people like Kiefer Crosbie, the UFC threw him into a main-card mid-London fight with Michael “Venom” Page, one of the trickiest, weirdest and yet most successful fighters in the sport, a man who damn near beat Ian Machado Garry. Patterson, shockingly, did not win. And now they’re trying to rehabilitate him by having him fight Santiago Ponzinibbio, who is almost solely losing these days, looking worse every time we see him and a couple months away from crossing 40, but they’re doing it buried halfway through the prelims in Abu fucking Dhabi.

Like, have a plan. Have a goddamn plan! That is all I ask of you. SAM PATTERSON BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Ismael Bonfim (20-6) vs Axel Sola (11-1-1)

Once upon a time, the Bonfim Brothers were the future of mixed martial arts. Within just a few months, they both suffered their first UFC losses. Gabriel got knocked out by our earlier-mentioned enigma, Nicolas Dalby; Ismael was trounced and choked out by future gatekeeper Benoît Saint Denis. In the three years since, Gabriel has beaten everyone in front of him--including kind of a screwy decision over Stephen Thompson, but judges have always hated Wonderboy, so that goes with the territory--and now he’s beaten a former champion and he’s a fight away from the title. Ismael has badly botched his weight cut twice and spent 2025 getting his face broken by Nazim Sadykhov and his head dribbled off the canvas by Chris “Taco” Padilla. The trajectory is deeply unfortunate for his future, and the UFC is hedging their bets on whether said future still exists by giving Axel Sola the chance to take away the last vestiges of his hype. Axel came into the UFC with some legitimate international-prospect hype as the reigning king of France’s ARES Fighting Championship, I doubted him by saying his tendency to rush headfirst into punches while aggressively wrestling would cost him against Rhys McKee, he knocked McKee out, they promptly booked Sola against Mason Jones in London, I chose to doubt again, and this time, I was correct. Sola’s no longer undefeated, and he’s real mad about it.

He will probably get to take that rage out here. I really hope Ismael’s fixed whatever’s been dragging him down for the last three years, because if he comes in as half-assed as he’s been lately, Sola’s going to crush him. AXEL SOLA BY TKO.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Brendson Ribeiro (17-10) vs Magomed Tuchalov (6-0)

Into every card at least one -600 favorite slaughter must fall, and if you have ever watched mixed martial arts, you cannot be surprised that it’s some guy named Magomed. Brendson Ribeiro was supposed to be a big Contender Series punchman who would be the king of vaguely large men, but he discovered too late that his true love was not punching, but being punched, as consenting adults are wont to do. Unfortunately it also means he’s 2-5 and on a three-fight winning streak and about to go reclaim his title in Shooto Brasil. Magomed Tuchalov is the bigger, angrier, undefeatedier man who has mostly spent his career brutally destroying rookies--which is fine, because he, too, was a rookie. In this specific case, though? One of Brendson’s two UFC wins came against Caio Machado. It was a razor-close coinflip of a split decision, it was Caio’s third loss in the company, it made him a clean 0-3, and he was fired immediately after. Five regional wins later, Caio, the man who so very nearly beat Brendson, fought Magomed Tuchalov and got torched by a right hook in two minutes.

Godspeed, Brendson. May Shooto be bright. MAGOMED TUCHALOV BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: Nurullo Aliev (11-0) vs Mike Davis (12-3)

We touched on Mike Davis last week vis-a-vis the tragic injustice of Chase Hooper and Mitch Ramirez getting a big main card matchup despite having both gotten violently trounced in their last fights by people who were booked much less prominently or not booked at all. Davis crushed Ramirez! Wadded him up and threw him in the damn trash. And his reward is an underdog bout against an undefeated Middle Eastern standout in Abu Dhabi. Nurullo Aliev’s been signed to the UFC for damn near four years, but a bad leg injury meant almost half of that time was spent on the shelf. He only just came back in 2025, he beat the decidedly unsuccessful Joe Solecki and he got a comedy matchup against the genuinely inexplicable Shem Rock, and now he is here to hopefully beat someone who is actually relevant.

And I really wanna see what happens to the crowd if one of their guys loses right off the bat because Davis is actually pretty good at everything. MIKE DAVIS BY DECISION.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Abdul Hussein (15-2) vs Cody Gibson (21-12)

I try--maybe not as hard as I should--to not fall into the trap of making fun of goofy fighter names. Not only is it too easy, it’s essentially impossible to avoid falling into quasi-racist traps by just thinking names from other cultures are funny. But when I looked up Abdul Hussein to do my usual tape research, the very first fight that came up was Hussein’s first-round submission victory over the former Flyweight champion of South Africa, Gift Walker. Gift mostly stood in front of Abdul and got kicked in the leg a bunch en route to getting choked out off of a really bad takedown attempt, and it was a reminder that a) even in the sliding scale of regional skill, 125 and 135 are still divisions you have to be at least pretty athletic and dangerous to exist at, and b) I am but a human, and if you put a man named Gift Walker in front of me, I am going to chortle and feel bad about it.

Anyway Cody mostly loses and he’s probably going to lose this one too, but it’d be really funny if he didn’t and we need every Cody we can get, so CODY GIBSON BY DECISION.

SATURDAY, JULY 18 FROM THE PAYCOM CENTER IN OKLAHOMA CITY
PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | MAIN CARD 6 PM / 9 PM

We’re not currently thriving, my friends.

The central point of the UFC’s existence is, in theory, the promotion of the best mixed martial arts fighters and the best mixed martial arts fights on the planet. You put up with all of their evil bullshit because, at the end of the day, they will give you big main events with the top fighters the sport has to offer.

Including this week, our next four UFC main events are:

• Dricus du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman for top contendership at Middleweight, where Usman is 0-1

• Magomed Ankalaev, former champion and the main who beat Alex Pereira, vs Khalil Rountree Jr., whose last three wins were Jamahal Hill, Anthony Smith and Chris Daukaus

• Uroš Medić vs Daniel Rodriguez, because they’re in Serbia and Medić is Serbian

• Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld in the fucking Apex

UPDATE: It got worse! Between writing this and publishing it, Khalil Rountree Jr. dropped out with an injury and next week’s main event is now Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov. Everything is terrible. We are in the dead of Summer and we must travel the desert before we reach the light of Islam in mid-August. Come survive with me.

MAIN EVENT: HOW CAN WE MAKE THINGS MATTER LESS
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Dricus du Plessis (23-3, #2) vs Kamaru Usman (21-4, #9 at Welterweight)

I’m so tired of writing these.

Not write-ups. Somehow, impossibly, I have not yet burned out on big, silly essays about our fake sport. I am tired of writing some variant of ‘here’s why this match is an active drag on matchmaking and represents a further movement towards nothing mattering’ three times a month. We just finished watching mixed martial arts fully and wholly debase itself by circling the wagons around Conor McGregor and celebrate his grand return to the sport after forty years spent wandering through the twin deserts of sex abuse and bigotry, and its reward for giving up its last shreds of credibility was ten seconds of an angry Irishman breaking his own leg while trying to pretend he was still in his twenties.

Things Don’t Matter right now. In three decades of watching this sport I would be hard-pressed to think of a time in mixed martial arts when things Mattered less than they presently do, and when I say that, I am including memories of Murilo Bustamante having to submit Matt Lindland twice because after the first time Lindland said “nuh uh,” and Nate Quarry randomly getting a world championship bout because he knocked out no less than Pete “Drago” Sell, and Vitor Belfort somehow being allowed to compete despite very visibly having every known steroid in the world fighting to burst out of his veins, and Michael Bisping bypassing all of his relevant contenders in favor of defending his title against a seventy-eight year-old Dan Henderson, and if you haven’t yet picked up on the pattern, it’s that Middleweight has always been the most frustrating division in the fucking world.

It’s not the worst division! That’s Light Heavyweight. But it is, perpetually, the most annoying. The aforementioned Murilo Bustamante left to go get boned out of decisions in Pride. Anderson Silva was the best mixed martial artist in the world and he would occasionally prove it by winning fights through interpretive dance. Chris Weidman went from the biggest new star in the sport to losing his belt because he crossed 30 and decided after a lifetime of using his knees for wrestling it was time to start throwing spinning wheel kicks. Bisping won the belt in a short-notice match against a man who’d beaten him before, refused a rubber match, and lost the belt to a retired Georges St-Pierre, who promptly re-retired because his colon was dying. Robert Whittaker has zero title defenses because Yoel Romero couldn’t make weight. Yoel Romero exists.

185 has always been the division that most commonly defies the concept of purpose. It asks you to care, then it spits in your eye and makes fun of your sexuality through obscure terminology that only makes sense if you understand the intricacies of Brazilian class struggle*. It tells you to get emotionally invested in contenders, then spurns them in favor of random fighters chosen by a hidden conclave of men in suits who took the auspices and decided Marvin Vettori was In this year.

_{*This happened.}

We already complained about all of this just two months ago, of course. I lamented the way Nassourdine Imavov had been passed over for a shot at then-grand poobah Khamzat Chimaev in favor of Sean Strickland, and because the arc of the present bends towards assholes, Sean is, once again, world champion. Which should be fantastic news for Dricus du Plessis! He beat Sean twice already, so, clearly, he should be the logical choice for the next shot at the belt.

But back in May, I had to break fellow co-writer Jess’s heart by letting her know about the latest matchmaking rumors.

Carl: But then, this is Middleweight, where the guy we both agree to be #3 hasn’t fought in almost a year for no apparent reason and, if rumors are true, his next bout will be Kamaru Usman. This is a division where Kamaru Usman could be 1-1 as a Middleweight and also the #2 contender to its title. Rhyme nor reason have purchase here, this is simply a Place where things Happen and we must hide in the storm cellar until they tell us who the new Anderson Silva is this time.

Jess: I was unaware of that Dricus/Kamaru matchup rumor. I would like to lay down, now.

The baffling thing here is you could have easily run du Plessis/Imavov and had an extremely natural, internationally-relevant #1 contender. And you could have done that at any point in the last year! Imavov hasn’t been booked to fight since he beat Caio Borralho back in September, DDP hasn’t been on the docket since losing the belt to Khamzat one month before that, your two former champ and your top contender have both been sitting idle for an entire season.

And that’s still better than Kamaru Usman, who is proceeding to a top contendership bout despite having one victory in the last five years, and said victory was already thirteen months ago, and it was at Welterweight.

For most of the last decade the UFC beat the marketing drum about Usman being arguably the best Welterweight of all time, having eclipsed Georges St-Pierre on the back of an eight-year unbeaten streak. It was, to be clear, a hell of a streak! In his prime Usman was a Terminator of a champion, a technically sound wrestler with an unending gas tank, a piston of a jab, and enough power in his back hand to surprise you every once in awhile by knocking Jorge Masvidal cold or breaking Colby Covington’s jaw.

Unfortunately, he had a lot of opportunities to do it, because the UFC booked his five-fight title reign to be dominated by rematches. He beat Colby twice, he beat Jorge twice, and sandwiched between them he knocked out poor Gilbert Burns, and at the apex of his success, as everyone was talking up his double-champion prospects, he fell apart. He lost his title to a last-minute Leon Edwards leg upside the head in 2022, he much more comprehensively lost the rematch that following March, he took half a year off, moved up to 185 pounds on short notice to fight Khamzat Chimaev, did better than anyone expected, still lost, and vanished for a year and a half.

Last June was everyone’s last Kamaru Usman sighting. He showed up to fight Joaquin Buckley in a matchup widely seen as the UFC attempting to force a passing of the torch from an old, falling, expensive star to a new, rising, cheap contender, and Usman proceeded to remind everyone why he reigned for so long, practically grinding Buckley into dust in the first round and running the table on him right up until the fifth. Usman walked away with his first win in half a decade, he regained his place as a relevant Welterweight contender, and he opened up all sorts of conversations about where he fit into the deeply crowded, talent-rich top ten of the division.

So he is, of course, leaving for Middleweight, where he already lost to the man who just lost the title.

That’s the funniest part of this whole thing. This is, technically, a fight between two men who’ve both already beaten the champion. Dricus famously took Strickland’s title and defended it against him with ease, but Usman less famously dominated a then-Welterweight Strickland back in 2017 to the tune of multiple judges giving him a 10-8 after he broke Sean’s face and dropped him on his ass. There’s an argument to be made that this fight makes sense, given that either man has an argument to be favored over the champion. It’s just, y’know, one of them beat him twice in very recent history and the other did it back when Charlie Rose was still on the air.

It also falls a bit flat when you remember that both men also got beat by Khamzat in equally recent history. So whoever wins, they beat the champion but lost to the guy the champion beat, and either way Nassourdine Imavov, the only top contender that hasn’t gotten a shot at the belt, is twiddling his thumbs.

But everything’s currently as silly as it can possibly be, so fuck it, whatever. Have Usman fight Dricus. Why the hell not. They’re practically the same size and Usman probably only has another couple fights in him and it’s not like Middleweight isn’t built on a foundation of lies, so as long as everything’s already stupid, why not make it stupid in another, stupider way. And y’know what? I’m gonna pick Usman, too. Is it an enlightened, strategically thought-out choice? Not even a little. Dricus is an energy gremlin and Usman was getting winded just dominating Buckley and there’s a very good chance he won’t be able to wrestle Dricus as well as he has everyone else. I think, realistically, this is Usman trying to pace Dricus behind his jab and hunt for good takedown entries and every time he tries Dricus will make him work so hard for it that by the midway point of the fight Usman’s going to be getting tired and Dricus is going to club him until he falls over.

And I’m picking Usman anyway, because a) he’s still very, very good, and more importantly, b) that’s the dumbest thing that could possibly happen, which makes it much more likely. KAMARU USMAN BY DECISION.

CO-MAIN EVENT: THE RETIREMENT PLAN
MIDDLEWEIGHT: Jared Cannonier (18-9, #11) vs Christian Leroy Duncan (14-2, #13)

You know what we need after all of that? More Middleweights who are all fighting in one big circle.

On one side of this equation you have Jared Cannonier. Big puncher. Loves crystals. His management took away the keys to his social media several years ago because he wouldn’t stop posting crazy conspiracy shit, which, honestly, way to have your finger off the pulse of the sport. Jared’s had a really rough go of it, he’s 1 for 4 in the past three years, and the sole win keeping him afloat was a vicious knockout over Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues just a year and a half ago.

Christian Leroy Duncan was a Cage Warriors champion who was supposed to coast into title contention on an undefeated record and British boxing power, but he found things more difficult than anticipated. His ship eventually got righted and he’s now on a four-fight winning streak that saw him knock out Eryk Anders and take a decision over Roman Dolidze, but he’s still dogged by his only loss in his past seven outings, which came against Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues just two years ago.

If you’re good at keeping a calendar in your head, you will have already surmised that those fights came back to back. Robocop beat Duncan in July of 2024, and in so doing earned his shot at Jared in February of 2025, and promptly got his head bashed in for it. There is a direct, 1:1 connection between both of these performances and what can be surmised about their respective competitors. So why are we still here?

Well, mostly, it’s because they really want Jared to go away.

Seriously, they’ve been throwing prospects they’d like to get boosts at Jared Cannonier for years. The UFC was already talking about Jared being long in the tooth and facing the twilight of his career when he got his title shot at Israel Adesanya because he was already in his late thirties, and that was four goddamn years ago. Since then, in order, he has:

• Beaten Sean Strickland, which Sean still complains about to this day

• Beaten Marvin Vettori, which was impressive, at the time

• Lost to Nassourdine Imavov in a really wonky stoppage, but he was losing anyway

• Lost to Caio Borralho in a fight that probably SHOULD have been stopped, but wasn’t

• Knocked the fuck out of Gregory Rodrigues

• Stood there in confusion while Michael “Venom” Page waved his hands at him for fifteen minutes, which constituted losing a decision

For better or worse, that’s a lot of fucking top contenders. How about Duncan? What’re his last six fights like?

• Knocked out Cláudio Ribeiro, who was cut immediately after for being 1-3

• Lost to Robocop

• Got a decision over Andrey Pulyaev, who is currently 1-3

• Knocked out Eryk Anders, whose last wins were a crippled Chris Weidman and the five-fight-losing-streak-laden Jamie Pickett

• Knocked out Marco Tulio, who is currently 2-2

• Decisioned Roman Dolidze, whose entire career is a confusing morass of looking persistently middling

In other words: Jared has been persistently fighting top competition, and Duncan has been getting gently nudged up the ladder in the hopes that by the time he gets to guys like, say, Jared Cannonier, he’ll be ready to feast on their aging bones. Even this fight, itself, isn’t dissimilar. He’s not rematching Robocop, he’s not defending his spot against Ikram Aliskerov. And it’s not like the UFC is shy about pushing it! They just gave Edmen fucking Shahbazyan an abrupt shot at the top five! If they thought he could handle it, they’d have Duncan fighting Reinier de Ridder.

But he’s facing 42 year-old, one-win-in-recent-memory Jared Cannonier, because they want Jared out of the damn way, and each time he shows up he looks just a bit creakier and just a bit more exhausted and just a bit less happy to be there. They launched Imavov off of him and they’re hoping they’ll get Duncan there too.

So I’m rooting for one last big uppercut. JARED CANNONIER BY TKO.

MAIN CARD: THE TRAVELING APEX
LIGHTWEIGHT: Chase Hooper (16-5-1) vs Mitch Ramirez (8-3)

This is just funny. Both of these men are on losing streaks--violent losing streaks. Two fights ago Chase Hooper got knocked out by Alexander Hernandez; one fight ago it was Lance Gibson Jr. kneeing him to death. For Mitch Ramirez, it was a leg kick TKO to Thiago Moisés followed by just getting flattened by Mike Davis last July.

Alexander Hernandez was thrown right back into the Apex. Mike Davis is on the early prelims in Abu Dhabi next week being served up to the undefeated Nurullo Aliev on a silver platter. Lance Gibson Jr. is not currently booked at all. Thiago Moisés got fired.

Chase Hooper is on the main card of a road show just under the co-main event as a -375 favorite against a man who’s 0-2 in the company after almost three years under contract.

As of this December we’re going to be in year 8 of Chase Hooper in the UFC. He’s not the literal teenager they were hoping to sport as their star prodigy anymore, he is a grown man who can legally rent cars. For eight god damned years they have built him with softballs like Nick Fiore and ancient, retiring Clay Guida only to tentatively put him in the cage with real competition, and every time, he’s gotten fucking thrashed. We’re not talking about close scrapes or fights that prove how competitive he can be with his fellow prospects. Every time in the last five years they’ve put Chase in there with someone who has even the faint chance of divisional relevance, he’s gotten knocked out in the first round.

But he’s a marketing favorite and they refuse to let go, so we’re going to do it all over again. CHASE HOOPER BY DECISION, and I look forward to writing that again in five months when he gets booked against the 0-3 Alex Reyes, and then, maybe, they’ll take the chance of booking him against Kyle Nelson or something and he’ll unfortunately get smashed all over again.

WOMEN’S STRAWWEIGHT: Tabatha Ricci (12-4, #8) vs Fatima Kline (9-1, #11)

Tabatha Ricci, welcome to the back half of the equation. For the last three years, Tabatha has been eating a steady diet of older, more-established fighters on a downward trajectory--Tecia Pennington, Angela Hill, Amanda Ribas--in an attempt to keep her afloat as a potential contender given her bad habit of getting beaten by actual contenders. Loopy Godinez outworked her, Xiaonan Yan outstruck her, and just three months ago the UFC begged Tabatha to rid them of persistent top contender and grappling bugbear Virna Jandiroba, and once again, Tabatha failed. Women’s Strawweight is not an enormous division, it is easy to re-entrench yourself with one or two good wins as long as the UFC cares about you, but when you are hired to carry out a hit and you fail, the Family exacts consequences.

In this case, those consequences include falling into the ‘aging, troubled veteran being changed out for a younger model’ trap that once lifted you into the top ten. These two women even share an origin story. Ricci and Kline were both successful, undefeated Strawweight prospects before the UFC called them up on short notice to fill in at a higher weight class, where they were promptly thrashed by a bigger, stronger woman. For Tabatha it was Manon Fiorot; for Fatima, it was Jasmine Jasudavicius. Kline’s return to her proper weight class has worked out much better. She pounded out Victoria Dudakova, she outright knocked out Melissa Martinez, and just one fight ago she completed the Strawweight entrance exam by beating Angela Hill. She was supposed to get her own shot at Amanda Ribas here, but Ribas couldn’t make it, and Ricci’s the veteran in need of a win now.

I don’t think she’ll find it here. Kline’s game isn’t without issues, she’s got vulnerabilities, but she’s a lot better than Ricci on the feet and she’s a lot bigger than Ricci on the ground. FATIMA KLINE BY DECISION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Tommy McMillen (10-0) vs Alberto Montes (11-1)

Ordinarily this is where I pitch some form of fit about how the UFC marketing machine is working overtime to push their blood-obvious favorites like Tommy McMillen over the better fighters and genuine prospects and ranked women who are perpetually stuck on the undercard. Fortunately for all of us, I can’t do that this week! Because there aren’t any. Unless you have really strong feelings about Dione Barbosa or Alvin “Goozie” Hines, we’ve reached the point in the Apexification of the UFC’s product that even the road shows barely qualify as half-assed. This is a card people are supposed to pay money for. This is a card intended to fill a 16,500-seat arena.

And your anchoring fight for the main card is industry plant Tommy “Gun” McMillen, owner of one incredible victory over no less than the world’s most Italian man, Manolo “Angeleno Veneziano” Zecchini, and Alberto Montes, who’s had one fight in almost two years as a contracted UFC fighter, and it was a victory over Ricky Turcios, who has one real win in his entire UFC career. Management really likes McMillen given his propensity for violently swinging with no thought of defense or strategy, and coincidentally, he is half a foot taller and has almost as much of a reach advantage on Montes, who is the second-shortest Featherweight in the company and, equally coincidentally, is a lifelong grappler whose sole loss was a violent knockout against a wildly-swinging man.

Congrats on the red carpet, Tom. TOMMY MCMILLEN BY TKO.

PRELIMS: AN ARRAY OF CHOICES
FEATHERWEIGHT: Austin Bashi (14-1) vs Jose Delgado (11-2)

One of the issues with the current talent funnel into the UFC is how little time it gives fighters to make names for themselves. Austin Bashi is a good, solid fighter, but the company gave him a little too much hype as the latest in their neverending march of young, undefeated Contender Series prospects, and said hype centered around his being a) young and b) undefeated. Christian Rodriguez proceeded to beat the stuffing out of him in his UFC debut, and now, two whole years later and going on a truly ancient 25, Bashi has no identity. He’s just another scrappy grappler (”scrappler”) who was throwing guys with 15-35 records in the garbage to get to the company. And they know it, too, because they rehabilitated him by having him beat John Yannis, the same punching bag you saw Marcus McGhee knock around last month. Jose Delgado is, similarly, just here, which feels awfully disrespectful. He’s 3-1, he’s the only man to ever knock out Hyder Amil, he’s coming off a victory over the perennially tricky Andre Fili, and that means he’s right on par with guys who’ve only scraped together one win and need to be re-established.

Bashi just hasn’t quite done it for me yet. He’s very solid, but I need to see more from him before I can let him carry the emotional weight of my time watching Team Alpha Male in the WEC. JOSE DELGADO BY DECISION.

WELTERWEIGHT: Seokhyeon Ko (13-2) vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (10-2)

This may be an overreaction on my part, but I believe whoever booked this fight should go to jail. Ordinarily I say this due to lopsided odds or a fighter who got knocked out ten minutes before the booking or some similar injustice, but none of those apply here. This fight is the nexus of even more odious crimes: Sloth and incuriosity. Seokhyeon Ko is one of South Korea’s better MMA prospects, a very tough all-around stylist who trains under former UFC contender Dong Hyun Kim and has a hell of a left hook. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is a promising, up-and-coming submission prospect with headkicks in his back pocket and a victory by scarf hold in the 2020s, which means I’m ethically obligated to root for him. Both of these men are good! Both of these men just beat Phil Rowe. In Seokhyeon Ko’s last fight back in November, he beat Rowe by unanimous decision. In Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani’s last fight back in February, he beat Rowe by split decision.

Every fight is, or should be, about proving something. You compare two fighters and determine who deserves to rise up in the pecking order. There are 80ish Welterweights in the UFC. You could have booked any of them. You could have called up Ty Miller. You could book Darrius Flowers. You took the only two people in the entire division who fought and beat the same guy in their last fight and you booked them against each other, knowing that means whoever wins receives no momentum from the experience. Nothing will be proven. Nothing of value will be learned. We are letting the days go by, and I am letting the water hold me down. SEOKHYEON KO BY DECISION.

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Felipe Franco (10-2) vs Levi Rodrigues Jr. (5-0 (1))

On the topic of things that don’t matter: Oh my fucking god, this fight. Let me diagram this. Just a hair under a year ago, Felipe Franco made it to the Contender Series as an undefeated 8-0 prospect who had only fought an opponent with any wins, ever once in his life, and that was the 19-18 Nilton dos Santos. Franco met the 3-0 Freddy Vidal, a part-time fighter and full-time P.E. coach, and Vidal choked him out. However: Vidal missed weight by 4 pounds. He took the fight as a short-notice replacement with all of one week to prepare, so you would think the UFC would understand, but Dana White was unimpressed, and that’s all that matters. Instead, they told Freddy to return to the DWCS one month later and fight Levi Rodrigues Jr., another undefeated prospect. Levi knocked Freddy out in the first round, only to have his win struck down as a No Contest after he pissed hot for steroids. Vidal, who beat Felipe, jumped through the UFC’s hoops and got screwed by someone who broke the rules even worse than he did, was not signed to a contract. Levi was. Felipe, after defeating a 1-2 man in Brazil, was brought into the UFC as a short-notice competitor for undefeated Heavyweight Mario Pinto, who beat him easily but unimpressively.

Mario Pinto is not booked to fight. (LAST MINUTE PRE-PUBLISHING UPDATE: As of this morning, no longer true! Now Mario Pinto is fighting down in the rankings against Ryan Spann this September, which is even worse.) Freddy Vidal is moldering on the regional circuit. Levi has a UFC debut as a -225 favorite. Everything is as stupid as it can possibly be, all of the time, and when I tell you that Light Heavyweight is the worst weight class on the planet, I want you to realize that this is the kind of shit the UFC is looking towards for its future. This is where we’re headed. Make your fucking peace. LEVI RODRIGUES JR. BY TKO.

FLYWEIGHT: Alden Coria (12-3 (1)) vs Stewart Nicoll (8-3)

This is going to be fun, because it’s Flyweight, but make no mistake, this is a setup. Alden Coria is a four-figure favorite and he should be. Coria’s 2-0 in the UFC and one of those wins was a beautiful, violent knockout over Alessandro Costa, a deeply dangerous boxer who’s only now starting to get his flowers. Stewart Nicoll was picked up by the UFC as an attempt to add local flavor to an Australian card back in the Summer of 2024, and since then he’s 0-3 in the UFC, and the last of those three bouts just this past April was a violent, one-sided knockout loss--against Alessandro Costa.

So three months ago Stewart got his liver punched out by a man Alden knocked senseless last September. The intentions are clear. ALDEN CORIA BY TKO.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Alvin Hines (7-1) vs RJ Harris (5-0)

Hey, sports fan. Do you remember Alvin “Goozie” Hines? No? That’s probably fair! He showed up in the UFC last June, fought Jhonata Diniz, got the stuffing beat out of him, won the third round because he poked Jhonata in the eye really badly but Jhonata continuned to fight anyway because fouls aren’t real? That guy! Unlike the rest of the UFC’s budget Heavyweight brigade you didn’t hear from ol’ Goozie again because he got busted after pissing hot for multiple steroids, and unlike every other fighter on Earth who blames it on tainted supplements he said “oh yeah I totally did all of that and thought I’d pissed it all out already so you wouldn’t catch me,” for which he was thanked for his honesty, suspended for a year, and booked into a comeback against an undefeated man who is almost half a foot taller than him, almost half a decade younger than him, and appears to have a baseline awareness of how grappling works.

Sorry, Goozie. RJ HARRIS BY SUBMISSION.

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Dione Barbosa (9-4) vs Anna Melisano (6-1)

I miss Invicta, man. I miss the women of mixed martial arts having more spaces to develop. When Dione Barbosa made it to the Contender Series she was only 5-2 against a woman who was 5-1, and unsurprisingly, she’s spent the two and a half years since beating other women who were underprepared for the realities of fighting in the UFC while losing when set against anyone relevant to her division. And now she gets to welcome Anna Melisano, who has, herself, only just completed her first fight against someone with any kind of real experience under her belt. There was a time that these women could compete in Invicta or Strikeforce and build themselves up. Now I watch Anna Melisano’s tape and see a woman who has some legitimate offensive talent, but hasn’t yet had to worry about defense or proper technique to the point that I watched her, two fights ago, complete a takedown by just sort of gently shoving Lydia Warren’s shoulders until she fell over.

And I’m genuinely not sure if it’s more unfortunate that we don’t currently have that kind of developmental space for an entire gender, or that what I’m describing is, now, the UFC’s level. DIONE BARBOSA BY DECISION.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Damien Anderson (5-0) vs Ezra Elliott (7-0)

Speaking of missing the days of MMA having a proper developmental level: This fight got added to the card on Tuesday. Damien Anderson is a BJJ black belt who’s spent a lot longer grappling than fighting, his MMA career is all of two and a half years old, and he’s only fought two fights against people with more than 0 wins. Ezra Elliott’s career didn’t start until April 2024, he, too, has never fought anyone with a non-rookie record, two months ago he was beating the stuffing out of the 8-9 Ashton “No Chance” Caniglia for CINCO DE MAYO FIGHT NIGHT, which was not, in fact, held on Cinco de Mayo, as part of Ringside Unified Fighting, yet another of those companies that dares to ask questions like ‘can an undefeated prospect beat a 50/50 fighter with a mysterious preponderance of first-round stoppage losses?’

Here’s the secret: Ezra Elliott knows Sean O’Malley. He’s one of the BJJ coaches at Tim Welch’s Red Hawk Academy in Arizona. You still get opportunities by knowing people. Both of these guys are really good at grappling and I really want this to turn into the kind of fascinating and increasingly rare grappling showcase we need these days, but these guys both being relatively inexperienced and having almost no time to prepare, I feel like a tepid kickboxing match is more likely. Still gonna hope for DAMIEN ANDERSON BY DECISION, though.

SATURDAY, JULY 11 FROM THE T-MOBILE ARENA IN LAS VEGAS
EARLY PRELIMS 2 PM PDT / 5 PM EDT | PRELIMS 4 PM / 7 PM | MAIN CARD 6 PM / 9 PM

I’m not sure things have ever been more meaningless than they are this week. This is the first card the UFC has promoted under the auspices of its new Meta-powered AI bullshit rankings, and you can tell how seriously they’re taking them right off the bat, because the official card list doesn’t reflect those rankings at all. The AI says Paddy Pimblett is barely hanging onto the top ten? Fuck that, he’s #6. Mario Bautista’s #5 now? That’s too goddamn high, he’s #7.

I know that sounds silly, but really, genuinely, engage with the reality that we now exist in an era of the sport where the UFC openly advertises rankings it no longer even reflects. MMA has never been less real and there is no more appropriate way to welcome Conor McfuckingGregor back to our terrible sport.

MAIN EVENT: WHATEVER IT TAKES
WELTERWEIGHT: Conor McGregor (22-6, NR) vs Max Holloway (27-9, #4 at Lightweight)

The last time we talked about a Conor McGregor comeback was just over two years ago, when the UFC pulled a bait-and-switch by lying about Conor’s return only to abruptly switch the fight to an Alex Pereira/Jiří Procházka rematch when they could no longer cover up that Conor was nowhere near fighting shape. I cursed us into this timeline.

Normally, when a main event gets cancelled, I’ll devote a little bit of space to complaining about it before moving on to analyzing the new fight we have in its place. Normally this is because we have an entirely new fight to discuss and, inevitably, I will get my chance to complain about the previously-scheduled fighter when they come back.

But I don’t think I’ll get that chance, because I don’t think Conor McGregor is ever coming back.

Oh, how I wish I had been right.

The assumption that Conor McGregor would stay in his torpor was rooted in the idea that we still occupied a consensus reality where things matter, which was, in June of 2024, still a thing you could hold at least a little hope for. It is two years later. That hope is dead. Every barrier to Conor McGregor’s return has been shattered.

Legitimate drug testing? That’s gone. The UFC infamously severed their ties with the US Anti-Doping Agency in large part because Conor was very visibly on every goddamn steroid known to man during his time away from the sport, and they were insisting, as a drug testing agency, that he be tested for drugs before his return. The UFC does, of course, swear by the legitimacy of their new, in-house testing program, and just like their USADA days, they have a website where you can see how many times everyone’s been tested. Why, Conor’s been tested 14 times in 2026! That’s more than anyone! Sure, there are about 1/5 as many test failures as there were under USADA, and sure, the only people who seem to get caught are conveniently the ones whose loss would be maximally convenient--they’ve published five test failures this year and the biggest hit was Iasmin Lucindo--but I’m sure it’s legit and everything’s fine.

Weight classes? Never been less of an issue. The Featherweight champ was the Lightweight champ and the Lightweight champ is the Welterweight champ and the former Welterweight champion who’s never won a Middleweight fight in his life is about to fight in a 185-pound title eliminator and the former 185-pound champ who became the 205-pound champ just got a 265-pound title fight at the fuckin’ White House. This fight, here, is between Max Holloway, a Featherweight great who is 2-2 at Lightweight in the UFC, and Conor McGregor, who is 1-3 at Lightweight in the UFC, and it’s being contested at Welterweight, and it’s already widely agreed that the winner will probably get a shot at the Lightweight title anyway.

Social expectations of conduct? Last time around we were talking about Conor suckerpunching people and whipping a dolly into the window on a UFC bus, and now he’s been found civilly liable for rape by two separate juries. Once upon a time, that would’ve mattered. Now? Hell, Conor’s not even the only legally-noted attempted rapist on this card. The UFC got tired of lowering the bar over and over, so now the bar is gone. Did you try to incite anti-immigrant pogroms a couple weeks ago? Have multiple juries of your peers looked at you and decided you sexually assaulted someone? Congratulations! This era of the sport was meant specifically for you.

In the aftermath of the White House card there were a few folks that noted the joy of enjoying the sport for the sport, rather than getting bogged down in its philosophical and political muck. I got it. I didn’t agree, but I understood. You could still do that, even with the White House.

But you can’t really do that here, because the muck is the only fucking thing to talk about. I’ve seen people try to discuss the reality of this as a rematch, in the way rematches are used to gauge how two fighters have grown since their first meeting, but Conor’s victory over Max Holloway was in 2013. Forget the fighters: The entire Featherweight division was less than three fucking years old.

There is nothing you can say about Conor McGregor The Mixed Martial Artist In Twenty Twenty Six that isn’t just pulling guesses directly from your own ass. It’s been half a decade since his last fight. It’s been six and a half years since his last win. It’s been ten years since his last Lightweight victory. Barack O-fucking-bama was still in the White House the last time Conor McGregor beat a ranked fighter in their own weight class. Anyone who starts to say a goddamn thing to you about the accuracy of Conor’s counterpunches or his speed or his precision is lying to you, and themselves, and picturing the Conor McGregor from the year fucking Finding Dory came out.

Conor’s contributions to the current age of mixed martial arts are getting knocked out by Dustin Poirier, shattering his own leg in an instant rematch against Poirier and following it by laying on the floor and screaming about how he really won the fight because he knows Dustin’s wife wants to fuck him, leading Michael Chandler on for years only to constantly cancel on him and make him look like an idiot for thinking Conor ever gave a shit about fighting him, and coasting on the triune powers of inertia, unbridled bigotry, and being a complete asshole in an era built by, and for, complete assholes.

And Max? Max is just here, man. Max should’ve been a Lightweight contender after knocking out Justin Gaethje and Dustin Poirier, but the UFC bet big on Paddy Pimblett and wanted to cash in on him, and when that failed, well, hell, Ilia Topuria’s the champ so obviously Max can’t fight him given the way Topuria smashed him at 145 pounds, so far better to make Gaethje your top contender even though Holloway and Charles Oliveira both crushed him. Which worked out gangbusters for the UFC! They got everything they wanted. Justin Gaethje won the title at the White House, Max is sidetracked for Conor, everyone’s chasing the money match again, and #1 contender Arman Tsarukyan isn’t even in the goddamn conversation.

Instead of anything that mattered, Max fought Charles Oliveira for the Bad Mother Fucker Championship, and then when Oliveira took Max down and dominated him for five straight rounds, the audience got mad about it, because daring to use a grappling-based gameplan was an affront to the legitimacy of the Bad Mother Fucker Championship, a title that was used by the UFC to sell Dwayne Johnson’s PROJECT ROCK shoes.

Mateusz Gamrot is fighting down in the rankings. One match down from here, Benoît Saint Denis is being used to try to rehabilitate Paddy Pimblett. Arman is unbooked. Oliveira is unbooked.

And Max Holloway is fighting adjudicated rapist Conor McGregor at Georges St-Pierre’s weight class five years after his last fight because this is how we make our money.

There is no sport here. There is no analysis. Maybe the cocaine and the steroids have joined forces in Conor’s body and now he has superpowers. Maybe he’s so hopped up on the power of getting away with sex abuse that he has the crushing force of a Rumble Johnson. Maybe Max kicks him in the calf once and Conor stops the fight so he can get on his phone and tweet about how immigrants made his leg hurt. Everyone involved in this should feel bad and I hope to god this is MAX HOLLOWAY BY AN INCREDIBLY FUNNY AND GRATIFYING KNOCKOUT so we can just move the fuck on from this once and for-fucking-all because my soul cannot take the Conor McGregor Title Tour we will be stuck with if he somehow wins.

CO-MAIN EVENT: WHATEVER IT TAKES
LIGHTWEIGHT: Benoît Saint Denis (17-3 (1), #5) vs Paddy Pimblett (23-4, #6)

I just don’t care, and that’s devastating, because this is the smartest, best-matched fight they could’ve made for these two men.

They’re both fine. They’re fine! Benoît’s a solid throwback of a savage wrestleboxer who doesn’t care half as much about his health as he really should if he wants to still be able to read by the time he’s 40, Paddy’s a big, aggressive grappling machine who is incredibly difficult to knock out, all of these things are true, none of them matter. We have trod repeatedly on the posies of praise when it comes to both prospects. Their talents have never been the issue, the matchmaking has.

But the UFC keeps trying with BSD. Hot on the heels of his knockout victory over Matt Frevola back in 2023 they decided to strap the jetpack to his aggressively French back and throw him in there with Dustin Poirier in a title eliminator, and he got stomped out in two rounds. They tried to rehabilitate him with a main event in France against Renato Moicano, and Moicano, who has self-described his fighting talents as “I fucking suck,” beat Benoît even worse than Poirier had. He went from having a ton of momentum to looking like a complete afterthought.

So they gave him Kyle Prepolec, a Canadian regional who’d already flunked out of the UFC once. Fine: Tune-up fight, I get it. And they followed that up with Mauricio Ruffy, a legitimate threat and now-top-ten competitor, and BSD handed him his only UFC loss, and it was great! Sending in Beneil Dariush afterward was kind of a lateral move, but at the time, it seemed justifiable--Beneil had just beaten Moicano, so by the transitive property, it was a good match!--and then Beneil showed up overweight and preemptively exhausted and looking like the clock had run out on his career. And then, to emphasize the point, the UFC booked Benoît against Dan Hooker, who still had a visibly damaged face from the hellacious beating Arman Tsarukyan had laid on him two months prior.

So BSD’s back in the top five, and all it took was one and a half real wins in a four-fight span. Paddy? You can’t even give him that.

Paddy Pimblett’s journey to the top was managed the way an ornithologist manages a robin’s egg. Paddy Pimblett’s UFC career has been so gently booked that even Paddy Pimblett himself repeatedly mocked it. Paddy Pimblett beat three guys with 50/50 or worse records, extremely clearly lost a fight to Jared Gordon only to inexplicably win a decision anyway, got matched up with Tony Ferguson at the ass end of the longest losing streak in UFC history, graduated from that to King Green, who was on a winning streak of 1 and it was over Jim fucking Miller, and finally faced Michael Chandler, who, himself, was 1 for his last 5 (now 7!) and that one win was, of course, also Tony Ferguson.

They gave him a title shot for that. Paddy Pimblett beat Michael Chandler, who hadn’t won a fight in three years, and they put him in there with Justin Gaethje for the interim Lightweight championship of the world. Of this world.

People will tell you Paddy vs Gaethje was close, and it was, in the sense that if I am hit by a truck and do not die, I can say that I almost defeated it. Justin beat seven shades of hell out of Paddy, whose best assets in the fight were a) his chin, b) his willingness to repeatedly knee Justin in the dick, and c) Justin’s refusal to stop ducking into the same strike over and over. Paddy hit him! A bunch! It did not matter. Justin practically killed him in the second round but somehow not a single judge scored a 10-8, and somewhere, Jared Gordon’s blood boiled in his bed.

So the UFC astroturfed Paddy to a title shot and it failed. It happens! No shame in it, except for, y’know, how ashamed all of the matchmakers should be for doing it in the first place. What do you do with him now? Do you make him fight down in the rankings? Do you test him against the Rafael Fizievs or Grant Dawsons of the world?

Of course not! You get that fucker back in the top five as fast as fucking possible, and you do it on the Conor McGregor comeback card so we can keep rubbing that fandom off on him like it’s a fucking disease.

I dunno, man. Like I said, it’s a smart matchup. Either BSD beats Paddy and the UFC hypes it as his big signature win or Paddy beats someone who isn’t old and broken down and this is cited as proof that he’s ready for another title shot so we can continue to ignore Arman Tsarukyan forever. On a skill by skill basis it’s practically a mirror match. Both men eschew defense in favor of their own toughness, both men would really like to take you down because their top game is where their most effective offense comes from, both men would really, really prefer it if you not put them on their backs because that’s just unfair.

And I very clearly want Benoît to win, which makes me second-guess all of the reasons I think he could. Paddy’s really, really fucking tough, and Benoît is good at a number of things, but persistent offense and self-pacing have never been one of them. I can easily see him blowing his gas tank trying to get Paddy out of there early and getting Pimbletted in the back half of the fight. Hell, I can see Paddy using his clinch game to drag BSD down and simply deny him the chance to be the aggressor.

But the heart wants what it wants. BENOÎT SAINT DENIS BY TKO.

MAIN CARD: WHATEVER IT TAKES
BANTAMWEIGHT: Cory Sandhagen (18-6, #4) vs Mario Bautista (17-3, #7)

Oh, Cory. Your day will never come. In eight and a half years with the UFC, Cory Sandhagen has only ever lost fights against world champions or title contenders--and he arguably beat T.J. Dillashaw!--but as much as I will always root for him, when you lose all of the big ones, it becomes progressively harder to get mad that you aren’t getting more of them. Cory was supposed to win a title eliminator with ol’ Dilly, and he probably should have, but he didn’t. Cory got his interim title shot against Petr Yan, and he tried, but he couldn’t get it done. Two summers ago they sacrificed Cory to Umar Nurmagomedov, and after Cory shredded Deveison Figueiredo last year they finally gave him a shot at the title and Merab Dvalishvili, and unfortunately, Merab did what Merab does and drowned him. Does Cory deserve the shot at Sean O’Malley he’s been calling for? Absolutely. Is there any universe in which they give it to him instead of Song Yadong and Aiemann Zahabi, whom they’re more confident Sean can beat? Absolutely not.

No, what Cory gets is prospect rejection rematch duty. Mario Bautista is one of the best Bantamweights in the world, and if they could keep him carefully separate from the title picture, they’d be much, much happier. They gave him a shot! They tried to dispose of him by having Mario welcome Patchy Mix to the UFC last year, and then it turned out Patchy had dissolved into a horrifying skeletal approximation of his former self, so they pivoted the other way and gave Mario a shot at Umar with top contendership implications. But Mario failed the Umar test, and just like that, it was back to trying to get Mario killed, this time at the hands of Vinicius Oliveira. Unfortunately for the Lok Dog, the fight reinforced that there are, in fact, levels to this shit, as Mario turned him into a pretzel and choked him out with relative ease. He is, still, one of the best in the world. But he’s a grappler who usually goes to decisions, and by god, that’s just not acceptable.

This match is incredibly fucking cool. They already fought back in 2019, Cory armbarred Mario in one round, and since then Mario’s gotten a lot better at fighting to his strengths and Cory has gotten a lot better at not getting booked into the fights he deserves. Cory and Mario are both the caliber of fighter that could be king, were it not for the tip-top of the mountain just out of their reach, and there’s a very good chance whoever loses this fight is condemned to never sniff a title shot again. I love Mario’s grappling, I love his creativity; I am still going with CORY SANDHAGEN BY DECISION because I think he’s got a few more tools in his bag.

FLYWEIGHT: Brandon Royval (17-9, #4) vs Lone’er Kavanagh (10-1, #6)

It’s open season on Brandons again. All Brandons must proceed to the back of the boat and depart for their Brandon-shaped life rafts. After winning the Battle of the Brandons and wresting the title of The Brandonest from Brandon (the lesser) Moreno, and following it by derailing the then-undefeated Tatsuro Taira, Brandon Royval was supposed to get a title eliminator with Manel Kape last year. But Royval got injured, and then Kape got injured, and the UFC had Royval fight Joshua Van on barely any notice, and the rest is history. After his loss, Royval finally got that matchup with Manel, and unfortunately for him it ended with Manel punching him stupid in one round. Now Brandon is well and truly out of the title picture, and that means it falls to him to give prospects the jump they need.

Lone’er Kavanagh was supposed to fight Bruno Silva in a barely-ranked bout this past March. Instead, after the aforementioned Moreno’s main event with Asu Almabayev fell through, the UFC decided to send Kavanagh in. Was he coming off a knockout loss to Charles Johnson, who is only barely clinging to the edge of the top fifteen? Yes. Did he deserve a shot at the top five? Nope! Did it matter? Not even slightly. It was competitive but clear, Kavanagh outstruck Moreno and took his spot in the title picture, and now that the UFC has managed to get their Irish-English-Chinese marketing idol into the conversation by feeding him a Brandon, their ravenous appetite must be sated. All Brandons must fall.

More than any particular analysis about Kavanagh’s striking style vs Royval’s clubbing aggression, I just want something nice to happen for Brandon the Greater. The sport was not kind to him and I would like him to get one back. BRANDON ROYVAL BY TKO.

LIGHTWEIGHT: King Green (35-17-1 (1)) vs Terrance McKinney (18-8)

At this point I’m convinced the UFC got what they wanted by jobbing King Green out to Paddy and Mauricio Ruffy and now he’s part of the same non-canonical class of fighter Shara Magomedov and Michel Pereira exhibited the other week. In his last three fights, in order, King Green has fought and defeated:

• Lance Gibson Jr., a Bellator veteran who’d been fighting 22-52 guys named Charon Spain for Muckleshoot Fight Night before his abrupt callup to the UFC

• Daniel Zellhuber, a former UFC marketing darling now losing fights to circa 2025 Michael Johnson

• Jeremy fucking Stephens, who is, inexplicably, still fucking here

This is why sentences like “this fighter is on a three-fight winning streak!” are becoming less and less meaningful. If your winning streak incorporates The Muckleshoot King and a man whose last UFC win was damn near a decade ago, did it really happen?

We’re not going to find out here, because Terrance McKinney exists only for two and a half minutes at a time. For those one hundred and fifty seconds, he is a stone-cold killer with insane power and the willingness to sling headkicks and flying knees and punches that come all the way from his ass, and if he can strangle you on the way, by god, he will. After that? He disappears into dust and dreams. In thirteen UFC appearances, McKinney has never won a fight that lasted beyond two and a half minutes. Everyone who drags him into the deep waters of half the length of Next’s “Too Close,” 1998’s hottest dance song about being embarrassed you have a boner, will, statistically, defeat him.

King, once upon a time, you were a defensive mastermind who could run circles around damn near any Lightweight in the world. Lately, you have been bouncing off the cage and getting punched in the head. I am requesting that you fight like the guy who dodges punches tonight. KING GREEN BY TKO.

PRELIMS: WHATEVER IT TAKES
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT: Nikita Krylov (31-11, #12) vs Robert Whittaker (26-9, NR)

I did this. This is my fault. I’m so sorry, everyone. I have spent years talking about how giving up your harsh, unpleasant weight cut and moving up to a higher class is the sport’s best basis for success, but I never thought to stop and disclaim “Not you, Robert Whittaker,” and now we are all doomed to a harvest of depression. You already did this, Rob! You were a Welterweight and it sucked shit and you hated it and then you became a Middleweight and it went good up until you started dying a lot! Some of it is the division getting better, sure, but some of it is you decided to focus your fighting style around darting, lancing attacks and then you turned 30 and you slowed down at the same time people figured out that they can just hit you! You were already not a big Middleweight, you are about to be tied as the second-shortest Light Heavyweight in the company and I am so, so very afraid you are about to get lit the fuck up by Nikita Krylov as he punches you from half a foot away.

And yet: You beat the stuffing out of Paulo Costa and now he’s the #4 Light Heavyweight on the planet and he did it by beating the only man in the division who’s smaller than you. So fuck it, I guess, you do what you gotta do. Please don’t make me as sad as I think you’re about to. ROBERT WHITTAKER BY DECISION.

HEAVYWEIGHT: Gable Steveson (3-0) vs Elisha Ellison (5-2)

When you book a fight with a -3000 favorite someone should come to your office and throw you in jail. Speaking of which: Hi, Gable. I knew we were going to get here sooner or later, but christ, I was really hoping for later. For those who don’t know, Gable Steveson is a) an Olympic gold medalist, b) one of the best amateur wrestlers of all time, c) an (alleged) attempted rapist who got away with it in part thanks to his professed inability to perform and in part to a now-closed loophole whereby women in Minnesota couldn’t be considered unable to consent to sex if they’d willingly gotten drunk, and d) a failed professional wrestler who flunked out of the WWE’s developmental program after a combination of his lack of charisma and reputation as a sex criminal led to the audiences completely rejecting him. Fortunately for us, mixed martial arts has no standards.

I wish Gable Steveson were not here. I am sad it has come to this. He is probably still the best Heavyweight prospect on the planet. I wish both things could be mutually exclusive but I am afraid we are going to be stuck with him for some time. Elisha, you have the opportunity to do the funniest shit in the entire world. GABLE STEVENSON BY TKO.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Cody Garbrandt (15-7) vs Adrian Yañez (17-6-1)

I kinda thought we were done with this. Both of these guys, honestly. Adrian, you got a lot of good will for knocking Tony Kelley the fuck out of not just the UFC but mixed martial arts altogether, but for one, we immediately replaced him with much worse people, and for two, it’s been pretty downhill since then. You are 1 for your last 5, and the guy you beat was Vinicius Salvador, a Flyweight so unsuccessful he got kicked up to Bantamweight for screwing up his weight cut AND losing, and in the middle of that you’re going to draws with Ricky Simón, and it’s just a bad scene, man. But Cody? Cody, my guy, what are we doing here? You were supposed to leave! You were talking about your contract being done, like, two goddamn years ago, and now it’s 2026 and you are coming off a fight with Xiao Long where you were the beneficiary of a two-point deduction and people still think you winning the decision was a fucking robbery!

Like, it’s okay. You can stop. It’s a big world out there. Go learn about leatherworking. ADRIAN YAÑEZ BY TKO.

FEATHERWEIGHT: Kai Kamaka III (18-7-1) vs Luke Riley (13-0)

In another of those somehow-this-is-an-even-matching-of-careers moments, Kai Kamaka III, who got cut from the UFC on a 1-2-1 run back in 2021 after only managing to beat--hey, Tony Kelley! How wonderful it is to get a chance to remind you that Tony Kelley sucked shit twice in one writeup--was invited back to the company on less than a week’s notice this past April. Not because of an injury, or a need for a replacement, but simply because the UFC looked at Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan and said “maybe if we add one more fight to the prelims no one will notice that we tried to convince them Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan was a legitimate main event.” Luke Riley, meanwhile, is an undefeated contender from Cage Warriors who’s already 2-0 in the UFC after knocking out Bogdan Grad, which leaves him perfectly positioned to fight the guy who was losing decisions to Diego Brandão less than a year ago but made it to the UFC even though they turned Brandão down for the crime of being 39.

LUKE RILEY BY DECISION.

EARLY PRELIMS: WHATEVER IT TAKES
WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT: Tracy Cortez (12-3, #8) vs Wang Cong (9-1, #12)

Welcome to the war of women the UFC wishes were more successful. They fuckin’ love them some Tracy Cortez. Is it her grappling? Is it her lack of finishes? Is it her incredibly distressing habit of not taking off her fake eyelashes before she gets in the cage? Either way, Rose Namajunas and Erin Blanchfield, both potential contenders, had fights with Maycee Barber fall through and saw Maycee replaced with Tracy, and they both beat her, and she is still here, getting fights on numbered events. Wang Cong was supposed to be the UFC’s 125-pound Zhang Weili, the new female face of their Chinese invasion, and then they put her in a big splashy fight in Macau and she got run through by Gabi Fernandes and everything’s been kind of blurry since then. She beat Bruna Brasil, who has a losing record, and she beat Ariane da Silva, who has a losing record and got released immediately afterward, but then she beat Eduarda Moura, who has a winning record! By one fight. Also Cong missed weight. Manon Fiorot hasn’t fought since October, Valentina Shevchenko hasn’t fought since November, Erin Blanchfield is fighting down in the rankings and there are, as of now, exactly two matches booked for absolutely anyone in the entire top fifteen at Women’s Flyweight.

But Cong and Cortez are one of them, so nothing else matters. TRACY CORTEZ BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Damian Pinas (9-1) vs César Almeida (7-2)

This fight exists because people need to watch a motherfucker get punched in the head. Motherfuckers getting punched in the head is the only reason César Almeida has a job. They signed him as a 4-0 fighter because he used to do kickboxing and they were still so high on Alex Pereira’s success that signing a guy with four fights who was already in his late thirties seemed like a wise use of time and money, because hey: It worked once. Two years after his UFC debut, Alex Pereira was a two-division champion! Two years after his UFC debut, César Almeida is 3-2 and hasn’t beaten anyone with a winning record. Damian Pinas just got here. They signed him off the Contender Series because he knocks out goddamn near everyone he fights, and they booked his UFC debut against a guy who got knocked out on the Contender Series back in 2024, and, shock of shocks, Pinas knocked him out. He is large, he is scary, he was fighting 4-5 guys just a couple fights ago, and he will continue to terrify anyone until it turns out he doesn’t know what to do if someone moves laterally.

Until then, DAMIAN PINAS BY TKO.

BANTAMWEIGHT: Farid Basharat (15-0, #15) vs John Garza (6-1, NR)

This went from my favorite fight on this entire card to the fight I’m angriest at for reasons unrelated to sex criminals. Farid Basharat is one of the Bantamweight division’s best prospects: An undefeated all-arounder who’s defensively sound and smart enough in his approach to make it to the rankings despite only having one finish in the company. He was supposed to meet red-hot prospect Ethyn Ewing, in what would have been a genuinely fascinating contest between one of the division’s best defensive strategists and one of its best offensive boxers. But Ewing dropped out, and rather than just rebook the fight later, or find someone for Basharat who’s already in the company, they’re bringing in 23 year-old John Garza, a rookie with barely two years in the sport who’s been fighting guys down in Fury FC who don’t even stand out at the regional level. He hits hard, he hits fast, and he hits like someone who’s barely had to worry about people testing his defense.

So he’s fighting for a berth in the top fifteen. God bless. FARID BASHARAT BY DECISION.

MIDDLEWEIGHT: Ryan Gandra (9-1) vs Zach Reese (10-3 (1))

The pattern feeds on itself to survive. Zach Reese was hired because he openly advertised his desire to ignore things like ‘defense’ and ‘strategy’ in favor of simply being a wild-eyed savage who goes for finishes all of the time. Two and a half years later he’s coming off a loss because he can’t beat Michel Pereira and he has yet to record a win over anyone with a successful UFC record. Ryan Gandra just got here four months ago, and he was fighting nobodies one bout before his shot at the Contender Series, and they hired him because he, too, knocks out all of the warm bodies tossed in front of him, and to make sure he succeeded, they started him off against José Medina, who was on a five-fight losing streak that included--shock of shocks--Zach Reese.

Now the models must fight to determine which interchangeable punch-rookie matters the most. None of this means anything. Neither of these guys seems particularly good. ZACH REESE BY SUBMISSION.

FLYWEIGHT: Cody Durden (18-10-1) vs Alessandro Costa (16-5)

This is Cody Durden’s third fight in four months. That’s very silly. That’s a silly thing to do. But it got Cody his first win in two goddamn years and that win was over Jafel Filho, the fighter I have arguably the unhealthiest relationship with, so honestly, who’s to say if it’s actually bad or if I’m just bitter? It worked out gangbusters last time, and all it took was a last-minute replacement fight against an underprepared grappler with bad stand-up fighting at an unfamiliar weight class. Surely, that will translate extremely well to a return to Flyweight against a strong wrestleboxer with real knockout power!

ALEESANDRO COSTA BY TKO.

Welcome to July. You have survived more than half of this year and you should be proud of yourself. It’s a weird month, with the entire world taking the first week of July off and four separate events all being crammed into the 17th/18th, and also Conor’s back so that sucks.

THIS MONTH’S PUNCHSPORTS EVENTS

• UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2, July 11

• UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs Usman, July 18

• UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Rountree Jr., July 25

• PFL Austin: Eblen vs Kasanganay 2, July 18

• PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs Colgan, July 31

• ONE Friday Fights 161: Pacio vs Malachiev, July 10

• ONE Fight Night 45: Lessei vs Rabah, July 17

• Rizin Landmark 15: Ota vs Tilenov, July 18

A NOTE FROM THE DEPARTMENT OF BOOKKEEPING

As of this month, I am removing Invicta from the championship rolls. Which sucks! I love Invicta and the industry has never, ever needed a dedicated home for women’s MMA like it does right now. But at this point it’s been 14+ months since the last Invicta event with no news in sight. We’re half a year overdue for the big relaunch they promised, and I certainly hope they return, but even if they do, their only two champions were Jennifer Maia and Elisandra Ferreira and both are now fighting for other promotions, with Maia kickboxing in K-1 and Ferreira having just made a successful 115-pound debut for the PFL. Get better soon, Invicta. We miss you.

IS THERE ANY NEWS

Dustin Poirier got arrested for being drunk and disorderly in an airport and threatening to beat up cops and yelling the n-word in reference to kicking their asses. He’s since posted apologies lamenting how he’s struggled with his drinking since retirement, and no one actually got hurt, so the biggest lasting impact is Sean Strickland having an excuse to say the n-word on social media a bunch now it’s okay. I hope Dustin gets help.

Remember that whole thing over the last year where the Global Fight League announced a completely preposterous event series with a massively expensive roster of aging veterans, AI-generated hype videos and no explanation for how on Earth they were going to make money, and then it folded before it could even begin and no one on Earth was shocked?

We’re gonna do it all over again! The GFL has announced it’s back, for totally real this time, and they’ll be holding it from the venue at Sam’s Town Live, which has just barely one thousand seats, on October 17. We mean it! We’re really gonna do it! Also here’s a link to our cryptocurrency.

Alex Pereira is really, really mad about Herb Dean. He wants you to put in the papers that he’s mad. He celebrates it. It’s hard to avoid a little bit of schadenfreude, here, as Pereira was happy to scab for Tom Aspinall and was decidedly unsympathetic towards his woes, but now that he, himself, has felt the sting of questionably legal blows en route to his TKO loss to Ciryl Gane, he has decided Herb Dean is a stain on the sport and must be fired immediately. He started a petition! Which was especially funny a couple weeks later when Herb turned in an incredibly bad performance during Shara Magomedov vs Michel Pereira, allowing Shara to get away with pulling Pereira’s hair and poking his eye without ever taking a point, despite a stern warning.

Multiple things can be true at once. It is true that Herb Dean makes a lot of mistakes. It is true that we are desperately overdue for a conversation about the reffing, judging and administration of the rules of mixed martial arts. It is also true that Alex going from a fuck-you-got-mine marketing face-of-the-UFC favorite to Dom Cruz levels of referee grudge this fast is really, really funny.

The UFC launched their long-promised, Meta-powered LLM-driven rankings system, and the net result was several days of the website having no idea who the champions were and changing the identity of beltholders every few times you reloaded the page.

But they fixed it! It’s perfect now! Except it’s so weighted towards recency bias that Kevin Borjas is a top ten Flyweight despite being 2 for 6, and Marcus McGhee is #9 at Bantamweight because he beat up John Yannis but Aiemann Zahabi is only #12 because he got knocked out by Sean O’Malley, and Pat Sabatini is now the world’s #7 Featherweight, and Mike Malott is ranked above Yaroslav Amosov at Welterweight despite Malott getting crushed by a man Amosov choked out in seconds, and Joe Pyfer is the world’s #5 Middleweight, and we could keep going but I’m already weeping blood.

Rankings are terrible. And I should know, because we made our own! It takes real work to make something worse than what the rankings already are. But by god, they managed.

WHAT HAPPENED IN JUNE

We kicked off the month in the Apex with UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim on June 6. Ketlen Souza knocked out Ariane Carnelossi, Jeisla Chaves won a ‘why is this in the UFC’ split decision over Yuneisy Duben, we had a very rare three straight submissions as Joanderson Brito choked Jordan Leavitt, Chelsea Chandler armbarred Priscila Cachoeira, and Édgar Cháirez got the rear naked choke on Bruno Silva all in one round apiece, Marcus McGhee took a wide decision over John Yannis, and Alessandro Costa knocked out Matt Schnell in two and a half minutes. On the main card, Iwo Baraniewski leg kicked Junior Tafa to death in a minute and a half, Bryce Mitchell choked out Santiago Luna, Tom Nolan earned his way into the rankings by beating Farès Ziam, Brendan Allen won a really obvious decision against Edmen Shahbazyan that Edmen reacted to with shock anyway, and in the main event, Gabriel Bonfim dominated Belal Muhammad, whose career is just making me sad now.

Rizin Landmark 14 came later that night. After Rizin’s attempts to make the Landmark cards bigger, flashier affairs of late, this was something closer to their baseline, with kickboxing and rookie fights and guys with 0-4 records that are somehow still here. But Yusuke Yachi beat fellow aging veteran Isao Kobayashi, and good ol’ Blackpanther Beynoah damn near decapitated Bilal Kai Haga, and Tony Laramie scored the upset by taking a decision over Yuki Motoya, and in the main event, Shinryu Takahashi finally got his revenge on Hiromasa Ougikubo after their first fight in 2024, this time taking home a unanimous decision and Ougikubo’s Flyweight championship.

On the 13th we had PFL Africa 2, and I’ll be honest, I could tell you things like “Patrick Ocheme knocked out Ayinda Octave” or “Ignacio Campos choked out Wasi Adeshina,” and I’m sure we’ll touch base more on the Africa tournaments later this year when they hold their finals, but what I really care about is Invicta Atomweight champ Elisandra Ferreira moving up to Strawweight, debuting in the PFL, and armbarring Juliet Ukah, a former Featherweight. Good fuckin’ job, Lili.

The next day on the 14th, the UFC went to the White House.

Six days later, we came back to the Apex for UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi. Was it bad? Not really! Was it depressing? Man, yeah, kinda. Shane Collins beat Otari Tanzilovi in a fight that didn’t make either of them look all that great, Luana Santos unseated Karol Rosa with a similar performance, Levan Chokheli destroyed Leon Shahbazyan in twenty-three seconds, Gastón Bolaños pulled a decision over Michael Aswell Jr., Mitch Raposo just barely scraped a split over Allan Nascimento, Bia Mesquita looked pretty lousy and almost got knocked out by Melissa Mullins but Mullins inexplicably followed the world-class grappler to the ground and got armbarred for her troubels, and Kevin Borjas missed the Flyweight limit and proceeded to beat hyped prospect André Lima by decision anyway. On the main card, Vinicius Oliveira knocked out Andre Fili in two rounds, Murtazali Magomedov hit the Scottish Twister on Melsik Baghdasaryan, Christian Rodriguez choked out Hyder Amil, Navajo Stirling overcame an early scare to stop an exhausted Ion Cuțelaba, and in your ultimately sad main event, Kyoji Horiguchi pitched a near-perfect game against Manel Kape for two and a half rounds, looked amazing, reminded everyone why he’s one of the best fighters in the world, and then promptly got socked in the chin by Kape and fell over.

The 26th brought us ONE Fight Night 44: Jarvis vs Rungrawee 2 and I dunno, man. I dunno. Every couple months they get rid of more MMA and I wonder when it’ll just be over. Paul Elliott knocked out Regan Upshaw in seconds with a jumping Heavyweight kick and that was pretty neat, I guess. Karen Ghazaryan knocked out Hisashi Ezaki in a round. Lucas Gabriel won an upset split decision over former champ Ok Rae Yoon. George Jarvis knocked out Rungrawee Sitsongpeenong in the Muay Thai main event and some people liked it, I’m pretty sure.

And on the 27th the UFC returned to Baku for UFC Fight Night: FIziev vs Torres, a night where it was awful, awful good to be a UFC fighter whose name ends in a V. The prelims included Farman Hasanov beating Eric Nolan, Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyayev dropping Julius Walker in eight seconds, Nursulton Ruziboev choking out Andrey Pulyaev, Kaan Ofli looking like a different fighter entirely in destroying Javier Reyes in one round, Daniil Donchenko taking out Theodor Berggren and Jean Matsumoto outlasting Bekzat Almakhan to a decision, but the prelim people will remember most was Tahir Abdullayev vs Jefferson Nascimento, a truly baffling fight in which Abdullayev repeatedly complained to the referee that Nascimento was moving around too much, somehow succeeded in getting the ref to admonish Nascimento for not engaging even though he was the only one landing strikes, god away with several cage grabs and a groin shot, may have actually bitten Nascimento in mid-fight, and wound up getting a TKO ruling so early even the commentary team was shocked by it. On your main card, Abus Magomedov choked out Michał Oleksiejczuk, Ikram Aliskerov got a decision over Brunno Ferreira, Asu Almabayev hit the goddamn Suloev stretch on Charles Johnson, Matheus Camilo flattened Nazim Sadykhov in ninety seconds, Shara Magomedov won a pretty bad fight with Michel Pereira before calling for a title shot, and in the main event, Rafael Fiziev turned back the clock and knocked out Manuel Torres.

The month closed later that night with PFL San Diego: McKee vs Isbulaev. The prelims were an all-finishes affair, with Cobey Fehr, Savarjon Khamidov, Khasan Magomedsheripov and Jena Bishop all scoring submission victory, the latter over former UFC contender Ariane da Silva, and Shannon Clark scored the only knockout of the prelims against Ilara Joanne. Up top, Rob Wilkinson won a moustache fight with Abraham Bably, knocking him out in the second, Alexander Shabliy took a dominant decision against Alfie Davis, Liz Carmouche guillotined Viviane Araújo in two rounds before calling for the PFL to make a Women’s Bantamweight division, and in the main event, a game but outmatched Salamat Isbulaev got dominated by A.J. McKee.

WHAT’S COMING IN JULY

ONE is up first this month with ONE Friday Fights 161: Pacio vs Malachiev on July 10, and as is the standard with ONE there are only two MMA fights announced and they’re Eduard Folayang vs Shozo Isojima and the main event, Joshua Pacio defending the ONE Strawweight MMA title against Mansur Malachiev. As is the NEW standard for ONE, I’m typing this on June 28th, this event is less than two weeks away, and those are the only two fights announced. I want ONE to just take a break and get their shit together, man.

The next day, it’s UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2, because everything sure does suck. Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese in a “why are we still here” matchup. Farid Basharat vs Ethyn Ewing in a “why is this still on the early prelims” matchup. Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison in a “why are you not in prison” matchup. Plus Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong, Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yañez, Robert Whittaker moving up to 205 pounds against Nikita Krylov, and a main card of King Green vs Terrance McKinney, Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh, Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista, Benoît Saint Denis vs Paddy Pimblett, and, in the main event, Conor McGregor is back, and he’s getting a fight against #4-ranked Lightweight Max Holloway except it’s being contested at Welterweight because nothing matters, especially not being found legally liable for sexual assault.

Our very long weekend begins on July 17 with ONE Fight Night 45: Lessei vs Rabah, which has five MMA fights on it: Ayaka Miura vs Victoria Souza and Jihin Radzuan vs Anastasia Nikolakakos at the again-vacant Atomweight division, Sanzhar Zakirov vs Ruslan Satiev and Lito Adiwang vs Joshua Perreira at Flyweight, and Bokang Masunyane vs Lee Seung Cheol at Strawweight. Your actual main event is a Muay Thai match between Luke Lessei and Mohamed Younes Rabah.

The 18th kicks off with PFL Austin: Eblen vs Kasanganay 2. As of now, only six fights are announced: Andrea Vázquez vs Aleksandra Savicheva, Sergio Cossio vs Kolton Englund, Jesus Pinedo vs Levy Saúl Marroquín, Caolán Loughran vs Julio Arce, Sergio Pettis getting back on the horse against Lewis McGrillen, and your main event was supposed to be a Middleweight title rematch between Costello van Steenis and Johnny Eblen, but with Costello out injured, it’s now a rematch between Eblen and Impa Kasanganay for an interim title.

Middleweight madness continues throughout the day thanks to UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs Usman. This aggressively silly card includes amazing fights like Allen Frye Jr. vs Alvin “Goozie” Hines, Austin Bashi vs Jose Miguel Delgado, Tommy McMillen vs Alberto Montes, Brad Tavares vs Marc-André Barriault, and Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline. Your anchoring fights are, in all likelihood, Chase Hooper vs Mitch Ramirez, Kevin Holland vs Jacobe Smith, Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain, Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan, and, in your main event, #2-ranked former Middleweight champion Dricus du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman, who is 0-1 at the class.

Our long 48 hours of combat sports concludes late that evening with Rizin Landmark 15. As before, this is still a developmental show, so there’s a lot of development talent and subsequent records on it--the 6-5 Namiko Kawabata vs the 4-3 Ayane Hirata, the 19-18-1 Shoji Maruyama against the 2-1 Genji Umeno, the kinds of things you would expect to see from a Rizin card where a bunch of kickboxers are trying their hand at MMA. But we’ve got Rizin’s first stabs at filling the void Seika Izawa left in their Atomweight division, as Saori Oshima faces Lee Ye-Ji and Si Woo Park meets Moeri Suda, and a couple embattled fan favorite bouts, with Hiroya Kondo facing Erson Yamamoto and Karshyga Dautbek fighting ol’ Kenka Bancho himself Kyohei Hagiwara, and your main card is a score of good, old-fashioned Japanese-vs-foreigners bouts, as Tatsuki Shinotsuki faces Korea’s Lee Jae-Hoon, Tenya Yoshimura fights America’s Johnny Case, Shinobu Ota tries to outwrestle Kyrgyzstan’s Yrysbek Tilenov, and in the main event, Jinnosuke Kashimura tries to wrest Rizin’s Bantamweight title away from champion Danny Sabatello, whom Rizin is threatening to fire if he doesn’t start finishing people.

The UFC closes their month out on July 25 by returning to Abu Dhabi for UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Rountree Jr. It is, once again, a night of EMEA-friendly competitors, with highlights including Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis, Uran Satybaldiev vs Dustin Jacoby, Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman, Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg, Rizvan Kuniev vs Tyrell Fortune, Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez and, playing the role of our honorary Abu Dhabian for the week because his name at least STARTS with a V, Valter Walker vs Thomas Petersen. Headlining the show is former champion Magomed Ankalaev and former challenger Khalil Rountree Jr. fighting to see which of them gets a potential claim on a belt that will probably have an interim or a vacancy in the very near future.

And July ends on the 31st with PFL New York: Nurmagomedov vs Colgan. The PFL’s throwing a bit more at this one than usual, with Montana De La Rosa vs Tatiana Postarnakova, Raufeon Stots vs Lazaro Dayron and Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov vs Simeon Powell filling out the card, but the big deal are their two biggest stars both gettin gpole position. Striking queen Dakota Ditcheva is in the co-main event against former Bellator titlist Denise Kielholtz, and in the main event, Usman Nurmagomedov defends his Lightweight title--in what might be his last-ever fight for the PFL--against the undefeated Archie Colgan.

CURRENT UFC CHAMPIONS
Heavyweight Champion, 265 lbs

Tom Aspinall - 15-3 (1), Either 1, 2 or 0 Defenses Depending On How You Look At It

You know, once upon a time, the UFC would’ve killed for a Tom Aspinall. Entire years of UFC events were spent desperately trying to get a Dan Hardy or Darren Till or Jimi Manuwa into championship pictures so they could cash in on UK superstardom. And somehow, Tom Aspinall just fell into their lap. They didn’t go out of their way to softball him, they didn’t put a ton of effort into marketing him, they just let him mulch everyone in his path. In 2025, Tallison Teixeira has a main event in just his second UFC bout: In 2022 Tom Aspinall had to notch five straight stoppages to get his first crack at the top of the card against Curtis Blaydes, and it ended with his knee imploding fifteen seconds into the fight. When he lost that fight, Francis Ngannou was the reigning UFC Heavyweight Champion of the World. By the time Tom returned in the Summer of 2023, it belonged to Jon fucking Jones. Within one fight Aspinall was a top contender again, and with Jon comically scheduled to defend his title against Stipe Miocic, who hadn’t fought in two and a half years, Aspinall was left in a holding pattern--until Jon injured himself in training. With barely two weeks to prepare, Tom Aspinall fought Sergei Pavlovich for an interim championship. Sergei was the most devastating knockout artist in the Heavyweight division: Tom knocked him out in sixty-nine seconds. Not only did it give him gold, it gave him a golden ticket. The sole purpose of an interim champion is to one day reunify the belts, and that meant Tom had a shot at Jon Jones, one of the biggest fighters in the history of the sport. All he had to do was wait. And wait. And wait. Tom waited so fucking long the UFC made him defend his interim title in a rematch with Blaydes--which he won easily, knocking him out in 60 seconds--on July 27, 2024. Four months later, Jon Jones returned and had his fight with Stipe, who by that point had been effectively retired for almost four years. Unsurprisingly, Jon won. Equally unsurprisingly, Jon and the UFC refused to commit to fighting Aspinall. Jones reportedly held the UFC up for a huge payday, and when they shockingly agreed, he changed his mind. In the end, the most obvious pair of conclusions happened: On June 21st, during the press conference after Fight Night Baku, Dana White announced Jon was retiring and Tom was being promoted to Undisputed Champion; an hour later, coincidentally, news broke that Jon was being summoned for arraignment in July on charges of leaving the scene of an accident after drunkenly crashing another car and leaving another heavily-inebriated half-naked woman behind in it and also threatening the police over the phone when they called him. It is the only way the Jon Jones story could possibly have ended. Tom Aspinall was an interim champion for 588 days, and he made his first undisputed one against Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 on October 26--and, because this division is fucking cursed, it ended in a No Contest after Gane poked him in both of his eyes at once. The UFC has decided this is mostly Tom’s fault, which has nothing at all to do with Tom’s dad talking about how he shouldn’t sign a new contract. A rematch has been vowed, but Tom had to get eye surgery to regain his sight and the UFC doesn’t want to wait when there’s marketing to be done, so Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira fought for an interim title at the godforsaken White House.

Interim Heavyweight Champion

Ciryl Gane - 14-2 (1), 0 Defenses

Five years ago, the UFC ran into issues with their undisputed Heavyweight champion and chose to end-run around them by putting an interim title on Ciryl Gane. It is 2026, and nothing has changed. With Tom out thanks to Ciryl’s fingertips piercing his eyeballs, Ciryl was rewarded with a big fight against Alex Pereira for the interim belt--again--at the UFC’s big, terrible White House super-event, in the not-so-subtle hopes that the UFC’s continuing attempts to put all their eggs in the Alex Pereira basket would pay off in the form of their first-ever three-division champion. Instead, Ciryl beat the crap out of him. At 205 pounds, Alex was a monster; at 265 he was slower, smaller and no longer possessed the biggest guns in the cage. Ciryl boxed him up and knocked him out in the second round, but in the process of getting the stoppage he dropped elbows on a fallen, shaky Pereira that hit the back of his head, over which Pereira is attempting to a) have the fight’s result reversed and b ) have referee Herb Dean fired. Ciryl Gane, meanwhile, continues to profit from everyone else’s misery. He’s the interim champ again, which means either he’s going to face Tom in a rematch when Tom’s healthy, or the UFC’s going to stop pretending and strip Tom and Ciryl will ascend to the Heavyweight throne on a trail of eyeballs and brainstems.

Light Heavyweight Champion, 205 lbs

Carlos Ulberg - 14-1, 0 Defenses

It’s so hard not to skip to the punchline on this one. Carlos Ulberg’s combat sports career is more mixed than MMA alone would lead one to believe. He started as a mixed martial artist all the way back in 2011, but after winning his debut fight, he decided to give fighting a break for almost half a decade. Then it was boxing, and then it was MMA again, and then it was kickboxing, and for a brief period of time it was both at once. The rise of Israel Adesanya led the UFC on an all-out talent search for big, credible strikers from Oceania, and that is how despite being just 3-0 as a mixed martial artist, Carlos wound up on the Contender Series in 2020, and just a few months later, in March of 2021, he was debuting in the UFC. They hyped him, they gave him a spot on the pay-per-view prelims, they booked him against the 1-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu and despite having half his experience Ulberg was the heavy betting favorite, because everyone knew they wanted him on top. Which was unfortunate, because Kennedy knocked him out in two rounds. Carlos described the loss as the most important moment of his career--half for the lesson of the loss itself, half for the $50,000 bonus that gave him his first taste of actual profit as a professional. He vowed to take his career more seriously, he vowed to prepare for his fights as though every one mattered rather than simply being happy to be in the UFC, and four years later, he was the top contender for the Light Heavyweight crown. A testament to determination and a good mindset? Absolutely! But also a bit of a testament to the careful cultivation and protection of a prospect. Carlos did his job and beat everyone the UFC put in front of him, but the people put in front of him tended to be carefully picked. At one point he beat a genuine prospect in Nicolae Negumereanu, and the UFC followed it up by giving him Ihor Potieria, the man Nicolae had just knocked out in his previous fight. Stiff prospects like Aleksandar Rakić and Azamat Murzakanov flew past in the background, but Da Woon Jung and Alonzo Menifield had to be destroyed. The UFC spent a year and a half trying on three separate occasions to book Ulberg against Dominick Reyes, and by the time they finally got there, it was, somehow, impossibly, a title eliminator. But Ulberg won, just as he’d won every fight since his meeting with Kennedy Nzechukwu, and he proceeded to his title fight with Jiří Procházka for the championship Alex Pereira had left behind to try his hand at the Heavyweight division. It was fun, it was fast, it was dramatic and it was definitive. In just a hair under four minutes, Jiří was flat on the canvas and Carlos Ulberg, five years after his debut, was the Light Heavyweight champion of the world. He also very visibly tore his ACL in half right in the middle of the fight and could barely move. If Jiří had simply backed away, hacked a few leg kicks and kept his distance, the fight would’ve been stopped between rounds, but he chose to engage and got flattened by a left hook counter for his troubles, and the result was a brand new titleholder who proceeded directly to the emergency room after the fight and had knee surgery less than a week later. For the third time in six title reigns, the new champion has an injury so bad it will prevent them from defending their title for at least the rest of the year. Will we get an interim title? Will yet another champion have to give up the gold? Will Paulo fucking Costa wind up technically a 205-pound champion? Stay tuned.

Middleweight Champion, 185 lbs

Sean Strickland - 31-7, 0 Defenses

After all of that time, we are back where we were. When Sean Strickland got his first shot at the UFC Middleweight Championship back in 2023, it was under particularly thin circumstances. Strickland had just come off back-to-back losses against Alex Pereira and Jared Cannonier, his title prospects seemed slim, and a short-notice victory over the then-unheralded Nassourdine Imavov and one-fight UFC veteran Abus Magomedov seemed unlikely to get Strickland anywhere. But then Dricus du Plessis wanted another month to prepare for Israel Adesanya, and the UFC wanted to keep their pay-per-view main event, and suddenly, Sean Strickland was beating one of the sport’s biggest stars and becoming its top Middleweight. It was a stellar performance, it was a career-defining victory, and it was one of the shortest title reigns in UFC history, as just four months later Strickland lost the belt to du Plessis in his first defense. But it was a split decision, so his argument for a rematch was sound, and after a pretty dubious win over Paulo Costa, Strickland got du Plessis back in the cage, where he vowed vengeance, justice, and a return to greatness. Dricus beat him 50-45. It would be a full year before Strickland returned, and in that time, the Middleweight division had changed shape. Nassourdine Imavov was in pole position. Israel Adesanya was a shadow of his former self. Anthony Hernandez was the fastest-rising contender in the class. And Strickland’s nemesis Dricus du Plessis had lost his title to Khamzat Chimaev. On February 21, 2026, on the back of a bunch of bigot bullshit that was growing ever-more tired by the day, Sean returned to the cage and walked right through Hernandez, not just beating him but knocking him out in the third round, and just like that, Imavov’s work didn’t matter, Dricus beating Sean twice didn’t matter. The UFC has its favorites, and Sean got the shot. Khamzat, as he did, hadn’t fought in nine months, and had been busying himself making threats about moving to Light Heavyweight and chasing a superfight with Alex Pereira, who had, himself, already moved up to Heavyweight altogether. Chimaev swore he would outwrestle Sean, smash him, and move on with his life. And for one round, he looked completely correct. After the first, suddenly, Strickland evened things up. Khamzat was never able to assert his wrestling game again, so the rest of the title fight became a boxing match, and in that sense, it was surprisingly even, with Khamzat arguably landing the bigger punches but Strickland landing at a higher clip, and the scorecards were split right down the middle. But the coinflip went Sean’s way. For the second time, Sean Strickland is a world champion, and we are all bastards for it. A rematch seems almost inevitable, but Sean has a shoulder injury to rehabilitate, so we’ll see what the future holds.

Welterweight Champion, 170 lbs